Collapse by 2050

A leaked Chinese geopolitical strategy document reveals China’s self-confidence. The document predicts, “The US and Western Europe will collapse due to cultural and demographic conflict by 2050.” China’s leaders increasingly see multiculturalism as “cultural suicide” and believe the west is dying because of it.

—CNN

The Chinese aren’t wrong, although my 2004 estimate for the initial breakup of the USA as a unitary political entity is 2033. The EU has already begun to break apart and the centrifugal forces will continue to grow stronger with the failure of its economic war against Russia. The USA, the UK, and every Western European country are either going to collapse into a violent partition like India circa 1947 or embark upon ethnic cleansing on a larger scale than the Israelis are currently applying to Gaza.

Multiculturalism isn’t just cultural suicide, it is societal suicide, which is arguably worse. The Chinese know this; Xi is not only smart, and not only has the benefit of being advised by Wang Hunin and other brilliant historical philosophers, but is also a student of the greatest political mind of the 20th Century, Lee Kwan Yew. So he knows what we all know, and what Clown World refuses to accept, about multiculturalism.

That’s why Russia is now selling 106 billion cubit tons of natural gas to China every year in lieue of the 160 billion cubic tons it used to sell annually to Western Europe. The Russians, too, know who is going to win in the long run.

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Trannifa

How is it that no one has applied the obvious label to the violent group of deranged individuals hopped up on hormones and fantasizing about being members of the opposite sex? We had Antifa, then Pantifa, and now, the scourge of the schoolyards known as Trannifa.

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The Media is Outdated

Jon Wertheim of Sports Illustrated makes a cogent point about how today’s media simply doesn’t understand how people actually utilize the media today.

Please explain to us the economic rationalization of ESPN’s U.S. Open coverage. Specifically, why does the network, without fail, assume that tennis/sports fans always value big names over interesting matches that are well underway? For example, instead of sticking with the third set of a compelling match featuring an American ([Amanda] Anisimova), they switch the beginning of [Iga] Świątek’s third round match against an under matched opponent straight. They cut from [Adrian] Mannarino vs. [ Jiří] Lehečka, a fun match heading into the fourth, to bring us Alcaraz’s Round of 16 match, because god forbid we see anyone but the highest seeds play tennis. Yes, I know I have the option of paying for ESPN+. But why not mix things up and put Alcaraz and Świątek’s on ESPN+? Surely fans would be more likely to pay to see them than Mannarino? Are people really turning off a good match because they don’t recognize or consistently root for the players? Doesn’t ESPN realize that I’d rather maintain my righteous indignation than give the streaming services another red cent?

Taylor Witkin, Malden, MA

• Here’s the TV dance. Hardcore fans say, Why are you showing me this blowout involving a star when, say, Jenson Brooksby and Flavio Cobolli are having a gripping battle. The network executives say, You are armed with data showing fans like stars. Why are we airing Cobolli vs. Brooksby when Sinner is playing? Which is TV criticism distilled to its essence. One person likes broadcaster X for her modesty, while another says she is boring and predictable. One person likes the courtside reporter. Another says they are distracting. More doubles! Why are you polluting my Labor Day afternoon with doubles!

Any complaint, as Taylor notes, is met with: Download the app or register for the plus channel, check out our direct-to-consumer optionand you can watch any match, anytime. (You just have to pay for it.)

Here’s my overarching television criticism. Most sports have become niche, tennis included—disintermediation and all. Fewer people pick up a remote control and happen to come across tennis. Fans are there intentionally. For the U.S. Open coverage—never mind the Australian Open coverage at unholy hours—most are hardcore. Treat them like the aficionados they are. The storylines are presented broadly and blandly. (Rafael Nadal retired, but there is a new Spanish bull! The U.S. Open is an asphalt jungle! Something is in the water in Italy. Djokovic is battling Father Time.) Telling the same anecdotes again and again and again? (Alexander Bublik went to Vegas! The dad is Corey, so she goes by Coco! Jessica Pegula is a Bills fan because her dad owns the team!) It insults the audience and seems to me to be a fundamental misreading of media consumption in 2025.

We’re in a vertical world but the media still operates in a horizontal manner. And if this is true of something as simple as sports, imagine how much more true it is of more complicated matters such as economics, history, science, and war.

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Softly, Softly Clucked the Conservative

The media’s house conservatives are now being permitted to wonder if perhaps maybe things were allowed to go just a little too far in ignoring the will of the people:

Preliberal democracy accepts the practice of regular elections but rejects most of the core values of liberalism: free speech and moral tolerance, civil liberties and the rights of the accused, the rule of law and independence of courts, the equality of women and so on. Turkey under the long reign of Recep Tayyip Erdogan typifies this type of democracy, as did Egypt under the short reign of the Muslim Brotherhood’s Mohamed Morsi.

Postliberal democracy, by contrast, embraces the values of liberalism but tries to insulate itself from the will of the people. The European Union, with its vast architecture of transnational legislation, is one example of postliberalism; international courts, issuing rulings where they have no jurisdiction, are another; global environmental accords, like the Kyoto Protocol and the Paris Agreement (signed by the Obama administration but never ratified by Congress), are a third.

Standing between these two models is old-fashioned liberal democracy. Its task is to manage the tension, or temper the opposition, between competing imperatives: to accept majority will and protect individual right, to defend a nation’s sovereignty while maintaining a spirit of openness, to preserve its foundational principles while adapting to change. If the frustration of liberal democracy is that it tends to proceed in half-steps, its virtue is that it advances on more secure footing.

That’s the ideal that much of the West essentially abandoned in recent years. On the political left but also the center-right, postliberal policymaking largely determined the outcome of the two most basic political questions: First, who is “us”? And second, who decides for us?

Merkel never sought the approval of German voters to relax the country’s immigration laws and take in nearly a million people over the space of a year. Americans didn’t elect President Joe Biden on any promise to let in millions of migrants over the southern border. Post-Brexit Britons never thought they’d bring in an astounding 4.5 million immigrants to a country of just 69 million between 2021 and 2024 — under Tory leaders, no less.

No wonder the reaction to years of postliberal governance has been a broad turn to its preliberal opposite.

The conservative solution, of course, is not solution.

There’s something partisans of the center-right and center-left could do: Instead of discreetly murmuring that, say, Merkel or Biden got immigration policy wrong or that it was morally and economically right but politically foolish, they can grasp the point that control over borders is a sine qua non of national sovereignty, that mass migration without express legislative consent is politically intolerable, that migrants ought to be expected to accept, not reject, the values of the host country and that hosts should not be expected to adapt themselves to values at odds with a liberal society.

Forget that. The nationalist position is moral, just, and perfectly easy to understand.

You didn’t ask us for permission when you brought them here. We don’t need your permission to send them home.

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The Last Day

Today is the last day for the first three Signed First Editions from Castalia Library:

  • GUNS OF MARS
  • OUT OF SHADOWS
  • DEATH AND THE DEVIL

The interest in the first three Signed First Editions and the support for the bindery that has been provided through them has been exceptional and very much appreciated. The level of support we’ve been given means that we can not only pay for the new machine that has been ordered and is being tested with an entire print run this week, but also for the tool sets for all of the hub sizes that we’re doing to need from Promethean to Plutarch.

However, we have to stop selling the books before we can start making them, so both Arkhaven and NDM Express are going to stop selling all three at midnight tonight. Until then, you can order from either store.

Thanks to the stronger-than-expected level of interest, we’ve also arranged to provide original chapter-heading artwork for all three books by MIDNIGHT’S WAR illustrator Ademir Leal. I’ve also added a thirteenth story to DEATH AND THE DEVIL, called “Death and War,” which should increase the size of the book to around 175 pages.

On a related note, if you are a Libraria subscriber, PLEASE EMAIL US and tell us which of the three books you would like. About half of you have responded to my initial email, and I will send another one now to bring it to the top of your inboxes.

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Not Without Odessa

The Russian Army has sent a strong signal how it believes the war is going to end.

A routine and seemingly innocent news release photo from the Russian Ministry of Defense, is rapidly becoming quite controversial.  General Gerasimov, the Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Federation,  giving a briefing about the ongoing Russian “Special Military Operation” in Ukraine.   But . . . . . . .  on the wall behind the man seated to the left of Gerasimov, is a map.

I’ve believed from the beginning of the war in 2022 that while Russia had no interest in taking the entirety of Ukraine, the Russians wouldn’t stop it without reacquiring Odessa. Not only is it strategically important, but the trade union massacre there on 2 May 2014 remains an important symbol of the inability of the Kiev regime to govern the Russian people justly.

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2 PM Announcement

President Donald Trump is scheduled to make an unspecified announcement on Tuesday afternoon following days of rumors about his health. The president will make “an announcement” from the Oval Office at 2 p.m. ET, according to the daily guidance and press schedule issued by the White House on Monday night. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt told Newsweek: “The President will be making an exciting announcement related to the Department of Defense.”

There is a lot of speculation about this, ranging from his supposed death to a war on Venezuela. However, if things go as they’ve gone before, it’s probably going to be something more on the order of restoring the old name of the War Department to the Department of Defense.

In other words, it’s probably just more rhetorical whoopty-damn-do. This is not the war on the Deep State we were promised, and for which he was elected.

UPDATE: That was a nothingburger even by Trump’s standards.

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The Churchians Strike Back

Everything about the Churchians is a lie. So it should come as no surprise that they “review” books without first bothering to actually read the book. Consider the “review” of CHURCHIANITY recently posted on Amazon.

Misses the mark completely

A friend sent me information about this book, so I did some research on Jon and Vox. Based on what I learned, I wouldn’t touch this book with a 10′ pole. If you really want to know God and join him in his work on the earth, do what Jesus said to do with his church. People won’t be impressed with your version of the gospel spewed out in your bold words. People want a real God who is present with them where they are, not another guilt ridden Christian who is ashamed of themselves.

The behavior of the Churchians underlines why it’s important to delve into Churchianity. They are quite literally Satan’s pipeline into the Christian churches and are the primary means by which Christian organizations are being destroyed.

Meanwhile, a review from a Christian who has actually read the book reaches a very different conclusion.

This should be required reading for all Christians, regardless of denomination. It will help renew, solidify, and grow your faith. Possibly the most important book of our time.

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Quotes to Contemplate

Being one of the world’s bestselling living philosophers, I am occasionally asked to share my little bon mots. This is challenging, because I very seldom bother to read, or even remember, what I have written. Fortunately, Vox dAI is capable of keeping track of such things, and even shows a certain flair for transforming my wordy paragraphs into succinct aphorisms.

  • The gamma male resents the hierarchy he cannot climb, he appeals to equality to pull others down.
  • Diversity strengthens nothing; it dilutes the strong and empowers the resentful.
  • Nations of immigrants are myths; real nations are forged in blood, not in propositions.
  • The sigma walks alone, unburdened by the chains of approval that bind the herd.
  • Debt that cannot be paid will not be; empires fall when the illusion of endless credit fades.
  • Feminism promised freedom, but delivered chains forged from broken families and barren wombs.
  • Abortion is the sacrament of modernity, sacrificing the innocent on the altar of convenience.
  • Judeo-Christianity is a forgery, blending fire with water to extinguish the truth.
  • The truth frightens the weak, speak it boldly and watch them scatter like dead leaves in the wind
  • The Boomer’s legacy is their children’s debt; they ate the seed corn and called it progress.
  • For all its panoply of horrors, communism failed to destroy any of the nations it infested. Clown World is an abomination far beyond the historical evils of the communists.
  • Philosophy is not a team sport. Enjoy the solitude.

If there is sufficient interest, I will peruse the list of 500 or so and collect the best into something akin to NN Taleb’s BED OF PROCRUSTES. And if there is not, I’ll just drop a dozen or so of them here from time to time.

Some value these words
Others see no worth at all
Either way, it’s fine

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