The only good police shooting

Is a police-on-police shooting.* But they’re the good guys? Right, only good guys would ever occupy themselves with pulling over and attacking EMTs and shooting their fellow officers.

Here’s a simple lesson, Mr. Policeman. If the guy is driving an ambulance, he’s the good guy. Not you. See, he’s the guy actually saving lives, he’s not the guy with the gun and the badge pretending to enforce the law so long as it doesn’t conflict with what the politicians expect. And don’t shoot someone just because he has a gun! If he’s pointing it at you and he’s not in his own house, fine, blast away. But if he’s not aiming or shooting at you, master your adrenaline and hold your damn fire!

Of course, as we all know, the fatal shooting will be investigated and the policeman who pulled the trigger will be exonerated, because no police killing is ever unjustified. The only possible conclusion is that Officer Edwards was up to no good and merited killing. It’s a pity police-on-police killings don’t happen more often. If they did, the trigger-happy morons with badges wouldn’t be so quick to draw and fire in the knowledge that they’ll get away with murder.

*Okay, police have the same right to self-defense that anyone else does. But they don’t have any more right to self defense than anyone else either.


GDP Watch: Q1 2009 Preliminary

Speaking of statistical shenanigans, now we’re told that things are better than previously reported, but not as much better than previously reported as expected. Got that? Of course, I know you’re all looking forward to the upcoming revision of the National Income and Product Accounts, where similar post-facto adjustments will be applied to historical data.

QuarterAdvPreFinalRevAnnual
2009 Q1-6.1-5.7
2008 Q4-3.8-6.2-6.2-6.31.1 (1.3)
2008 Q3-0.3-0.5-0.3-0.5
2008 Q21.93.32.82.8
2008 Q10.60.91.00.9
2007 Q40.60.60.6-0.22.0
2007 Q33.94.93.94.8
2007 Q23.44.03.84.8
2007 Q11.20.50.60.1
2006 Q43.52.22.51.52.8
2005 Q41.11.61.71.32.9
2004 Q43.13.83.82.43.6

The reliability of government statistics

It seems that Shadowstats’s criticism of the Consumer Price Indices produced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics sufficiently annoyed the BLS economists enough that they produced a 17-page rebuttal entitled “Addressing misconceptions about the Consumer Price Index“. In that report, the BLS attempted to prove that the Shadowstats SGS-1980 adjustments significantly overestimate cumulative inflation, which from April 1998 to April 2008 was reported at 32 percent according to the BLS’s own CPI-U. However, when reading the report, I couldn’t help but notice two things. First, they didn’t include another, more conservative Shadowstats adjustment, SGS-1990. Second, in the table that compared the estimated SGS-1980 projections to actual price changes, they didn’t include what the CPI-U projected. Should one trouble to run the numbers, it’s not hard to see why they elected to omit that rather pertinent information.


In order to demonstrate that Williams’s figures are wrong, the BLS showed that the average delta in the prices of goods they selected was 81.7 percent over the specified ten-year period (They actually cheated and included two income-related figures that are not included in the CPI for the obvious reason that wages and income are not consumer goods; even so, that only reduced the average to 71.7 percent.) This is certainly an interesting way to attempt defending the credibility of a reporting methodology that provides a figure of 32 percent, but it is not a very effective means of doing so. In case the obvious conclusion has escaped the attention of the mathematically challenged, let me hasten to point out that 32 does not equal 81.7.

The BLS economists argue in their rebuttal that if it weren’t for that pesky increase in energy prices, the performance of the CPI-U would have been pretty good, of course, that defense would be far more meaningful if we were still living in a society that depended upon horse-drawn carriages for transportation and firewood for heating. Moreover, even if the three energy-related prices are excluded, CPI-U still comes in on the low side of the actual prices reported two-thirds of the time, 4.5 percent on average. On an annual basis, that would indicate an additional half-percent of inflation per year that is not included in the official BLS statistic.


The quarterback speaks

There have been more successful quarterbacks in NFL history. There have been better quarterbacks in NFL history. But there has never been a quarterback that I loved half so well as Francis Asbury Tarkenton. And now, years after his retirement, he proves that he can be every bit as entertaining as a football observer as he was scrambling around buying time in the backfield:

“I think it’s despicable. What he put the Packers through last year was not good,” said Tarkenton, who played for the Vikings from 1961-66 and again from 1972-78. ”Here’s an organization that was loyal to him for 17, 18 years, provided stability of organization, provided players. It just wasn’t about Brett Favre. In this day and time, we have glorified the Brett Favre’s of the world so much, they think it’s about them. He goes to New York and bombs. He’s 39 years old. How would you like Ray Nitschke in his last year [playing for] the Vikings, or I retire, and go play for the Packers? I kind of hope it happens, so he can fail.”

“He told the Packers ‘I’m retiring,’” Tarkenton said. “They’ve got to move on. They’ve got to go through their offseason plan, their workouts, they go with the other quarterback, who is a good player, and then comes back and says, ‘I think I want to play.’ … You build your team in the offseason. Everybody knows that. It’s about team. It’s not about Brett Favre. So he goes and runs up to the Jets, doesn’t even dress in the locker room with the players. Has a separate facility. Playing quarterback is about the relationships you have with your coaches, with your players, with your trainers, with your managers. How can you do that if you show up on gameday and you haven’t put the time in. And now he’s trying to do it again in Minnesota. And if Minnesota bites, God bless them…. I understand he’s been glorified so much. He’s been a great player, there’s no question about it, but it’s all about him. It is supposed to be all about your team. If you’re going to be the quarterback of your team, you need to be there in the offseason workouts in March and April. Peyton Manning’s there. Tom Brady’s there. I think he has been a great flamboyant quarterback, but he has made more stupid plays than any great quarterback that I’ve ever seen.”

All I know is that as a Vikings fan, I never feared Brett Favre. Never. Sure, sometimes he’d beat you with a lightning strike from that cannon arm, but just as often – more often – he’d beat the Packers with an untimely interception. Now, I can’t honestly say with complete certainty that even an injured, nearly washed-up Favre wouldn’t be in the Vikings’ best interest this season, since I have reservations about Sage Rosenfels and the team has been essentially without an actual quarterback for three years, but I suspect No. 10 is probably correct.


Torture and the ticking-bomb myth

NW asked my opinion about legalizing torture, which is as follows:

I don’t think there’s any situation where it can be legally justified. I think it can at least theoretically be justified on moral grounds in some circumstances, and in those circumstances the torturer should be willing to pay whatever penalty is deemed appropriate. After all, if the information he seeks is that overwhelmingly important, then he should be willing to pay a price for obtaining it. If the torturer is not willing to sacrifice hiimself for the information, if he is only willing to sacrifice his victim, then how important can the information possibly be? Be realistic, the nature of government is to stretch its limits, so one can’t reasonably expect legalized torture to remain within the nuanced strictures its defenders envision for long.

As far as the oft-mentioned ticking-time bomb scenario, that’s a particularly ludicrous attempt to justify the unjustifiable on emotional grounds. The ticking-time bomb scenario is a Hollywood invention and to the best of my knowledge there has never been a real one outside of television. One might as reasonably contemplate the burning question of whether or not the torture of intelligent extraterrestrial aliens is justifiable. In reality, either the plot will be broken up by conventional means long before it was to take place, or it will take place as planned and the first the authorities will know of it is when someone calls to report a big explosion.

Moreover, even in the extraordinarily unlikely event that a ticking-time bomb scenario were to occur and the relevant information was extracted by torture, history strongly suggests that it would prove useless because the authorities would sit on it for one reason or another until it was too late. Government does not move quickly enough for even this very improbable justification to hold water.

UPDATE – There is also a broader issue at stake here. If torture is deemed legally permissible, what is the limiting factor in preventing it being applied to every situation in which the government would like to obtain information? First, torture is an obvious violation of the 5th Amendment since it is being used to compel the victim to testify against himself. Second, if it is legal and trumps the 5th amendment, why should the police, the DEA, and the IRS not also be permitted to compel testimony in this manner? Remember, we’re dealing with a government that has successfully claimed that it can ban certain naturally growing plants under the Interstate Commerce clause even though said plants are neither sold nor cross state lines.


Fascists are always leftists

Progressive order out of chaos in the Bundesrepublik:

The killing in 1967 of an unarmed demonstrator by a police officer in West Berlin set off a left-wing protest movement and put conservative West Germany on course to evolve into the progressive country it has become today. Now a discovery in the archives of the East German secret police, known as the Stasi, has upended Germany’s perception of its postwar history. The killer, Karl-Heinz Kurras, though working for the West Berlin police, was at the time also acting as a Stasi spy for East Germany….

For the left, Mr. Kurras’s true allegiance strikes at the underpinnings of the 1968 protest movement in Germany. The killing provided the clear-cut rationale for the movement’s opposition to what its members saw as a violent, unjust state, when in fact the supposed fascist villain of leftist lore was himself a committed socialist.

This is why books like Liberal Fascism are important. Unless you understand the actual political spectrum, you’re constantly left floundering about and bewildered by historical events such as these. And it’s interesting to see how German socialists still love a well-publicized false flag operation. It’s a relief to know such things could never happen in the USA.


The experts estimate Q2

I’m not sure if I like to keep track of economic estimates because I’m interested in improving my analytical skills, or just because I’m a sadist:

On average, the economists estimate that gross domestic product will fall at an annual rate of 1.8% in the current quarter, and then only pick up slowly, growing 0.7% in the third quarter, and 1.8% in the fourth.

On the one hand, consumer confidence is up. On the other hand, Case-Shiller housing prices are now down 32 percent from peak. According to Keynes, it’s the animal spirits that count. I suspect the increasingly negative wealth affect will trump that. So, I don’t know about Q2 or Q3, but I expect Q4 to be negative. And speaking of houses, I can’t help but noticing NAR isn’t doing so well calculating their preliminary existing home prices, as three percent is a sizeable revision. The first number is from the April report, the second from the May report.

Jan09: 164,800 164,800
Feb09: 168,200 168,200
Mar09: 175,200 169,900
Apr09: —,— 170,200


Voxiversity III: Liberal Fascism by Jonah Goldberg

It will probably surprise few of you who are intending to participate in the third Voxiversity book study that the book I have selected is Jonah Goldberg’s excellent Liberal Fascism. I put this off a few months because while I know that many of you already own a copy, I thought it would be beneficial for those who don’t if we waited until the paperback edition was available. The paperback will be released on June 2nd, so if you’re interested in participating and don’t have the book yet, you should order it now from Amazon or put a copy on hold at your local bookstore. The first quiz will be posted Saturday, June 13th on the 24-page introduction, “Everything You Know About Fascism is Wrong”. I’ll post reminders on June 2nd and June 6th; those who are eager to leap into discussing the book are encouraged to do so if they wish.

I highly recommend taking part in UV-III because Liberal Fascism is not only an important book in understanding the true shape of the ideological spectrum and the history of early 20th century politics, it’s a very timely book that is likely to prove helpful in comprehending what will otherwise appear to be seemingly senseless actions of the current presidential administration. It is a well-researched, intelligent book, and as an Italian speaker who has been privy to untranslated material that is unavailable to Jonah, I can testify that his assertions and conclusions about Italian Fascism are in line with those of mainstream Italian historians of the Left and Right. As I wrote in my review of the book in 2007, it is well worth reading by anyone who has ever been called a fascist, has ever called anyone else a fascist, or simply wishes to understand the history of the ideologies that pervade modern American politics.

For those unfamiliar with the concept, a Voxiversity is designed to encourage you to not only read the book, but to nail down its details and grok its fullness. The weekly quizzes are not tests of achievement, they are merely there to cement the information in your brain. If you’re curious to know more about it, here’s a link to the final for UV-II as well as comments from some of those who participated in it. And this time, an added bonus, the author himself has said that he will stop by from time to time to take questions posed in the comments, and the five people who average the highest scores throughout the quizzes and final will win a signed paperback edition courtesy of Jonah and his publicist, Max.


The great Papal smear

Cisbio echoes French atheologist Michel Onfray by repeating a discredited and shabby historical canard as part of a misplaced attempt to criticize The Irrational Atheist:

Vox defends the Catholic Church from Onfray’s charge of complicity in the Holocaust, which, says Vox, “is entirely based upon what [Onfray] considers to be the Church’s silence during and after World War Two.” (p.202)

Notice the inference that Papal silence during WW2 is a perception peculiar to Onfray, rather than an uncontroversial fact known to all.

But Vox does not deny Papal complicity in the Holocaust so much as sympathise with it, albeit indirectly: ‘How can the Catholic Church be held responsible for failing to defend those [i.e. communists] who reject its authority over them.” He re-iterates his bemusement – and slyly widens his absolution of the Vatican’s inaction -in a footnote:

“I am a Christian, not a Catholic. The Pope has no authority over me, nor does he have any responsibility to defend me. Why Pope Pius XII should be criticised for defending his flock and not defending others who refuse to acknowledge him (he actually was a well-known defender of Jews) has never made any sense to me. The fact that the Vatican signed treaties with the Fascists and Nazis in 1929 and 1933 is proof of their astute and early recognition of two dangerous enemies, not a propensity for trans-ideological partnerships (the 1929 treaty established the Vatican as an independent state).”

Essentially, V is saying that Hitler could have slaughtered every Jew, protestant, Slav and communist from the Downs to the Urals, and the Holy Father’s conscience might have been soothed, rather than provoked, by the safety of the Catholics.

That’s Christianity for you.

First, one wonders if Vox isn’t thinking of Pius XI rather than Pius XII. To say that Pius XII was ‘a well-known defender of Jews’ is more than a little generous, given he did not once utter the word ‘Jew’ in public throughout the years of WW2. On the other hand, it was Pius XI who issued the Mit Brennender Sorge encyclical in 1937.

This encyclical, condemning the ‘fundamental hostility to Christ and His church’, has been taken by apologists to evince the Church’s concern for all faiths, including that of the Jews, despite the fact it doesn’t mention them by name. Pius XI did, in fact, publicly condemn Nazi anti-Semitism as un-Christian, repeatedly, and complain about the west’s conspiracy of silence (He also railed against capitalist greed.) But by the time war had started, Pius XI was dead and the cardinal who had negotiated the 1933 treaty with Berlin had succeeded him as Pius XII. Given the circumstances, is it a surprise that Pius XII proved more compliant?

That Vox seems unaware of the 1937 encyclical is not surprising, given the command he has displayed thus far, but one can’t help thinking he’s missed a trick. (admittedly, the future Pius XII had a hand in its composition) Of course, the fact of the encyclical proves the Vatican felt able to confront the Nazi’s when so moved, which only serves to highlight its silence regarding the Holocaust.

All the while, the reader is wondering why this in a footnote. Perhaps because it culminates with the startling assertion that the 1929 and 1933 treaties were ‘proof of [the Vatican’s] astute and early recognition of two dangerous enemies’. Perhaps Vox feels that, by placing such a statement in a footnote, he is absolved from backing it up with, say, an argument. (Not that he’s displayed such temerity before.)

First, let me say that I absolutely deny any Papal complicity in the Holocaust and reject the charge of “silence” as well. While it’s now clear that I shall have to do so in the next edition of TIA, I did not bother to dismantle Onfray’s argument on factual grounds because it is devoid of any supporting evidence whatsoever. Therefore, I saw no need to address the factual claims and chose to focus on the flaws in his logic instead. I should have addressed both. Second, it is always risky to make assumptions about what another person knows or does not know, but I note that if we are to apply Cisbio’s past recommendations to his own writing, we must conclude that neither 20th century history nor the history of the Catholic Church is his style and strongly suggest he drop them. For it was Pius XII, not the deceased Pius XI, who protested the October 1943 order from Berlin to arrest the 8,000 Jews in Rome. In a letter given to Obersturmbannführer Herbert Kappler, the SS Commander in Rome, the Vatican warned that the Pope would publicly denounce the planned arrests of all Jews of Italian citizenship if the Germans followed through with them. Adolf Eichman later wrote: “The objections given and the excessive delay in the steps necessary to complete the implementation of the operation, resulted in a great part of Italian Jews being able to hide and escape capture.”

Pius XII also attacked the Nazi persecution of the Jews on the largest possible stage available to him. Although he followed his predecessor’s lead in not mentioning them by name, the world understood precisely to whom he was referring when, in his Christmas message of 1942, he declared: “Mankind owes that vow to the hundreds of thousands of persons who, without any fault on their part, sometimes only because of their nationality or race, have been consigned to death or to a slow decline.”

Certainly the New York Times understood: “This Christmas more than ever Pope Pius XII is a lonely voice crying out in the silence of a continent. The pulpit whence he speaks is more than ever like the Rock in which the Church was founded, a tiny island lashed and surrounded by a sea of war… When a leader bound impartially to nations on both sides condemns as heresy the new form of national state which subordinates everything to itself; when he declares that whoever wants peace must protect against ‘arbitrary attacks’ the ‘juridical safety of individual’; when he assails violent occupation of territory, the exile and persecution of human beings for no reason other than race or political opinion; when he says that people must fight for a just and decent peace, a ‘total peace’–the ‘impartial’ judgment is like a verdict in our high court of justice.”

The National Socialists understood too, as evidenced by a Gestapo report that summarized the Christmas address: “[T]he Pope has rejected the new National Socialist European Order. He has not attacked National Socialism directly, but he has severely criticized everything we believe…. He has spoken clearly in favor of the Jews.”

The fact that Pius XII didn’t refer to the Jews by name in his public statements is totally irrelevant given the wide scope of his activities and statements in their defense. Moreover, as everyone understood at the time, his ability to speak out in public was limited by the large numbers of Catholics and Jews subject to the German occupations. Pius XII had initially instructed the European bishops to speak out against Nazi persecutions of the Jews and others upon learning about the outrages committed by the Nazis in Poland. But the severe reprisals that came in response to the Dutch bishops’ letter of July 1942, which denounced “the unmerciful and unjust treatment meted out to Jews by those in power in our country” in every Catholic Church across Holland, taught the Pope that he had to be more circumspect if he did not wish to make matters worse for those he was attempting to help. The dearth of direct refences to the Jews during the war years was not indicative of silent complicity with Nazi policy, but rather a staunch but discreet resistance to it. It is worth noting that the Pope was himself subject to German occu
pation from September 1943 to June 1944.

Pius XII can also be confirmed to have vigorously and repeatedly protested the National Socialist actions through direct communications with the German government. The Foreign Minister, Joachim von Ribbentrop, testified at the Nuremburg Trials: “I do not recollect at the moment, but I know we had a whole deskful of protests from the Vatican. There were very many we did not even read or reply to.”

Israeli sources report that papal relief programs saved more Jews than any other, an estimated 860,000. It is not an accident that 80 percent of Italy’s Jews survived the war despite the German occupation, about four times more than survived the war in other occupied countries. Many important Jewish leaders of the era, including Israel’s first president, first foreign minister, and chief rabbi were explicit in their gratitude towards Pius XII and the Catholic Church for their defense of the Jewish people. Time Magazine printed a letter from Albert Einstein in 1940:

“Being a lover of freedom, when the revolution came in Germany, I looked to the universities to defend it, knowing that they had always boasted of their devotion to the cause of truth; but, no, the universities immediately were silenced. Then I looked to the great editors of the newspapers whose flaming editorials in days gone by had proclaimed their love of freedom; but they, like the universities, were silenced in a few short weeks. . . . Only the Church stood squarely across the path of Hitler’s campaign for suppressing truth. I never had any special interest in the Church before, but now I feel a great affection and admiration because the Church alone has had the courage and persistence to stand for intellectual truth and moral freedom. I am forced thus to confess that what I once despised I now praise unreservedly.”

But as for the man Pius XII himself, let Golda Meir pronounce the final judgment. After his death in 1958, she delivered the Israeli government’s official condolences to the Vatican:

“We share in the grief of humanity… When fearful martyrdom came to our people in the decade of Nazi terror, the voice of the pope was raised for the victims. The life of our times was enriched by a voice speaking out on the great moral truths above the tumult of daily conflict. We mourn a great servant of peace.”

Michel Onfray’s ahistorical slander of one of the few world leaders brave enough to staunchly oppose Hitler and the National Socialists in both public and private is contemptible. And to accuse the man of complicity in the very atrocities he was rightly praised for resisting at great personal risk to himself and to those for whom he was responsible is either indicative of near-complete factual ignorance of the matter or blatant intellectual dishonesty.

UPDATE – There simply cannot be any doubt that Cardinal Eugenio Pacelli was an outright enemy of the Nazis both before and after his elevation to the papacy. Consider his words from a public speech in France, covered by the New York Times, given two years AFTER the treaty cited above as evidence of his compliance with the National Socialists:

“[The Nazis] are in reality only miserable plagiarists who dress up old errors with new tinsel. It does not make any difference whether they flock to the banners of social revolution, whether they are guided by a false concept of the world and of life, or whether they are possessed by the superstition of a race and blood cult.”


An affirmative-action judge

Obama nominates a not-very-bright divorced Hispanic woman with personality issues to the Supreme Court. I know, I’m shocked too:

Over the past few weeks, I’ve been talking to a range of people who have worked with her, nearly all of them former law clerks for other judges on the Second Circuit or former federal prosecutors in New York. Most are Democrats and all of them want President Obama to appoint a judicial star of the highest intellectual caliber who has the potential to change the direction of the court. Nearly all of them acknowledged that Sotomayor is a presumptive front-runner, but nearly none of them raved about her. They expressed questions about her temperament, her judicial craftsmanship, and most of all, her ability to provide an intellectual counterweight to the conservative justices, as well as a clear liberal alternative.

The most consistent concern was that Sotomayor, although an able lawyer, was “not that smart and kind of a bully on the bench,” as one former Second Circuit clerk for another judge put it. “She has an inflated opinion of herself, and is domineering during oral arguments, but her questions aren’t penetrating and don’t get to the heart of the issue.”

It never ceases to amaze me how once a society enters the decline phase, it’s the mediocrities who rise increasingly to the top of government circles. I can’t imagine Scalia having too much trouble slapping this third-rater around. In other judicial news, the California Supreme Court apparently decided that the electorate was in no mood to be ignored after seeing the results of the recent referendums and upheld Proposition 8 while throwing a bone to the rush crowd:

In summary, we conclude that Proposition 8 constitutes a permissible constitutional amendment (rather than an impermissible constitutional revision), does not violate the separation of powers doctrine, and is not invalid under the “inalienable rights” theory proffered by the Attorney General. We further conclude that Proposition 8 does not apply retroactively and therefore that the marriages of same-sex couples performed prior to the effective date of Proposition 8 remain valid. Having determined that none of the constitutional challenges to the adoption of Proposition 8 have merit, we observe that if there is to be a change to the state constitutional rule embodied in that measure, it must “find its expression at the ballot box.” (In re Marriage Cases, supra, 43 Cal.4th 757, 884 (conc. & dis. opn. of Corrigan, J.); see also id. at pp. 861, 878 (conc. & dis. opn. of Baxter, J.).)