Republicans are demographically finished. Again.
For decades, the Republicans have told their voters that they were going to clamp down on illegal immigration and address the legal immigration policies that have facilitated this takeover. They have made excuse after excuse for not fulfilling those promises and now that lack of action is turning Texas blue one district at a time.
It won’t stop with these districts. District 14 in Texas is to the south of district 22. It is currently 52{9576e478f725cceae1d2658658ad3e64422d2ca740094a2fb07c0611fe338f11} white and 25{9576e478f725cceae1d2658658ad3e64422d2ca740094a2fb07c0611fe338f11} Latino. Just as in other districts, Congressman Weber has seen no serious effort from Democrats since taking office. This will soon change.
Districts 22 and 23 will turn blue in 2020 and/or 2022. Districts 14, 27, and 10 will follow suit by 2026. After this, the dominoes will fall one by one.
What is truly stunning about this situation is that many of these same congressman, whose party is being replaced in Texas due solely to immigration, are actually voting for increased immigration. Congressmen Hurd, Olson, Flores, and Randy Weber all voted for HR 1044 – a bill to import almost unlimited amounts of H1B tech visa workers from India and Pakistan.
At the statewide level, it is possible for incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn to win reelection to a final term in 2020, but if a good Democratic candidate emerges it will be a toss-up. After that, Senator Cruz will have a tough road to get reelected in 2024. In the unlikely event that he is successful, he will be the last Republican Senator from Texas.
Now, the author is correct that Republicans should have shut down immigration into Texas and they fully merit being voted out of office on the basis of their failure to do so. However, his dire predictions are likely too negative, because as usual, they fail to account for the continued shift of white voters towards the Republican Party.
With the increased demographic changes, the Democratic Party is shifting ever-further leftward and becoming increasingly anti-white. This is driving whites into the Republican Party, and towards nationalism, at a rate that is at least potentially capable of making up for the adulteration of the overall electorate.
Of course, the fact that Republicans resist embracing their identity as the white party and insist ever more furiously – and ever less convincingly – on their cuckery and civic nationalism tends to disguise this second transformation, but it must nevertheless be accounted for if one is to make reasonable predictions about future elections.