Tag: science

Darwin and the Black Death

As it happens, Genghis Khan is not the only historical proof of the Mathematical Impossibility of The Theory of Evolution by Natural Selection. Another very effective one is the Black Death, which left an observable mark on the genes of the descendants of those Europeans who survived it.

The CCR5-delta32 mutation is a 32-base-pair deletion in the CCR5 gene that, among other effects, confers significant resistance to HIV infection. This mutation is found almost exclusively in European populations, where it currently exists in approximately 10% of the population. Its geographic distribution and the nature of the selective pressure it confers have led scientific researchers to propose that it was positively selected during the Black Death pandemic of 1347-1351.

For our purposes, the precise historical cause of the mutation’s selection is less important than the observed rate of its historical propagation. What we know with certainty is that this mutation currently exists at approximately 10% frequency in European populations after roughly 27-34 generations, depending on the assumed generation length and the precise date of the selective event. Even using the most generous assumptions, using a starting frequency higher than a single individual, and permitting selection pressure from multiple historical events, the mutation remains far from fixation after nearly 700 years.

This means that a mutation providing resistance to a disease that killed between 30% and 60% of the European population, representing one of the strongest selective pressures in recorded human history, has only reached 10% frequency after roughly 30 generations. A linear extrapolation, which would be generous, as the rate of spread typically slows as a mutation approaches fixation due to diminishing selective advantage, shows that a Europe-wide fixation would require approximately 300 generations, or roughly 6,000-7,500 years.

This represents a fixation rate of approximately one mutation per 300 generations under extremely strong selective pressure within a geographically concentrated population. Compare this to the bacterial rate of one fixation per 1,600 generations. The human rate under optimal conditions is roughly five times faster than the bacterial rate, but only within a single continental population facing existential selective pressure. On a species-wide basis, accounting for the global distribution of humans and the dilution effect of populations not subject to the same selective pressure, the effective fixation rate would be considerably slower. Even if we grant the most favorable possible scenario to the Neo-Darwinians and assume:

  1. The highest estimate of dead Europeans at 50 million.
  2. The strongest selection pressure at 60 percent of the European population dead.
  3. The highest European percentage of the smallest global population, at 35.7 percent of the total human population of 350 million.
  4. The application of the same selective pressure on the non-European populations not exposed to the Black Death.

The shift from a European perspective to a global one that accounts for the entire human race increases the number of generations for fixation required to 840 generations and the time required to 16,800 years. Just dropping the estimated number of dead to the lower end of the range at 25 million and increasing the estimated global population to 400 million would push the generations required up to 1,440, and we still haven’t begun to account for the fact that the natural selection pressure would not be applicable to more than three-quarters of the total population.

The CCR5-delta32 example thus provides our first empirical data point: even under the strongest selective pressure ever observed in human history, mutations propagate through human populations at rates slower, not faster, than bacterial fixation in laboratory conditions.

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A Historic Honor

A legendary physicist disagrees with the eminent literary authority Jordan S. Carroll’s conclusions concerning whether I will be remembered, and for what I will be remembered.

Although you will be remembered for your work demonstrating MITTENS, I think you will be remembered even more for your IGM theory, your alternative to Darwin’s theory. I’ve renamed your IGM theory the GRAY DAY THEORY, which emphasizes your contribution, and which I think makes the theory memorable. “Gray” is Asa Gray, the 19th century Harvard botanist.

I have to admit, it’s a rather clever name for the theory, which dates back to a 2012 discussion of evolution in which I answered the Neo-Darwinian advocate’s perfectly reasonable question:

If it is a fact that new species can come into existence while others go extinct, by what mechanism other than evolution through natural selection are these species proposed to arise, and does that proposed mechanism explain more of the observed evidence than TeNS?

Intelligent Genetic Manipulation is the mechanism that I propose.  And yes, I believe that explains more of the observed evidence than TENS, since IGM is a scientific proposition, a readily observed action, and a successful predictive model, whereas TENS is a philosophical proposition, an unobserved process, and an unsuccessful predictive model.

Now, this does not provide any basis for assuming the existence of a Creator God, or even declaring that TENS did not actually take place.  The logical fact of the matter is that even if TENS can be conclusively demonstrated to have taken place in various species, which has not happened despite more than 150 years of trying, that doesn’t necessarily mean the process was sufficient to produce Man.  If one contemplates the biological differences between ape and man, the vast leap in cognitive capacity taking place in a relatively small sum of generational cycles from the proposed common ancestor in comparison with the timelines supposedly required for other, less complicated evolutionary changes, the logic suggests – though it does not prove – that some degree of purposeful genetic manipulation has likely taken place at various points in the origin of the species and the development of homo sapiens sapiens.

I’m not talking about Intelligent Design, but rather intelligent editing.

And yes, IGM, or rather, the Gray Day Theory of Evolution by Intelligent Genetic Manipulation, explains more of the observed evidence than the Neo-Darwinian Theory of Evolution by Natural Selection, considerably more.

Trust me, there is a lot more where that came from. Considerably more. But for now, that’s all I’m going to share. What a glorious Christmas present, though, as I certainly never dreamed that one day, there would be a theory of evolution named after me. It’s truly an honor that is only underlined by its intrinsic humor.

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The Count to Zero

An honest review of childhood vaccinations will reduce the US vaccination schedule to zero. But the count to zero has to begin somewhere, and less is observably better than more, so this presidential order is a positive step forward:

In January 2025, the United States recommended vaccinating all children for 18 diseases, including COVID-19, making our country a high outlier in the number of vaccinations recommended for all children. Peer, developed countries recommend fewer childhood vaccinations — Denmark recommends vaccinations for just 10 diseases with serious morbidity or mortality risks; Japan recommends vaccinations for 14 diseases; and Germany recommends vaccinations for 15 diseases. Other current United States childhood vaccine recommendations also depart from policies in the majority of developed countries. Study is warranted to ensure that Americans are receiving the best, scientifically-supported medical advice in the world.

I hereby direct the Secretary of Health and Human Services and the Director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to review best practices from peer, developed countries for core childhood vaccination recommendations — vaccines recommended for all children — and the scientific evidence that informs those best practices, and, if they determine that those best practices are superior to current domestic recommendations, update the United States core childhood vaccine schedule to align with such scientific evidence and best practices from peer, developed countries while preserving access to vaccines currently available to Americans.

The corrupt scientists who are the shock troops of the pharmaceutical industry will fight this tooth and nail, of course. But they will lose, sooner or later, because every single person my age has personally witnessed the increasing amount of harm that the ever-growing number of vaccines given to children have unnecessarily wreaked upon the generations that followed us.

Vaccines are flat-out evil. They are definitely the root cause of “crib death”, SIDS, and autism. I strongly suspect they are also the cause of all the food allergies, gluten problems, and intestinal disorders that have been on the increase over the last few decades. They’re not even remotely necessary and they kill far more children than they save. All of the stories about how they “combat disease” are completely false and have been conclusively proven to be false. They are far more harmful than the diseases they are supposed to prevent.

The optimal way to protect Western societies from infectious disease is to a) invest in sewage and waste disposal systems, b) protect the clean water supply, c) end mass immigration and d) restrict travel from countries that don’t do (a) and (b). That will actually work, because that’s what worked in the early 20th century.

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A Civilizational Collapse Model

There is an interesting link suggested between the observed AI model collapse and the apparent link between urban society and the collapse of human fertility.

The way neural networks function is that they examine real-world data and then create an average of that data to output. The AI output data resembles real-world data (image generation is an excellent example), but valuable minority data is lost. If model 1 trains on 60% black cats and 40% orange cats, then the output for “cat” is likely to yield closer to 75% black cats and 25% orange cats. If model 2 trains on the output of model 1, and model 3 trains on the output of model 2… then by the time you get to the 5th iteration, there are no more orange cats… and the cats themselves quickly become malformed Chronenburg monstrosities.

Nature published the original associated article in 2024, and follow-up studies have isolated similar issues. Model collapse appears to be a present danger in data sets saturated with AI-generated content4. Training on AI-generated data causes models to hallucinate, become delusional, and deviate from reality to the point where they’re no longer useful: i.e., Model Collapse…

The proposed thesis is that neural-network systems, which include AI models, human minds, larger human cultures, and our individual furry little friends, all train on available data. When a child stubs his wee little toe on an errant stone and starts screaming as if he’d caught himself on fire, that’s data he just received and which will be added to his model of reality. The same goes for climbing a tree, playing a video game, watching a YouTube video, sitting in a chair, eating that yucky green salad, etc. The child’s mind (or rather, subsections of his brain) are neural networks that behave similarly to AI neural networks.

The citation is to an article discussing how AI systems are NOT general purpose, and how they more closely resemble individual regions of a brain, not a brain.

People use new data as training data to model the outside world, particularly when we are children. In the same way that AI models become delusional and hallucinate when too much AI-generated data is in the training dataset, humans also become delusional when too much human-generated data is in their training dataset.

This is why milennial midwits can’t understand reality unless you figure out a way to reference Harry Potter when trying to make a point.

What qualifies as “intake data” for humans is nebulous and consists of basically everything. Thus, analyzing the human experience from an external perspective is difficult. However, we can make some broad-stroke statements about human information intake. When a person watches the Olympics, they’re seeing real people interacting with real-world physics. When a person watches a cartoon, they’re seeing artificial people interacting with unrealistic and inaccurate physics. When a human climbs a tree, they’re absorbing real information about gravity, human fragility, and physical strength. When a human plays a high-realism video game, they’re absorbing information artificially produced by other humans to simulate some aspects of the real physical world. When a human watches a cute anime girl driving tanks around, that human is absorbing wholly artificial information created by other humans.

If there is any truth to the hypothesis, this will have profound implications for what passes for human progress as well as the very concept of modernism. Because it’s already entirely clear that Clown World is collapsing and neither modernism nor postmodernism have anything viable to offer humanity a rational path forward.

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Atheism is Autistic Midwittery

It’s always amusing to see atheists make their rhetorical argumentum ad mentum by appealing to the fact that atheists have higher average intelligence than religious believers. This is where the coinage of the term “midwit” has been useful, because it allows people to easily through the irrelevance of this appeal to a nonexistent, and frankly ludicrious, asserted authority, such as this particular denizen of /pol/.

People with low IQ have PROFOUNDLY STRONG common sense because their brain can’t process complex and fancy ways of thinking. People with high IQs are smart enough to understand complex ideas but see thru the athiest psyop and recognize it as the most midwit position possible. Atheism is literally an entire mindset revolving around DESPERATELY needing people to think you are smart because you ARE smarter than the average but nothing too much above it, creating the world inferiority complex and need to pretend to be smart. Whereas the genius, loves looking stupid and thinks it’s funny when a midwit thinks they’re smarter than them for holding the mindset given to them by MSNBC.

He’s responding to the atheists who are confused by the report that most of the most intelligent people in the world not only believe in God, but are self-professed Christians. Which, of course, is because it is impossible for the average midwit to balance the following facts, all of which are true.

  • Atheists have a higher average intelligence than religious believers.
  • Africans have a lower average intelligence than Europeans or Asians.
  • The 10 countries with the highest percentage of self-identified Christians are in Africa.
  • The man with the highest reported IQ declares himself to be a Christian.
  • PZ Myers was the only New Atheist with an IQ high enough to even get into Mensa.
  • There are 11.4x more 2D+ IQ Christians than atheists.

Interestingly enough, science officially supports my hypothesis that atheism is merely one aspect of autism, as both published studies of which I am aware have failed to falsify the link between a personal profession of atheism and scoring significantly higher on various measures of “Asperger’s” and autism.

Combined with what we know about atheists having slightly higher average intelligence but being underrepresented among the high-IQ population, we can logically conclude that atheism is little more than a common characteristic of autistic midwits.

Speaking of atheists, I didn’t realize that the relative silence of PZ Myers was the result of him being banished by the atheist organizations around the world about ten years ago due to his extremist, violent rhetoric. I never paid much attention to him, and just assumed that he was dead or something.

Atheist Ireland promotes atheism, reason and ethical secularism. Our policies are based on a respect for human rights, upon which we can build a just society based on natural ethical values. We meet with and lobby the Irish government, Irish parliamentary meetings, the media, and international human rights regulatory bodies such as the UN Human Rights Committee, the Council of Europe, and the OSCE. We are proud to work nationally with other human rights and social justice groups, and globally with colleagues in Atheist Alliance International, and the International Campaign Against Blasphemy Laws.

Our shared work in all of these areas, at national and international level, is important for the development of an ethical secular world. This work is undermined by rhetoric that associates atheist and secular advocacy with hateful, violent and defamatory speech. Such rhetoric is also unjust to the individual people who it targets.

Atheist Ireland has previously given PZ Myers public platforms in Ireland, both at the World Atheist Convention in 2011, and at our international conference in 2013 on Empowering Women Through Secularism. We now apologise for doing this. We believe his behaviour is unjust to individuals, increases prejudice against atheists, and is harmful to the promotion of an ethical society based on empathy, fairness, justice and integrity.

I have to admit, I find this excommunication from atheism to be both ironic and extremely amusing in light of PZ’s historical attempts, however improbable they might have been, to place himself in a superior moral and ethical position to religious believers. And remember, of all the New Atheists, he was the smart one!

We really need to consider doing a leatherbound edition of THE IRRATIONAL ATHEIST with a retrospective chapter chronicling the decline and fall of the New Atheists.

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Genetic Aberrations

There is more evidence for aliens altering human DNA than there is for evolution by natural selection doing so. Which makes sense, since there is a possibility, however remote, that aliens have altered human DNA, and there is no possibility that evolution by natural selection took place.

An outlandish study asserts that aliens might have abducted us and inserted genes into human DNA, with the fallout affecting potentially millions of people.

“Humanity may be undergoing genetic transformation,” lead researcher Dr. Max Rempel, the founder and CEO of the DNA Resonance Research Foundation, told the Daily Mail of the study, which has yet to be peer-reviewed.

Rempel came to this far-fetched-seeming conclusion by analyzing DNA from both regular people and those who have claimed to have been abducted by aliens. This comes following a spike in UFO sightings over the last year, making many fear that we are on the verge of some not-so-friendly close encounters.

The scientist specifically analyzed 581 complete families from the 1,000 Genomes Project, discovering ‘large sequences’ of DNA in 11 families that didn’t appear to correspond to either family.

These genetic aberrations entailed a bundle of 348 non-parental genetic variants. As the subjects were born before 1990, this ruled out human gene-editing technologies like CRISPR, which only emerged in 2013.

It’s fascinating to see how quickly science is moving on from the theory of evolution by natural selection. Within 20 years, I expect scientists will be blithely asserting that scientists never really believed in evolution and that natural selection was never a relevant scientific concept.

It’s always astonishing to me how quickly the astonishingly outlandish ideas of the iconoclast become the obvious things that everyone always knew.

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The Foundation of Sand

Both Darwinism and Neo-Darwinian theory are dead, even if the scientists are still reluctant to openly admit it. But it’s a death that has been in the making for at least the last 30 years:

Richard Milton’s Shattering the Myths of Darwinism arrived in 1992 like a stone through the stained glass window of scientific orthodoxy. Here was a science journalist, not a creationist or religious fundamentalist, methodically documenting how the central theory of modern biology had become less a scientific framework than a kind of secular religion, complete with its own dogmas, heresies, and inquisitions. Milton discovered what anyone who dares to look closely at Darwin’s theory finds: that “survival of the fittest” is actually a meaningless tautology—those who survive are defined as fit because they survived—and that the entire edifice of evolutionary theory rests not on empirical evidence but on a series of circular arguments, unexamined assumptions, and what W.R. Thompson called “fragile towers of hypothesis on hypothesis.” The book wasn’t just another critique of evolution; it was an exposé of how science itself had been corrupted, transformed from a method of inquiry into an instrument of ideological enforcement.

The depth of Milton’s investigation reveals something far more troubling than mere scientific error. When he traces how radiometric dating actually works—or doesn’t—he uncovers a shell game where rocks are dated by the fossils they contain while fossils are dated by the rocks they’re found in, with neither discipline possessing any independent method of verification. When he examines the probability calculations for even a single protein forming by chance (1 in 10^65), he finds odds so astronomical that they’re equivalent to winning the lottery every week for a thousand years with the same numbers. When he looks for the transitional fossils that Darwin himself said must exist in countless numbers for his theory to be true, he finds instead what paleontologists call “the trade secret of paleontology”—they simply don’t exist. Every major group appears suddenly in the fossil record, fully formed, remains unchanged, then disappears without transforming into anything else. The Cambrian explosion alone, where nearly all animal phyla appeared simultaneously without precursors, should have ended the debate, but instead it’s been explained away through increasingly creative interpretations that preserve the theory at the expense of the evidence.

What Milton exposes, and what Liam Scheff so brilliantly articulated before his untimely death, is that Darwinism was never really a scientific theory at all—it was an anti-religion, born from Victorian intellectuals’ desperate need to escape the suffocating grip of church authority. As Scheff puts it, the entire project was about destroying the Christian “Yahweh-driven” model, replacing one kind of god with another they called “Nature,” which somehow “selects” the “fit” to “survive” through processes no one can actually define or measure. This ideological motivation explains why Darwinism survived despite its failures: it served a cultural and political purpose that had nothing to do with understanding how life actually works. The theory gave us eugenics and forced sterilizations—all conducted as medical and scientific projects in the name of helping the “fit” survive. When science becomes dogma, when questioning is forbidden, when careers are destroyed for publishing contradictory evidence, we’re no longer doing science; we’re enforcing a state religion. Milton documents case after case of scientific censorship, from Warwick Collins being blacklisted for questioning sexual selection to Forrest Mims losing his Scientific American column simply for admitting he didn’t believe in Darwinism.

The implications stretch far beyond academic debates about fossils and dating methods. Milton’s work, alongside voices like Stephen Meyer and Michael Behe, reveals that the entire materialist worldview of the twentieth century rests on a foundation of sand.

It was obvious from the time of the 1967 symposium held by the Wistar Institute that evolution was not a real science. Evolution has been effectively dead since Mendel, it’s just that we didn’t have the genetic science to comprehensively diprove it until quite recently.

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The Schools Aren’t Magic

Immigrants are proving literally uneducable(PDF) by the schools in the countries they have invaded:

In spite of the many criticisms to which PISA can and should be legitimately subjected, it is difficult to deny that this large and highly successful OECD project is a blessing for research in Comparative Education, as it provides strictly comparable data on inputs, processes and results for most educational systems in the world. The outcomes of analyzing these enormous data sets are rather disappointing for those who had expected from it quick and solid adjudications among rival theories. First the PISA reports, and then the many reanalyses carried out on the PISA data, have found only very weak relations between students’ outcomes and characteristics of educational systems which are usually thought of
paramount importance (Carabaña, 2008).

It is from these tenuous links that multilevel regressions extract cross-country coefficients that, when statistically significant, are quite hard to interpret even by the best willed officials and scholars. I will here address the question of the effects that schools in the destination countries have on the academic results of immigrant’s children. Immigration countries have generally better schools and better results than countries of emigration. It is therefore easy to imagine how the desire to improve the schooling conditions of their children might be one important pulling factor for emigrants. However, against all expectations of subjects and observers, immigrant students score in the PISA tests rather like students in their countries of origin than like native students in the countries of destination.

In spite of the allegedly better schools of the host countries, the learning of the newcomers remains at the level of their origin countries not only in the first generation, but also in the second and even later on.

This is because the differences across humanity are not merely “skin-deep”. The contents of one’s character do matter, but so too do the contents of one’s culture, and even more importantly, one’s genes. An 80-IQ Somali immigrant who attends a good public school in Minneapolis is still going to be an 80-IQ Somali after being given a piece of paper that declares he is educated. So too will his son, and his grandson, and his great-grandson.

This should be entirely obvious, as the British colonists did not gradually turn into American Indians after four generations in the New World. And the descendants of the African slaves imported into the Americas are still observably distinct in appearance, behavior, and educational outcome after many generations of education in the USA.

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It’s Not Getting Easier

New complications and additional evolutionary epicycles like these don’t prove the correctness of MITTENS, nor is there any need for them whatsoever, but they do tend to support its mathematical conclusions because the more complicated and convoluted the path, the more obviously impossible the mainstream neo-Darwinian explanations become.

A 1 million-year-old human skull suggests that the origins of modern humans may reach back far deeper in time than previously thought and raises the possibility that Homo sapiens first emerged outside of Africa.

Leading scientists reached this conclusion after reanalysis of a skull known as Yunxian 2 discovered in China and previously classified as belonging to a member of the primitive human species Homo erectus.

After applying sophisticated reconstruction techniques to the skull, scientists believe that it may instead belong to a group called Homo longi (dragon man), closely linked to the elusive Denisovans who lived alongside our own ancestors.

This repositioning would make the fossil the closest on record to the split between modern humans and our closest relatives, the Neanderthals and Denisovans, and would radically revise understanding of the last 1m years of human evolution.

Prof Chris Stringer, an anthropologist and research leader in human evolution at the Natural History Museum in London, said: “This changes a lot of thinking because it suggests that by 1m years ago our ancestors had already split into distinct groups, pointing to a much earlier and more complex human evolutionary split than previously believed. It more or less doubles the time of origin of Homo sapiens.”

The skull was first unearthed in Hubei province in 1990, badly crushed and difficult to interpret. Based on its age and some broad-brush traits, it was assigned as Homo erectus, a group that is thought to have contained direct ancestors of modern humans.

The latest work used advanced CT imaging, high-resolution surface scanning and sophisticated digital techniques to produce a virtual reconstruction of the skull. The skull’s large, squat brain case and jutting lower jaw are reminiscent of Homo erectus.

But the overall shape and size of the brain case and teeth appear to place it much closer to Homo longi, a species that scientists have recently argued should incorporate the Denisovans.

This would push the split between our own ancestors, Neanderthals and Homo longi back by at least 400,000 years and, according to Springer, raises the possibility that our common ancestor – and potentially the first Homo sapiens – lived in western Asia rather than Africa.

Just to be clear, there is absolutely no chance – zero – that the theory of evolution by natural selection can explain the genetic gap observed between modern humans, modern chimpanzees, and the theoretical Last Known Chimp Human Common Ancestor.

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The Vaxx’s 5X Kill Effect

A massive Japanese study has revealed some very informative details about the short- and medium-term effects of the vaxx.

Dr. Murakami’s conclusion was blunt: “…the more doses you get, the sooner you’re likely to die, within a shorter period…”

According to Dr. Murakami, there was no noticeable spike in deaths among the unvaccinated. But among the vaccinated, a clear peak emerged—especially between 90 and 120 days after the shot. “A significant peak forms at three or four months,” he said, pointing to the vaccine as the likely cause. “It’s probably due to the vaccine’s influence, with adverse reactions occurring leading to death.”

The first graph compared death rates between vaccinated and unvaccinated groups.

Then came a graph that was impossible to ignore. It showed a clear pattern: the more vaccine doses a person received, the sooner they died after their final shot. The title translates to: “Number of days from final vaccination to death and number of deaths.” The note on the right reads: “As the number of vaccine doses increases, the peak in deaths appears sooner.”

Each line represents people grouped by the final dose they received before death. In other words, those counted under the third dose curve had received three shots and died before receiving a fourth. What stood out most was the steep green spike representing deaths after the third dose. Not only was it the highest, but it also appeared earlier, around 90 to 120 days. The trend held across the board: as the number of doses increased, the peak of death consistently moved closer to the time of the last injection.

Now, the good news is that it appears that the death rates for the vaxxed return to normal after a period of 10 months after their last shot. It’s also clear that those who only ever received a single shot are considerably better off than those who received more, as their death rates returned to normal within just two months.

How then to account for the continued rise in deaths from rare turbo cancers, strokes, and heart attacks? Well, the death rates are still observably much higher than normal even 16 months after the fifth or sixth shot, so presumably these deaths are largely accounted for among the heavily boosted.

But this is much better news than I’d expected at this point, although it must be cautioned that the Japanese public did not receive exactly the same mRNA therapies that other nations did, so there is likely to be at least a modest amount of variance from one country to another. The point is that risks appear to be decreasing rather than increasing over time with regards to reductions in life expectancy.

This doesn’t mean we’re entirely out of the woods yet, however, as what I always considered to be the more insidious angle, the fertility angle, is showing some signs that the suppressive effect of the vaxx is lingering much longer. We’ll look at those adverse effects another time.

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