Tag: war

Winning by Losing

Since 2013, Russia has been keeping most of the weapons that it previously manufactured for export:

On the World Bank’s website, the data on “arms exports” show that since 2001 Russian exports in this field have not only approached those of the United States, but in some years (2002, 2013) have even exceeded the value exported by the United States.

It is not curious that the last year in which there was real value competition between the two countries was 2013. Between November 2013 and February 2014 Euromaidan took place, and in that very year a huge package of sanctions against the Russian federation (which had been in place at least since 2008) was passed, focusing especially on technologies imported by Russia for its largely public military industrial complex. As early as 2014, data from the World Bank show the sharp decline in Russian arms exports, which now account for a little more than 1/3 of US sales.

This data is not only relevant for us to understand the reason for Euromaidan, the imposition of a Russophobic regime and an entire escalation of weaponry that is well evidenced in the preparation that, for 8 years, was initiated by the neo-Nazi regime, building a totally disproportionate army and a network of fortifications in the Donbass reminiscent of Albanian bunkers. This data, together with others, confirms a number of premises that will shape our near future.

The problem is not just a “commercial substitution” problem. Not by a long shot. Martyanov explains to us, in three very important books, part of the problem. Under Putin’s reign, there was a reuse, modernization and optimization of all the installed potential left by the USSR and present in Russian society, not totally destroyed in the 90s, which allowed to offer to the world market more effective options from the military point of view, and, above all, much cheaper, considering the cost/benefit binomial. Today, the conflict between the two Slavic nations, has shown that US weaponry not only brings no substantial difference, but is outdated, especially in the field of artillery (long, short and medium distances) and air defense.

What Martyanov allowed us to foresee is that the U.S. could not allow an enormous number of world countries (from Algeria, to Saudi Arabia, to Turkey, India, Indonesia, Egypt, Venezuela, Argentina, Brazil, or even NATO countries such as Greece…) to start buying technologies superior to theirs (such as the case of the S-400 bought by Turkey, which he says is superior to any American air defense system), but which, even when they are not superior, are incompatible with the NATO standard, which in itself raises two problems: 1. If the country joins or remains in the military allies, the fact of having different weapons systems raises interconnection problems taking away defensive and offensive effectiveness; 2. If it becomes an enemy country, it will rely on offensive systems against which NATO defensive systems are not experienced or tuned, and vice versa.

Given the way in which the USA has shown itself to be a wildly untrustworthy partner, to say nothing of the way that the Russian weapons systems have generally shown themselves to be superior, I expect that the export delta is going to decrease considerably, if not disappear entirely, once the NATO-Russian war finally comes to an end.

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NATO Tries to Push the Timetable

Russia Today reports a successful US missile strike on Russian troops:

Almost 90 troops were killed by a Ukrainian missile strike that hit a temporary housing area used by Russian forces in the city of Makeyevka in Donetsk People’s Republic just after midnight on January 1, the Defense Ministry announced on Wednesday. The death toll has grown to 89 people, including the unit’s deputy commander, the ministry said, as more bodies were pulled from the rubble of a vocational school where the troops were stationed on New Year’s night.

The facility was targeted by six missiles from a US-supplied HIMARS multiple rocket launcher, four of which penetrated air defenses, and hit the building at precisely 0:01am on January 1, the Defense ministry said, claiming that the launcher was later destroyed in a retaliatory strike

The Saker has a theory about why NATO is launching small missile strikes such as these in Russia:

NATO does not act just to show that it can act. There is a real, military, purpose behind these strikes. And it is not “just” to provoke Russia into some kind of response (not with tens and even hundreds of Russian missile strikes every day already taking place).

The war is already going on, the Russians are already fighting along a very long frontline, the Russian Aerospace Forces are already striking targets over the entire Ukraine, so what is there more to provoke/trigger?

I submit that there is only one thing which the Russians have not done yet, and that is the fullscale combined arms operation the Russian General Staff is obviously preparing. And since this major offensive is almost certain to happen, the only thing which such NATO strikes could affect is the timing of the attack. And since there is no way that these NATO (pinprick) strikes could delay the Russian offensive, their only possible goal would be to make it happen sooner.

Why would NATO want the Russian offensive sooner rather than later? In all its other actions, the AngloZionists have tried to draw out this war for as long as possible, so why would they want to make the Russians attack sooner rather than later?

Because the Russian General Staff is waiting for all the “ducks to be lined” up before attacking. Thus by trying to force the Russians into a premature attack date, NATO is, very logically, trying to prevent all the said “ducks” to be “lined up”. In other words, NATO is trying to force the hand of the Russian General Staff by increasing the pressure on the Kremlin to “finally take action”.

This makes sense, given the way both the Ukrainian and the “foreign mercenary” forces are taking a brutal pounding without being able to do much harm to the gathering Russian forces. It’s also possible that NATO is hoping to convince Russia to make its expected move on its own, rather than waiting for what could be a concerted effort with China launching an attack on Taiwan.

Alternatively, it’s possible that NATO wants Russia to attack before it loses what remains of its support from the Western European countries, as it would be logical to conclude that many people will rally to the flag for fear of the Russians once the winter offensive begins and the Kiev regime is forced to flee Ukraine.

Regardless, it’s unlikely that NATO is launching these HIMARS attacks simply to annoy the Russians and it’s obvious that they are incapable of accomplishing anything meaningful in a strategic sense.

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US Already Waging War on Russia

I very much doubt the Kremlin is any more persuaded of the USA not being involved in repeated attacks on Russian generals than anyone else is:

American intelligence agencies gave highly sensitive data to the Ukrainian armed forces that allowed them to track and kill a dozen Russian generals and sink the Russian flagship Moskva, a new book reveals — despite strident administration denials.

A “furious” President Joe Biden gave “presidential tongue-lashings” to CIA chief Bill Burns and other top aides in May after leakers told NBC News and the New York Times that Ukrainians had been given real-time intelligence from US sources.

“He didn’t like what he considered to be publicly taunting the Russians,” White House Chief of Staff Ron Klain told author Chris Whipple in the forthcoming book “The Fight of His Life,” out Jan. 17.

The reports of secret streams of real-time battlefield intelligence drew a furious response from the Kremlin — and instant repudiation from the Pentagon, the National Security Council, and Biden’s press office.

It will certainly be instructive to see how the Russians respond to these overt acts of war by those US intelligence agencies. Let’s face it, if there is one thing we have learned from the Russian response to the Orange Revolution and the Zelensky regime’s subsequent war on the former Ukrainian republics, it is that the Russians a) are more patient than anyone anticipates and b) respond more firmly than anyone believes likely.

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Polish Regulars in Ukraine

This news of large numbers of Polish regulars replacing Ukrainians and foreign mercenaries on the front is as-yet unconfirmed, but it won’t be very surprising if it is confirmed soon. It will, however, be a significant step toward transforming what had been a simple border dispute into a regional conflict.

There are no more Ukrainians on the front. There are only Polish there, Polish regular soldiers. And my war correspondents know that. What does this mean? This means that we are already at war with a NATO country. Directly. There are now fifteen thousand Polish regular soldiers there. What if there are hundreds of thousands; won’t we attack Poland; If they push us from there? The situation is evolving before our eyes. We are now at war with the Polish Regular Army and we already know that.

The war was always between Russia and NATO, but if the reports of Polish regulars on the front are true, that will mean that NATO plans to fight on even after the Ukrainian army has been rendered hors de combat.

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There Are No Bank Reserves

Just a reminder that Clown World’s economy is floating on nothing more than clown gas and demon dust:

The pattern really got going with the “bailout” in 2008. Buried in a monster bill that was waived the three day lockdown on votes was a provision that allowed Ben Bernanke to set bank reserves to zero. It was one line in a monstrosity that Hank Paulson insisted on being passed after his “one page” equivalent, which gave him sole authority on $700 billion dollars of public money, went down in defeat a day earlier. I caught it and reported on it but nobody in the Legislature said a single word about it at the time, likely because they didn’t actually read the whole thing and thus other than the snake who put it in there didn’t know it existed.

So, it’s doubtful that the USA’s ability to outspend Russia is going to work the way it did when Ronald Reagan pushed a financial arms race with the Soviet Union.

The US Congress is about to send another $44 billion to Boeing, Raytheon, and the CIA “for the war in Ukraine”. That’s a total of $100 billion sent by the US in 10 months. The entire Russian military budget for the year is $65 billion.

  • Glenn Greenwald

This is the exact opposite of what Jerry Pournelle recommended back in 1986 after contemplating the problem facing the US military.

There is just no way that we’ll respond to the Soviets by building a peacetime military establishment similar to theirs. Unfortunately, although we have rejected matching the Soviet military establishment, we have not seized upon any viable alternative. Instead, we putter about, building some of this and some of that, hoping that our technological superiority will somehow do the trick even though we have no clear cut strategy of technology.

This has not always brought about good results. As Congressman Newt Gingrich, among others, has repeatedly pointed out, simply throwing money at the Pentagon is wasteful. Given money but no marching orders, the Pentagon almost always buys more M-1 tanks for the Army, more carriers for the Navy, wings of F-16’s for the Air Force. They buy “things people can ride on,” as one analyst recently put it.

Left to its own direction, the military is very conservative. Military establishments tend to keep the old, while flirting with the new and glamorous; to buy one or two armored cars, but keep horses for the cavalry. To put catapults and seaplanes on battleships, but reject aircraft carriers as not needed.

The result is a lack of direction… We end up with weapons that no one is trained to use, aircraft with no spare parts and few trained pilots, communications systems that don’t quite work, ships without trained sailors to man them, and missiles that work splendidly in test situations, but have profound problems on the battlefield.

Jerry Pournelle, The Stars At War, 1986

Although it’s even worse now. Instead of funding wasteful and ineffective weapons programs, now the money is being directed into unspeakable trafficking operations and propping up the collapsing Clown World economy.

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The Chinese Listened

I was reading an old Jerry Pournelle anthology from the 80’s – the first Imperial Stars book – one that could be characterized as There Will Be Government in Space, when I was struck by a remarkable passage, the significance of which had eluded me in previous readings, from the concluding essay by Dr. Pournelle entitled The Stars at War.

Military establishments, ours among them, have always been inefficient, and better organized for the last war than the next. If we wait for perfection, we may well wait forever.

Thus three facts stand out:

  1. The Soviets have an enormous military establishment, and we are not going to match it tank for tank and gun for gun.
  2. Our present course of buying some of this and some of that, more tanks here and more planes there, isn’t an adequate, or indeed reasonable, response to the threat, and “reform of the Pentagon” and other efforts to “trim the fat and reduce waste” aren’t likely to succeed very quickly, if at all.
  3. We have to do something and soon.

This reasoning was the starting point for Lt. General Daniel O. Graham’s strategic analysis. If what we’re doing isn’t going to work, and we have to do something, where can we go? Graham concluded that we needed a bold new approach, a strategic sidestep; that we had to stop competing with the Soviets in areas in which we can’t win, and begin to compete where we have the advantage.

The Stars at War, Jerry Pournelle, 1986

In other words, 13 years before the two Chinese colonels published Unrestricted Warfare, Jerry Pournelle was already writing about a US general’s strategic analysis that essentially laid the foundation for the Chinese defeat of the US military.

Because this is the essence of the asymetric strategy that underlies the decades-long Chinese implementation of unrestricted warfare: stop competing with the Soviets in areas in which we can’t win, and begin to compete where we have the advantage.

That’s exactly what the Chinese have been doing since 1999. This is perhaps the most important material difference between China and Clown World. China pays close attention to the best minds of the East and the best minds of the West. Clown World ignores the best of the East and attempts to silence the best of the West.

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Black Magick War

Zelensky might sound insane, and from a rational materialist perspective he probably is. But then, rational materialists, by definition, are not capable of recognizing or analyzing the esoteric:

‘Reconquest’ of Crimea has started – Zelensky

Ukrainians are now psychologically ready to retake the Crimean Peninsula from Russia by force, President Vladimir Zelensky told French broadcaster TF1 in an interview on Sunday. “The Reconquest” of Crimea has supposedly already started in Ukrainians’ heads, the president claimed, hinting that he could visit the “de-occupied” peninsula as early as 2023.

“The operation itself has not started yet,” Zelensky said, when asked about Kiev’s plans for Crimea. “When it starts, you will definitely hear about it,” he told TF1, adding that he personally believes “the reconquest of Crimea has started in people’s heads, and that’s very important.”

There is genuine intent behind this seemingly lunatic announcement. It’s an obvious attempt to speak will into being. However, the Russians are also actively engaged in the spiritual war, which is why Zelensky has banned the Ukrainian Orthodox Church. He regards the Christians in Ukraine as being as much his masters’ enemies as the Russians.

I suspect it won’t be long now before the Russians launch a massive offensive, because Zelensky appears to be rapidly approaching the “Hitler in the bunker” stage.

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Triggering the Hitlerians

For some reason, posting a meme comparing one foreigner who led another nation into ruin by provoking an unnecessary war with Russia triggered the Alt-Retards on Gab. I responded to them with my customary grace and kindness.

Dear Hitler cheerleaders,

You are collectively retarded. The salient fact about Adolf Hitler is not that he “stood up to the Jews”. The salient fact is that he was a foreign ruler of a people that he led into an utterly disastrous and unnecessary war.

After his early military success made him overconfident, he went way too far way too soon, and then tried to blame his predictable failures on the German people, who paid a terrible price for his stupid and short-sighted leadership.

He was as bad for Germany as Zelensky is proving to be for Ukraine.

If he’d been one-quarter the leader you believe him to be, Germany would still be peacefully dominating the continent.

Love,
Vox

As you can imagine, this went over well with the Alt-Retards. It was particularly amusing to hear that I am a) afraid to debate the matter and b) have Jewish handlers when I have already debated both Greg Johnson and Andrew Anglin on the subject and have been featured on one of the ADL’s many public hit lists since 2017.

But this underlines the reason I no longer debate anyone. Debates are ephemeral exercises for lightweights with short attention spans. They are of no lasting interest to anyone, apparently not even to those who are monomaniacally interested in the subject being debated.

And those whose minds are not impervious to historical facts may wish to take into account the fact that my perspective is not based on hindsight, but to the contrary, was shared by some of the Wehrmacht’s more illustrious figures at the time. In fact, my comments concerning the similarities of Hitler and Zelensky were largely the result of making the following observations when reading Col. Hans von Luck’s memoir, Panzer Commander.

  • At the beginning of June, suddenly and without warning, our division was entrained in Bonn and, after a journey of two or three days, detrained in Insterburg in East Prussia. The battalion was billeted in the surrounding villages. I used the opportunity to visit some friends on an estate nearby, where some years before, gay and light of heart, I had celebrated the wedding of one of my comrades. The old woman, who after the death of her husband, now managed the estate alone, greeted me sadly. “How depressing to see you again in these circumstances. How contented we were then and now we are threatened with a long and difficult encounter with Russia. Do you understand it all? What more does Hitler want? The Lebensraum so often talked of by him and Rosenberg?“ We walked through the clean stables. It was like saying good-bye to the old Germany.
  • Our entry into Russia had been delayed by nearly two months, because Hitler had had to help the Italians in Greece and subsequently deal with growing partisan activity in the Balkans. The Russian winter was at the door and the Wehrmacht was not prepared for it, let alone equipped. Hitler and the High Command seemed to have made no provision at all for a delay until winter.
  • The General looked at me over his glasses. “Luck, this was to be expected. Hitler has overreached himself. Now we’ve all got to pay for it, especially the poor infantry and the grenadiers. Give your men all the support you can. Many of them will get into a panic and try to save themselves at all costs. Don’t talk of retreat – the disengagement must and will succeed if we all keep our heads. We will lose a lot of materiel, but the main thing is to get the men back. In the hands of God, Luck.” Although catastrophe was looming, I couldn’t grasp it. For the first time since the successful blitzkriegs we were going back on disappointing terms. Snow, frost, icy winds, and an opponent who knew this climate and did not give up, had defeated us. The comparison with Napoleon was inescapable. I could see the pictures in my history books, of how the sad remnants of a proud army turned back and crossed the Beresina.
  • I could see the profound disappointment in Rommel’s face. “Through Hitler’s crazy order to hold out, we lost a vital day, which cost us losses that cannot be made good. I can’t hold Cyrenaica, so with the remains of the Afrika Korps, under General Bayerlein, I shall cross southern Cyrenaica, despite the rains and the sandstorms, in order to set up a first line of defense at Mersa el Brega.”

Some failures are noble. But Hitler’s failures were not. They were, even at the time, regarded as hubristic, crazy, and inexplicable by better and more intelligent individuals.

DISCUSS ON SG

Drone Attacks in Russia

These drone attacks deep inside Russia are not going to convince the Russians that they don’t need significant buffer space between NATO and the Russian border.

A Ukrainian drone strike on two Russian airbases in the Ryazan and Saratov regions has resulted in the deaths of three service members and minor damage to two airplanes, the Russian Defense Ministry said on Monday.

A number of “Soviet-made” jet drones, flying at low altitude, targeted the long-range strategic aviation assets at the Dyagilevo airfield in Ryazan Region and Engels airfield in Saratov Region, according to the ministry. While they were detected and shot down by air defenses, the debris impacted the airfields, “slightly” damaging two aircraft.

Three service members were “fatally injured” while four more were taken to military hospitals for treatment.

Ukrainian drones have previously attacked the Black Sea Fleet headquarters in Sevastopol and targeted the Russian navy in Crimea, but Monday’s attack reached deep inside Russia. The Dyagilevo airfield is more than 500 km from Ukrainian-controlled territory, while Engels is about 700 km away.

Nor were these two attacks the only ones. A third attack was made on an airbase in Kursk.

An airfield in the city of Kursk has been targeted in a drone attack, according to the governor of the southwestern Russian region. The strike comes the day after two bases, in Ryazan and Saratov Regions, were targeted with similar weapons. “As a result of a drone attack, an oil storage tank caught fire in the area of the Kursk airfield. The fire is being localized. All emergency agencies are on site,” Kursk Region Governor Roman Starovoyt said in a Telegram post on Tuesday morning around 7:20am local time.

However, the drone attacks are not significant, are reported to have done very little damage, and do not appear to be much more than desperate attempts to forestall a coming Russian air campaign, presumably in support of a large-scale offensive, given the fact that they targeted air bases known to be host to heavy bombers.

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Brazil Wins

The military appears to be rolling into action:

In an unusual step for the military, the Army has invaded favelas of Rio de Janeiro and killed top leaders of the Comando Vermelho (Red Command) drug cartel, which supports the Communist criminal Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Observers take this to indicate the beginning of a federal military intervention. The drug gangs were the only ones to celebrate the alleged election victory by criminal Lula Oct. 30, firing automatic weapons in the air in the favelas. President Bolsonaro cracked down hard on the Brazilian drug gangs.

Also, the national team steamrolled South Korea 4-1, and could have easily made it 10-1.

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