Tag: science

The Inflation is Real

Karl Denninger observes that the government’s CPI numbers simply do not reflect the reality at the grocery store:

When I go to the grocery store the register tape — and my Quicken — says I’m spending a lot more money there. Not a couple of percent over the last 12 months, an obscene increase. Shelf prices are one thing, but actual paid prices are truth — and those involve discounts, coupons, BOGOs and similar. I, like most people, buy pretty much the same things to eat. Spending over the last 12 months is in fact up more than 30%, not 2%.

Car insurance is claimed to be up about 20% — and it is. That’s real, and everyone with a car has had to pay it. But the government also claims that health insurance has been down in price by roughly 30%. That’s nonsense, and we all know it, but there it is.

There are some who think the answer is “higher wages!” But its not; you can’t keep up any more than you can with a “roaring” stock market.

The simple reality is that you cannot have Congress emit eight percent, more or less, of the economy in newly emitted credit and not have prices go up by about 8% unless there is somewhere that absorbs it which you do not have to cover. For roughly two decades there was — the increase in global trade, most of which is settled in dollars, buffers that by temporarily capturing the money while goods are in transit.

Note however that a permanent change in trade doesn’t result in this remaining captured; it is the change in level of global trade that does that, and only while the change is taking place. We’ve offshored basically everything we can offshore at this point and thus the available increase has dwindled to essentially zero.

The problem is that during that 20 year period of time we “trained” Congress (and both political parties) that they can run 30% deficits and not have it show up as 8% inflation on a permanent basis. That’s flat-out false.

This in turn means that either we’re going to absorb about 8% inflation (no matter what the government claims), spending must come down by about 30% at the federal level and that is only to stabilize prices, not return them lower, or taxes must go up by about 40% which of course is another expense in the household and reduces disposable income. The latter is politically impossible.

How does this resolve?

Revolution and civil war cometh, if Peter Turchin’s cliodynamics are to be believed. A perfect storm is approaching for the United States, as all four structural drivers of societal instability are not only present, but appear to be at, or at least near, record historical levels.

Focus on what is important, focus on what is going to last. It’s not an accident that Castalia has shifted from ephemeral ebooks to leather books that are capable of lasting for centuries and have been assembling machinery for everything from sewing machines to leather bindings.

It’s going to be difficult. But our community is not only going to survive, it is going to thrive. Because unlike most, we have been repeatedly tested by adversity, and we are hard enough for the hard times.

DISCUSS ON SG

Pseudoscience and the Stink of Sulfur

In which it is claimed that reading alternative media instead of a healthy daily dose of narrative from the mainstream media is unhealthy for your heart:

According to a pilot study led by Manchester Metropolitan University, those who do not read legacy mainstream media and opt for alternative sources of information demonstrate unhealthy symptoms of physical and mental stress, which can lead to heart attacks.

The research study used so-called “sophisticated techniques” to monitor how people use media websites to measure their reactions to online information.

The researchers claimed people with a low ID have a flawed ‘threat’ response when presented with misleading information in a stressful situation, which they say brings on cardiac responses and erratic reading behavior.

The study also found that participants with low IDs also lacked self-confidence.

It also claimed that reading alternative media from “unverified” sources (i.e., not reading CNN, MSNBC, BBC, ect) could negatively affect a person’s health and well-being.

Ah yes, that fine and well-learned institution of Manchester Metropolitan University, whatever that is. Motto: Credimus omnia nobis erant.

As always, the inversion of the wicked is a reliable guide toward the truth. If you read the mainstream news, you were not only frightened and stressed out by the non-danger of Covid 19, but you probably got vaxxed and boosted, which inflicted material damage to your heart and increased your risk of strokes and turbo cancers.

The sum total of this is considerably worse than the “unhealthy symptoms of physical and mental stress” caused by reading sites like this which tend to make it clear over time how blitheringly credulous and easily led to their doom many of your acquaintances, friends, and family are.

A happy subject receiving her daily dose of Narrative.

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Vaxxed with Simian Virus

As more is learned about what the majority of the US and European populations were vaccinated with, the more nefarious the entire program looks. But merely the contamination with SV40 is very bad news.

SV40 is an abbreviation for simian vacuolating virus 40 or simian virus 40, a polyomavirus that is found in both monkeys and humans. Like other polyomaviruses, SV40 is a DNA virus that sometimes causes tumors in animals, but most often persists as a latent infection.

  • The mRNA vaccines are contaminated with SV40 and who knows what else. This should never have been allowed.
  • The vials exceeded the guidelines by “orders of magnitude.”
  • The discovery was confirmed by Health Canada.
  • The FDA and CDC are remaining silent. As far as anyone knows, they are no doing anything to assess the implications of the finding. I presume that they must believe that by not knowing the implications, they won’t have to disclose them so they are better protecting themselves against the public who might be very upset to learn they were guinea pigs. But that’s just an educated guess.
  • We don’t know what the implications are. Experts disagree. Some claim the contamination is meaningless. Others say it could be very serious.
  • The experts who claim there is no risk of harm have NO EVIDENCE to back up their claims. So that’s really comforting, isn’t it? Trust the experts :). Don’t worry.
  • The politicians seem happy to let YOU take the risk. And they aren’t giving you any informed consent about this issue. Nobody seems to be requesting the CDC warn anyone of the potential risk. Wouldn’t want to scare anyone, would we?
  • It was not the government regulators who first discovered the contamination. It was my friend Kevin McKernan. This should never have happened. The government should have discovered this at the very outset, 3 years ago.
  • It would have been discovered sooner by independent researchers, but people were threatened with arrest if they supplied vials for analysis. I know this first hand because I was warned I would be arrested and criminally charged if I participated in trying to analyze the vials.
  • We don’t fully know the ramifications of the contamination, but they probably aren’t good, and they could be devastating and irreversible. We don’t know yet because nobody has done the necessary studies.
  • The experts I consulted thought that it was likely to be very serious. But they couldn’t quantify “likely” but said only that it was “more likely than not.”
  • I volunteered for a full gene sequencing study, but they said they’d have to cut off my deltoid muscle, so I changed my mind.
  • The regulators apparently never QAed any of the vials. If they did, they would have found contaminations such as this before it was ever injected into a single human being. Or they did and simply chose to remain silent and look the other way. Health Canada said the sequence was disclosed to them, but that the drug company never pointed out that the SV40 promoter sequence was specifically identified in the gene sequence provided.
  • The SV40 promoter contamination has been known since April 9, 2023 when McKernan published a paper on it. But the CDC and FDA have remained silent on this issue. That’s comforting, isn’t it?
  • The mainstream media is silent as well.
  • And the mainstream medical community is silent as well. After all, they recommended you injected the stuff so they are not going to admit they fucked up, are they?
  • There is absolutely no doubt this is happening, so the silence of the formerly “trusted” health authorities is telling.
  • The longer they delay telling you they forgot to QA the vials, the bigger the hole they are going to dig for themselves.

So, it’s completely unknown what the long-term implications are going to be, because no one actually knows exactly what was in the vaxx, how many different types of vaxx there were, to whom the different types of vaxx were given, or what adverse effects will stem from the inclusion of SV40 and the other unknown substances.

DISCUSS ON SG

The Midwit Range

It’s interesting to observe that another of my neologisms has gradually spread into common usage. It’s always fascinating to see what previously unarticulated concepts are found to be useful by others, and which are not, because the only reason I create them is for my own private reference in the absence of any existing term. There doesn’t appear to be much rhyme or reason to it; I personally think the distinction between the three aspects of science is considerably more useful than identifying the Sigma behavioral pattern, for example.

I created the term midwit to explain the phenomenon I was observing of individuals who, while not stupid by any conventional intellectual measure, nevertheless behaved like angry, retarded chimpanzees whenever presented with any concept or abstract thought beyond their ability to follow. They also exhibited what struck me as the bizarre tendency to attempt to lecture those who were not only their intellectual superiors, but also those whose knowledge, credentials, and experience considerably exceeded their own on the matter at hand.

As the midwit is more intelligent than the norm, albeit not significantly more intelligent, his IQ will generally fall somewhere in the 105 to 120 range. The midwit is therefore someone who, in his formative youthful years, is accustomed to thinking of himself as one of the smartest kids in his junior high school class, even though that is only statistically true of the upper end of the midwit range. But even at the low end, the midwit tends to be smarter than two out of every three people he encounters.

However, unlike the high school athlete who discovers he is unable to compete at the college level, let alone the professional level, the midwit never quite relinquishes the idea that he is, fundamentally, a Smart Boy who Knows Better than everyone else. It is the midwit, more than anyone else, who dictated the need to articulate Vox’s 1st Law.

Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from insanity.

However, the midwit is even more inclined to claim that anything he cannot understand, and anyone who is observably more intelligent than him, is “stupid”. This is because the midwit relies upon a tautological syllogism.

  • Major premise: the midwit is the smartest boy in the room
  • Minor premise: the midwit does not understand something said by someone else in the room.
  • Conclusion: what was said doesn’t make sense because it is stupid and so is the person who said it.

Those who understand the socio-sexual hierarchy will see that there is a strong correlation between the midwit and the gamma, although the two concepts are not identical. There are no shortage of Delta midwits, and the midwit illogic is not based on psychological issues or insecurity, but rather, ignorance and intellectual immaturity.

The midwit’s fundamental problem is that he is insufficiently intelligent to communicate with the most intelligent. The difference between the midwit and both VHIQ and UHIQ intellects exceeds the 30-point IQ communications gap, and the midwit’s pride in his intelligence prevents him from accepting his relative retardery enough to listen to the simplistic explanations he is able to follow.

Which is why midwits, like the poor, will always be with us.

DISCUSS ON SG

They Call it “Luck”

But it really doesn’t have much to do with chance or anything random. A team of Italian scientists tests the connection between the distribution of various attributes and the distribution of wealth.

What factors, then, determine how individuals become wealthy? Could it be that chance plays a bigger role than anybody expected? And how can these factors, whatever they are, be exploited to make the world a better and fairer place?

Today we get an answer thanks to the work of Alessandro Pluchino at the University of Catania in Italy and a couple of colleagues. These guys have created a computer model of human talent and the way people use it to exploit opportunities in life. The model allows the team to study the role of chance in this process.

The results are something of an eye-opener. Their simulations accurately reproduce the wealth distribution in the real world. But the wealthiest individuals are not the most talented (although they must have a certain level of talent). They are the luckiest. And this has significant implications for the way societies can optimize the returns they get for investments in everything from business to science.

Pluchino and co’s model is straightforward. It consists of N people, each with a certain level of talent (skill, intelligence, ability, and so on). This talent is distributed normally around some average level, with some standard deviation. So some people are more talented than average and some are less so, but nobody is orders of magnitude more talented than anybody else.

This is the same kind of distribution seen for various human skills, or even characteristics like height or weight. Some people are taller or smaller than average, but nobody is the size of an ant or a skyscraper. Indeed, we are all quite similar.

The computer model charts each individual through a working life of 40 years. During this time, the individuals experience lucky events that they can exploit to increase their wealth if they are talented enough. However, they also experience unlucky events that reduce their wealth. These events occur at random.

At the end of the 40 years, Pluchino and co rank the individuals by wealth and study the characteristics of the most successful. They also calculate the wealth distribution. They then repeat the simulation many times to check the robustness of the outcome.

When the team rank individuals by wealth, the distribution is exactly like that seen in real-world societies. “The ‘80-20’ rule is respected, since 80 percent of the population owns only 20 percent of the total capital, while the remaining 20 percent owns 80 percent of the same capital,” report Pluchino and co.

That may not be surprising or unfair if the wealthiest 20 percent turn out to be the most talented. But that isn’t what happens. The wealthiest individuals are typically not the most talented or anywhere near it. “The maximum success never coincides with the maximum talent, and vice-versa,” say the researchers.

So if not talent, what other factor causes this skewed wealth distribution? “Our simulation clearly shows that such a factor is just pure luck,” say Pluchino and co.

First of all, this science, such as it is, should suffice to end, once and for all, the absurd insistence by American Jews that their statistically inordinate amount of wealth and power amassed in a matter of decades has anything to do with their imaginary average 115 IQ.

However, “just pure luck” is not a variable. While this method is sufficient to demonstrate the lack of correlation between talent, IQ, hard work, and other specific variables with wealth, to simply assign the causation to random chance is incorrect. The much more reasonable answer is that the team failed to test the variable that is most strongly correlated with wealth, which is positive connection to the central societal distributors of wealth.

There is no way such a model could account for ticket-taking, and yet we repeatedly observe that mediocre ticket-takers succeed while much more talented independents “experience unlucky events”. Is there one single person in the world who believes that Ben Shapiro is better behind the microphone than Milo Yiannopoulos or Owen Benjamin, and that he is also a more talented writer than Bruce Bethke, Chuck Dixon, and me?

Color me dubious.

Is there anyone who genuinely believes CNN can’t do better than hire a CEO and Chairman who was fired as the Director-General of the BBC for covering up the Jimmy Saville scandal?

I am of the color dubious.

It will be interesting to see what happens when these researchers discover that what they call “serendipity” fails to produce the results they are expecting, and when “serendipity” suddenly begins to cause them to experience unlucky events.

A useful term, that “serendipity”.

DISCUSS ON SG

We See Too Much

Den Blonde Ulven performs an experiment on the size and shape of the Earth:

My father and I performed some optic experiments near Virginia Beach in Norfolk, Virginia. The goal of this event was to check the hypothesis: can objects be seen further than they should be able due to the curvature of the Earth?

We were standing on Ocean View Beach close to East Ocean View Beach- coordinates 36.933410, -76.201875. Three pieces of equipment were utilized- a Nikon P1000 camera, a tripod, and an SD memory card for the camera. This camera was capable of recording while shooting a video and simultaneously zooming in great distances. The P1000 is what captured the videos shown.

The weather was partly cloudy, no rain, and slightly hazy. These are not ideal conditions due to the haze. Yet even under these non-ideal conditions, objects that have been zoomed in upon are distinguishable.

We used a website to determine the location of cargo ships on a map in near real-time. This allowed us to estimate where the ships were. We then used a feature on Google Maps called “measure” to connect our location with the ships’. This gave us an approximate distance of which I estimate is accurate within a range of (+-)0.2 miles.

The obvious rebuttal, as DBU anticipates, is “refraction”. However, there is no extant model for refraction that is sufficient to account for the difference between what the curvature model predicts and the observable results obtained.

This does not suggest the Earth is flat. It does, however, suggest that the official story about the specific size and shape of the Earth is unsupported by the observable evidence.

Now, I am not a Flat Earther. Neither am I an Oblate Spheroidian. I have no dog in this hunt, except that it would not surprise me in the least to learn that the Official Story, once more, has been proven false. My fundamental position on such celestial matters can best be described as Holmesian to the core.

My surprise reached a climax, however, when I found incidentally that he was ignorant of the Copernican Theory and of the composition of the Solar System. That any civilized human being in this nineteenth century should not be aware that the earth travelled round the sun appeared to be to me such an extraordinary fact that I could hardly realize it. “You appear to be astonished,” he said, smiling at my expression of surprise. “Now that I do know it I shall do my best to forget it.” “To forget it!” “You see,” he explained, “I consider that a man’s brain originally is like a little empty attic, and you have to stock it with such furniture as you choose. A fool takes in all the lumber of every sort that he comes across, so that the knowledge which might be useful to him gets crowded out, or at best is jumbled up with a lot of other things so that he has a difficulty in laying his hands upon it. Now the skillful workman is very careful indeed as to what he takes into his brain-attic. He will have nothing but the tools which may help him in doing his work, but of these he has a large assortment, and all in the most perfect order. It is a mistake to think that that little room has elastic walls and can distend to any extent. Depend upon it there comes a time when for every addition of knowledge you forget something that you knew before. It is of the highest importance, therefore, not to have useless facts elbowing out the useful ones.” “But the Solar System!” I protested. “What the deuce is it to me?” he interrupted impatiently; “you say that we go round the sun. If we went round the moon it would not make a pennyworth of difference to me or to my work.”

That being said, I applaud those who do care about such things taking the time and effort to actually investigate for themselves the assertions of what is said to be science. It is telling, to me, that those who claim to be completely dedicated to science so often decry those who dare to engage in real scientody to replicate the current state of scientage.

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7 Percent per Annum

No, that’s not the prime rate or the mortgage rate. And it’s certainly not the interest on your bank account. It’s the statistically observed increased risk of death from one year to the next per vaccine dose:

The damage to health caused by each vaccine dose does not lessen over time. It continues indefinitely.

In fact, CDC All-Cause Mortality data show that each vaccine dose increased mortality by 7% in the year 2022 compared to the mortality in year 2021.

So if you have had 5 doses then you were 35% more likely to die in 2022 than you were in 2021. If you have had one dose then you were 7% more likely to die in 2022 than you were in 2021. If you are unvaxxed then you were no more likely to die in 2022 than you were in 2021.

One hopes that this percentage will drop in 2023. Unfortunately, the fact that half of all the vaxxed are still producing spike proteins tends to suggest that the excess mortality percentage will still be more than 3 percent per dose.

DISCUSS ON SG

Manufacturing Abnormality

Vaccine defenders like to assert that there are no scientific studies that conclusively prove that the increase in the number of people suffering from autism in the USA is connected to the increase in the number of childhood vaccines. In this regard, it may be useful to note that there are also no scientific studies that conclusively prove that an increase in the number of people dead from gunfire is connected to the increase in the number of people being shot with bullets.

Sometimes you don’t need a scientific study to observe a causal relationship because the strength of the correlation is so obvious that there is no other credible option.

𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐥𝐝𝐡𝐨𝐨𝐝 𝐕𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐬
1983 = 10 vaccines
2013 = 32 vaccines
2022 = 74 vaccines

𝐀𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐬𝐦 𝐑𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬
1983 = 1 in 10,000
2013 = 1 in 88
2022 = 1 in 36

Correlation is not causation. But a strong correlation is a pretty good indication that you will find causation if you take the trouble to look for it.

DISCUSS ON SG

Covid Round 2

The importance of remembering predictions about the future, however outlandish or insane they might appear, is that the more accurate the predictive model, the more easily one will recognize the developing scenario playing out according to the model. Which is why this published study concerning repeated vaccination creating immune tolerance by the Covid spike protein, is superficially concerning in light of a conspiracy post that has been making the rounds.

Less than a year after the global emergence of the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, a novel vaccine platform based on mRNA technology was introduced to the market. Globally, around 13.38 billion COVID-19 vaccine doses of diverse platforms have been administered. To date, 72.3% of the total population has been injected at least once with a COVID-19 vaccine. As the immunity provided by these vaccines rapidly wanes, their ability to prevent hospitalization and severe disease in individuals with comorbidities has recently been questioned, and increasing evidence has shown that, as with many other vaccines, they do not produce sterilizing immunity, allowing people to suffer frequent re-infections. Additionally, recent investigations have found abnormally high levels of IgG4 in people who were administered two or more injections of the mRNA vaccines. HIV, Malaria, and Pertussis vaccines have also been reported to induce higher-than-normal IgG4 synthesis. Overall, there are three critical factors determining the class switch to IgG4 antibodies: excessive antigen concentration, repeated vaccination, and the type of vaccine used. It has been suggested that an increase in IgG4 levels could have a protecting role by preventing immune over-activation, similar to that occurring during successful allergen-specific immunotherapy by inhibiting IgE-induced effects. However, emerging evidence suggests that the reported increase in IgG4 levels detected after repeated vaccination with the mRNA vaccines may not be a protective mechanism; rather, it constitutes an immune tolerance mechanism to the spike protein that could promote unopposed SARS-CoV2 infection and replication by suppressing natural antiviral responses. Increased IgG4 synthesis due to repeated mRNA vaccination with high antigen concentrations may also cause autoimmune diseases, and promote cancer growth and autoimmune myocarditis in susceptible individuals.

IgG4 Antibodies Induced by Repeated Vaccination May Generate Immune Tolerance to the SARS-CoV-2 Spike Protein, 17 May 2023

This evidence tends to support the hypothesis of an earlier article published in Forbes that suggested increased IgG4 synthesis might not be effective in telling the immune system to kill cells infected with the virus, and also observed that the percentage of ineffective antibodies was rising over time in vaccinated individuals.

IgG1, IgG2, and IgG3 provide protection not only by blocking the virus from entering cells but also by their Fc regions activating effector functions and signaling the immune system to kill infected cells. IgG4, however, does not activate the effector functions, meaning their presence may impact how the body responds to Covid-19.

To measure the relative frequency of IgG subclasses in the sera of vaccine recipients, Irrgang et al. followed a cohort of 29 healthcare workers, analyzing their sera ten days after a first, second, and third dose, as well as 210 days after the second, and 180 days after the third.

In line with initial efficacy reports for the vaccine, antibody levels were robust throughout the cohort post-first and second doses. The researchers also found that 210 days after the second dose, antibody levels had fallen significantly, reaffirming the loss of antibody protection over time. Again, following the third dose, antibodies rose significantly, only to fall 180 days after the booster.

The most interesting data regards the growing concentration of IgG4 in the cohort’s sera. On average, only 0.04% of the antibody response post-second vaccination was IgG4. 210 days after the second dose, that percentage rose to 4.82%. Following the third dose, IgG4 comprised 13.91%, rising to 19.27% 180 days after.

Emergence Of IgG4 In Long-Term Vaccines: Winning Or Losing The Race?, FORBES, 13 January 2023

Now, I will caution the reader that the following scenario is almost certainly fake, because a) it was posted on Reddit by someone in June 2023, well AFTER the two articles about IgG4 antibodies were published and b) it was posted on Reddit, therefore it only looks dangerously predictive because most people don’t know when it first appeared. While /pol/ may always be right, the converse is true for Reddit. The fact that it has been promulgated without the header showing the date on it strongly suggests that it is nothing more than science horror fiction extrapolated from the two previous articles, so you can consider this a skeptical pre-debunking of sorts.

  • The vax is a de-population tool.
  • The mrna vax has always been about programmable humans. Getting needles in arms to re-write human biology.
  • After booster 4 something called igg4 is permanently active. I am no scientist but can remember igg4 cause my dogs name is iggy. He says it’s like allergy shots but for the covid spike. It tells your body there is nothing wrong with the covid spike and to leave it alone. He says if you look into it, you will see this is already known.
  • The stage is now set, he says over 3 billion people now have adequate levels of igg4 and the final phase is close. He said those in the know call it “the process”. It is to reduce the human population by 5 billion (3 billion from igg4 programming and 2 billion from the fall out of 3 billion deaths).
  • He said late 2023 the new and final covid strain will be released. This strain will have over 90% fatality but only to those who have igg4 in their bodies. They will mount NO immune response to this deadly strain. Unvaxed like him will basically have a mild cold.
  • He said ‘the process’ will do a full psychological warfare media blitz, claiming the vax has caused igg4 and anyone vaxed has a 90% chance of dying from this strain. They will claim all governments knew and misled their people. It will be designed to cause mass panic and turn all citizens against their governments. This will ensure cities burn during the viral outbreak and emergency services are nonexistent. Billions will die.

Nota Rhetorica: that preemptive defense of why the poster remembered the name of the antibody in the third point is also an indicator of a fake, as well as the mindset and IQ of those targeted by the fake.

Only if evidence surfaces proving that the same sort of information preceding the January and May articles should it be taken at face value. Until then, or until the 4x vaxxed begin succumbing like periodical cicadas this autumn, what we actually know is that a new round of flu season is coming, which means a new round of “Covid” is on the way, and it will be followed by the tried-and-tested scare tactics pushing lockdowns and vaccinations, which should be much easier for both purebloods and the vaxxed to resist this second time around.

DISCUSS ON SG