Tag: war

Ukraine knows they have no chance against Russia, but its foreign leaders can get paid well by offering up its land and people to serve as bait in the neoclowns’ endless War on Russia

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba announced this week that the country’s National Security and Defense Council had approved a strategy that is aimed at retaking Crimea and reintegrating the strategically important peninsula.

Crimea, a peninsula in the Black Sea, was annexed by Russia in March 2014, following a US-backed, far-right coup in Kiev, the capital of Ukraine.

Announcing the move on Twitter, Kuleba wrote, “The signal is clear: we don’t just call on the world to help us return Crimea, Ukraine makes its own dedicated and systemic efforts under President [Volodymyr] Zelensky’s leadership.”

As part of its “3 pillars” strategy for retaking Ukraine, Kuleba notably stated that Zelensky’s administration sought “full Ukrainian sovereignty” over not just Crimea but that of the port city of Sevastopol as well, which serves as the home of the Russian Navy’s Black Sea Fleet.

Following Kuleba’s comments, Ukrainian President Zelensky announced via Twitter the creation of a Crimean Platform Initiative which the Ukrainian government described as “a new consultative and coordination format initiated by Ukraine to improve the efficiency of the international response to the occupation of Crimea, respond to growing security challenges, step up international pressure on Russia, prevent further human rights violations, protect victims of the occupying power and to achieve the de-occupation of Crimea and its return to Ukraine.”

The seeds of failure are always planted in the soil of previous success. 

Military Strategy Magazine devotes an entire issue to the immortal Carl von Clausewitz, the second-greatest military philosopher in human history:

As someone with a reputation for adhering to the teachings of Carl von Clausewitz it would seem odd if I were to do anything but commend the writing contained in this Military Strategy Magazine Special Edition to our readers, so please take that as a given.

My introduction to Clausewitz came via the late Colin Gray and his work Another Bloody Century. To that point I had been deeply skeptical of Clausewitz and his academic fan club, never having set foot in a university, attended any lectures and left school at 16. Thus it speaks in Clausewitz’s immense favor that when I actually engaged with the text and the more commonsense commentaries about it, On War immediately began to answer questions that had so far left me confused and bewildered as to the unedifying, confused and clown infested swamp which is modern military thought – and if you think that harsh, Clausewitz would probably not argue with that description because he wrote to clarify and inform his peers, not confuse them further with reputational writing intended to show how clever he was. Clausewitz may not live in the Corporals club, but he should be more of a welcome visitor than many think.

Clausewitz really lives and dies in Professional Military Education (PME). Romping through On War next to other works is a miserable introduction yet that is how many come to meet Clausewitz’s work, yet why should anyone bother? To quote Colin Gray, “if not Clausewitz, then who?”

Ironically, if PME was as practice and evidence based, as some claim, no one would need to teach or even read Clausewitz because a 189-year-old book should have been surpassed by clearer and better work found in modern curricula but barring this somewhat nugatory observation it is fair to state that both reading and understanding On War will never set you wrong or harm your understanding of War and Warfare.

In well over a decade as Editor of Infinity Journal, now Military Strategy Magazine (MSM), and many, many email exchanges and ‘blog’ posts, I have seen all the critiques of Clausewitz flounder, mostly on the simple fault of not having read the book, or not understood the words on the page.

As I have said many times before, Clausewitz is not beyond criticism. There are things he did not say, and things he did not say clearly or well. He was prone to overstatement and using analogies that were perhaps not the best. He didn’t mention naval forces. He didn’t deal as well as he might with Logistics or Intelligence, but very few have, and no other military theorist is held to same semantic standards or levels of rigor as Clausewitz, mainly due to the efforts of more failure prone theorists such as Fuller and Liddell-Hart, post 1918.

Read Clausewitz. Read On War. Everything and anything Clausewitz ever wrote, and make sure to read it more than once. If you don’t get it or think it’s turgid and boring, try and speak to those who don’t and ask for clarity and insights. No soldier or officer was worse at his job for having engaged with Clausewitz.

One of the things that is most striking about reading these various articles for anyone who has read Lind, van Creveld, and the Chinese duo of Qiao and Wang, is the utter necessity for more post-Clausewitzian thinking on strategy, operations, and tactics. Martin van Creveld was absolutely correct in his explication of the transformation of war, as the Clausewitzian framework has become too limited to serve as a sound philosophical basis to understand 21st century warfare.

That doesn’t render any of his core concepts less valid or important. Clausewitz absolutely remains relevant, and only a fool hell-bent on defeat would disregard his works anymore than one would disregard Sun Tzu’s aphorisms simply because the Chinese framework is outdated too. There is, for example, friction in “unrestricted warfare” just as there was on the Napoleonic battlefield. The point that I am making here, with all due respect and deference to the great Prussian, is that the Clausewitzian trinitarian framework no longer encapsulates war in all its forms, and therefore tends to suppress rather than support a comprehensive understanding of modern warfare.

At this point, it appears apparent that the US empire is not going to end with applause, or with a Sicilian Expedition, but rather a quiet retreat from the South China Sea:

Last fall, the U.S. Air Force simulated a conflict set more than a decade in the future that began with a Chinese biological-weapon attack that swept through U.S. bases and warships in the Indo-Pacific region. Then a major Chinese military exercise was used as cover for the deployment of a massive invasion force. The simulation culminated with Chinese missile strikes raining down on U.S. bases and warships in the region, and a lightning air and amphibious assault on the island of Taiwan.

The highly classified war game, which has not been previously made public, took place less than a year after the coronavirus, reportedly originating in a Chinese market, spread to the crew of the USS Theodore Roosevelt aircraft carrier, taking one of the U.S. Navy’s most significant assets out of commission.

Then in September in the midst of the war game, actual Chinese combat aircraft intentionally flew over the rarely crossed median line in the Taiwan Strait in the direction of Taipei an unprecedented 40 times and conducted simulated attacks on the island that Taiwan’s premier called “disturbing.” Amid those provocations, China’s air force released a video showing a bomber capable of carrying nuclear weapons carrying out a simulated attack on Andersen Air Force Base on the U.S. Pacific island of Guam. The title of the Hollywood-like propaganda video was “The god of war H-6K goes on the attack!”

In case the new U.S. administration failed to get the intended message behind all that provocative military activity, four days after President Biden took office, a large force of Chinese bombers and fighters flew past Taiwan and launched simulated missile attacks on the USS Roosevelt carrier strike group as it was sailing in international waters in the South China Sea.

Little wonder that many foreign affairs and national security experts believe the global pandemic has accelerated trends that were already pushing the United States and China toward a potential confrontation as the world’s leading status quo and rising power, respectively. This month the Council on Foreign Relations released a special report, “The United States, China, and Taiwan: A Strategy to Prevent War,” which concluded that Taiwan “is becoming the most dangerous flash point in the world for a possible war” between the United States and China…. What many Americans don’t realize is that years of classified Pentagon war games strongly suggest that the U.S. military would lose that war.

The USA is not going to go to war over Taiwan. Not even the most gung-ho, pro-military Southern family with a military tradition has any interest in sending its sons to die for a breakaway province of the foremost regional power in the Pacific, and the US Navy already knows it has no more ability to prevent the annexation of Taiwan than the British Navy had to prevent the annexation of Austria in 1938. And certainly not with China Joe Biden as nominal Commander-in-Chief.

Moreover, the strategy utilized by the Blue Team in the wargame to successfully deter the Red Team required a considerable amount of equipment, tactics, and training that the US military does not have.

This doesn’t mean war is out of the question in the near future. The foreign neoclown elite is still focused on making use of the US military to serve its purposes while it still can, which is why it is furiously trying to push wars in Syria, Iran, and Ukraine while completely ignoring Asia. And nothing could serve China’s strategic objectives better than for the US military to be tied down with a conflict with a major regional power on a front in Europe or the Middle East, which is why the possibility of even the most pointless, idiotic, and strategically insane military action by the US military cannot be counted out at this point in time.

This is an educational account of a genuine gun fight in Texas.

There had been numerous death threats issued about the event.  A competent security plan had been created. Greg says he was put at the back entrance because it was viewed as the “easy job”. He joked the idea was to “give the old guy the easy job”.  He had a list of the people authorized to use the entrance, and codes they were required to know in order to use it.  It was a shortlist.

Pam Geller and Gert Wilder had been passed through. A snafu with a caterer had been cleared up.  Gert Wilder and his security team had left.

Just before 7 p.m. in the evening, Greg went to the restroom. A pair of roving armed security took his place. He took his duty car. He returned to his post. The roving team left.

About five minutes after he returned, a small black car pulls up, and stops, abruptly, facing away from the entrance.

Greg’s hair starts standing up on the back of his neck. His “police sense” starts going off. Something is not “right”. The car has out-of-state plates, from Arizona. Immediately, both doors to the car open at the same time.

As the passenger exits, Greg sees the muzzle of a rifle moving in a sweeping motion. Elton Simpson, the passenger, has an AK-47 semi-automatic clone and brings it into play. As Greg sees the rifle moving, the synapses click, the trained and practiced instincts kick in.

This is real. He needs to engage. Now! The attackers are 35 feet away. There is no cover.

Gregory Stevens draws his Glock 21 .45 from his retention holster. Elton Simpson brings up the AK clone. The shots exchanged are so close as to be simultaneous. Greg cannot determine who shot first. All three combatants are wearing soft body armor.

Simpson misses. One of the 230 grain Gold Dot hollow points Greg is launching from the Glock, probably the first, smashes Simpson’s femur. More rounds follow as Simpson falls.  He goes down, dropping the rifle.

The driver,  Nadir Soofi, is firing at Greg with a semi-automatic rifle. The rifle is equipped with a 100 round magazine. The rifle was either a detachable magazine-fed SKS or an AK clone. (The terrorists had three rifles with them) Greg shifts his aim to Soofi. He fires several rounds from his Glock. Soofi goes down, dropping the rifle.

During the firing, Greg has taken a step or two closer, utilizing a flash sight picture, and advancing on the terrorists.

Greg directs his attention back to Simpson.  Simpson is still moving, still a threat. Greg fires more rounds. Simpson goes down again.  Greg directs his attention back to Soofi, who is attempting to get up. Greg fires the last of the rounds in the Glock. Soofi goes down, hard. Greg does a tactical reload, very fast.

Greg has fired 14 rounds of 230 grain Speer Gold Dot ammunition from his Glock. Simpson and Sufi have fired about 35 rounds of 7.62 x 39.  Those rounds were easily capable of penetrating Greg Stevens’ soft body armor.

The entire action took 10 seconds or less.

However, for the punchline, read the whole thing there. It makes it very clear that virtually nothing is as it seems anymore.

The neoclowns running the Biden Not-Administration appear to be planning to lose a war between Ukraine and Russia in order to sabotage the Nord Stream 2 pipeline project. 

The NAF, to be clear, doesn’t stand any chance in a full scale Ukrainian assault. Even in 2014, when the Ukrainian Army was much less organized, Russian artillery and EW intervention proved critical. The Ukrainian military has since had more than half a decade of getting 5{3549d4179a0cbfd35266a886b325f66920645bb4445f165578a9e086cbc22d08} of Ukraine’s GDP lavished on it. While Ukraine’s GDP is unimpressive, this is still a high numerator and Russian involvement would have to be more overt than in 2014 if the Donbass is to be saved.

Considering that 100,000’s of Donbass residents are now also Russian citizens, not doing so would discredit Putin domestically.

This, then, might be the game plan. By provoking a Russian intervention, it could finally provide the US with the arguments to finally pressure Germany into shutting down Nord Stream 2, just a few months before its projected completion. (Contra popular conceptions, Germany is more invested into NS2 than is Russia, and stands to lose relatively more from a last minute torpedoing of the project). NS2 threatens to deprive Ukraine of $2-3 billion dollars in annual transit fees. These are not insignificant sums for a country with a GDP of $150 billion and are well worth the lives of a few hundred Ukrainian soldiers, who – as Strana‘s sources report – plan to stop the offensive and probably retreat should Russian troops go in….

There’s another piece of the puzzle that slid into place today. Biden told Putin that “he will pay a price” for his “meddling” in the US elections on coming to power in January. Soon after, no other than RT chief editor Margarita Simonyan was in the LDNR, demanding that Russia take it home in a conference dedicated to the “Doctrine of the Russian Donbass.” I would say that this is unlikely to have been a coincidence.

This strategy may appear to be insane from a conventional view of military strategy. But remember, the neoclowns core philosophy is inversive and they have made an art of winning through losing and playing the victim. 

Kurt Schlichter observes that a military incapable of defeating a single talking head is unlikely to fare well against the Chinese military.

Let’s understand something – the military has been running on empty for a long time. Thirty years ago right now, I was in Saudi Arabia in the wake of the Gulf War, the high point of American power. The military was rebuilt by visionaries who embraced high standards and focused on warfighting rebuilt the devastated post-Vietnam military and proved the concept in those sands by annihilating a relatively powerful nation’s entire force in six weeks of air war and 100 hours of ground war. We were not woke. We were not politically correct. We were just unbeatable.

Fast forward to 2021, as our military is are still chasing bandits around the Hindu Kush, as our forces still in Iraq are still getting rocketed and as we are still pouring troops into Syria for some damn reason. The Chinese are eating our lunch in the Western Pacific, but our military leadership pretend it’s 1945 and that the U.S. is still dominant. It thinks we’re unbeatable, but there’s no Chester Nimitz out there, and the Chinese are deadly serious, even as our leadership pretends boys can become girls and that paying for their snip surgery will make us more combat-ready.

When the Chinese choose to do it, they will take Taiwan. They will screen their flanks by wiping out our regional bases and they will sink every U.S. ship within range that hasn’t already been knocked out of action by colliding with a cargo boat. By the way, read the investigation of the utter incompetence and total failure of leadership that led to those two devastating and fatal collisions in recent years. Sickening – a total failure of leadership starting at the top.

The Chinese are a serious military, devoted to one thing: winning the coming war against the United States. Our military leadership is not serious. It has lost its edge and devoted itself to social experimentation while cheerleading itself into thinking everything is A-okay. It’s not.

This comes from the top, but unfortunately the commander-in-chief is busy with a Matlock marathon while the people pulling his puppet strings are interested only in ensuring that the military is fully absorbed into the ranks of the woke institutions. How can you expect a civilian leadership in China’s pocket to prep to fight it?

Even worse, the Trostkyites running the current Not-Administration are desperately trying to launch their revenge war against Russia, which has already withdrawn its ambassador to the United States in response to the neoclowns’ latest diplomatic catastrophe while their puppet government in Afghanistan collapses.

I may or may not be correct about the 2033 collapse of the political union, but regardless, I see zero chance the United States makes it to 2040 intact.

This harrowing account of living through the 1992 LA riots is more a treatise on what not to do than anything else, but it is extremely educational about what may be in the cards in various cities this summer:

I was supposed to meet my wife at Soup Plantation, a well known restaurant down the road. I couldn’t get her on the mobile. When I got there and parked, there was a queasy air amidst all the shopping mall splendour and people had a frightened look in their eyes that I had never, ever seen before. The easy listening music in the restaurant was so mundane it was hard to reconcile with the outside windows, which had fire engines, police cars and people running on foot outside. I had planned to just eat quickly with my wife and go home, because I was having trouble absorbing the idea that this thing was possibly even worse than I might have imagined. I thought South Central was so far off, truth is it was about five minutes down the road.

People in the restaurant were watching the television reports, which were growing increasingly more feverish and seemed to just show one new burning building every thirty seconds. I was trying to keep a calm demeanour and went to explain to my wife what was happening.

All of a sudden, a woman in the restaurant screamed. A guy dropped his tray and soup went everywhere. A man was standing in the doorway of Soup Plantation and wobbling on his feet. Blood was gushing out of his forehead which had a nasty gash running right down to his ear. He yelled “They’re coming! They are next door in the mall!! They’re tearing everything to pieces!”

You could have heard a pin drop. Then the restaurant exploded with activity and EVERYBODY was crawling over the women and children trying to get to their cars in the parking lot outside. I’m talking blind panic here, people smacking into each other like they could not give a fugg less about any human in the world outside of themselves. A guy floored his Subaru and tore the toll gate right off the booth. Everybody else was following him out, the attendant was gone. There was cars hitting each other like bumper buggies at the carnival, nobody seemed to care, everybody wanted to get out to the street.

When we made it out onto the highway, I got my first look at the skyline since I left Rodeo Drive. It looked like the fires of hell were consuming half of the city. My wife was crying, she thought it was the end of the world.

I have to admit, I had absolutely no idea things were that bad. Definitely read the whole thing. And I couldn’t help but laugh at how bitterly the guy regretted listening to his wife about leaving the house unarmed on a literal milk run. It’s epic.

 In THERE WILL BE WAR VOL. X, the late Jerry Pournelle and I published a haunting story called “Seven Kill Tiger” by Charles W. Shao. It even anticipated the use of vaccine programs to administer genetic weaponry. An excerpt.

Philip Thompson was reading a report of a small measles outbreak in Ecuador when a knock on the open door to his office disturbed him. He looked up and saw it was Scott Berens, one of his junior analysts, standing in the doorway.

“You heard about Ecuador, Dr. Thompson?” the younger man asked.

“Reading about it now. Looks as if the government has it under control.”

“They caught it early enough. It’s the Tungurahua province again. That’s been a problem area for the Ministry of Health since 1996. The vaccination program misses too many of the indigenous children.”

“Understandable.” Thompson put the report down on his desk. “What’s on your mind, Scott?”

“Do you remember that unknown outbreak in northern Zambia we started tracking six months ago?”

“I thought that was a false alarm.”

“It was, insofar as we were able to determine that it wasn’t Ebola, which was the initial concern. And there were only 142 cases and 26 deaths before it burned itself out, so we didn’t even bother sending anyone over to investigate.”

Thompson clicked his tongue against his lower lip, wondering where Berens was going with this. The young man was a bright young doctor and had graduated in the top ten percent of his class from Johns Hopkins, so he assumed Berens must have a good reason for bringing such an obscure incident to his attention.

“Are you saying we should have?”

“No, it’s just that I was reading over the statistics, as part of a paper I was thinking about writing on east Africa, when I noticed an anomaly.”

“What’s that?”

“The population of the nearest town. It’s mostly Chinese. I think they have a big mining camp up there.”

Thompson shrugged and spread his hands. “It’s hardly a secret that China has been moving into Africa in a big way for the last two decades. They have hundreds of such towns.”

“True, but that only explains why the Chinese were there. It doesn’t explain why most of the cases, and all of the deaths, were African. Only five Chinese were affected and all five recovered. Beyond the basic statistical odds involved, you would think the native population would be more resistant to whatever virus makes its way out of the jungle, not more susceptible to it.”

Thompson frowned. Berens was right. It was an anomaly. And if there was one thing he had learned after 22 years at the Center for Disease Control, it was to pay particular attention to anomalies.

“Good catch, Scott. Dig into it and see if it’s really just a mining town or if the PLA happens to have any laboratories or science facilities in the area. Not necessarily where the outbreak took place, but anywhere in the surrounding area. They went dark on the bio-war front a few years ago, and it may be that some of their test facilities were moved from Xi’an to Africa. This just might give us some insight as to where they went.”

“Do you think someone got careless and a bio-weapon escaped the lab, Dr. Thompson?” There was an eager glint in the younger man’s eyes that made Thompson smile despite himself. Such a discovery, even if it was never published in any of the public journals, could be the making of Berens’s career, and both of them knew it.

“Let’s not get ahead of ourselves, Scott. Go and see what you can find about this mining town, what is it called?”

“Mpolokoso.”

“Right.” He didn’t even bother trying to pronounce it. “Look into what the Chinese are doing there and we’ll see if it could have any connection to this mysterious outbreak. Write it up and email it to me; I’ll call you when I’ve had a chance to read it and think it over.”

“Will do, Dr. Thompson!” Berens made a mock salute with the paper and disappeared from the doorway.

Thompson leaned back in his chair, reflecting on the unwelcome news. Unlike his young subordinate, he already knew they weren’t likely to find any evidence of laboratories, research facilities, an escaped bio-weapon, or even anything that was conventionally considered to be a bio-weapon. Conventional bio-weapons didn’t discriminate between Asian and Sub-Saharan haplogroups. Genetic weapons, on the other hand, were designed to do just that. And he very much doubted that whatever it was had been released accidentally.

After consulting his contact list, he tapped in the number for Fort Detrick. A young enlisted woman answered the phone.

“US-AMRIID. How may I direct your call?”

“This is Dr. Phil Thompson of the CDC. Get me Colonel Hill, please.”

“Right away, sir.” She paused. “The CDC… is this urgent, sir?”

He smiled grimly. “That’s exactly what I’m trying to determine.”

Now consider how that fictional scenario, published in 2015, compares with this recent report published by Gordon Chang, a critic who has historically been skeptical of Chinese capabilities.

In 2017, Chinese media first reported CCP’s intention to construct a national DNA database. But this year, a think tank in Canberra, Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) released a report that revealed the key details and the scale of the operation for the first time and noted that for several years China has been collecting DNA from men, as well as school-aged boys across the country. Even though the Chinese government said that the database will help to track down criminals, the report described the operation as part of government efforts to strengthen social control.

As per the recent report, Chang claimed that China has the ability to collect very sensitive information about people from outside the country. They can do that by “buying American companies which have DNA profiles, subsidizing DNA analysis for ancestry companies, and hacking.” He said that internationally accepted QR codes for the travel in and out of China were another way the CCP government was expanding its database throughout the pandemic time.

According to him, China’s access to more than 80 million health profiles gave the authorities the ability to create dangerous bioweapons capable of destroying specific ethnic groups. Dominating the biotechnology industry was very important to China, said Chang and added that the country was probably trying to develop some diseases, which target not just everyone in the world but only certain ethnic or racial groups. “We’ve got to be concerned that the next disease is more transmissible and more deadly than the novel coronavirus,” he added.

I’ve long said that President Trump’s greatest accomplishment was keeping the USA out of war with Russia. I still believe that Putin would have ordered the invasion of Ukraine if Hillary Clinton had won the 2016 election. But now that Biden is the Official Not-President, the neoclowns are desperately attempting to provoke war with Russia again:

Even the Sad Puppies are beginning to grasp that extrication and separation are becoming necessary, even at the social and familial levels, although they still don’t grasp the root cause of the necessity:

Okay, so here’s the blog post I don’t want to write.

The next American Civil War will be fought in a lot of places, in sudden flare ups and unexpected bursts of rage. But where most casualties will occur is in the home. America’s civil war will be fought many places, but mostly in living rooms: siblings against each other, parents against children, children against parents, husband against wife, wife against husband.

If you live with a convinced leftist, how safe is your life, should the balloon go up?

And before you say “The first civil war was also between brothers!”

Sure, it was. There were mixed families. Mostly upper crust mixed families. But the war was largely a regional war, the country riven on regional lines.

Now? Bah. Now it’s a war of ideology. A war of beliefs.

And a lot of people are sleeping with the enemy, hanging out on weekends with the enemy. Visiting the enemy. Having lunch with the enemy.

At this moment a lot of you are sitting back there and going “My wife/husband/elementary school friend is not an enemy. Sure, he/she/it drank the Marxist koolaid from a hose but in every day life, in our normal interactions, in non-political things, we are very close, the best of friends.”

And maybe you are. Maybe you can trust them with your life…. Are you sure they’ll remain inoffensive if the ballon goes up and the gaslighting switches to “If you know a Trump voter, he/she is dangerous?” How about “Turn them in, so they can be sent somewhere nice for their own protection?”

They’re still not ready to fight, they still don’t recognize the real enemy, but at least they are beginning to fear those whose approval they used to seek. 

Do not suppose that I have come to bring peace to the earth. I did not come to bring peace, but a sword. For I have come to turn ‘a man against his father, a daughter against her mother, a daughter-in-law against her mother-in-law—a man’s enemies will be the members of his own household.’

—Matthew 10:34-36

Don’t ever hesitate to cut the wicked, the retards, and the crazies out of your life. Jesus literally told his 12 disciples not to waste their breath on people who were determined not to accept the truth, so why should you feel any need to do so?