The EU is a Pirate State

Send in the Marines…

European states have developed a mechanism that allows them to sell confiscated Russian oil without transferring the proceeds to its rightful owners, according to a decision in the official journal of the EU. European countries intend to dispose of seized Russian oil without transferring the proceeds to its owners; the corresponding decision was published in the official journal of the European Union, reports RIA News.

Before the adoption of the new package of sanctions, the embargo prohibited the purchase, import and transportation of Russian energy resources, but there was no mechanism for selling goods without transferring profits to the owner. The new amendments introduce this possibility for the first time. The mechanism will allow European countries to remove confiscated products from the ban, sell them to third parties and keep the proceeds for themselves.

I seem to recall something about “the shores of Tripoli”. The US Marines were sent there to deal with a piracy problem, and now we’ve got the European Union literally operating as an oil-pirating operation.

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The Addition of Economic Attrition

Instead of accepting the reality of its military defeat, Ukraine has tried to create political pressure on Russia by targeting the civilian population. To which, of course, Russia has responded by escalating and expanding the economic pain on Ukraine and Europe:

Ukraine is trying to redirect part of the cargo flow from the Odesa region. Due to the strikes on the port infrastructure of Odesa and ships in Ukrainian territorial waters, the largest container shipping operator, Maersk, has suspended operations at the Black Sea Fish Port and redirected ships to the Romanian port of Constanta. On July 27, Ukraine initiated an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council due to the cessation of ship traffic in the Odesa ports.

In addition, there is a slight increase in the volume of rail traffic of grain and oilseed cargoes, redirected from the Greater Odesa area, to the western railway border crossings (key stations: Chop, Uzhgorod, Mostyska, Rava-Ruska, Yagodin, Batievo, Vadul-Siret) and the Danube ports (Izmail, Reni, Kilia). The early involvement of the Moldovan port of 🇲🇩Giurgiu and the Romanian 🇷🇴Constanta (to which barges can be delivered from the Danube ports) is expected.

In the scheme of increasing rail transportation to the west, large grain storage facilities, located directly at the border stations or within 5-30 km of them, will play a key role, due to the need to transship from the broad gauge (1520 mm) to the European gauge (1435 mm).

However, land routes are not capable of completely replacing sea exports: their combined throughput is estimated at only 1-1.2 million tons per month, compared to the required 5-6 million tons. And this is under the condition that strikes on the railway infrastructure will not increase.

It is clear that the Russian side has finally found a truly sensitive vulnerability of the enemy and its sponsors, and pressure on them needs to be increased. The importance of Ukrainian agricultural products for its European sponsors will increase significantly this season – according to estimates by European industry associations, the June heatwave in Europe led to a loss of almost 9 million tons of grain.

This is why one has to have serious questions about the reality of war, especially when foreign leaders, or national leaders owned by foreign interests are involved. Ukraine can’t possibly win. The people are suffering greatly. And yet the leadership remains as bellicose and belligerent as ever.

And it’s not only Ukraine. Germany should be surrendering now too; its energy costs are skyrocketing and its economy is practically dehydrating. And yet, the so-called “leaders” keep banging on their war drums.

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Russia = Charlie Brown

The Foreign Minister says that this time, for sure, Russia will stop believing that Clown World is going to pull the football away:

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has announced that Russia will no longer believe the West when it claims to seek “negotiated solutions on Ukraine”.

Source: Russian propaganda agencies TASS and RIA Novosti

Quote: “We will no longer believe the West that it wants negotiated solutions. This reserve of goodwill and hope has been exhausted entirely.”

Details: According to Lavrov, the West is allegedly simulating readiness for negotiations on Ukraine while “now openly beginning to issue ultimatums to Russia”.

With all due respect to Mr. Lavrov, once you’ve determined that a party is “agreement incapable” then if you choose to believe anything that party says going forward, it’s really on you. I frankly have no idea why Russia or Iran continue to entertain “negotiations” with any of the Clown World entities at this point nor do I see what positive purpose any pretense at believing in the legitimacy of the fake negotiations serves their interests.

Granted, attrition is on the side of both Russia or Iran, so perhaps they’re simply playing along with Clown World’s desire to postpone its collapse in order to reduce any risks to the process. But if so, then what is the point of publicly declaring, again, that you don’t believe them.

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No Path to Surrender

A Swiss journalist travels to Kiev to take the measure of the popularity of the regime that rules the remnants of Ukraine, and what he finds there is not really encouraging for anyone.

There are countless radio and television stations, but they all present a single point of view. All opposition stations in Ukraine have been shut down. Even a completely harmless discussion about the causes of the conflict can lead to criminal prosecution and actual prison sentences. Some journalists have managed to flee and are now operating from outside Ukraine. But they have only very limited influence on the people inside the country; I explained the reasons for this earlier.

The same applies to political organizations. They all conform to the prevailing opinion. In the Rada, the parliament, there are various parties, but only one political direction. There is no political force capable of considering all sides of the conflict and serving as a guide for the citizens of Ukraine.

Many readers will ask: How much support does the Ukrainian leadership have among the population?

None of the people I spoke with expressed open support for the Ukrainian leadership. For some, given their specific living circumstances, this can certainly be seen as an expression of personal resistance. Others simply want to hang in there and be left in peace. Still others, who openly supported the government just one or two years ago, are now conspicuously reluctant to make such statements. What they all have in common is a longing for a normal life, without war.

Based on what I was able to gather during my few days there, the regime does not enjoy broad support. It is perceived as a small group of criminals who, with the help of the West, have a firm grip on the structures of power, know how to exploit them brutally, and base everything else on that.

Unfortunately, this leaves Russia with no choice but to end this conflict on the battlefield by military means—a conflict that should never have started in the first place.

The problem, of course, is that the leadership isn’t Ukrainian. The regime is foreign, and is observably less interested in the wellbeing of the Ukrainian people than the Russian leadership is.

This is why empire is a short-sighted endeavor and why permitting foreigners to join the national elite is always a stupid and fatal mistake for a nation. Foreign rulers always come to view the nations over which they rule as tools to be utilized as they please, and will never hesitate to destroy the people if they happen see their destruction as being in their own interest.

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Ladybug Died in Kiev

Larry Johnson runs the timeline:

So Lindsey Graham arrives in Kyiv by 11 am Friday morning. He meets with Zelensky and tours a drone factory. Then we are asked to believe that he returns to Washington, DC after spending less than 24 hours on the ground. Again, I call bullshit!!

The earliest train back to Warsaw departs Kyiv-Pasazhyrskyi at 07:40–08:00 on the 11th and arrives Przemyśl Główny in the afternoon (~17:00–18:00). That is at least nine hours. That would make it roughly 1100 hours in Washington, DC. Let’s assume he has an hour to get to the airport and the plane takes off at 1900 hours local from Poland. The flight going west takes 10 hours… This means the earliest the plane could have landed at Dulles is midnight on the 11th. That is 3 ½ hours after Graham reportedly died at home.

In other words, Sen. Graham probably died in a Russian missile strike. And the fact that the US government wants to hide that suggests that the USA is not actually willing to fight a direct war with Russia. And it may indicate why Trump rushed home from Europe babbling about assassination attempts.

If Russia has finally decided to start fighting back against its self-declared enemies, we may seeing the demise of some British and European leaders sooner rather than later.

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WWIII is Over

Russia and China, and their allies, already have an industrial advantage that cannot be overcome, as Andrei Martynov observes that Russia alone can produce nearly 6 million drones per year.

The Russian military-industrial complex (MIC) has the ability to produce more than 15 thousand FPV drones per day. This was announced on June 3 by the First Deputy Prime Minister of the Russian Federation Denis Manturov. “Domestic enterprises can already ensure the supply of over 15 thousand pieces per day of FPV drones alone, and in 2023 such a number was produced per month,” he said in an interview with the Kommersant newspaper.

For arithmetically challenged (forget about combat models used for planning of operations against NATO’s aerial terrorism) this means: 365 x 15,000 = 5,475,000 drones per year. Combined West’s economies will choke trying to match this. But then again, one must be situationally aware–a novelty thing for Pentagon, CIA and so called “analysts” such as Mearsheimer. And so he continues with platitudes.

Now to the crux of the matter–Russia MAY strike Europe, and among targets could be some of those UAVs-producing facilities, but if it happens, it is going to be NOT the main consideration, and NATO’s UAVs could be used MERELY as casus belli. Already now Russia blunted and mitigated all this “wall of drones”–yet another pathetic moniker for NATO’s military impotence–if Russia will be striking Europe she will come in hard and main targets will be the remnants of NATO’s industrial plant, thus solving a strategic task of a complete demilitarization of Europe.

This doesn’t mean that foreign regimes like the Kiev regime won’t force the people of the occupied nations to fight wars against their national self-interests. But it does mean they’re not going to win any of them, including the war on Iran.

All the GDP statistics and revisionist histories and rhetoric mean nothing. The only thing that counts in 5GW is industrial capacity, and that was eliminated in both the USA and Europe after 1970. And this, no doubt, is why formerly globalist-friendly Russian oligarchs like Andrey Melnichenko are returning to Russia and supporting its national objective of liberation from Clown World and complete national sovereignty.

The choice before the world is not between love for Russia and hatred of it, between punishment and forgiveness, between moral clarity and political cynicism. It is between two kinds of future: one in which major powers again learn to respect each other’s sovereignty, and one in which each attempts to reduce the others to objects of management. The second path has already brought us here. The most important thing is that we step back from the abyss. Only then can we ask how we reached it and how to arrange the world differently. That work belongs to the next generation. Our role is to ensure they have something to work with.

“Melnichenko’s words are clear: the war is the West’s fault, and Russia is being restructured as a self-sufficient society of supreme sovereignty where even the previously-alienated liberal class of exiles and pariahs has returned with newfound patriotism in its veins. A nation where oligarchs and big businesses are increasingly working for the benefit of the state and its people, rather than the crooked Western system which deceived and betrayed them.” – Simplicius

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Breaking Strongholds

Russian troops report the capture of Ukraine’s most fortified city, Kostantinovka:

Kostantinovka was Ukraine’s “most fortified” stronghold, guarded by some 15,500 troops, most of whom have been eliminated during the Russian operation to capture the city, Colonel General Sergey Rudskoy has said.

During a briefing on Saturday, Rudskoy, who is the head of operations at the Russian General Staff, said that throughout several weeks of intense fighting for the strategic city, the Ukrainian military lost around 13,500 troops, 14 tanks, 283 armored fighting vehicles, 1,400 cars, 200 field artillery guns and eight multiple rocket launch systems.

Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov briefed President Vladimir Putin about the liberation of Konstantinovka in Russia’s Donetsk People’s Republic when the commander-in-chief visited an auxiliary command post on Friday.

The general described Konstantinovka as “a major industrial and logistics hub, which is the key to the last remaining stronghold of the Kiev regime in Donbass – the Kramatorsk-Slavyansk agglomeration.”

It will be interesting to see how things proceed once the Donbass is fully liberated from Clown World. The fact that NATO is acquiring permission from countries like Lithuania and Finland to position nuclear missiles there tends to indicate that the hostilities are unlikely to cease with the fall of the Kiev regime, because the fall of one puppet state means nothing to the powers behind it.

The question is when the Russians will stop permitting the UK, the EU, and the Americans to continue to wage war against Russia without striking back.

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Clown World Wants War

ITEM: Gen. Chris Donahue seems to have done it all. He led the Army’s Delta Force commandos in Iraq and Syria when it took the fight to Islamic State militants and was the last man out when the troops he commanded at the 82nd Airborne Division were called in to secure the 2021 evacuation of U.S. personnel and Afghan allies from Kabul. Rising to four stars in 2024, Donahue was made the top U.S. Army commander in Europe, where he helped overhaul NATO’s effort to defend against Russian aggression and support Ukraine. To many, he seemed to be on a fast track to become vice chief of staff of the Army and perhaps one day lead the service itself.

ITEM: “We have the capabilities, the plan, we know what needs to be done.” With these words, spoken at the “LandEuro” conference in Germany, U.S. Army Europe and Africa Commander General Christopher Donahue did more than just outline military readiness. He issued a deliberate and unmistakable message aimed far beyond the audience in the room. His pointed remarks about being able to “wipe out” Russia’s A2AD (Anti-Access/Area Denial) capabilities in Kaliningrad were not offhand bravado — they were a calculated signal, deeply rooted in strategy, deterrence, and alliance cohesion. By declaring that U.S. and allied forces could neutralize these assets quickly and effectively, Gen. Donahue sent a message that NATO not only understands the threat, but has prepared specifically to counter it — a direct challenge to the Kremlin’s confidence in Kaliningrad’s defensive umbrella.

ITEM: Gen. Donahue will relinquish his U.S. command at a ceremony in Germany on July 2, people familiar with the matter say, his European assignment cut short by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s push to put his imprint on the military’s leadership.

ITEM: David French complains in The New York Times: The Purging of General Donahue Is a Breaking Point. The Trump administration owes the military and the public an explanation for its treatment of Donahue — and an explanation for its treatment of other senior officers it has fired or forced out. As commander in chief, the president has the right to fire an officer, but as a servant of the people, the president has a duty to tell us why.

Translation: President Trump had Hegseth fire Donahue before he could start a war with Russia.

With the war in the Middle East necessarily winding down, convincing the European puppet-governments to sacrifice their citizens in the same way that the Kiev regime did is about the only card they’ve got left. But it’s not going to work; the Europeans are far more inclined to go to war with their own politicians and police than with the Russians.

Literally no one cares what the mainstream politicians say anymore, which is why they’re saying increasingly insane things every passing day in a desperate attempt to whip up a war frenzy in a very uninterested populace. .

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Attritional Math

Even pro-Ukraine analytics that appear to wildly exaggerate Russian casualties are suggesting that attritional exhaustion is rapidly approaching in the Ukro-Russian war.

Dr Powell’s model suggests that the war is rapidly nearing a tipping point. Ukraine is approaching the fulcrum beyond which the weight of the war tips its forces into rapid depletion, allowing the Russian military to start achieving much more significant territorial gains. In turn, this would lead to accelerated Ukrainian losses through the ruthless reality of the square law. This road heads toward an eventual Ukrainian collapse.

Ukraine’s effective combat power (a composite of manpower, machinery and munitions) is depleting, the model shows, at a net rate that outpaces its replenishment, while Russia’s holds steady or grows marginally. This imbalance, compounded by recent reductions in Western support, suggests a tipping point where Ukrainian force density thins below viability, triggering rapid territorial losses and operational collapse.

Based on his integrated projections from an updated model (as of 15 May), Dr Powell estimates window for this tipping point is 3-6 months from now (July-September 2026), followed by a 3-4 month cascade to functional exhaustion. Overall, this yields a 6-9 month horizon to “floodgates opening,” where advances accelerate from the current 0.3-1 km/day to 5-10 km/day, as seen in historical breakthroughs like the 2022 Kherson retreat. This non-linear result is the manifestation of the pitiless square law which Frederick Lanchester first codified into a usable model for military operations in 1916. But it boils down to this: Dr Powell’s model estimates Ukrainian collapse by early Spring next year (nine months from mid-May 2026) at the outside.

Two factors support Dr Powell’s conclusion. The first is that Anusar Farooqui, the hedge fund CEO and international relations scholar, and friend of Multipolarity, has managed to replicate Dr Powell’s results using the model. The second is that Peter Turchin, emeritus professor at the University of Connecticut in the departments of ecology and evolutionary biology and mathematics, has produced his own model, which reaches a similar conclusion: Ukraine is heading toward a tipping point beyond which its position becomes irretrievable.

A key understanding here is that it matters not who is attacking and who is defending; who is capturing territory and who is losing it. The losses of men, munitions and weapons platforms carry on regardless, and in an attrition war, it is exactly that which counts. Absent a black swan event, Ukraine continues heading toward the tipping point whether it is successfully counter-attacking or doggedly defending.

It must be noted that the tipping point Dr Powell’s model suggests would not be the end of the war. It would simply be the point at which the war of attrition finally makes Ukraine’s conventional military position irretrievable, with Russian territorial gains accelerating from that moment.

No doubt this explains the increased volume of the EU’s insane belligerence, but the reality is that the anti-democratic governments of Europe are far more likely to find themselves fighting their own citizens over their attempts to deny everyone air conditioning than they are to ever fight the Russians.

French health officials recorded around 1,000 excess deaths in less than a week as the country was hit by its most severe heatwave in more than two decades.

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The Banned Article

Russia’s Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov, was asked to write an article for a European political magazine, but it was pulled from publication at the last minute. Here is the article that Clown World didn’t want Europeans to read:

Some reflections on resolving the Ukrainian crisis, Europe and global security

At a meeting in London on June 7, 2026, the leaders of Britain, France, and Germany, as well as Vladimir Zelensky, laid out five preconditions for Russia to secure a “just and lasting peace” in Ukraine. United Europe now presents this list of demands as the basis for dialogue with Moscow.

More than two decades of negotiations with Europe, as part of the collective West, lead to only one conclusion: engaging Russia in dialogue has served as a diplomatic smokescreen for the geopolitical expansion of Western institutions, above all NATO and the European Union, eastwards, right up to Russia’s borders.

Europe’s complicity in fueling the Ukrainian crisis is undeniable. Together with the United States, European countries orchestrated the Orange Revolution in Kiev in 2004. To create an anti-Russian bridgehead in Ukraine, they spent years buying off politicians and entire parties, rewriting history and educational curricula, cultivating and nurturing Ukrainian nationalism, and going to great lengths to pull Ukraine away from Russia.

In 2013, the European Union outright rejected our proposal for a compromise on the association agreement – a deal Brussels had long been pressing Viktor Yanukovich to sign. It is worth recalling that Ukraine was offered unilateral market opening without reciprocal commitments – terms that would have proved incompatible with Kiev’s continued membership in the CIS free-trade zone. When Viktor Yanukovich requested a deferral, the Europeans incited street riots that swiftly escalated into a coup d’état in Kiev in February 2014.

Germany, France, and Poland then proved themselves to be equally treacherous. Having guaranteed that the agreement reached between the opposition and Viktor Yanukovich would be honored, they washed their hands of it the moment that same opposition, their own handiwork, took power. “Democracy,” they shrugged, “takes unexpected turns.”

Europe thereafter lent its backing to the new authorities. In Odessa on 2 May 2014, the burning alive of dozens of innocent supporters of closer ties with Russia did not draw a single word of condemnation from European capitals.

As co-guarantors of the 2015 Minsk Agreements, France and Germany effectively encouraged the Ukrainian regime to sabotage its own commitments. As Angela Merkel and François Hollande later conceded – after the special military operation had already begun – Kiev’s implementation of the Minsk Agreements, unanimously approved by the UN Security Council, was never genuinely intended. The objective, they admitted, was merely to buy time: to shore up the Armed Forces of Ukraine and flood them with Western weaponry.

Russia, for its part, explored every diplomatic avenue to defuse Europe’s security crisis. However, in January 2022, the United States and NATO rejected Russia’s proposal for legally binding mutual security guarantees. European NATO members actively endorsed that rebuff.

Following the launch of the special military operation, United Europe threw its support behind the British prime minister’s efforts to sabotage the Istanbul negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Boris Johnson’s appeal to Kiev – “don’t sign anything, just fight” – slammed the door on genuine diplomacy for the foreseeable future.

Current situation

So what has prompted European leaders to suddenly shift their rhetoric and start talking about negotiations, and what are they aiming to achieve with these statements? For instance, EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas has stated that the purpose of any dialogue with Russia is to dictate Europe’s terms. These include paying “reparations” to Ukraine; withdrawing troops from Transnistria and the South Caucasus; abolishing the “foreign agents” law; and accepting strict limits on the size of the Russian Federation’s Armed Forces. In her framing, “there can be no just and lasting peace without accountability for Russia.” During the UN Security Council session on 19 May 2026, an EU representative made the point unequivocally: “Supporting Ukraine militarily does not contradict the pursuit of peace, but rather serves as a fundamental prerequisite for any credible, good-faith negotiations.”

Europe’s plan is to talk with Russia while simultaneously pressing ahead with a campaign of legal warfare orchestrated through the Council of Europe. Within this once-respected organization, an entire infrastructure is being assembled for the express purpose of “holding Russia accountable”: a Register of Damage, a Claims Commission, and a Special Tribunal.

The European Union has also given the green light to detaining merchant vessels on the high seas. Several incidents have already taken place in the Baltic and the Atlantic. At the same time, the West studiously averts its gaze from the terrorist acts of sabotage perpetrated by the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Black and Mediterranean Seas.

The real objective of Europe’s leaders, then, is not to negotiate with Russia. It is to shore up the Zelensky regime and preserve it as a launchpad for continued confrontation against Russia. With this in mind, European leaders are scrambling to secure a ceasefire as quickly as possible and for one reason only: to prevent the collapse of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the battlefield. The plan is to “freeze” the conflict without addressing its root causes, and then rapidly deploy military contingents from the Anglo-French “coalition of the willing” onto Ukrainian soil.

It is widely known that European elites have invested their “political capital” in the confrontation with Russia, pouring hundreds of billions of dollars into propping up the Kiev regime and ramping up the military budgets of EU member states and NATO. Europe now aims to achieve “defense readiness” against Russia by 2030. Until then, they mean to buy time by whatever means are available. In a strikingly candid remark this April, Belgium’s chief of staff put it bluntly: “We still have a few years. Thanks to the courage and blood of the Ukrainians, who are buying us that time.”

United Europe continues to dream of expansion. It intends to absorb Ukraine and Moldova while pulling Armenia into its sphere of influence. NATO has already expanded eastward, swallowing up Finland and Sweden. As for Ukraine, it is increasingly being eyed as the “striking fist” of a future European military force, independent of the United States and independent of NATO.

Risks to global security

This state of affairs poses serious threats to global security. A direct confrontation between NATO and Russia could rapidly escalate into an exchange of nuclear strikes, with catastrophic consequences.

Under the banner of “strategic autonomy,” Europe is witnessing a significant build-up of its military capabilities, including in the nuclear sphere. Paris’s intention to extend its “nuclear umbrella” to several EU and NATO member states is a source of deep concern. This will do nothing to strengthen the security of France itself or of the recipients of its so-called protection.

For all that, Europe’s political and military establishment continues to attribute aggressive plans to Russia – plans that, they claim, reach far beyond Ukraine. The Russian president has stated on numerous occasions that all of this is nonsense, provocation, and disinformation, aimed solely at extracting budget funds for the fight against Russia. That is scarcely the climate for substantive dialogue.

Russia’s position

As for negotiations, Vladimir Putin reiterated at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum that Russia is not opposed to contacts with any party. We see Europe, however, as a party bent on Russia’s defeat – a stance the Europeans themselves openly avow. Dialogue with Europe, therefore, cannot be conducted as though it were an impartial third-party observer.

Russia would prefer to achieve the goals of the special military operation through diplomacy.

That requires reliably guaranteeing security along Russia’s western borders and ensuring respect and dignity for our citizens and compatriots, including the right to speak their native Russian language and practice the Orthodox Christian faith. Further military, political, and economic expansion by the West is unacceptable: it runs counter to the imperatives of a multipolar world.

European leaders should recognize that the model of regional security built in Europe over decades, ever since the adoption of the Helsinki Final Act in 1975, has been destroyed by their own hands. And it will never be restored. We must now move toward creating a continent-wide security architecture open to all Eurasian countries and reflective of today’s multipolar reality.

The principle of equal and indivisible security, trampled upon by the Euro-Atlanticists, can be embodied within a new Eurasian architecture. When the time is ripe, Europe too will be able to join this great effort.

The key point is that meaningful dialogue requires the restoration of trust, shattered by the anti-Russian actions of the West, and Europe as part of it, in the post-Cold War era. Trust can be recovered only through concrete steps that demonstrate a sincere commitment to moving away from using diplomacy as a cover for expansionist ambitions. Trust cannot be restored, nor can dialogue be resumed, through ultimatums such as the one issued to Russia in London on 7 June 2026.  It is noteworthy that the London ultimatum was unequivocally reaffirmed by the ambassadors of Britain, France, and Germany at the meeting at the Russian Foreign Ministry on 11 June 2026 – a meeting they had so insistently requested.

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