Tag: war

America or Israel First?

Simplicius believes the damage to the Iranian nuclear program from the Israeli attacks was insignificant, and that the real goal was what I and many other suspected, which was to trigger an Iranian response that hit hard enough to give AIPAC cause to run crying to President Trump about the need to invade those mean ol’ Nazis in Iran.

The plan all along was obviously to goad Iran into an overwhelming response that would somehow incite the US to enter the war on behalf of Israel, in order to finish off Iran. The nuclear program was likely a false target, the real objective being the total overthrow of Iran’s leadership and the fomenting of civilian uprisings throughout the country to bring Iran to heel under a Western puppet-led government.

Now Trump stands poised on the knife’s edge of one of his most historically critical decisions—whether to betray the mandate of the American people and consign his second term and dwindling legacy to the trash heap of history, or to pull back on the strings of Miriam Adelson and other donors and show a spine in standing up for the real ‘America First’ vision he promised to all. As of this writing, there are reports of urgent meetings in the Pentagon surrounding precisely the issue of Israel’s request for the US to officially enter the war to ‘finish off Iran’.

Yanis Varoufakis writes:

This is Trump’s Waterloo. He posed as the Leviathan who would bring a stealthy Peace, a smart Deal that averts a war with Iran. Then, with one more gross violation of international law, Netanyahu puts him in a little box: For either Trump knew of the attack, in which case he is no more than Netanyahu’s stooge. Or he didn’t know, which begs the question why he didn’t know and how will he react to being treated like a fool by Netanyahu. Either way, Trump’s strongman, dealmaking image is now toast. Either way, he goes down in history as yet another US President that Netanyahu bent to his genocidal will.

The entire non-Western world is now watching this pivotal turning point moment with bated breath: Trump can either make a move to redeem at least some lost hope for America’s global leadership, or instead pound the final nail in its coffin, forever edifying the rising Global South as to the true nature of the immoral, barbarous, and unprincipled West. It is a metaphysical crossroads: Trump will either stay true to his quasi-spiritual mission of world betterment, or he will drown the US in the blood of neocon imperialism… I have it as 70/30 chance that saner heads prevail in the US with Trump electing to not enter the war, but we’ll see how it develops.

At this point, I think it’s important to remember that there are multiple Trumps and it is intrinsically misleading to put too much stock in anything that is said by any of them, but most particularly by the short, fat one controlled by Clown World. All the competing word-spells are irrelevant, all that matters is the courses of action actually taken by the various parties.

Nor should we put too much stock in Israeli crocodile tears about missile strikes on Tel Aviv after the way the IDF has flattened civilian buildings from Gaza to Beirut and Tehran. It is both nonsensical and contemptible to declare “this is war” and hit another party, then whine when the other party hits back.

In war, the enemy always gets a vote. And if the US is foolish enough to get further involved, there is no reason to assume North Korea, Russia, and China won’t follow suit. China probably won’t, but I wouldn’t bet on North Korea and Russia staying out of it.

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Why Iran Won’t Strike Back

Simplicius believes that Iran will not retaliate by attacking Israel with anything more than symbolic gestures:

Israel is at a crossroads, which I have described before: the country is in a downward spiral and has only one remaining chance to seize history to secure its survival. Why? The reasons are almost too long to list in this one brief article alone, but they include demographics, as well as the decline of Zionism and rise of “noticing” in the West which means in a generation or two, support for Israel may dwindle to the point where it will be engulfed by regional enemies.

The other major reason: nascent technologies have created parity between Israel and its foes, where groups like Hamas and Hezbollah can use cheap but highly technologically effective weapons to deal accurate, disabling damage to Israel’s most critical and sensitive infrastructure. The same goes for Iran: the country has come of age and mastered rocketry and newfangled drone warfare to the point where the numbers simply do not work in Israel’s favor in any future war.

Israel once had the backing of the world’s most dominant ‘superpower’ alliance of Western nations, now the tides of history have simply shifted against Israel’s favor.

Now there are reports Iran may “declare war” on Israel. I remain skeptical for the following reason: Iran has no true overriding capability to fully ‘submit’ Israel into a state of debellatio. Israel has the nukes, and presumably, Iran as of yet does not. No amount of conventional missiles could make Israel simply surrender, and as such a declaration of war has no real meaning. Neither do the two countries share a border so it’s not like Iranian troops can somehow flood Israel to capture its capital.

Any overwhelming attack that could critically wound Israel may provoke an Israeli nuclear response—further proving Iran does not have the escalatory advantage or trump card. That is like Ukraine “declaring war” on Russia—what possible meaning would that have? Ukraine does not have the escalatory dominance to ever ‘submit’ Russia in any way, and the only objective of true ‘war’ is just that—total victory and the subjugation of the adversary. Thus, I see no logical way war can be declared, unless Iran did finally secretly hatch that bomb and is ready to use it. The only other possibility is for PR reasons to satisfy the demands of the angry populace, before declaring victory after some arbitrary objectives have been carried out via a series of strikes, and calling it a day.

I think his analysis is perspicacious. The attack on Iran is far from devastating, and the loss of a few Boomers in charge is hardly debilitating or even necessarily unwelcome to their younger successors. There were not Israeli jets flying over Tehran as if it were Lebanon; the attack mostly consisted of missiles launched from well outside Iranian airspace combined with a secret drone attack from within Iran that suspiciously resembles the recent attack by the Kiev regime on Russian airfields.

And, as Simplicius pointed out, at present, Iran’s ability to defeat Israel is nearly as impossible as Israel’s ability to defeat Iran.

But as with China vis-a-vis the USA and Russia vis-a-vis NATO, time is on Iran’s side. Israel didn’t attack Iran yesterday out of a position of strength, but rather, weakness and desperation. It attacked Iran while it still can, while it still has enough of a technological and operational advantage to do so.

Therefore, it would probably be wise for Iran to settle for a few symbolic missile and drone launches before following the lead of its Chinese and Russian partners in simply waiting for the US support that sustains Israel to collapse, as it is already in the process of doing.

Of course, the fact that this makes long-term strategic sense doesn’t mean that events will proceed accordingly. But given the restraint shown by Iran on previous occasions, I think Simplicius is correct to anticipate that similar restraint will be shown here.

An analysis of the effectiveness of the Israeli strike, which makes it sound as if the initial reports were highly exaggerated, and therefore makes it even more likely that any Iranian response will be symbolic.

An Israeli attempt to decapitate the Iranian military leadership also appears to have largely failed, with only one reasonably confirmed senior casualty at this time – GEN Salami, commander of the IRGC since 2019. I’ve seen a report that he was quite ill and thus remained in his home unlike the rest of the Iranian senior leadership. Recall that Khamenei was taken to a secure location some time ago, so it’s not like the Iranians didn’t have warning or were complacent about getting into shelter. Two or three people connected to the Iranian nuclear program also seem to have been assassinated, but in real terms this isn’t going to affect a program that is already largely – if not entirely – complete.

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Israel Attacks Iran

“Tonight, Israel took unilateral action against Iran. We are not involved in strikes against Iran and our top priority is protecting American forces in the region. Israel advised us that they believe this action was necessary for its self-defense. President Trump and the Administration have taken all necessary steps to protect our forces and remain in close contact with our regional partners. Let me be clear: Iran should not target U.S. interests or personnel.” – Marco Rubio, US Secretary of State

Since Hal Turner was spot-on about this one, I’ll quote him on the breaking news.

  • Multiple reports from several countries are saying “hundreds” of fighter jets and drones are in the air over differing parts of Iraq, heading into Iran to attack – right now: 8:13 PM EDT 12-June-2025
  • Massive explosions reported all over Tehran. Israel may be going for a leadership decapitation strike.
  • Netanyahu’s motorcade has entered the Mossad command bunker.
  • Israeli army radio (GLZ) confirms IAF strikes targeting Iran
  • Initial reports of explosions at Natanz and Fordow in Iran. These are the main nuclear facilities.
  • Doron Kaddish (IDF Radio): Senior officials tell me that Israel is preparing for multiple days of combat with Iran.
  • Operation Name: Nation of Lions

However, Larry Johnson reported prior to the attack that the US would be directly involved in it.

Donald Trump apparently has decided to attack Iran. Mark this date. It is the beginning of the end of the Trump Presidency. Trump has been persuaded that the Iranian air defense is weak and that a US bombing run will eliminate any chance that Iran can build a nuclear device. He has been a victim of lies. He will shortly discover, if these attacks take place, that Iran retains a significant capability to shoot down US aircraft. In fact, I fully expect Iran will capture and put on display several US air force officers in the next week.

Simplicius is dubious that Israel or the USA can even reach the nuclear sites that Israel is seeking to destroy: In short, Iran’s underground nuclear infrastructure is now too deep, too complex, and too protected to be taken out militarily.

My take is that Israel is going it alone with the expectation that if Iran hammers them hard enough and looks like it is winning, AIPAC will be able to exert enough pressure on President Trump to force the US military to intervene and rescue them from the consequences of their own actions.

UPDATE: It appears that Israel was successful with its targeted assassinations and that Secretary of State Rubio lied because the USA was definitely involved. It also appears that Iran is likely to declare war on Israel and be supported by North Korea, Russia, and presumably, China.

  •  Iran is beginning to report the names of the senior officials who have been killed so far: 
    • Salami Hussein – Chief of Staff of the IRGC
    • Sardar Rashid – Very Senior Commander in the IRGC.
    • Dr. Feridon Abbas – Senior Nuclear Scientist.
    • Dr. Tehranchi – Senior Nuclear Scientist.
    • Gholam-Ali Rashid, commander of the Khatam al-Anbiya organization
  • Mossad head Dadi Barnea and Minister Ron Dermer did not fly to Washington. The briefing by an Israeli official as if they were supposed to meet Steve Witkoff before the sixth round of talks was part of the deception.  
  • North Korea will provide military support to Iran.
  • “CENTCOM is on high alert, the US will defend itself and Israel if Iran retaliates,” Trump said, according to Fox News.

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NATO is Dead

No one is willing to die to defend modern Europe, especially in the aftermath of the mass invasion by the Third World:

Ukraine’s former foreign minister has starkly warned that British mothers must accept their sons have to die defending Europe, otherwise there is no Nato. Dmytro Kuleba told Metro that Vladimir Putin’s goal was to ‘expose’ the ‘falsehood’ of the Nato alliance, which has a mutual assistance clause that compels its members to fight for each other in the event of an attack of another member.

He said: ‘Putin may invade Nato territory soon – so now what? Is Nato going to send a division to fight back? ‘Many people believe that the real test for Nato is whether the US is going to fight for Europe. The real test will be whether British mothers will actually accept that their sons have to die for Finland or Estonia or Poland. If they don’t, there is no Nato.’

The chilling warning comes after Germany’s spy chief warned that Putin is plotting to attack a Nato territory to test the bloc’s mutual assistance clause.

I doubt there is a single British mother who is willing to accept that her son has to die to defend Finland, Estonia, or Poland. Certainly no American mothers are. The time to defend Europe was when Germany first started importing Gastarbeitern from Turkey. Why would anyone die to defend Europe from Russians when they weren’t even allowed to protest the invasion by Africans and Arabs?

If that is the metric, NATO is already dead.

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Is Israel Rolling the Dice Again

The US government appears to be bracing for another Israeli attack on Iran:

The US has begun evacuating non-essential personnel and family members from its embassies and military bases in the Middle East in light of escalating tensions with Iran. The move follows President Donald Trump’s accusation that Tehran is “slow-walking” negotiations.

“Based on our latest analysis, we decided to reduce the footprint of our Mission in Iraq,” the State Department said in an emailed statement to the media on Wednesday. Reuters cited a US official as saying that voluntary departures had also been authorized at the embassies in Kuwait and Bahrain.

The Pentagon has likewise approved the departure of family members from military installations in the region. “CENTCOM is working in close coordination with our Department of State counterparts, as well as our allies and partners in the region, to maintain a constant state of readiness to support any number of missions around the world at any time,” a defense official told reporters.

According to the Washington Post, American intelligence officials are concerned that Israel may strike Iranian nuclear facilities without US consent.

Well, Netanyahu has gotten away with invading Gaza and committing any number of atrocities there and managed to remove the Assad regime from Syria. So, it’s probably to be expected that the more aggressive elements of the Israeli government are in the ascendance and thinking that a) it’s not going to get any easier over time, b) they’ve gotten away with everything so far, and c) it’s easier to get forgiveness than permission.

I expect they’re also counting on their Israeli-flag-waving senators and congressmen to pressure the US military to bail them out if they get in over their heads with Iran. That’s the only part of their projected analysis with which I disagree, because I’m fairly certain that both the Israelis and the US politicians are significantly overestimating the Israeli-US capabilities vis-a-vis the Iranian-Russian-Chinese capabilities. We’ve seen that with regards to Ukraine, NATO, and Russia, we’ve seen it with regards to Yemen, Saudi Arabia, and the Red Sea, and so it would be a surprise if it wasn’t happening again.

Underestimation of enemy forces and capabilities is absolutely normal in wartime. It’s observable going back to Athens and the failed Sicilian Expedition. Which is why the first question you should ask yourself whenever looking at a military conflict is this: which side appears to be overestimating its own capabilities and/or underestimating the capabilities of its enemy?

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Marching Orders

It appears Conservative Inc. has been told that the “I have a dream” days are officially over by their masters. So much for its principled indifference to what Ben Shapiro called “the Browning of America”.

Key word: “third world”. Because we wouldn’t want Americans repatriating all those foreign nationals in the Congress and governor’s houses, would we? And yet, that’s exactly what is necessary, otherwise it’s only the symptom that is being addressed and not the cause. The 1965 Immigration Act has to be not only repealed, but entirely reversed, and the pre-1965 demographics will need to be restored if the USA is to survive into the future as a recognizably American nation.

Fortunately, it appears the level of conflict that will make that scale of repatriations politically viable appears to be beginning.

Donald Trump is set to deploy ICE tactical units to five Democrat-run cities amid the riots in Los Angeles as Gavin Newsom nearly broke into tears while blaming his administration for inciting the California chaos. The military-style units are set to storm New York City, Seattle, Chicago, Philadelphia and northern Virginia, MSNBC reported. Four of those five are heavily blue cities, while northern Virginia contains the Democrat enclave of Alexandria.

The ICE raids have sparked protests that brought Los Angeles to its knees, as the mayor opted to introduce a lockdown from 8pm to 6am.

The reports came as the California governor delivered a harrowing prediction for the rest of the country Tuesday night in a nationally televised address that blasted Trump’s deployment of US troops to Los Angeles.

‘Look, this isn’t just about protests here in Los Angeles, when Donald Trump sought blanket authority to commandeer the National Guard. He made that order apply to every state in this nation,’ Newsom said, as he teared up.

‘This is about all of us. This is about you. California may be first, but it clearly will not end here. Other states are next. Democracy is next. Democracy is under assault before our eyes, this moment we have feared has arrived.’ Newsom accused Trump of ‘taking a wrecking ball to our founding fathers’ historic project’ of three co-equal branches of government.

As the governor delivered his teary address, the President was greeting US military personnel at Fort Bragg. He was set to recognise the 250th anniversary of the US Army, but instead gave an aggressive speech defending his decision to deploy soldiers against ‘animals’ and ‘foreign enemies’ trying to prevent the administration from carrying out its immigration policy.

‘What you’re witnessing in California is a full blown assault on peace, on public order and national sovereignty… with the aim of continuing a foreign invasion of our country. We’re not gonna let that happen,’ he said. ‘We will not allow an American city to be invaded and conquered by a foreign enemy. That’s what they are.’

The larger problem is that it isn’t just the large cities under threat. The USA itself has been invaded and subverted by a foreign enemy. It’s called “AIPAC”. The foreign invasion will not be ended until AIPAC, the ADL, and all the other anti-American acronym organizations are addressed for what they are, and the sovereignty and self-rule of Americans in their own land is fully restored.

In the meantime, at a bare minimum, President Trump is going to have to add Atlanta to that list of five ICE offensives.

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The Next Domino Falls

Russian forces have already entered Dnepropetrovsk, the second of the five additional provinces that Russia can be expected to take before new borders are finalized:

Russia’s recent advance into Ukraine’s Dnepropetrovsk Region is part of the push by Moscow to establish a “buffer zone” on the front line, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov has said. On Sunday, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that the 90th Armored Division had reached the western border of the Donetsk People’s Republic and continued its offensive into the neighboring territory. The next day, it reported new territorial gains in the area, without providing details.

And if the former Ukrainian Prime Minister is to be believed, the US has already endorsed the removal of Zelensky from his position as illegitimate and unelected head of the Kiev regime, which is an obvious necessity if Ukraine is to survive as an independent entity.

Vladimir Zelensky will resign and leave Ukraine, former Prime Minister Nikolay Azarov has predicted, citing what he described as a US-backed effort to remove the country’s leader. In a post on Telegram on Sunday, Azarov suggested that the decision to remove Zelensky from power “has already been made in the US” and that Washington has given the “go-ahead” for his ouster. He wrote that although the Ukrainian leader has support in Europe, it is unlikely to change anything and will “hardly help” him.

Zelensky would then be replaced by parliamentary speaker Ruslan Stefanchuk, who would serve as acting president and begin shaping “a new political landscape” in Ukraine.

Translation: the Ukrainian parliament will be expected to make an offer to surrender. Whether anything short of an unconditional surrender will be accepted by the Russians remains to be seen.

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The Dissolution Proceeds

President Trump deploys the military against the foreign color revolutionaries across the USA:

Numerous incidents of violence and disorder have recently occurred and threaten to continue in response to the enforcement of Federal law by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and other United States Government personnel who are performing Federal functions and supporting the faithful execution of Federal immigration laws. In addition, violent protests threaten the security of and significant damage to Federal immigration detention facilities and other Federal property.

To the extent that protests or acts of violence directly inhibit the execution of the laws, they constitute a form of rebellion against the authority of the Government of the United States.

In light of these incidents and credible threats of continued violence, by the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, I hereby call into Federal service members and units of the National Guard under 10 U.S.C. 12406 to temporarily protect ICE and other United States Government personnel who are performing Federal functions, including the enforcement of Federal law, and to protect Federal property, at locations where protests against these functions are occurring or are likely to occur based on current threat assessments and planned operations.

Further, I direct and delegate actions as necessary for the Secretary of Defense to coordinate with the Governors of the States and the National Guard Bureau in identifying and ordering into Federal service the appropriate members and units of the National Guard under this authority.

The members and units of the National Guard called into Federal service shall be at least 2,000 National Guard personnel and the duration of duty shall be for 60 days or at the discretion of the Secretary of Defense. In addition, the Secretary of Defense may employ any other members of the regular Armed Forces as necessary to augment and support the protection of Federal functions and property in any number determined appropriate in his discretion.

To carry out this mission, the deployed military personnel may perform those military protective activities that the Secretary of Defense determines are reasonably necessary to ensure the protection and safety of Federal personnel and property.

The Secretary of Defense shall consult with the Attorney General and the Secretary of Homeland Security prior to withdrawing any personnel from any location to which they are sent.

The Secretaries of Defense and Homeland Security may delegate to subordinate officials of their respective Departments any of the authorities conferred upon them by this memorandum.

Note that this is the inevitable result of mass immigration that was predicted by proto-nationalists decades ago. It is why the entire immigration debate about crime and economics was always irrelevant and fundamentally missing the point. The reason for banning immigration and protecting the nation’s demographics, as was done in the early 1920s, is to preserve the nature of the society.

A Christian European English-speaking society is always going to be fundamentally different in a broad panoply of ways from a poly-pagan, multiracial, multilingual society, and the transformation from the former to the latter was inevitably going to be an anti-civilizational degradation.

The invasion and occupation of Los Angeles

If Western civilization and societies are going to be restored, there is going to be war, the mass movement of peoples, and the shattering of various organizations and political frameworks, none of which is going to be pleasant for anyone. And yet, that will be much better than the two alternatives of a) a continued descent into chaos or b) the despotic rule of satanic globalists.

The Spanish restored their civilization and society with the Reconquista. That will be the model for the American restoration, if there is to be one.

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A Coming Catastrophe

By way of Simplicius, a pro-Kiev regime journalist and soldier reports that more than 90,000 Ukrainian troops have deserted since the beginning of 2025:

A military catastrophe is coming: More than 90,000 since the beginning of the year – a Ukrainian Armed Forces soldier on the scale of desertion in the troops

Kiev journalist Boyko, who serves in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, reports the shocking scale of flight from the army.

In the first 5 months of 2025, 90,590 criminal cases were registered on the facts of escape from military units:

January – 18,145,

February – 17,809,

March – 16,349,

April – 18,331,

May – 19,956.

A total of 213,722 cases of desertion have been registered since the beginning of the Second World War.

Boyko notes that these data reflect only those cases for which criminal proceedings have been initiated; the real situation is much worse .

According to him, deserters are not actually sought out; they do not return to service.

“The reason for the military catastrophe approaching Ukraine is obvious: the demonstrative evasion of mobilization by court fabulists like Sternenko, Leshchenko or Bigus, mass shabuning – when tens of thousands of shabunins, vakarchuks, kipianis and other leaders are fictitiously listed in the troops and the lack of law and order in the Armed Forces of Ukraine and other military formations, caused by the liquidation of the military prosecutor’s office in 2019,” he writes.

Boyko also notes that in reality there are from 30 to 50 thousand Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers on the LBS from the Ukrainian side.

This is why the Kiev strategists have increasingly resorted to operations that are nothing more than PR stunts. They don’t even have enough soldiers to prevent the Russians from taking anything that Vladimir Putin decide to take. The only thing holding back the Russians at this point is their patience, their disinclination to take unnecessary casualties, and their desire to avoiding excessively panicking Washington.

Europe and the UK are already panicking, but the Russians don’t care about that. So the sooner Kiev offers an unconditional surrender, the better off everyone will be, especially the beleaguered Ukrainian soldiers.

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