The Corpocrats Complain

Even the financial elite are beginning to grasp that a) Ricardo was wrong, b) the economists lied, and c) mass immigration is an economic and corporate disaster:

Manchester United co-owner Sir Jim Ratcliffe has claimed that Britain has been ‘colonised’ by immigrants who are ‘costing too much money’.

The 73-year-old businessman also questioned whether Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer is the right man to lead the country forward in a bombshell new interview, arguing ‘he may be too nice’.

‘You can’t have an economy with nine million people on benefits and huge levels of immigrants coming in,’ the Englishman told Sky News ahead of the European Industry Summit in Antwerp, Belgium.

‘I mean, the UK has been colonised. It’s costing too much money. The UK has been colonised by immigrants, really, hasn’t it? I mean, the population of the UK was 58 million in 2020, now it’s 70 million. That’s 12 million people.

He added: ‘I don’t know whether it’s just the apparatus that hasn’t allowed Keir to do it or, or he’s maybe too nice – I mean, Keir is a nice man.

‘I like him, but it’s a tough job and I think you have to do some difficult things with the UK to get it back on track, because at the moment I don’t think the economy is in a good state.’

The population of the UK was estimated to have been 70 million in mid-2024, according to the Office of National Statistics, three million higher than that recorded during 2020.

I’m sure there were a few Indians who argued that the white settlers were beneficial too. Neither I nor the rest of the 9.7 million surviving American Indians think very much of those short-sighted morons these days.

Why the the people of these small European nations still fail to comprehend that they will be absolutely swamped by Africans, Indians, and Chinese if the present immigration regime survives is truly beyond me.

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The Black Spies of Dunland

In a scrub oak on the western ridge above the valley, two crows sat on a branch and watched.

They were crebain, the black spy-birds of Dunland, large and clever and thoroughly unpleasant, with oily feathers and eyes like wet pebbles. They had been posted to this ridge six days ago, one of fourteen pairs stationed along the approaches to Rivendell, and they had spent those six days in a state of bored, malicious alertness, eating beetles and surveilling the comings and goings of the Elves below with the joyless diligence of creatures who serve darkness not out of conviction but out of a fundamental meanness of spirit that finds employment in darkness more natural than the alternative.

They had seen the eagle land the previous evening. They had taken note of it. They had thought nothing of it, of course, because eagles came and went from Rivendell with some regularity and the crows had not been briefed on what, specifically, to look for. They were told only to watch, and report, and be suspicious of everything, which came naturally to them.

But what they saw this morning was different. This was three great eagles, flying purposefully in formation at dawn, climbing hard and fast toward altitude, heading south. Even a crow could see that this was an event of some import, and perhaps even the reason they’d been sent here.

The first crow turned to the second and let out a series of harsh, rapid calls, the crebain’s equivalent of an alarm, a sound like a stick being dragged across a fence. The second crow took up the cry, louder, harsher, and together they launched themselves from the branch and flew upward, screaming into the brightening sky, circling and calling with a frantic, rasping urgency that carried far in the still morning air.

Far above them, so far above that the crows were invisible, mere specks against the grey-green earth, two dark flyers heard their cries.

The Nazgûl rode their fell beasts in a slow, wide patrol circuit above the southeastern approach to the valley, just as they had been ordered. They were high enough that the Elves below could not see them against the overcast, high enough that Elrond’s wards did not prickle and burn as they did at lower altitudes. The fell beasts were ancient, reptilian things, their vast leathery wings beating with a sound like wet canvas in a gale, they stank of carrion and old leather, and the Nazgûl upon their backs sat motionless as iron statues, only their hooded heads turning slowly, slowly, watching, and waiting.

They heard the crows before they saw anything. The crebain’s alarm carried upward through the cold air, shrill and insistent, and both Nazgûl turned their mounts toward the sound. The one called Ren, who in life had been a sorcerer of Harad and who retained, even in undeath, a certain professional attentiveness, extended his awareness downward to read the pattern of the crows’ distress, and then looked up higher, above the clouds.

He saw them.

Three bronze shapes, far to the south and climbing, already above the lowest cloud layer and pulling away with a speed that made the fell beasts’ labored flight look like the floundering of moths in honey. Eagles. Great Eagles, unmistakable even at this distance with their vast wingspans, the impossible speed of their ascent, and the way they caught the upper winds and floated on them like invisible rivers in the sky.

And from the lead eagle’s talon radiated an aura of power. It was a sensation that was more felt than seen.

The other Nazgûl felt it too. They turned to each other across the gap between their mounts, and between them passed a communication that was not language but something older and colder, a shared understanding that moved at the speed of dread.

The Ring.

Hoarmurath drove his fell beast upward, clawing for altitude. Ren followed. The fell beasts shrieked in protest, for they were creatures of the low airs, the murky thermals above battlefields and swamps, and the thin cold above the clouds was agony to them, but the will of the Nazgûl was irresistible and the beasts climbed, their wings beating faster, their reptilian lungs heaving in the thinning atmosphere.

But the eagles were already above them and pulling away. Gwaihir flew at the ceiling of the world, where the air was so thin that a Man would have lost consciousness in minutes, and his wings found purchase on winds that the fell beasts could not even reach. The gap between them widened, slowly, inexorably, the way dawn widens from a crack of light into the fullness of day.

Ren watched the eagles shrink against the depthless blue, and he knew that the fell beasts could not hope to catch them. Not in the open sky. Not at this altitude. They were built for strength, not for speed, and against the children of Thorondor they were as a carthorse to a king’s mount.

He raised one gauntleted hand and began to whisper.

The words were in the Black Speech, the language of Mordor, forged by Sauron in the dark years and spoken willingly by no living thing. The words flowed from Ren’s hood in a low, continuous hiss, like steam escaping from a crack in the earth, and the air around his outstretched hand darkened and thickened and began to hum with a frequency that was felt in the bones rather than heard in the ears. He cast a spell of far-speaking, a thread of dark will flung southward across hundreds of leagues toward the tower of Barad-dûr, toward one of the stones that could receive it, and it carried with it a single, urgent message:

They fly.

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Veriphysics: The Treatise 010

PART TWO: THE DEFEAT OF THE CHRISTIAN PHILOSOPHIC TRADITION

I. Introduction: The Nature of the Defeat

The Enlightenment did not defeat traditional Christian philosophy. It displaced it.

This distinction is essential. A defeat implies that the arguments were met, weighed, and found wanting, that the tradition’s premises were examined and refuted, its conclusions tested and falsified, its framework tried and discarded on the merits. None of this ever took place. The great questions that the Scholastics had labored over for centuries were not answered by the Enlightenment; they were simply dismissed as relics of a benighted age, unworthy of serious engagement, and set aside.

The transition from the medieval to the modern via the Renaissance was not a philosophical victory but a rhetorical one. The Enlightenment captured the vocabulary of reason, science, and progress, and used that vocabulary to frame the debate in terms favorable to itself. The tradition was cast as “faith” opposing “reason,” as “superstition” opposing “science,” as “authority” opposing “freedom.” These dichotomies were observably false, as the tradition had always employed reason, had built the very institutions of scientific inquiry, and had developed logical tools more sophisticated than anything the Enlightenment produced, but the rhetorical framing proved to be more convincing than the relevant facts.

Understanding how dialectic lost to rhetoric is not merely an exercise in intellectual history, however. It is a necessary condition for reversing the defeat and replacing the failed ideas of the Enlightenment. The tradition’s ideas were not refuted; they were outmaneuvered. What was lost through rhetorical failure can be regained through rhetorical success, provided the rhetoric is grounded firmly in the dialectical substance that the Enlightenment always lacked.

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Not Necessarily Self-Inflicted

Well, Dave Grohl is apparently a satanist, so if Kurt Cobain truly didn’t kill himself, this belated investigation might explain the otherwise inexplicable success of the Foo Fighters:

Now, an unofficial private sector team of forensic scientists has put fresh eyes on Cobain’s autopsy and crime scene materials, bringing in Brian Burnett, a specialist who previously worked on cases involving overdoses followed by gunshot trauma.

Independent researcher Michelle Wilkins, who worked with the team, told Daily Mail that after just three days looking into the evidence with fresh eyes, Burnett said: ‘This is a homicide. We’ve got to do something about this.’

She said the conclusion followed an exhaustive review of the autopsy findings, which revealed signs inconsistent with an instantaneous gunshot death.

The peer-reviewed paper presented ten points of evidence suggesting Cobain was confronted by one or more assailants who forced a heroin overdose to incapacitate him, before one of them shot him in the head, placed the gun in his arms and left behind a forged suicide note.

A lot of black Christians are postulating that a similar deal is why Lebron James is so reluctant to retire, as they believe it won’t be long after retirement before he goes the way of his fellow satanist Kobe Bryant.

Fame and fortune are absolutely not worth it. When Jesus Christ said he would free us from fear, this is one of the things he was talking about. The terror in the eyes of the wicked is a terrible thing, as is the regret you can hear in the voice of some of those who made their deals, got what they wanted, and belatedly realize that no matter what it was, it wasn’t worth it.

Whether it is Jordan Peterson crying on stage, Lebron James wearily trudging up and down the court and taking himself out of the game as soon as he hits double digits, or Bob Dylan talking about the commander of this world, the inevitable is obvious. Sooner or later, the Dark Rider is going to throw you down.

But they merit no mercy and they know it. Because the wicked aren’t merely evil. Long before they pay the ultimate price, they put down the down payment in someone else’s blood. The satanism is worse and more pervasive than you think.

The Russians know it’s pure satanism. We know it’s pure satanism. And every single member of the elite has to be considered suspect and probably guilty until proven innocent. The wicked have rejected the precepts of the Christian West, including being innocent until proven guilty, so they have no right to appeal to them.

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Recalibrating Man

One of the fascinating things about the Probability Zero project is the way that the desperate attempts of the critics to respond to it have steadily led to the complete collapse of the entire evolutionary house of cards. MITTENS began with the simple observation that 9 million years wasn’t enough time for natural selection to produce 15 million fixations. Then it turned out that there were only 6-7 million years to produce 20 million fixations twice.

After the retreat to neutral theory led to the discovery of the twice-valued variable and the variant invariance, the distinction established between N and N_e led to the recalibration of the molecular clock. And the recalibration of the molecular clock led, inevitably, to the discovery that the evolutionists no longer have 6-7 million years for natural selection and neutral theory to work their magic.

And now they have as little as 200,000 years, with an absolute maximum of 580,000, with which to work. And they still need to account for the full 20 million fixations in the human lineage alone, while recognizing that zero new potential fixations have appeared in the ancient DNA pipeline for the last 7,000 years. Simply pulling on one anomalous string has caused the entire structure to systematically unravel. The whole system proved to be far more fragile than I had any reason to imagine when I first asked that fatal question: what is the average rate of evolution?

So if your minds weren’t blown before, The N/N_e Distinction and the Recalibration of the Human-Chimpanzee Divergence should suffice to do the trick.

Kimura’s (1968) derivation of the neutral substitution rate k = μ rests on the cancellation of population size N between mutation supply (2Nμ) and fixation probability (1/2N). This cancellation is invalid. The mutation supply term uses census N (every individual can mutate), while the fixation probability is governed by effective population size Ne (drift operates on Ne, not N). The corrected substitution rate is k = μ × (N/Ne). Using empirically derived Ne values—human Ne = 3,300 from ancient DNA drift variance (Day & Athos 2026a) and chimpanzee Ne = 33,000 from geographic drift variance across subspecies—we recalibrate the human-chimpanzee divergence date. The consensus molecular clock estimate of 6–7 Mya collapses to 200–580 kya, with the most plausible demographic parameters yielding 200–360 kya. Both Ne estimates are independent of k = μ and independent of the molecular clock. The recalibrated divergence date increases the MITTENS fixation shortfall from ~130,000× to 4–8 million×, rendering the standard model of human-chimpanzee divergence via natural selection mathematically impossible by an additional two orders of magnitude.

There are a number of fascinating implications here, of course. But in the short term, what this immediately demonstrates is that all the heroic efforts of the evolutionary enthusiasts to somehow defend the mathematical possibility of producing 20 million fixations in 6.5 million years were utterly in vain. Because, depending upon how generous you’re feeling, MITTENS just became from 10x to 45x more impossible.

Here is the correct equation to calculate the amount of time for evolution from the initial divergence for any two lineages.

t = D / {μ × [(N_A/N_eA) + (N_B/N_eB)]}

Where:

  • D = observed pairwise sequence divergence
  • μ = per-generation mutation rate (from pedigree data)
  • N_A= census population size of lineage A
  • N_B = census population size of lineage B
  • N_eA = effective population sizes of lineage A (from historical census demographics)
  • N_eB = effective population sizes of lineage B (from historical census demographics)

Which, by the way, finally gives us the answer to the question that I asked at the very start: what is the rate of evolution?

R = μ(N/N_e) / g

This is the number of fixations per site per year. It is the rate of evolution for any lineage from a specific divergence, given the pedigree mutation rate, the census-to-effective population size ratio estimated from historical census demographics, and the generation time in years.

And yes, that means exactly what you suspect it might.

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China Shuns US Debt

From BRICS News:

JUST IN: China instructs banks to reduce US Treasury holdings.

This isn’t a massive surprise. It’s obviously been in the works for some time; I even wrote about it three years ago. But the quiet reduction from $1.3 trillion to $680 billion has been gradual, while this public announcement may reflect a more aggressive policy of dumping the dollar.

It also suggests that BRICS will very soon unveil an alternative payment structure, not just for the BRICS nations, but for the world. Which, given the fragility of the current US-based payment processing systems, would be a very welcome alternative for many neutral parties.

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Veriphysics: The Treatise 009

X. Transition: The Present Void

The Enlightenment is dead. Its premises have been tested and found wanting. Its political philosophy produced tyranny in the name of freedom, oligarchy in the name of democracy, censorship in the name of liberty. Its economics produced models that do not describe reality and policies that impoverish those they claimed to enrich. Its science produced institutions incapable of correcting their own errors and a theory of life that cannot survive contact with basic arithmetic. Its epistemology consumed itself, beginning with the enthronement of reason and ending with reason’s abdication.

And yet nothing has taken its place.

The modern educated person, the heir of the Enlightenment, the product of its institutions, and speaker of its language, now finds himself in an uncomfortable position. He cannot return to the pre-Enlightenment world; too much has changed, too much has been learned, too many of the old certainties have been genuinely superseded. But he cannot remain in the Enlightenment world either, for that world has been exposed as built on sand. He is suspended between a past he cannot recover and a present he cannot believe.

This suspension is not sustainable. Human beings require coherent frameworks for understanding reality, grounding morality, and orienting action. The borrowed capital of Christendom, upon which the Enlightenment drew even as it denied the debt, has been spent. The contradictions can no longer be papered over. Something must replace what has failed.

But what will replace it. What can replace it.?

The pre-Enlightenment philosophical tradition was Aristotelian, Scholastic, and Christian, avoided the pathologies that have undone modernity. It understood reason as participatory rather than autonomous, as a faculty for apprehending truth rather than constructing it. It grounded rights in the nature of things rather than in social contracts that no one signed. It integrated fact and value, knowledge and goodness, in a unified vision of reality ordered toward transcendent ends. It did not make the errors that the Enlightenment made, and therefore it did not create the series of self-inflicted catastrophes that the Enlightenment has inevitably caused the men of the West to suffer.

But the classical tradition, as it existed before the Enlightenment, is not sufficient for the present need. It was formulated to address questions that were live in the thirteenth century; since then it has ossified and has not been adequately developed to address the questions that challenge Man today. It failed to seriously resist the rise of the Enlightenment, in part due to the false promises of the Enlightenment, in part because it had grown rigid, defensive, and backward-looking, more concerned with preserving past formulations than with pursuing present truth. A tradition that neglects to evolve to meet present and future challenges is a tradition that is unlikely to endure.

What is needed is neither a return to the pre-modern tradition or modern philosophies, but something new: a philosophical framework that recovers the structure and coherence of traditional thought while incorporating what has been genuinely learned in recent centuries, an intellectual structure that avoids the errors of the Enlightenment without ignoring the challenges it raised, a conceptual architecture that not only offers a critique of what has failed but provides a positive vision for what actually works to build successful societies and a healthy, thriving civilization.

The outline of this framework begins to take shape in what follows in Part Two: The Defeat of the Western Philosophical Tradition.

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Pure Satanism

The Russians are now openly and publicly calling out the wicked elite that presently rule over Christendom:

The Epstein case has revealed the real face of the Western elites who are seeking to rule the entire world, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said.

“This topic has exposed the real face of what is called the collective West and the deep state, or rather, an alliance that controls the entire West and is seeking to rule the whole world,” he said in an interview with Itogi Nedely weekly news roundup on the NTV television channel.

“It is unnecessary to explain to any normal person that this is pure Satanism and is beyond human comprehension,” he added.

Epstein is just the tip of the iceberg. It’s a glimpse of the material evil that itself is just a small portion of the much-larger spiritual war.

And remember, the Russians have all the records of the WWII-era death camps. They have all the evidence that they’ve gathered in the parts of Ukraine that have been freed from Clown World rule. Given the way in which their rhetoric is getting stronger in line with the prospects of military victory, they obviously know a lot more than they are now saying publicly or showing the world.

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The Significance of (d) and (k)

A doctor who has been following the Probability Zero project ran the numbers on the Selective Turnover Coefficient (d) and the mutation fixation rate (k) across six countries from 1950 to 2023, tracking both values against the demographic transition. The results are presented in the chart above, and they are considerably more devastating to the standard evolutionary model than even I anticipated. My apologies to those on mobile phones; it was necessary to keep the chart at 1024-pixel width to make it legible.

Before walking through the charts, a brief reminder of what d and k are. The Selective Turnover Coefficient (d) measures the fraction of the gene pool that is actually replaced each generation. In a theoretical population with discrete, non-overlapping generations—the kind that exists in the Kimura model, biology textbooks, lab bacteria, and nowhere else—d equals 1.0, meaning every individual in the population is replaced by its offspring every generation. In reality, grandparents, parents, and children coexist simultaneously. The gene pool doesn’t turn over all at once; it turns over gradually, with old cohorts persisting alongside new ones. This persistence dilutes the rate at which new alleles can change frequency. The fixation rate k is the rate at which new mutations actually become fixed in the population, expressed as a multiple of the per-individual mutation rate μ. Kimura’s famous invariance equation was that k = μ—that the neutral substitution rate equals the mutation rate, regardless of population size. This identity is the foundation of the molecular clock. As we have demonstrated in multiple papers, this identity is a special case that holds only under idealized conditions that no sexually reproducing species satisfies, including humanity.

Now, to explain the following charts he provided. The top row shows the collapse of d over the past seventy-three years. The upper-left panel tracks d by country. Every country shows the same pattern: d falls monotonically as fertility drops and survival to reproductive age climbs. South Korea and China show the most dramatic collapse, from d ≈ 0.33 in 1950 (when TFR was 5.5) to d ≈ 0.12 in 2023 (TFR 0.9). France and the Netherlands, which entered the demographic transition earlier, started lower and have plateaued around d ≈ 0.09. Japan and Italy sit between, at d ≈ 0.08. The upper-middle panel pools the data by transition type—early, late, and extreme low fertility—and shows the convergence: all three categories are heading toward the same floor. The upper-right panel plots d directly against Total Fertility Rate and reveals a nearly linear relationship (r = 0.942). Fertility drives d. When women stop having children, the gene pool stops turning over. It is that simple.

The second row shows what happens to k as d collapses. The middle-left panel tracks k by country, with the dashed line at k = μ marking Kimura’s prediction. Not a single country, in any year, reaches k = μ. Every data point sits below the line, and the distance from the line has been increasing as k climbs toward a ceiling of approximately 0.5μ. This is the overlap effect: when generations overlap extensively, new mutations entering the population are diluted by the persistence of old allele frequencies, and k converges toward half the mutation rate rather than the full mutation rate. The middle-center panel pools k by transition type and shows all three categories converging on approximately 0.5μ by 2023. The middle-right panel plots k against TFR (r = −0.949): as fertility falls, k rises toward 0.5μ—but never reaches μ. The higher k seems counterintuitive at first, but it reflects the fact that with less turnover, drift rather than selection dominates, and the fixation of neutral mutations approaches its overlap-corrected maximum. The mutations are fixing, but selection is not driving them.

The third row is the knockout punch. The large scatter plot on the left shows d plotted against k across all countries and time points. The Pearson correlation is r = −0.991 with R² = 0.981, p < 0.001. This is not a rough trend or a suggestive pattern. This is a near-perfect linear relationship: d = −2.242k + 1.229. As demographic turnover collapses, fixation rates converge on the overlap limit with mechanical precision. The residual plot on the right confirms that the relationship is genuinely linear—no systematic curvature, no outliers, no hidden nonlinearity. The data points fall on the line like they were placed there by a draftsman.

The bottom panel normalizes everything to 1950 baselines and shows the parallel evolution of d and k across all three transition types. By 2023, d has fallen to roughly 35–45% of its 1950 value in every category. The bars make the asymmetry vivid: d collapses while k barely moves, because k was already near its overlap limit in 1950. Having stopped adapting around 1,000 BC and filtering around 1900 AD, the human genome was already struggling to even drift in 1950. By 2023, genetic drift has essentially stopped.

Now what does this mean for the application of Kimura’s fixation model to humanity?

It means that the identity k = μ—the foundation of the molecular clock, the basis for every divergence date in the standard model—has never applied to human populations in the modern era, and while it applies with increasing accuracy the further back you go, it never actually reaches k = μ even under pre-agricultural conditions, since d never reaches 1.0 for any human population. The data show that k in humans has been approximately 0.5μ or less throughout the entire modern period for which we have reliable demographic data, and was substantially lower than μ even in high-fertility populations. Kimura’s cancellation requires discrete generations with complete turnover. Humans have never had that. So the closer you look at real human demography, the worse the molecular clock performs.

But the implications extend beyond the molecular clock. The collapse of d is not merely a correction factor for dating algorithms. It is a quantitative measurement of the end of natural selection in industrialized populations. A Selective Turnover Coefficient of 0.08 means that only 8% of the gene pool is replaced per generation. A beneficial allele with a selection coefficient of s = 0.01—which would be considered strong selection by population genetics standards—would change frequency by Δp ≈ d × s × p(1−p). At d = 0.08 and initial frequency p = 0.01, that works out to a frequency change of approximately 0.000008 per generation. At that rate, fixation would require on the order of a million years—roughly two hundred times longer than the entire history of anatomically modern Homo sapiens.

The response of the demographic transition to fertility is not a surprise. Every demographer knows that TFR has collapsed across the industrialized world. What these charts show is the genetic consequence of that collapse, quantified with mathematical precision. The gene pool is freezing. Selection cannot operate when the population does not turn over. And the population is not turning over. This is not a prediction, an abstract formula, a theoretical projection, or a philosophical argument. It is six countries, four time points, two independent variables, and a correlation of −0.991. The human genome is frozen, and the molecular clock—which assumed it was running at a constant rate—was never accurately calibrated for the organism it was applied to.

Probability Zero and The Frozen Gene, taken together, are far more than just the comprehensive refutation of Charles Darwin, evolution by natural selection, and the Modern Synthesis. They are also the discovery and explication of one of the greatest threats facing humanity in the 21st and 22nd centuries.

This is the GenEx thesis, published in TFG as Generational Extension and the Selective Turnover Coefficient Across Historical Epochs, now confirmed with hard numbers across the industrialized world. The 35-fold decline in d from the Neolithic to the present that we calculated theoretically from Coale-Demeny life tables is now visible in real demographic data from six countries. Selection isn’t just weakening — it’s approaching zero, and the data show it happening in real time across every population that has undergone the demographic transition.

The human genome isn’t just failing to improve. It’s accumulating damage that it can no longer repair through the only mechanism available to it. Humanity is not on the verge of becoming technological demigods, but rather, post-technological entropic degenerates.

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A Departure at Dawn

The sun had not yet cleared the Misty Mountains when Gwaihir the Windlord stepped to the edge of the terrace and opened his wings.

It was, by any measure, an extraordinary sight. The Great Eagles of the Misty Mountains were the noblest of all flying creatures in Middle-earth, descended from Thorondor who had scarred the face of Morgoth himself in the Elder Days, and Gwaihir was the greatest of his line. With his wings outstretched, he was thirty fathoms from wingtip to wingtip, his plumage a deep tawny gold shading to white at the breast, his eyes like polished amber set in a head the size of a horse. When he spread his wings on the terrace of Rivendell, the displaced air bent the grass flat in a circle forty feet across and set the pennants on Elrond’s house snapping like whips.

He stood there for a moment in the grey predawn light, his talons gripping the stone at the terrace’s edge, and looked out over the valley of Imladris. Below him the Bruinen ran silver and dark between its wooded banks, and the waterfalls caught the first thin light and held it in long threads of white. The air smelled of pine and cold water and the faintest trace of the kitchens, where someone was already baking bread, because in Rivendell someone was always already baking bread.

On his left talon, buckled with straps of pale leather so fine they might have been spun from spider-silk, hung a pouch no larger than a man’s fist. It was beautiful work, Elvish leathercraft at its most meticulous, with every stitch placed with the precision of a jeweler, and it contained an object of such malice that even Gwaihir, whose mind was as far from the concerns of rings and power as a mind could be, felt a faint unease in the talon that held it. A warmth that had nothing to do with temperature. A weight that had nothing to do with mass.

He ignored it. He was a creature of air, not earth. It was a thing of great earthly power, but whatever it was, it could not touch him.

Behind him, on the terrace, stood Gandalf, leaning on his staff, and Elrond, and the Hobbit — the small one who had offered to carry the thing himself, and who watched now with an expression that Gwaihir, had he been inclined to read the faces of Halflings, might have identified as something between relief and a lingering, wistful sense of having been made unnecessary. Beside the Hobbit stood another, stouter Hobbit who was holding a packed breakfast and looking up at Gwaihir with the frank, uncomplicated awe of someone who has never in his life pretended to be unimpressed by anything.

Gandalf raised his staff. “Fly well, Windlord. Fly high and fly true!”

Gwaihir turned his great head and regarded the wizard with one amber eye. He did not speak — not here, not in the lesser tongues of the earthbound — but he dipped his beak once, a gesture of acknowledgment between peers, and then he stepped off the edge.

For one held breath he fell and dropped like a stone past the terrace’s edge, past the carved balustrades and the trailing ivy, down toward the rushing water far below. Then his wings caught the air and he rose. The downdraft of his ascent shook the trees on both banks of the Bruinen and sent a flock of starlings scattering like thrown seeds. He climbed in a great spiral, each turn carrying him higher, and the morning light found him as he broke above the tree line and caught the gold of his plumage and set it ablaze, so that for a moment he burned against the pale sky like a second dawn, like a fragment of the sun itself given wings and will and sent forth over the world.

It was a sight that even the ancient Elrond, who watched the great eagle’s departure from the balcony of his private residence, found magnificent.

Gwaihir climbed. The valley of Rivendell shrank beneath him. The house of Elrond became a cluster of rooftops among the trees, the Bruinen but a silver thread, the mountains a rumpled cloth of green and grey. The air thinned and cooled and he welcomed it, breathing deep of the upper atmosphere where the wind ran clean and fast and tasted of nothing but sky. He turned south and east, toward the distant shadow on the horizon that was, even from this height, even in the early light, unmistakable. Mordor.

He was not alone.

From the high eyries of the Misty Mountains, where the peaks rose above the snow line into the uttermost airs, two more shapes detached themselves and rose. Landroval, Gwaihir’s brother, and Meneldor the swift. Meneldor was younger and smaller than the others, but, as his name suggested, swift, perhaps faster in flight than any eagle living. They had been waiting since before dawn, perched on the bare rock above the clouds, and now they fell into formation on either side of Gwaihir in a wide arrowhead, three golden shapes climbing in unison toward the roof of the sky.

This was Gandalf’s addition to the plan. Not one eagle but three — an escort, a guard of honor, a redundancy. If one were forced to turn aside, another could take the pouch. If the Nazgûl came, then two could fight them while the Windlord flew on. It was, Gandalf had argued, simple prudence. Gwaihir had accepted this reasoning with the tolerant patience of a creature who did not believe he required any assistance but understood that wizards always needed to feel useful.

The three eagles rose through a thin layer of cloud and emerged above it into a world of blinding white and depthless blue, and they turned their faces toward the East, and they rose higher into the sky.

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