“Nobody believes you guys”

The media is gradually beginning to grasp that their relentless demoralization campaign has failed completely:

President Donald Trump trails Joe Biden by 10 points in national polls. He’s getting badly outspent due to a depleted warchest. And his contraction of the coronavirus has yet again turned a harsh light on his handling of a seven-month pandemic.

A good number of rank-and-file Republican voters and local party officials see no cause for concern. They’re still convinced Trump is winning.

Far outside the political media centers of Washington, D.C. and New York, the Trump voters who propelled the reality TV star to a shock victory in 2016 once again see him on a glide path to victory that will stupefy only a hostile media and out-of-touch elites.

The frenzied crowds he’s attracting as he returns to the trail and the Trump banners flying in their neighborhoods measure enthusiasm that can’t be accurately tracked by surveys, they argue. The cascade of negative stories from his downplaying of the pandemic to his private insults of military service members are shrugged off or disbelieved.

And remember how wrong many of the state-based polls were last time? They certainly do.

We’ll find out soon enough. What will happen will happen. But as the ex-governor said, no one believes the Fake Polls put forth by the Fake News. No one should. Because it is transparently false.


MEDIA WHORES: Brave Sir William

MEDIA WHORES: COURTESANS AND CHARLATANS OF THE AMERICAN COMMENTARIAT

CHAPTER THREE: Brave Sir William

“Say hello to my little friend.”

Even with the sound turned off, the baddest man on television is Bill O’Reilly.  From his bullying persona to his ever-jabbing pencil, he projects an aura of working class pugnacity.  Indeed, were it not for the studio lights, O’Reilly might well consider filming his show in a gorilla costume, for only in the depths of the Congo can one hope to see more enthusiastic chest-beating.  And he is not entirely unjustified in doing so, for he has toppled the long-reigning ruler of cable television news.  Larry King is dead(1), long live the king!

And Bill O’Reilly is more than a TV talking head, he is a dominant force in the broader media.  In addition to his top rated show, The O’Reilly Factor, he pens a column, hosts a radio show and has even, in the tradition of William F. Buckley and Newt Gingrich, written a thriller, Those Who Trespass.  While Al Franken cheaply, (though justifiably) mocks The Factor’s foolhardy venture into prose(2), Mr. O’Reilly is actually to be commended for daring to branch out artistically.  The fact that Hermann Hesse was a lousy painter doesn’t cheapen the value of his novels, after all, nor should one’s opinion of O’Reilly the novelist affect our view of O’Reilly, the king of conservative media.  Nor am I inclined to turn loose the Fourteen Investigators on a wild hunt dedicated to uncovering petty dichotomies such as the Mysterious Case of the Missing Peabody.

What should affect our view of him instead is the fact that the emperor wears no clothes.  For all his insistence that he is merely a populist representing traditional values, O’Reilly is popular primarily because he is considered a defender of the conservative faith.  When he first entered into the public’s consciousness with the Fox News Channel, the mere fact that he would have Republicans on his show without strapping them to their chairs and subjecting them to a penetrating inquisition worthy of the Star Chamber – metaphorically speaking – instantly won him the allegiance of conservatives across the nation.  Add to this the fact that he was willing to go after left-wing lunatics and celebrity shysters, and did not cower in fear from the ABCNNBCBS cabal but instead reveled in his maverick status; considering how starved the conservative masses were for a media hero, it is little wonder that he has found a large following.

And yet, Bill O’Reilly has stated on many occasions that he is not a conservative or a Republican, but is entirely independent.  This is technically true(3), but in any case, the vast majority of the viewing public, including his detractors on the left and his supporters on the right, still considers him to be a powerful conservative voice.  And indeed, he is far more supportive of President Bush than he was of President Clinton or of the leading Democratic presidential candidates, including Howard Dean and John Kerry.

But to conclude that because O’Reilly tends to support President Bush and the Republicans and take them at their word(4), he is therefore a conservative is to make a basic error in logic.  This makes the faulty assumption that President Bush is a conservative, a position with which many conservative Republicans would take great issue.  Rather than relying on politicians, a more reliable source is to consider the ideological views of the subject under scrutiny.  Consider, for example, the very small divergence between Bill O’Reilly’s views and the conservative position on the following subjects:

TOPIC     O’Reilly Conservatives

Gay Rights YES NO

Gun Control YES NO

Abortion YES NO

Global Warming YES NO

Campaign Finance Reform YES NO

Indeed, the only political positions that are generally perceived as overtly conservative that O’Reilly currently advocates are tax cuts, support for the Iraqi War and the War on Terror, support for the War on Drugs, and immigration restrictions.  But what is conservative about a Wilsonian war, an undeclared and open-ended war-on-method, and the greatest expansion of federal power since LBJ’s Great Society?(5)

Even Michael Moore, the Great White Whale of American liberalism, recognizes Bill O’Reilly, if not quite as an ideological friend, as no enemy either.  In his best-selling book, Dude, Where’s My Country, he defended O’Reilly against unfounded charges of conservative Republicanism, stating his belief that O’Reilly was “indeed an independent”.  But there are others who see O’Reilly’s independent moderation as something else entirely.  Ann Coulter, whose conservative bona fides are impeccable, is openly unimpressed with O’Reilly’s perfectly balanced nuance.  In a column inspired by the media’s coverage of the Swift Boat veterans, she wrote:

“There is the Bill O’Reilly method, which is to abandon independent thinking and simply come out in the middle, irrespective of where the two sides are. In response to Newt Gingrich’s remark that the Swift Boat Veterans’ independent ads were “the conservative movement’s answer to Michael Moore,” O’Reilly said, “I don’t want either of them.”  In Nazi Germany, O’Reilly would have condemned both Hitler’s death camps and the Warsaw ghetto uprising. In Bill O’Reilly’s world, King Solomon would have actually cut the disputed baby in half.   The O’Reilly method of analysis works well about once a century. The last time was when Hitler invaded Russia in 1941.”

O’Reilly observers will note that the man has always had an unusual – I dare say unique – approach to ideology.  With regards to Miss Coulter herself, he once announced that she was not “far-right” because she was “friends with Bill Maher”.  I am familiar with a veritable cornucopia of methods for defining the political spectrum, but O’Reilly’s is the first to be predicated on amicable relationships.  Indeed, one has good cause to imagine that O’Reilly intends to not only redefine the political spectrum, but the very fabric of the space-time continuum itself!  Consider the following transcript of The O’Reilly Factor, when Bill Press, the host of CNN’s Crossfire, entered the no-spin zone after the release of his book, Spin This.

BILL O’REILLY, HOST: With us now from Washington is Bill Press, one of the hosts of the CNN program Crossfire. Mr. Press has written a new book called Spin This. In that book, he is none too friendly to your humble correspondent, me….  Wow, I guess we’re really terrible, huh, Bill? 

BILL PRESS, CO-HOST, CROSSFIRE: Good evening, Bill O’Reilly. How are you? 

O’REILLY: I’m all right. 

PRESS: I wouldn’t say you’re so terrible. My point is simply that I think you should be honest and admit that we all spin. And you spin as much as I do or Bob Novak does or any of the other… 

O’REILLY: I want you to give me one, since you’re concentrated in your book on The Factor, somewhat, give me one example of how I’ve spun a new story, one? 

PRESS: Well, first of all, I do have to say in all honesty that my pages about you, I think, maybe there are three pages in a 220-page book.

Since I’m devoting this entire chapter to Bill O’Reilly’s favorite subject, Bill O’Reilly, I rather expect he’ll consider this book to be an unauthorized hagiography and file for a restraining order on the grounds that I’m stalking him.

Television is an inherently deceptive medium. It is much harder to deceive in text, where the reader has the opportunity to easily review something that might have been passed over in a casual first read. After reading Mr. Reilly’s first book, it was readily apparent that it was not the product of a logical, intellectual or conservative mind, but rather a haphazard collection of muddled opinions which reflected a strong government moderate’s typically hazy grasp of political reality. 

For example, Mr. O’Reilly once attacked the president of the Gun Owners of America and labled him a a nutcase on the political fringe due to the GOA’s opposition to the assault weapons ban. This immediately demonstrated three things: 

  1. The Factor does not understand the purpose of the Second Amendment, which is to ensure that the people are able to militarily resist their government.  One would think that a man educated in Boston would know that the battles of Lexington and Concord were fought by Americans resisting the attempt of their lawful and legitimate government to confiscate private weapon stores. 
  2. The Factor does not understand the Assault Weapons Ban, which does not concern itself with bazookas and machine guns, but pistol grips and magazine clips.  In fact, the very next night, the Factor made a laughable claim that his statement was born of hyperbole, not ignorance, presumably due to one of his interns filling him in on things after googling the matter.
  3. The Factor has no intention of allowing open debate on his program. It’s his program, so he can do whatever he wishes, but it rather puts the lie to his “No-Spin” claim. Mr. O’Reilly is every bit the agitprop artist that Michael Moore is, which, no doubt, partially accounts for the success they have both enjoyed.

From this evidence, the inexperienced observer might conclude at this point that he has spotted an exemplary specimen of Scortus medius adlatus.  After all, the four primary identifying characteristics are all manifestly present.

  •  Egomania
  •  A severe case of rutilus lux addiction
  •  Reliably principle-free
  •  Dependably undependable

But just as one would be mistaken to think that Bill O’Reilly is a conservative, one would also be wrong to view him as nothing more than an unbiased, self-centered media parasite interested in nothing but feeding off the political bloodstream.  Lately, The Factor has gloried in proclaiming that various individuals are “ducking” and “backing down” from him. This is rather ironic in the face of the following transcript from Fox News dated August 24, 2004: 

The ACLU held its annual convention, but The Factor was not invited. However, The Factor said, “Colorado Gov. Bill Owens, a Republican, was, and he debated our pal Howard Dean, who remains too frightened to appear on [this show]. The debate dealt with the Patriot Act. Dean claimed it robs us of individual rights.” The Factor reminded, “If anybody has been abused by the Patriot Act, call us, please. We want to put them on the air.” 

Upon hearing this challenge by Bill O’Reilly, Michael Badnarik, the Libertarian Party’s candidate for president, was quick to respond to Mr. O’Reilly’s challenge, apprising “The Factor” personnel of his victimized status.  When danger – in the form of a political candidate, who, unlike Bill’s pal, is not primary roadkill, but was on the ballot in all 50 states in the 2004 election – reared its ugly head, Bill O’Reilly bravely turned his tail and fled. One of The Factor’s minions sent the following e-mail: 

According to producers, the “challenge” has apparently been misunderstood in terms of what Bill actually said on the air. There is no interest in having Mr. Badnarik on the show at this time. 

A misunderstanding!  Did The Factor mean to say that he does not want to put someone abused by the Patriot Act on the air? Did he dispute or refute Badnarik’s claim to victim status?  No, actually, to both counts.  Now, it would be quite conceivable that this was nothing more than simple distaste for questionable grandstanding by a fringe political figure, except for the fact that O’Reilly had previously “postponed” the Libertarian candidate’s scheduled appearance on the show a month before so late that Badnarik was being driven on his way to the studio when he received the call.

But the third time, as they say, is the charm, and the real reason for O’Reilly’s turnabout was revealed by a similar disinvitation in August, when a Muslim-American by the name of Dr. I. Dean Ahmad was invited to take what was described as “the anti-Bush stance” against a Muslim-American supporter of President Bush. 

As Dr. Ahmad recounts it: “The show is off! O’Reilly has pulled an O’Reilly.  I was actually in the car being driven to the show when his deputy called me and informed me that although they would identify me as a Muslim supporter of [Michael] Badnarik, that I was not allowed to mention Michael’s name on the show! I declined to accept those terms and they had the driver bring me back.”

A replacement for Dr. Ahmad was found at the very last minute, Khalid Turaani, the founder of Arab-American Republicans Against Bush, but it seems that despite The Factor’s best laid plans, things went agley.

“I just got off the phone with Khalid Turaani. Here’s what happened: They called him 30 minutes before taping and asked him if he would take the anti-Bush position on the show. He agreed and they rushed him down to the studio. They kept pressing him as to whom he would vote for and he kept dodging the question, saying he would say that on the show. Kerry? No, he said, I’m a conservative, I would never vote for Kerry. At the studio they pressed real hard and he admitted that he planned to vote for Badnarik. When he say the panic in their eyes he realized that despite their “fair and balanced” claims, they were Bush supporters. They tried to dissuade him from mentioning it on air, but by then it was too late to do to him what they did to me. He went on the air and said that a vote against Bush need not be a vote for Kerry and that he would vote for Badnarik, the Libertarian.” (6)

Mr Turaani’s actual statement that broke the ban on the Forbidden Words of Doom was: “I don’t want to cut off my nose to spite my face by not liking Bush and jumping in the lap of Kerry. No – I will vote Libertarian and I think Badnarik is going to be a good choice for people who don’t like Bush.”

But why does Brave Sir William fear the squamous terror of the B-word, the ghastly horror of the L-word (7)?  How can a complete unknown, sworn to a principle of no-first use of force, inspire such uncharacteristic pusillanimity in the pugnacious one?  Blogosphere rumor had it that subsequent to a visit to the Fox News Channel by Vice-President Cheney, it was understood that any mention of any candidate who might threaten the Vice-President’s continued employment by mentioning parties of potential appeal to otherwise Republican voters was not to be tolerated.  No spin there, just a quiet understanding of what would be considered outside the bounds of fair-and-balanced, independent media commentary.

So, for all that he is not a conservative, these election-year shenanigans demonstrate that Bill O’Reilly does have an interest in something bigger than his own oversized ego.  He is what some mistakenly call a RINO, Republican-In-Name-Only, but what Fred Barnes has more accurately characterized as a Big Government Conservative, which is to say, not a conservative at all. (8)  Not only does the emperor have no clothes, but he is flat on his back as well.  The king is a courtesan.

Both Adlatus and Washingtonia, Bill O’Reilly is truly a breed unto himself.  He is an inspiration, in fact, for like Bill O’Reilly, I too harbor aspirations toward Renaissance manhood.  In fact, I found that these repeated incidents of the pugnacious one’s unexpected cowardice actually inspired me to song.  And so with apologies to the greatest movie of all time, I present to you, gentle reader, a lyric dedicated to the fearless defender of the working man.

The Ballad of Brave Sir William (9)

Bravely bold Sir William strode forth from FNC.

He did not fear to debate, O brave Sir William!

He was not at all afraid to be humbled in nasty ways,

Brave, brave, brave, brave O’Reilly!

He was not in the least bit scared to be mashed into a pulp,

Or to have his lies exposed and his logic broken;

His infinitives all split, his opinions blown away;

And his facts all hacked and mangled, brave Sir William!

His case smashed in and its heart cut out

And his proofs disproved, his polemic unplugged

And his talking points raped, and his claims disembowled

And [radio edit](10)

Brave Sir William ran away.

He bravely ran away, away!

When danger reared its ugly head, 

He bravely turned his tail and fled.

Yes, brave Sir William turned about

And gallantly he chickened out.

Bravely taking to his feet

He beat a very brave retreat,

Bravest of the brave, O’Reilly!

FOOTNOTES

(1) I have it on good authority that Larry King is not actually dead, he only looks like he’s an embalmed drag queen sans wig.

(2) Speaking as a writer who has published four novels and twice served on SFWA Nebula Award juries, let’s just say that America’s great triumvirate of literary lions, Tom Clancy, Stephen King and Michael Crichton, have little to fear and leave it at that.

(3) He was a registered Republican from 1994 through 2000.

(4) During his appearance on Good Morning America on May 18, 2004, O’Reilly assured the nation “I am much more skeptical of the Bush administration now than I was at that time.”  It would seem that the Masters of Broadcast Journalism program at Boston University doesn’t subscribe to the Society of Professional Journalist’s guidelines.

(5) I’ve never quite grasped the notion that the Democratic Party is anti-war.  Pop quiz: The President belonged to which party when America entered World War I, World War II, the Korean War and the Vietnam War.  Hint: the answer isn’t Republican.

(6) Dr. I. Dean Ahmad, email to Stephen Gordon, Communications Director of Badnarik/Campagna 2004 Headquarters.

(7) The Libertarian Party, not the sapphic show.

(8) Friedrich von Hayek, in his excellent essay on Social Justice, pointed out what should be immediately obvious to anyone with a basic knowledge of grammar.  If the concept requires modifying a noun with an adjective, the modified result necessarily diverges from the original concept.

(9) To be sung to the tune of Monte Python’s “The Ballad of Brave Sir Robin.”  And if you didn’t know that, why are you reading this book?  Now, go away or I shall taunt you a second time.

(10) For those of you who actually know the song, if I were Candide and this world were perfect, lacking evils such as war, poverty, crime, hate, violence and editors, there would have been a reference to the likelihood that something was very small indeed.


Murakami on the meaning of life

The great Japanese novelist’s answer demonstrates, as you can probably imagine, an interesting and unusual perspective:

“Mr. Murakami, how would you respond if someone were to ask you, ‘What is the meaning of life?’ I would say, ‘There is no meaning to anyone’s life. It’s enough to be free,’ but I wonder if this shows a lack of responsibility or human emotion.”

“My answer would be ‘That’s something to think about after you die.’ While we’re still in the middle of being alive, it’s hard to really see the meaning behind it. We’re all busy, and we get caught up in all sorts of situations. So let’s think it over at our leisure after we pass away. I don’t think it’s too late to come to a conclusion after that.”

My answer, as both a Christian and a gamer, is this: “The meaning of life is to prepare for Level Two.” Which is why I don’t think we’ll necessarily have a lot of leisure to think over the past, unless we’ve been cast out into Outer Darkness.


Mailvox: the best rhetoric

I’ve been asked a few times by a couple different people how to respond when friends and family bring up the increasingly risible Fake Polls cited by the Fake News. Now, obviously the dialectic approach of citing the Norporth model and pointing to the 2016 polls is an option, but it’s not a good one, since the vast majority of people supporting Biden are limited to rhetoric.

So, I suggest simply saying: “You’re not trying to convince me, you’re trying to convince yourself.” 

Leave it at that and watch the wheels start spinning and the smoke start rising. Because the best rhetoric is always rooted in the truth.


Remove Section 230 protection from Facebook

Because Facebook is actively editing content and isn’t even bothering to pretend it is merely a platform rather than the publisher it obviously is:

Donald Trump Jr. has accused Facebook of election interference for limiting the spread of the New York Post story which claims Joe Biden met with a Ukrainian businessman while he was Vice President, saying it needs to be fact-checked first by its chosen third party before they will allow people to share it more online. 

The announcement came on Wednesday without any explanation from the social media giant and before Biden had even denied it. 

It thrusts into the spotlight again the exorbitant power Facebook has not only over the circulation of news but also over politics and the spread of information, and comes at a particularly tense moment given the Presidential election is in just three weeks.  It also raises the question of who Facebook’s fact-checkers are and what qualifies them to arbitrate the truth.  

Andy Stone, who is a policy communications director at Facebook announced the decision on Twitter.

‘While I will intentionally not link to the New York Post, I want be clear that this story is eligible to be fact checked by Facebook’s third-party fact checking partners. In the meantime, we are reducing its distribution on our platform,’ he said. 

Perhaps House Trump should stop crying all the time about social media and simply a) remove the artificial and unfair legal protections from the Social Media Cartel while b) supporting the non-Cartel alternatives.

The New York Post article in question, which proves that Joe Biden lied about his corrupt son’s international business dealings.

Smoking-gun email reveals how Hunter Biden introduced Ukrainian businessman to VP dad

Hunter Biden introduced his father, then-Vice President Joe Biden, to a top executive at a Ukrainian energy firm less than a year before the elder Biden pressured government officials in Ukraine into firing a prosecutor who was investigating the company, according to emails obtained by The Post.

The never-before-revealed meeting is mentioned in a message of appreciation that Vadym Pozharskyi, an adviser to the board of Burisma, allegedly sent Hunter Biden on April 17, 2015, about a year after Hunter joined the Burisma board at a reported salary of up to $50,000 a month.

“Dear Hunter, thank you for inviting me to DC and giving an opportunity to meet your father and spent [sic] some time together. It’s realty [sic] an honor and pleasure,” the email reads.

An earlier email from May 2014 also shows Pozharskyi, reportedly Burisma’s No. 3 exec, asking Hunter for “advice on how you could use your influence” on the company’s behalf.

The blockbuster correspondence — which flies in the face of Joe Biden’s claim that he’s “never spoken to my son about his overseas business dealings” — is contained in a massive trove of data recovered from a laptop computer.

UPDATE: The God-Emperor is on it.

So terrible that Facebook and Twitter took down the story of “Smoking Gun” emails related to Sleepy Joe Biden and his son, Hunter, in the @NYPost. It is only the beginning for them. There is nothing worse than a corrupt politician. REPEAL SECTION 230!!! 

– Donald Trump


Disney expected to cut ESPN

 Woke, broke, and soon to get smoked:

CNBC’s Jim Cramer told TheStreet.com that Disney’s reorganization plan announced this week is writing on the wall for ESPN. “I think it’s really about getting rid of ESPN,” Cramer said of the plan to accelerate a direct-to-consumer strategy. The main focus for Disney going forward will be streaming, streaming and more streaming….

“ESPN used to be this unbelievable thing and now it’s just a really expensive thing they are having trouble monetizing. ESPN is no longer the precious place that it once was.”

“ESPN went from slightly over 100 million cable subscribers in 2010 to slightly over 80 million earlier this year,” Outkick’s Ryan Glasspiegel wrote this week when the Disney news was announced. This affects every cable network. Cable news has been thriving in viewership for a number of reasons, but it is still facing the subscriber declines of the rest of the industry. The issue for ESPN in particular is that they have by far the biggest subscriber fees of anyone in the business.

“This is the rough math: Between ESPN and ESPN2, the subscriber fees total about $10 a month. They’ve lost about 20 million subscribers, which is $200 million a month, which is about $2.4 billion a year in lost revenue.”

No matter how rich and powerful a corporation is, events will eventually overtake its situation sooner or later. 


MEDIA WHORES: The Charlatans

MEDIA WHORES: COURTESANS AND CHARLATANS OF THE AMERICAN COMMENTARIAT

CHAPTER THREE: The Charlatans

The easiest way to understand the difference between a media courtesan and a media charlatan is to consider the two heads of the Clinton co-presidency.  Like Hillary, the courtesan is a true believer who truly buys into the notion that it takes a village to raise a child, that the demands of the collective must always take precedence over the rights of the individual and that it is a moral imperative of the governing elite “to take things away from you on behalf of the common good.”

Bill Clinton, on the other hand, is an exemplary charlatan.  The charlatan’s primary belief is a fundamentally anti-ideological loyalty to himself alone; he sees himself not only the measure of Man but also as a human epicenter of political moderation, the pivot around which the entire political spectrum revolves.  Personal advancement is all, like Wilde, he is capable of containing multitudes and there is no contradiction his mind cannot encompass since the only question he considers relevant is which side of an issue will serve him better at that particular moment.

The structural biases of the media cabal being what they are, it can at times be difficult to ascertain the difference between a true media courtesan and a charlatan who is only playing the role in order to move up within the brothel.  Charlatans are more common on the commentary side, as the adversarial nature of bipartisan infotainment requires a certain ideological flexibility and the ability to turn on a dime and swap sides from show to show, depending upon who is playing the role of the opponent on a given evening.

CABAL-APPROVED MEDIA CHARLATAN

Scortus medius veniatus

Description: Pasty white to dark brown, often with white-tipped hairs, giving grizzled appearance. Dark suit with white shirt and red tie.  Facial profile usually clean-shaven. In some areas, individuals may appear brownish or blackish, rarely bronze.  Single pair of prominent incisors.  Ht about 6′ 0″ (180 cm); Wt 175–250 lb (77–112 kg); some individuals to 300 lb (133 kg). Female has blonde hair, usually dark at the roots.  Ht about 5′ 4″ (130 cm); Wt 115–135 lb (47–68 kg)

Breeding: After 4-year gestation in second-rate university, young are forced out into the wild on their own, where they are dependent upon the scraps to be found on Internet publications, small-market radio shows and local newspapers.

Habitat: Urban centers.  Favors think-tanks, universities, wellness centers, radio booths, publishing houses.

Range: Entire U.S.  Follows migratory pattern dependent upon primary food source: speaking invitations.  Always to be found at college campuses between May and July.

Subsistence: Favors speaking engagement fees, but can make do with freelance writing gigs if necessary.

Usually operating as nominal independents outside the media cabal’s infrastructure, the charlatan is necessarily forced to develop an ability to camoflauge its true colors, assuming they exist at all.  This is because the media’s commitment to diversity is one of skin color, gender and sexual orientation, not of thought.  There are only two intellectual orientations considered permissible, the courtesan position and, to a lesser extent, the loyal opposition position; anything outside those two is considered extremist, marginal and therefore unfit to print.

This creates a real problem for the would-be media star, who must necessarily tailor his views to suit those of his prospective employer and clients.  For example, I can testify from personal experience that if one’s goal is employment as a newspaper columnist, submitting a sample piece on the evils of publicly-financed sports stadiums the very week that the paper runs a three-part series on the extreme desirability of state financing for a new football stadium intended for the sole use of the Minnesota Vikings is counterproductive.  In a broader market, this need to tailor one’s views would not necessarily be a problem, but in a typically monolithic city, which features three newscasts and two newspapers, the reality is that tomorrow’s media star either plays along today or does not play at all.

The specifics of playing along will mean different things to different people, but the act of compromise is the same.  Whether it involves a moderate Democrat penning a “Bush is Hitler” ode to curry favor with the Move-On crowd, a Christian conservative swearing his blood-allegiance to President Bush in order to appease the Three Monkey Republicans, or a financial commentator pretending to take the latest inflation numbers at face value, the same forces are at work.

The temptation to sell out one’s principles, consciously or unconsciously, can be tremendous.  This is why those who make it to the top of the heap so often appear to have no principles at all.  They don’t. Or, to be more precise, their only principle is their immediate self-interest. Principles are a tremendous handicap to the would-be media star; much more useful is the ability to speak to the producer first and the audience second.  And the broader the potential audience, the better, which is why the vanilla-flavored moderate is almost always preferred by producers and editors over the spicier idealogue even when the idealogue happens to be more popular and more talented.

I once had a conversation with a fellow columnist who was undergoing a crisis of conscience.  He admitted that for three years, he had engaged in no independent thinking or research and instead had simply followed the quasi-official consensus that happened to prevail at the time he was writing.  That he had done so did not surprise me, that he was candid enough to admit it to himself, let alone to me, certainly did. (1)

The charlatan’s instincts are fearful and instinctively servile.  Since veniatus usually lacks the job security of washingtonia, a tendency towards obsequious posterior-smooching is ubiquitous and can serve as a useful identifying characteristic.  This is most notable in the charlatan’s attitude towards other media figures, towards whom it behaves reverentially even in the most absurd circumstances.  Bill O’Reilly’s infamous column in defense of Dan Rather, in which he bizarrely claimed that criticism of the now-retired CBS anchor’s credibility-destroying decision to pass off forged documents as real was tantamount to “sliming”, is perhaps the most notable example.

This servile attitude also infests the blogosphere, unfortunately, and is one of its more unattractive elements.  Many political bloggers dream of making it big, and the difference between the blogwhore and the media charlatan is largely one of degree.  Even the biggest bloggers, who straddle the increasingly blurred line between media and blogworld, are subject to this unseemly genuflection. For example, my acquaintances at the very popular conservative blog Powerline nearly blew a gasket when I committed the outrageous faux pas of daring Michelle Malkin to defend her assertion of the military necessity for Japanese internment(2) on the Northern Alliance Radio Show(3).

FOOTNOTES

(1) Yes, I was referring to Ben Shapiro here. I hope you will note that I correctly ID’d him as a charlatan back in 2005, long before he had a career that anyone could possibly be considered “jealous” of. His subsequent “success” has not surprised me in the least. Nor will his eventual fall from the high horse.

(2) As I demonstrated in a series of columns and blogposts, Malkin is not only hopelessly wrong, but the factual errors on which she bases her case indicates that she did not even do a modicum of research into the question.  Malkin, to no one’s surprise, failed to appear even though she’d been on the same show only a month previously promoting her ridiculous book

(3) The Northern Alliance Radio Show is a weekly show featuring the minds behind the Powerline, Fraters Libertas and Captain’s Quarters blogs broadcast in the Twin Cities on the Patriot 1280.


Upping our game

For the last 17 years, I’ve done my best to keep my professional game development work separate from my political writing and my blog. But now that the SJWs have invaded and politicized my beloved game industry, there is no longer any need to keep these two areas of interest apart, in fact, one can reasonably argue on the basis of Castalia’s success in the publishing arena that my own uncloaking in this regard will tend to inspire others to do so, and may help establish sizable niche markets that are capable of not only surviving, but thriving.

The approach of a major milestone here inspired me to think about what has made VP successful over time when so many other blogs, even very popular, well-trafficked blogs, have disappeared. So, I’m going to increase my posting at DevGame and I’m also going to recruit other high-quality game developers, game reviewers, and comics creators to contribute regularly at both Arkhaven and DevGame. Comics writer Jon Del Arroz has already agreed to begin contributing posts at Arkhaven, and I’ve just put up my first post in a very long time at DevGame, which is an article published 13 years ago in DEVELOP magazine called The Art of Imitative Design.

Why does one game succeed brilliantly while another game vanishes into obscurity? Why is one game an absolute blast to play while another, very similar game, simply isn’t that much fun? It is often easy to understand why a game fails, but it is usually more difficult to ascertain why one game becomes a hit when another does not, epecially when the hit does not feature better features, prettier art, faster performance, or a most distinctive brand than other games in the same genre.

In most cases, success comes down to superior game design, by which I mean the use of game concepts and mechanics that provide the player with a more enjoyable gameplay experience. Game design should never be confused with game development or with production, as it is the aspect of game development that consists of conceiving and articulating ideas that are subsequently turned into functional reality through the process of production.

There are four types of game design.

  • Original
  • Evolutionary
  • Synthetic
  • Imitative

Read the rest at DevGame, which I would very much like to see gradually evolve into something more like a digital version of Computer Gaming World or a Gamasutra.


The Keys to the White House

Incorporating subjective elements as they do, the Keys to the White House are a less-than-perfect election predictor, but they’re certainly less imperfect than the Fake Polls by the Fake News:

Professor Alan Lichtman correctly predicted a Trump victory in 2016 using a model he developed in collaboration with a Soviet scientist who specialized in predicting earthquakes. The model is a true-or-false test on a list of 13 keys about the incumbent administration and the challenger. If five or fewer of the keys are false, the incumbent party wins.

The keys include factors like whether “after the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than it did after the previous midterm elections.” For the 2020 election, this key is false, since Democrats gained seats in the House in November 2018. In 2020, Lichtman is predicting that Biden will win, but the prediction appears to be victim to a subjective judgment on two of the keys.

On key number 11, Lichtman rules that Trump has achieved no “major success in foreign or military affairs.” The assessment does not explain why the eradication of the ISIS caliphate and the withdrawal of troops from Syria, Afghanistan, and Iraq cannot be counted as major military successes. Lichtman likewise doesn’t explain why he discounted the Trump administration brokering the signing of the Abraham accords, arguably the biggest breakthrough toward peace in the Middle East in decades.

And on key number 12, Lichtman rules that Trump is not “charismatic or a national hero,” an assessment which would be hard to defend before the Republican party, where his approval has steadily held in the mid- to high- 80s.

With the charisma and foreign affairs keys flipped for Trump, the model would swing in favor of the president’s reelection.

As those who watched Darkstream 655 will know, I think Lichtman has coded five keys incorrectly

  • The economy is not in recession during the electoral campaign. While successive negative GDP quarters indicate a technical recession, Q3 is going to set a record for the fastest annualized growth rate in post-WWII history.
  • Prior to the Covid-19 shutdown, the Trump economy recorded higher average growth rates than the previous two terms of the Obama administration. So, again, it’s a question of whether you blindly apply the model or take the current situation into context. No one is blaming Trump for the shutdown or the subsequent consequences, to the contrary, he’s been criticized for trying to keep the economy open.
  • The Trump administration has not been tainted by any scandals. Russia-Russia-Russia was an invention of his political opponents. Impeachment was so obviously political and irrelevant that Biden hasn’t even seen fit to mention it in his attack ads. The only scandal is the DC Swamp’s relentless campaign against him.
  • Trump has enjoyed historic foreign policy success since Reagan. To claim that he has not had “a major foreign policy or military success” is crazy. He’s also kept the US out of war with China, Russia, Iran, and Syria, despite the best efforts of the neocons.
  • Again, to claim Trump is not charismatic is insane. The fact that he might not personally appeal to Alan Lichtman is not the point, because Trump is obviously in the Reagan/Clinton mode of a charismatic leader.
I count two false keys, perhaps four if you insist on being technical on the economy. Either way, the Keys point to a win for the incumbent party and the incumbent President.


A Taste for Tongues

 

Episode 12 of The Forge of Tolkien, A TASTE FOR TONGUES, is now live on #UATV.

What flavor is English? Is it the same as Welsh? What does it mean to love many different languages, and yet to have a “native” language that is different from one’s mother tongue? Can Elves tell the difference between Man and Hobbit? Can Hobbits understand Elvish even if they don’t know the words? In this episode, Professor Rachel Fulton Brown explores Tolkien’s theorizing about language as something we are born with and yet learn; something that has flavor as well as sense, that might come in dreams as well as with our blood, and yet is at once personal and inherited. We meet Alwin Arundel Lowdham and his linguistic “ghosts.” And we learn the difference between Avallonian and Adunaic—and how to say “gods” in both. 

In other Unauthorized news, if you’re interested in understanding why you should ignore the polls and reviewing the non-poll evidence that a Trumpslide is in the making, check out 654 DEMORALIZATION SEASON and 655 THE EVIDENCE THAT TRUMP IS WINNING on The Darkstream.