The myth of the melting ice

Despite the science supposedly being “settled”, global warming still resolutely refuses to show its shy face anywhere on the planet:

Myth of arctic meltdown: Stunning satellite images show summer ice cap is thicker and covers 1.7million square kilometres MORE than 2 years ago…despite Al Gore’s prediction it would be ICE-FREE by now.

The most widely used measurements of Arctic ice extent are the daily satellite readings issued by the US National Snow and Ice Data Center, which is co-funded by Nasa. These reveal that – while the long-term trend still shows a decline – last Monday, August 25, the area of the Arctic Ocean with at least 15 per cent ice cover was 5.62 million square kilometres.

This was the highest level recorded on that date since 2006 (see graph, right), and represents an increase of 1.71 million square kilometres over the past two years – an impressive 43 per cent.

Other figures from the Danish Meteorological Institute suggest that the growth has been even more dramatic. Using a different measure, the area with at least 30 per cent ice cover, these reveal a 63 per cent rise – from 2.7 million to 4.4 million square kilometres.

The polar bears are doing well too. “Computer model predictions of decline caused by ice melt have also failed to come true. In 2004, researchers claimed Hudson Bay bear numbers would fall from 900 to fewer than 700 by 2011. In fact, they have risen to over 1,000.”

The entire Anthropogenic Global Warming/Climate Change affair reminds me of the clever front-runner who makes a habit of making smart guesses while pretending that he actually knows the relevant material. Al Gore and company saw a short-term trend, guessed it would continue, and made a lot of money from selling people on the “settled science”. But it was never anything more than a simple logical extrapolation that had no basis in either fact or science, and is being continually exposed on an ongoing basis to be an erroneous and non-predictive model.