Category: Uncategorized

Trumpslide 90 percent

 The most reliable model in US presidential politics is showing a near-certain TRUMPSLIDE:

A professor of political science whose controversial election model has correctly called five of the last six U.S. presidential elections says President Trump will win reelection in 2020 in a “landslide.” 

Helmut Norpoth, who teaches at Stony Brook University, is giving Trump “a 90-percent chance of being re-elected in a landslide,” the Long Island, N.Y., school said in a recent press release. 

Norpoth’s “Primary Model” has correctly predicted nearly every presidential election since 1996, missing only George Bush’s 2000 victory over Al Gore. When the model is “applied to previous elections,” Stonybrook said, it “correctly predicts an impressive 25 of the last 27.”

Take into account the BLM riots and the observable fact that Creepy Joe Biden suffers from dementia, and the percentage chances of a Trumpslide rise to 300 percent and counting. 

About those “smart” hard-working immigrants

Immigrants to the USA are never as intelligent as they try to present themselves. They just tend to be far more adroit, and work much harder, at cheating than Northern Europeans, particularly than those of British descent.

College Board, the academic giant that administers the SAT, served as a “key partner” for the Chinese government for nearly two decades, helping it establish controversial Confucius Institute programs across the U.S. K-12 system, according to a new report.

Hanban, the Chinese government agency responsible for administering the Confucius Institute, has worked with the College Board for years to place government-approved Chinese teachers in American high schools across the country, according to a new report by the National Association of Scholars. The initiative has allowed Chinese teachers to teach Mandarin to tens of thousands of students. The College Board has also helped Hanban set up more than a dozen Confucius Institute classrooms, placing an organ of Chinese propaganda in the heart of some public school systems.

The report sheds light on the Chinese government’s vigorous attempt to penetrate the K-12 system, mirroring its infiltration of college campuses through the Confucius Institute. Rachelle Peterson, an NAS scholar responsible for the report, said the partnership raises questions about whether it is appropriate for such a trusted American institution to lend its support for Chinese influence-peddling efforts targeting the country’s youngest people.

“The College Board’s relationship with the Hanban appears to be unique—it is so deeply wedded to the Chinese government,” she said. “China has been especially aggressive in seeking Western partners who can lend to the Chinese government a veneer of credibility and respectability, and the College Board has received those offers with open arms.”

The Jews historically tested low in comparison with Europeans until they managed to get control of the universities. As I have conclusively proved, their much-vaunted “115 IQs” are not only a pure and self-serving myth, but are statistically impossible unless Israeli Jews have IQs comparable to US Blacks. I would not be even remotely surprised if it turns out that the spectacular Asian performance on the SATs in recent years was, in part, the result of widespread corruption of the College Board.

Let’s not even get started on the complete corruption of Indian test-taking, in which it is common for the smart one of the extended family to take the tests on behalf of all of his brothers and cousins. This clannish behavior even extends to job interviews, where the employee who shows up for work is not the same individual who interviewed for the job.

This really isn’t that hard. The fact that no other cultures have inherited the British tradition of “good sport” and “fair play” necessarily means that most of them, especially the more ruthless and self-serving, aren’t going to even hesitate to cheat and misrepresent themselves in a broad variety of ways if they believe that will help their people get ahead. Immigrants from those cultures may or may not work hard, but one of the things at which they work the hardest is cheating.

New nests to foul

Having successfully fouled Los Angeles, Shapiru is now relocating to Nashville:

Shapiro announced The Daily Wire is relocating from LA to Nashville. Daily Wire co-founder Jeremy Boreing cited declining quality of life in the city, including high housing costs and homelessness, as the reason for the move.

This is why cities need walls. And a policy of sinking the ships. Ten years from now, when Nashville is as bad a hellhole as Los Angeles, Shapiru will be talking about moving to Idaho.

After all, that systemic pedophilia isn’t going to spread itself.

“It is disturbing how Ben defends the intentions of the movie.”

Quelle surprise….

That tells us a LOT about you, Dave

 Dave Bautista, who not only worked for alleged pedo James Gunn, but actually criticized his firing, is obviously alarmed that the God-Emperor is going after the sex traffickers and child molesters:

Dave Bautista wants to know what’s up with the pedo stuff. No, not in a Pete Townsend kind of way. He wants to know why marks for his arch-enemy, fellow WWE Hall-of-Famer President Donald Trump, believe anyone who doesn’t support the president is a pedophile.

Bautista took to Twitter to ask, “When did everyone who doesn’t support @realDonaldTrump become a pedophile? Is that like the craziest shit ever or what? Inbred Philosophy 101 ‘Don’t support fascism? Child molester!!!!’ yeah, makes perfect sense.”

Besides, everyone knows that the only reason not to support Donald Trump is systematic pedophilia. Even if you’re not abusing children yourself, you’re part of a system that systematically abuses children and that makes you a pedophile.

It’s like these idiots never imagined that anyone would ever use their own rhetorical tactics against them. Or understood that the reason the rhetoric is effective is because it is clearly rooted in truth.

What we need is MORE Holocaustianity!

 Apparently we are supposed to be very alarmed that growing numbers of young people reject Holocaustianity:

A new US survey brought unexpected results as nearly 11 percent of young pollsters believe the Jews were responsible for the Holocaust, amid a wider trend of shocking ignorance about the Nazi genocide. The 50-state survey on Holocaust knowledge among US Millennial and Gen Z was commissioned by the organization “Conference on Jewish Material Claims Against Germany.”

The survey consisted of roughly 1,000 nationwide interviews, with participants selected at random, and a further 200 interviews of young adults aged 18 to 39 in each state. Some 63 percent of all respondents did not know that six million Jews were murdered, while 36 percent thought that “two million or fewer Jews” were killed….

The results shocked the organizers, as, for example, roughly 19 percent of New Yorkers surveyed felt the Jews caused the Holocaust; followed by 16 percent in Louisiana, Tennessee, and Montana and 15 percent in Arizona, Connecticut, Georgia, Nevada and New Mexico.

This is actually much worse news for the Holocaust industry than it looks on the surface. Because, let’s face it, New Yorkers are much, much, much more familiar with Jews than young people in Montana, Minnesota, or Idaho. So, it’s obviously not a question of unfamiliarity with the Holocaust narrative, but rather, disbelief based on experience of those who are relentlessly pushing it. 

Perhaps increasing the number of films and television shows pushing the Holocaustian narrative will help. I think I may have seen one episode of the Big Bang Theory once that didn’t make a reference to the only bad thing that ever happened in history to anyone. Or perhaps a ritual confession could be passed into law, an annual confession made on the date that the Nazi Party passed the Holocaust law, with both criminal and civil penalties for failing to confess your personal culpability for the very baddest thing to ever happen in history to anyone ever.

Killer rhetoric

They don’t care if they’re called communists. They don’t care if they’re called socialists. They don’t care if they’re called the real racists. But it is clear that they really, really, really care about being called a) Fake Americans, b) satanists, and c) pedos, or being (((identified))).

And remember, rhetoric is most effective when it is based on the truth:

PRESIDENT Donald Trump has shockingly shared a post claiming that rival Joe Biden is a pedophile along with a “misleading” video of the former VP whispering into a woman’s ear. 

Trump retweeted the GIF from a conservative Twitter user’s account on Tuesday morning that included the hashtag “#PedoBiden.”

The clip shows former Defense Secretary Ash Carter speaking at a podium during his swearing-in ceremony at the White House in 2015 while his wife, Stephanie Carter, and Biden stand nearby. Biden is seen standing behind Carter with his hands on her shoulders – and briefly whispers in the woman’s ear before she smiles and nods reassuringly. 

While her age is unclear, it’s very clear that Carter is a woman and not a child or underage female.

There’s no evidence to suggest that Biden is a pedophile and claims that he is are unfounded and have no basis in fact.

It’s always fascinating to see how the media tries to shift into pure dialectic mode with a higher standard of proof than is required in a court of law whenever it is trying to defend someone against an effective rhetorical attack. There is, after all, copious video and photo evidence that Creepy Joe is, at the very least, included to make females of every age more than a little uncomfortable.

 

Physics discovers the Mind of God

Sooner or later, the physicists are bound to follow the philosophers in gradually coming to recognize the need to choose between Christianity and nihilism.

Futurism: Your paper argues that the universe might fundamentally be a neural network. How would you explain your reasoning to someone who didn’t know very much about neural networks or physics?

Vitaly Vanchurin: There are two ways to answer your question.

The first way is to start with a precise model of neural networks and then to study the behavior of the network in the limit of a large number of neurons. What I have shown is that equations of quantum mechanics describe pretty well the behavior of the system near equilibrium and equations of classical mechanics describes pretty well how the system further away from the equilibrium. Coincidence? May be, but as far as we know quantum and classical mechanics is exactly how the physical world works.

The second way is to start from physics. We know that quantum mechanics works pretty well on small scales and general relativity works pretty well on large scales, but so far we were not able to reconcile the two theories in a unified framework. This is known as the problem of quantum gravity. Clearly, we are missing something big, but to make matters worse we do not even know how to handle observers. This is known as the measurement problem in context of quantum mechanics and the measure problem in context of cosmology.

Then one might argue that there are not two, but three phenomena that need to be unified: quantum mechanics, general relativity and observers. 99{5274a41d3bd2aa3d5829764fe19e8a7ecbc79c108731aad5f1ff2d292e60e2b4} of physicists would tell you that quantum mechanics is the main one and everything else should somehow emerge from it, but nobody knows exactly how that can be done. In this paper I consider another possibility that a microscopic neural network is the fundamental structure and everything else, i.e. quantum mechanics, general relativity and macroscopic observers, emerges from it. So far things look rather promising.

I’ve long been under the impression that whether it is the Big Bang, the need for a quantum observer, or a universal neural network, modern physics has relentlessly pointed towards the existence of God for those with the intelligence required to understand the evidence. I suspect that is why string theory, which is little more than the usual retreat from science that points in directions that atheists and Prometheans fear, has been holding on despite the fact that there is absolutely zero evidence to support the theoretical framework.

These are fascinating times. Darwin is all but dead, Einstein is being exposed, Ricardo has been destroyed, and postmodernism is fooling no one as it clowns about like a naked emperor in drag.

A Notion of Time

 

Episode 8 of The Forge of Tolkien, A NOTION OF TIME, is now live on #UATV.

What kind of frame would it take to write a convincing time-travel story? What if you were a scholar and wanted to travel back in time? What if your friend had written a space-travel story, and you found the frame unconvincing? In this episode, Professor Rachel Fulton Brown introduces The Notion Club Papers, Tolkien’s second effort at writing a time-travel story, and reads them for what we can learn about Tolkien’s own desire to travel back in time.

Mailvox: the ideas, they spread

 Readers note some familiar ideas popping up in some unfamiliar places.

Holy cow, Michael Anton’s new book reads like he’s been swiping you for years. In fact I’m shocked at how far he and the Claremont Institute are pushing the envelope.

“In sum, America is for the Americans—just as France is for the French, India for the Indians, Israel for the Israelis, Japan for the Japanese, Mexico for the Mexicans, and each of the world’s countries for its particular people. That’s not to say, necessarily, that America should never take in immigrants—though I personally think that, after fifty-five years and at least ninety million newcomers and their descendants, a moratorium is warranted, not least in order to assimilate this latest wave. It is to say that America is not the common property of all mankind, that every one of the world’s nearly eight billion people is not “more American than the Americans.” If everyone in the world is American—actually or potentially—then no one is. The logic of immigration absolutism leads to its own unraveling: in insisting on the universality of Americanness, it strips Americanism of all distinction or meaning. The ruling class welcomes that outcome. Have any of the “conservatives” thought it through?”

It sounds as if he might have read Cuckservative. And then there are these observations on the effects of social justice on an organization:

People like @GadSaad, @ConceptualJames and @PeterBoghossian have been saying once you let social justice in an organization it will eventually destroy it. (Even if well intentioned, it deviates from the core org goals.)

– Dave Rubin

I believe that’s what is called “convergence”. Someone may have written a book or two about it. 

I’m not at all bothered at the fact that the popularizers will be credited for these ideas, as Friedrich von Hayek recognized the problem with social justice and J.S. Mill decades before I did, and the idea that American universality is self-negating is logically inescapable. Anyone who actually thinks the matter through will necessarily reach the same conclusion. We don’t create truth, we can only observe it.

Anyhow, I’m very pleased to observe that my personal radioactivity is proving insufficient to prevent these ideas, and more, from escaping this particular intellectual ghetto and permeating the mainstream discourse.

“We could have some unrest”

Board of Clackamas County, Oregon, Commissioners Emergency Meeting

Thur. Sept. 10, 2020

There are lots of confirmed reports of looting, mostly in the outlying areas, Estacada, Colton, Molalla, Sandy, mostly in the outlying areas. Lots of looting has been taking place, burglaries and whatnot. There’s reports of — and this is not specific to an area but all over the county, both outlying and even closer into town — of people of extremist groups staging gas cans for later destruction. And equally concerning is there are reports of people from other extremist groups, it’s not confirmed Antifa but suspected Antifa — this is more specific to the Estacada area — reports and sightings of people armed with chainsaws. And the goal was to fall telephones poles in hopes of starting further fires.

– Captain Jeff Smith, Clackamas County Sheriff’s Department 

After hearing that from Capt. Smith here I’m inclined, Jim [Bernard, Clackamas County Commission Chair], we’ve got to make an appeal to the governor to call in the National Guard. That’s critical information that is very unsettling. There’s not enough law enforcement resources in the sheriff’s department to handle all that. And I’m fine with the curfew county-wide now more so than I was fifteen minutes ago but for crying out loud, we can’t allow a deliberate attack on property and people’s lives and just somehow leave the National Guard out there, sitting at home waiting for the call. 

– Commissioner Paul Savas

The issue, and I’m tied in, I’m sure we all are with our connections in the outlying areas of Clackamas County but it’s not only “Is this Antifa?” but it’s people’s perception that there’s a threat and so we have very strong members of our community that believe in protection of life, property, and we could have some unrest which we need to be measuring the pulse of that in our community. And so it’s beyond a specific group.

– Commissioner Sonya Fischer

Yes, I tend to anticipate that if people perceive a threat that is actually confirmed to be a threat that there just might be a little unrest if the authorities refuse to take any steps to address it. 

UPDATE: In the meantime, Oregon’s catch-and-release policy for Antifa arsonists doesn’t appear to be working very well.

Portland police arrested a man for starting a fire with a molotov cocktail and released him, only to take him into custody again the next day for allegedly setting six more fires. Domingo Lopez Jr., 45, was booked into the Multnomah County Detention Center on Sunday evening after police discovered a blaze set on the side of a freeway. A witness identified the suspect, who admitted to police that he’d set the fire.