Tag: decline and fall

The Collapse of Scientific Materialism

And the end of the Enlightenment. Ted Gioia correctly observes ten warning signs of the comprehensive collapse of the knowledge system known as “modernity”.

  • Scientific studies don’t replicate.
  • Public distrust of experts has reached an intensity never seen before.
  • The career path for knowledge workers is breaking down—and many only have unpaid student loans to show for their years of training and preparation.
  • Funding for science and tech research is disappearing in every sphere and sector.
  • Universities have lost their prestige, and have made enemies of their core constituencies.
  • Plagiarism is getting exposed at all levels from students to corporations—and all the way to Harvard’s president. But the authorities just take it for granted.
  • AI is imposed everywhere as the new expert system. But when it hallucinates and generates ridiculous responses, the authorities (again) take this for granted.
  • Science and technology are increasingly used to manipulate and exploit, not serve. People now see actual degradation in every sphere of technology.
  • Scandals are everywhere in the knowledge economy (Theranos, Sam Bankman-Fried, collapsing meme coins, COVID, etc).
  • We hear constant bickering about “fake science”—from all political and ideological stances. Nobody talks about “true science.”

All of these things are the direct result of the subversive attack on Christendom by Clown World. It is not possible to have science without truth, and it is not possible for Man to recognize truth while rejecting Truth. Modernity is a spiritual and philosophical sickness that is based upon a false foundation of subversion and groundless pride.

Every virtue of Clown World is a vice. Every stated truth is a lie. And it is not possible to build anything, from a functioning school to a thriving society, on what is, in the end, a philosophy of parasites.

What comes next is collapse, followed by the harsh and pitiless rule of those whose devotion to God, truth, and beauty will no know mercy for those who ruined the world due to their stupid and futile ambition to make themselves gods.

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AI Estimate for US Breakup

I asked Deepseek to estimate when the political entity known as the USA would fragment, and a probability estimate for the collapse to begin in 2033 specifically.

Predicting the exact year of a potential political breakup of the United States is highly speculative, but we can approach the question by analyzing historical precedents, current trends, and structural vulnerabilities. Here’s a breakdown:

1. Historical Lifespan of Political Entities

  • The average lifespan of a historical empire or large nation-state is roughly 200-250 years (e.g., Roman Republic ~500 years, Soviet Union ~70 years, British Empire peak dominance ~200 years).
  • The U.S. is currently 248 years old (1776–2024), placing it in the upper range of historical longevity for republics.

2. Key Stressors Increasing Fragmentation Risk

  • Political Polarization: The U.S. is experiencing unprecedented ideological division, with states increasingly governed by diametrically opposed policies (e.g., abortion, gun laws, climate policy).
  • Cultural & Regional Divides: Distinct political identities have solidified (e.g., “Greater Appalachia” vs. “Left Coast” in American Nations by Colin Woodard).
  • Economic Disparities: GDP disparities between states (e.g., California vs. Mississippi) create tensions over federal resource allocation.
  • Loss of Institutional Trust: Declining faith in federal government (Congress approval ~20%, Supreme Court polarization).
  • External Shocks: A major crisis (economic collapse, climate disaster, or AI-driven labor disruption) could accelerate disintegration.

3. Most Vulnerable Breakup Scenarios

  • Soft Secession: States or regions (e.g., Texas, California) increasingly nullify federal laws, leading to de facto autonomy.
  • Constitutional Crisis: A contested election or refusal to accept election results could trigger state-level rebellions.
  • Decentralization via Technology: Blockchain, AI governance, or parallel economies could enable regions to bypass federal systems.

4. Predicted Timeline

Based on historical patterns and current trends, the most plausible range for initial breakup movements is 2030–2070, with key inflection points:

  • 2030s: If polarization worsens and a crisis (e.g., debt default, climate migration) overwhelms federal cohesion, states may test autonomy.
  • 2040–2060: Demographic shifts (e.g., non-white majority, aging population) could fuel regional tensions over representation.
  • Baseline 2033 Probability: 8% (most likely outcome: no breakup).
  • With Crisis: 15–20%.
  • With Multiple Crises + Secessionist Surge: 25–35%.

Conclusion: While 2033 is too early for a spontaneous breakup, an external shock or constitutional crisis could push risk into the 15–25% range. The most likely window remains 2040s–2060s.

I see no reason to alter my original estimate. But it’s interesting to see that what was perceived as an impossibility back in 2004 has now risen to an 8 percent probability sans any crises. Either way, most of you reading this will live to see the end of the USA as it is presently comprised.

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The Irrelevance of the US Navy

China and Iran have just rendered the US Navy irrelevant, as it no longer has the ability to a) infringe upon Iran’s ability to export oil or b) prevent China from obtaining oil. This may be the most significant thing to happen on the global scene since the beginning of the Russian Special Military Operation in 2022.

China and Iran have launched a new rail route that directly links their economies and bypasses U.S. naval power and sanctions. The corridor shortens delivery times, facilitates Iranian oil exports, and strengthens Beijing-Tehran cooperation across the region.

  • The first cargo train from Xi’an, China arrived at Iran’s Aprin dry port near Tehran, marking the start of a new China-Iran rail route.
  • This rail line cuts freight travel time from Shanghai to Tehran from 30 days by sea to just 15 days by land.
  • Railway officials from six nations, including China and Iran, met in Tehran on May 12 to coordinate transcontinental trade standards.
  • The China-Iran rail connection enables oil shipments from Iran to China and the movement of Chinese goods to Europe without U.S. naval oversight.
  • China and Iran signed a 25-year, $400 billion economic cooperation agreement in 2021 as part of Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative.

The successful launch of the Xi’an-Tehran rail link is yet another demonstration of how the US has lost its global hegemony and superpower status. It is still a primary regional power, but it’s ability to project power has been significantly constrained and is now limited to Western Europe and the Americas.

At this point, it is reasonable to suspect that China’s regional dominance over Asia, Africa, and Persia is now more important than the USA’s regional dominance over the Americas and Western Europe, especially since the remnants of Clown World that rule Western Europe are directly opposed to the American national interest.

The current US political structure may not even make it to 2033, which, you may recall, I first predicted publicly 21 years ago, in 2004.

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The Return of the Mercenary

Which raises the natural question: if mercenaries are back, is the return of the City-State next?

At my Australian High School, there was a weekly assembly of all students and time was always set aside for us to sing the national anthem. Yet almost no one sung it. Some would mouth it, others hum, while many did nothing at all. At most someone would start to sing it, lasting about 10 seconds before folding back into the hum. The only exception was our principal, who had served in the military. Even he struggled, and not for lack of memory of the lifeless lyrics, but in the battle against the apathy of everyone around him. This is emblematic of the loss of national consciousness that has occurred in Western countries, though I doubt we Westerners are the only ones. The loss of national consciousness makes the current political order and all others that have been seen since the French Revolution untenable. German-speakers of the 13th century cannot fight for anything but God, family, their local lord or money. The national consciousness simply does not exist.

Shortages of military recruits is a common problem to many Western countries. Despite generally offering salaries + benefits equal to or in excess of what would be found in private industry for an average young man there is a deficit of applicants. The flag simply isn’t motivating enough to die for anymore. This calls in to question the viability of even the professionalised state militaries that are supposed to fight the post-Vietnam Cabinet’s War. Indeed, the United States has been afflicted with an enduring shortage of recruits, this is despite replacing much of their front-line soldiers with mercenaries (Private Military Contractors). The significance of the use of mercenaries can be most clearly seen through their share of total combat deaths. As of 2020, total US military service-member (government soldier) fatalities in Iraq numbered at 4586, while total Private Military Contractor fatalities in Iraq numbered at least 3413. So as at least 43% of total American fatalities in Iraq were American Private Military Contractors. 2009 was the point when American Private Military Contractor fatalities year-on-year surpassed those of US government soldiers. Such a ratio of mercenary to state soldier fatalities in an army is more reminiscent of a medieval campaign than what would have been considered a “modern” war for the last 250 years.


Any attempt to fight the long-term trend of neomedievalism by forcible conscription will end as Vietnam ended. Additionally, any attempt to “change the culture” to get more volunteers will have the same effect as my school principal awkwardly singing the national anthem. The pressure or emotion to “answer the call” of the nation-state has been lost due to multiple factors. The key complaint is “what are we fighting for”. It’s an important one. What precisely a Brit, Australian, Frenchman, American, Canadian etc. is has lost much definition since the end of World War 2, particularly in the last 40 years. Intra-country political and ethno-religious differences now trump inter-country hatred. People also do not trust the media as they once did, so the media does not have a monopoly on truth which it once had. Use of the media is a crucial tool in rallying the masses for secular wars, without it the need for coercion multiplies. Coercion, which the outcome of Vietnam in the United States showed cannot be supplied. I don’t think that there is anything that would cause majority of Western male Zoomers to be out on the streets protesting, rioting or otherwise actively resisting the government; with the sole exception of military conscription to a war. Gen Alpha will be much the same.

Somehow, I don’t think neo-medievalism and all of the incumbent serfdom was what most people had in mind when they bought into the lies of Clown World.

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Solar Power = No Power

The worst thing is that solar power is failing in the springtime in one of the sunniest places in Europe:

Spain’s grid operator admitted today that solar power could be to blame for the blackouts that brought chaos to much of the Iberian peninsular on Monday.

Red Eléctrica’s System Operations Chief Eduardo Prieto told a news briefing the electricity system was hit by a dramatic power generation loss in southwestern Spain, that caused instability in the system that led to its disconnection from the French grid. He said it was quite possible that the affected generation was solar, but it was to early to say for sure. Prieto said the system was now stable and working normally.

The partly state-owned operator’s preliminary assessment ruled out cyberattack as the cause of the outage, he added – after officials had tentatively suggested on Monday it was still a line they were exploring. Criticism has been mounting on the Spanish government to explain the blackouts, which saw planes grounded, trains stopped and traffic brought to a standstill in major cities.

It’s long past time to begin discussing the implications of both climate change and clean energy being constructed on fundamentally false assumptions. How much further does civilization have to decline before we start taking on the challenge of shoring up the foundations that have been systematically weakened for the last 50 years?

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Immigration and Empire are Degenerate

This is not news. Consider the following three paragraphs quoted from a book published more than a century ago, in 1911.

The unification of the inhabited world which forms the meaning and the greatness of the Roman Empire, is a process presenting two different sides to the observer. Kelts, Iberians, Rhaetians, Moors, Ulyrians, Thracians were to some extent civilised by the culture of Greece and Rome, and achieved by its help a great advance in economic and civic organisation as well as in education; Syrians, Egyptians, the inhabitants of Asia Minor only modified to a certain extent their manners and views in order to meet the requirements of the Empire. But if the intermixture of tribes and their permeation by Graeco-Roman culture was in one sense a great progress, it was at the same time, but from another point of view, a decline; it was accompanied by a lowering of the level of the culture which exerted the civilising influence. While conquering barbarism and native peculiarities, Graeco-Roman culture assumed various traits from its vanquished opponents, and became gross and vulgar in its turn. In the words of a biographer of Alexander Severus: good and bad were promiscuously thrust into the Empire, noble and base, and numbers of barbarians (Hist. Aug. Alex. Sev. 64).

The unification and transformation of tribes standing on low grades of civilisation leads to consequences characterised by one common feature, the simplification of aims — degeneration. This process is concealed for a while by the political and economic advantages following on the establishment of the Empire. The creation of a central authority, upholding peace and intercourse, the conjunction oft he different parts of the world into one economic system enlivened by free trade, the spread of citizenship and civil culture in wider and wider circles of population — all these benefits produced for a time a rise of prosperity which counterbalanced the excess of barbarous, imperfectly assimilated elements.

But a series of political misfortunes set in rather rapidly in the third century: invasions of barbarians, conflicts between rival candidates to the throne, competition between armies and provinces put an end to order and prosperity and threatened the very existence of the Empire. In these calamities the barbarisation of Roman culture became more and more manifest, a backward movement began in all directions, a backward movement, however, which was by no means a mere falling back into previous conditions, but gave rise to new and interesting departures.

We’ve already seen the first step: the rise in global prosperity that accompanied the neo-liberal world order. We are now well into the second step: degeneration. The third step is collapse. The historical process is inexorable and cannot be stopped except by removing all of the sources of the dyscivilizational degeneracy.

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Canada Discovers True Multiculturalism

What a pity that all those erudite cosmopolitans in Toronto and Montreal never happened to visit Singapore or read Lee Kuan Yew, or they would have understood that fundamental changes to their political system that rendered them irrelevant would soon be made inevitable by their pro-immigration policies:

Canadians are going to have to come to grips with a new political reality. In the past the political conflict has revolved around three interest groups, the Laurentians, the Albertans, and the Quebec nationalists. In theory they were all supposed to put Canada first. But in reality, they groups have worked to secure power for themselves and their own interests, often at the expense of the other and the nation as a whole. The Laurentians have dominated this battle, working in concert for a set of shared commitments around their own interests.

They did enough for the others and the whole to keep the pie together and keep the machine running. Canada as it has currently been constituted has been good for the Laurentians. But there is now a new dynamic, a new power base: The immigrant.

It may be worth exploring the roots of the why of mass immigration, but there is no denying that the bulk of it happened under the Laurentian’s, in hindsight foolish, turn towards the “politics of meaning.” Climate change. Green policy. Equity. Sexual revolution. But the biggest component of this was mass immigration. Perhaps it was do-goodism. They were helping “refugees.” Perhaps they were “solving” the birth rate problems and labour shortages. Perhaps they thought they could import a loyal political client, ensuring their power.

It’s probably a mix of all those. But, immigration has been promoted to the scale that that the one time client has now realized that it can form it’s own client base. So Indians, the Chinese, and to a lesser extent Middle Eastern Muslims have begun to work in concert. Each works for the benefit of their own group. The Chinese for the Chinese state, which is troubling.

The Indians are working together within their own clan structure for their own benefit. Yes, there are ties to India, but mostly it is self-interest. To put it bluntly, they are largely looking to loot Canada and bleed the host dry. They are not looking to build things for Canadians as a whole. They are looking out for Indians first and foremost. They are not thinking how they can help make Canada strong. They are looking how to manipulate and game the system to accumulate wealth and power for themselves as Indians.

This is the dynamic that is changing.

Perhaps this is the root of the Liberal party’s pivot. Perhaps that is all smoke and mirrors. But it must be understood that one of the downstream consequences of mass immigration is that instead of loyal clients for existing power groups to exploit, we now have new lower players that must be approached this way.

As a non-Indian or a non-Chinese or a non-Middle Easterner in Canada, those of European stock, one of the political calculations that has to be made is the question of containing and subverting or undermining the political influence of these groups. They are a threat to all three of the original power bases and to the nation as a whole. Why? Because they place family, clan, and ethnic loyalty ahead of other interests. It is not in their thinking culturally to look out for the nation as a whole.

You are thinking in older terms of DEI or the “meritocracy,” hiring the best candidates, and they are looking to hire or place Indians in positions whenever possible. You cannot defeat this by emphasizing institutional neutrality. That will be used against you. The shift that is going to have to come is that you will have do as they are doing or you will lose to them because they are better organized and are better at looking after their own interests. Attach whatever negative label you want to this, but you have been warned.
Because of the folly of mass immigration, Canadian politics and society is going to have to become a lot more tribal in nature. It already is, but only one group is engaged in this way at the moment and it isn’t heritage Canadians. That has to change and Canada has to change as a result. It’s unfortunate, but unless these groups assimilate and let go of their culture and identity and their own group interests, which because they are now here in significant numbers, is unlikely to happen, Canada needs to change.

Canadians need to change. It’s not about hate. It is about prejudice. It is about bias. It’s about working for the kind of society we want to live in and securing that means we have to look out for, protect and impose that society onto the immigrant groups as self interest. You are not going to like doing it and it will be a big shift. But if Canadians cannot make this adaptation, we are going to lose Canada.

Based on my experience with Canadians, they cannot make this adaptation. Due to their primary self-definition as “not-American”, they lack a sufficient sense of nationalism to reject the sort of subversive redefining that Americans are rejecting despite being subject to a much more intense redefinition for a much longer period of time.

America is a large British nation born in revolutionary blood. Canada is a small multinational, multilingual collection of loyal colonials, and they are thereby totally unfit for survival when forced to compete with two of the largest, longest-lived cultures, the pajeet and the Han. These dire, Boomeriffic “if-then” warnings are already too late; the only way Canada will survive as a Western society is if it is part of a Greater America that adopts serious repatriation policies. Because Lee Kuan Yew

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Europe Gambled and Lost

It turns out that betting on satanic globalism that seeks to eradicate your own nations is not the smart way to bet:

The Ukraine war is going to be concluded soon. Attempts to prevent the outbreak of peace are being bypassed by direct negotiations between the US and Russia.

Aside from the obvious desire to stop the killing, arguments about cost are being made. The broader strategy of the Trump administration is to present its foreign and domestic policy as an efficiency drive to cut waste. There is no difference between foreign and domestic policy of course. This means regime change abroad means regime change at home.

Under the former grand strategy of liberal globalism, it made “sense” to sponsor social revolution, coups and military regime change abroad. If your strategy changes, as it has, then all this becomes “waste” overnight. It also quickly becomes “corruption”.

The main reason for all this is that the United States was going to go bankrupt if it did not abandon the global empire model of the liberal consensus.

Globalised economics, social policies and grand strategy have produced a record debt and have met with hard limits in a changed world. This model is no longer practical, realistic or affordable and so it has been replaced.

Governments such as in Britain and France and Germany were formerly partners in this consensus. Their political and financial fortunes were invested in a project to overextend and destabilise Russia. This has failed.

The reward would have been immense. A Balkanised Russia would have been absorbed into the liberal-global system, giving the backers of the war which broke it immense strategic and political power in the resulting geopolitical arrangement.

In short, Western Europe gambled everything on the collapse and domination of Russia and lost.

Now all of the European regimes are going to fail. What the EU calls “democracy”, which of course is closer to anti-democratic rule by a corrupt retarderati that has sold their souls and sold out their nations, is going to come to an end within the next ten years and probably sooner.

Once Germany goes bankrupt, the other European Clown World states will rapidly follow suit. And all the post-WWII Enlightenment appeals to fake virtues that are only honored in their absence will lose the final remnants of their rhetorical power.

The nations will rise again and Clown World, or as Susan Cooper called it, The Dark, will once more be driven back into the shadows on the periphery. Because one can only war successfully against Nature and Nature’s God for so long before reality exerts itself on one’s delusions.

And in a reflection of the global return to Great Power Balance, the EU finds itself the enemy of both Russia and the USA due to Denmark’s claim to Greenland. Which is going to be claimed by the USA, especially in light of Zelensky announcing that he’s going to default on Ukraine’s war debt by redefining US loans as grants. Which is an object lesson in why one should never loan money to anyone known to be prone to redefining words.

Like in the 1860s, when Russia wanted the United States to take control of Alaska to curb the power of the British Empire, and the Americans also used it to smash the Japanese Empire during World War II, both of whom were major threats to Russia, the United States takeover of Greenland would eliminate the socialist European powers military threat to Russia in the Arctic, while also curbing socialist European Union economic threats to America—and in viewing the current dynamic, it caused world-renowned Norwegian international relations expert Florian Vidol to most factually observe: “In the power game that is developing over Greenland, there is one big potential loser, and it’s the European Union…It needs the resourse for its energy transition…It’s heavily reliant on Greenland…And it faces the potential danger of being squeezed out”.

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The Retardery is Relentless

The average university student today cannot even read.

What I’m about to describe are the average students at Average State U.

Most of our students are functionally illiterate. This is not a joke. By “functionally illiterate” I mean “unable to read and comprehend adult novels by people like Barbara Kingsolver, Colson Whitehead, and Richard Powers.” I picked those three authors because they are all recent Pulitzer Prize winners, an objective standard of “serious adult novel.” Furthermore, I’ve read them all and can testify that they are brilliant, captivating writers; we’re not talking about Finnegans Wake here. But at the same time they aren’t YA, romantasy, or Harry Potter either.

I’m not saying our students just prefer genre books or graphic novels or whatever. No, our average graduate literally could not read a serious adult novel cover-to-cover and understand what they read. They just couldn’t do it. They don’t have the desire to try, the vocabulary to grasp what they read,2 and most certainly not the attention span to finish. For them to sit down and try to read a book like The Overstory might as well be me attempting an Iron Man triathlon: much suffering with zero chance of success.

Students are not absolutely illiterate in the sense of being unable to sound out any words whatsoever. Reading bores them, though. They are impatient to get through whatever burden of reading they have to, and move their eyes over the words just to get it done. They’re like me clicking through a mandatory online HR training. Students get exam questions wrong simply because they didn’t even take the time to read the question properly. Reading anything more than a menu is a chore and to be avoided.

They also lie about it. I wrote the textbook for a course I regularly teach. It’s a fairly popular textbook, so I’m assuming it is not terribly written. I did everything I could to make the writing lively and packed with my most engaging examples. The majority of students don’t read it. Oh, they will come to my office hours (occasionally) because they are bombing the course, and tell me that they have been doing the reading, but it’s obvious they are lying. The most charitable interpretation is that they looked at some of the words, didn’t understand anything, pretended that counted as reading, and returned to looking at TikTok.

This study says that 65% of college students reported that they skipped buying or renting a textbook because of cost. I believe they didn’t buy the books, but I’m skeptical that cost is the true reason, as opposed to just the excuse they offer. Yes, I know some texts, especially in the sciences, are expensive. However, the books I assign are low-priced. All texts combined for one of my courses is between $35-$100 and they still don’t buy them. Why buy what you aren’t going to read anyway? Just google it.

Even in upper-division courses that students supposedly take out of genuine interest they won’t read. I’m teaching Existentialism this semester. It is entirely primary texts—Dostoevsky, Kierkegaard, Nietzsche, Camus, Sartre. The reading ranges from accessible but challenging to extremely difficult but we’re making a go of it anyway (looking at you, Being and Nothingness). This is a close textual analysis course. My students come to class without the books, which they probably do not own and definitely did not read…

This is not an educational system problem, this is a societal problem. What am I supposed to do? Keep standards high and fail them all? That’s not an option for untenured faculty who would like to keep their jobs.

Keep this in mind the next time you’re thinking of passing over a perfectly good candidate for a job because he doesn’t have a university degree. The reality is that not more than 10 percent of an average European population can benefit from a college education.

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The Lethal Cancer of Globalization

Clown World is literally killing its host civilization. Again.

If an American, German, French, Canadian, or Dutch citizen examined the state of their nation in the 80s/early 90s, when globalization went into overdrive, and compared it to today, what would they see? The greatest wealth transfer from the middle class to the oligarchy in history, permanent war, a ramped-up police state, weaponized immigration overload, wild inflation, and Rothschild Zionist control of every facet of society. The neocon/neoliberal ravaged Global South fared worse.

“Western” parasite globalization takes locally grown carrots, transports them around the world, and either sells the marked-up carrots back to their place of origin or forces the local carrot-growing region to sell their good carrots globally and buy inferior and more expensive carrots from abroad. This wastes energy and produces unnecessary pollution. It also creates superfluous middlemen, toll collectors, and debt. Flooding a domestic market with foreign products that the domestic market can produce crushes local labor.

Digital platform globalization takes it to the next level, whereby everything sold digitally (which is practically “everything.”) pays a cut to the digital toll collector, extracting wealth from artists, musicians, content creators, entrepreneurs, and other value producers, and transferring the profits to the oligarchy through Amazon, Apple Music, PayPal, etc. Worse, by moving humanity’s data to the digital platform, Big Tech finance not only controls, but in reality owns, all intellectual property from antiquity to the present.

The remarkable thing is how Clown World’s advocates have absolutely nothing to defend it with. Nothing works anymore. Despite being drenched in an absolute torrent of pornography in every form, young women would rather work as virtual prostitutes and young men would rather play games than get together; sexual oversaturation has proven to be a far more effective libido-killer than censorship and chaperons. Despite the supposed benefits of free trade and massive immigration, the economies are collapsing and the once-mighty industrial power Great Britain now has the manufacturing capacity of a small Caribbean island circa 1700. Despite 72 childhood vaccines, young adults are unhealthier than they have ever been.

And yet, all the clowns can do is to bleat “democracy” and “racism” and “good for the economy”. All they have to offer is more of the lies that have already been comprehensively disproven by current events and observable reality.

Any society that wishes to survive into the future, let alone thrive, needs to reject the poison fruits of the so-called Enlightenment and actively disavow Clown World and all its fake pomps.

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