We’ll see if they do any better than they did on Brexit.
Con: 43.7% (+5.9)
Lab: 36.1% (+4.9)
LDem: 8.1% (-)
UKIP: 4.4% (-8.5)
Grn: 2.2% (-1.6)
Labour, the LibDems, and UKIP all look too high to me.
Tag: UK
Sovereignty in the UK
Great Britain has invoked Article 50 and is officially leaving the European Union:
Brexit begins! Historic moment for the UK as Article 50 letter is delivered to the EU with Theresa May hailing a ‘great turning point’ for country as it looks to forge a ‘bright new future’ outside the Brussels club. The Prime Minister signed the historic letter triggering EU divorce last night. Brexit will be irreversible once handed to EU chief Donald Tusk in Brussels today
Congratulations to the British for reclaiming their nation. This is a historic moment, every bit as historic as the Revolutionary War and the defeats of Napoleon and Hitler, despite not a shot being fired.
The EU is a stealth empire that has conquered with lies and banks in the place of infantry and tanks. It is to the great credit of the British people that they have had the courage to resist their subjugation and reclaim their nation and the Rights of Englishmen.
Feckless surrender talk
It’s always infuriating how politicians posture and pontificate after a terror attack as if doing absolutely nothing and blathering about nonexistent unity somehow constitutes brave leadership:
The location of this attack was no accident. The terrorist chose to strike at the heart of our capital city where people of all nationalities, religions and cultures come together to celebrate the values of liberty, democracy and freedom of speech.
These streets of Westminster, home to the world’s oldest parliament are ingrained with a spirit of freedom that echoes in some of the furthest corners of the globe. And the values our Parliament represents – democracy, freedom, human rights, the rule of law, command the admiration and respect of free people everywhere.
That is why it is a target for those who reject those values. Let me make it clear today, as I have had cause to do before, any attempt to defeat our values through violence and terror is doomed to failure.’
We will come together as normal and Londoners and others from around the world who have come here to visit this great city will get up and go about their day as normal.
We will all move forward together, never giving in to terror and never allowing the voices of hate and evil to drive us apart.
The people of England – the actual English people of England – need to tell that woman: “there is no forward and there is no us.”
There is only one civilized solution and it is a straightforward, five-word solution: they have to go back.
It’s not the only solution, of course. But no one who is sane or civilized wants to have to resort to the other solution, although history makes it perfectly clear that they will certainly do so if it proves to be necessary.
Katie Hopkins’s response, although defeatist, is considerably more sane:
This place is just like Sweden. Terrified of admitting the truth about the threat we face, about the horrors committed by the migrants we failed to deter — because to admit that we are sinking, and fast, would be to admit that everything the liberals believe is wrong.
That multiculturalism has not worked. That it is one big fat failure and one big fat lie.
President Erdogan of Turkey said there is a war being waged between the crescent and the cross. But he is wrong. Because the cross is not strong. We are down on bended knee, a doormat to be trodden on, a joke only funny to those that wish us harm.
The war is between London and the rest of the country. Between the liberals and the right-minded. Between those who think it is more important to tip-toe around the cultures of those who choose to join us, rather than defend our own culture.
How many more times?
And how many more attacks must pass before we acknowledge these are no longer the acts of ‘extremists’? That there is no safe badge with which to hold these people at arm’s length, in the way the liberals casually use the term ‘far-right’ for anyone who has National pride.
These events are no longer extreme. They are commonplace. Every day occurrences.
These people are no longer extremists. They are simply more devout. More true to their beliefs. Beliefs which will be supported endlessly across our state broadcaster for the next few months until we buy into the narrative that one religion is not to blame.
Imagine if the British had fought WWII this way. The Swastika would still be flying over Westminster. You don’t win a war by not fighting it. You don’t save your nation by welcoming refugees, migrants, and invaders. You don’t survive by electing immigrants as your leaders.
Reconquista 2.0 or Sharia. That is the choice facing the West.
Not so much
Hey, the multiculturalists should count their blessings. At least it wasn’t the Mayor of London out there running over children and stabbing policemen.
BREXIT is go
The British Parliament removes the last of the procedural obstacles to BREXIT:
Theresa May has finally won the power to trigger Article 50 after peers backed down and passed the Brexit Bill after two crucial votes in the Commons earlier. MPs followed orders to delete an amendment on guaranteeing the rights of EU nationals, backing the Government 335 to 287, majority 48.
The Commons also defeated the second amendment on the timetabling of votes at the end of the negotiation by a majority of 45. Peers then debated the deletions but did not offer any further resistance. It means the historic legislation will be law by tomorrow.
Nationalists around the world can only be pleased to see the British people regaining their sovereignty and independence. There can be no doubt that the 200-year trend towards globalization has been reversed.
You can’t break Brexit
Despite the shameless interference in the process of non-British people in forcing a parliamentary vote on the successful Leave referendum, Brexit is expected to proceed after tonight’s vote:
MPs are poised for a landmark vote on Brexit that effectively makes the process irreversible. For the first time, the Commons will vote in principle on a law that gives the Prime Minister power to trigger Britain’s exit from the EU.
Three votes will take place tonight, starting at 7pm. First MPs will vote on a wrecking amendment tabled by the SNP. It expected to be heavily defeated. The crucial vote is the second one at 7.15pm to give the new law a ‘second reading’. It is expected to be carried by a landslide but with about 100 opponents. The third sets the time table for the rest of the bill’s timetable – a relative formality.
Let Britannia rule herself again. The benefit of the delay is that, barring any last-minute shenanigans by the Conservative Party, with both a popular referendum and the British Parliament behind Brexit, the EU cannot pretend that Britain’s exit and reclamation of national sovereignty is not the democratically expressed will of the people any longer.
UPDATE: BREXIT BEGINS!
Britain passed the point of no return in its historic battle to cut ties with Brussels tonight as MPs backed the Brexit Bill. The Commons endorsed the legislation by 498 votes to 114 after the government saw off a desperate bid by more than 100 Remoaners to block it.
The winning will continue
The medias, both conservative and mainstream, are shocked and awed to witness Trump actually doing what he said he would do:
In his first frantic week at the White House, Donald Trump is doing almost exactly what he promised to do during his campaign, stunning those who thought he’d adapt his style as president.
Trump has signed an executive order to begin building a wall on the Mexican border and doubled down on his promise to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement and repeal ObamaCare.
Actions to temporarily suspend visas for people coming to the United States from a number of Muslim nations are expected to come soon.
Trump hasn’t stopped tweeting either, nor has he quit his habit of launching into new fights seemingly on a whim. Much of his first week in office has been dominated by his claims, without any evidence, that massive voter fraud cost him a popular vote victory to Hillary Clinton. On Wednesday, he announced a “major investigation” into his unsubstantiated claims about voter fraud.
President Obama famously said that “elections have consequences” in explaining to Republicans why he was moving forward with a nearly $1 trillion stimulus plan and his signature healthcare bill. Now Trump is showing Washington and the world the truth of Obama’s words.
During the campaign, Trump’s critics dismissed his ambitious agenda as rhetoric that he’d back away from once in office.
If candidate Trump beat the odds and made it to the White House, they said, The Trump Show will surely grind to a halt once he’s confronted with the realities of governing.
It hasn’t turned out like that at all.
“Enough all talk, no action. We have to deliver,” Trump told Republican lawmakers Thursday. “This is our chance to achieve great and lasting change for our beloved nation.”
I like that fact that Viceroy Mike Pence has already put Congress on alert that it is not going to be permitted to slow the God-Emperor’s onslaught. Donald Trump clearly understands what is at stake, and it appears that he is providing a salient example to other Western leaders, putting some steel in the spine of hitherto unreliable leaders such as British Prime Minister Theresa May, who said “let’s stand together and halt eclipse of the West.”
Strong words, although I would have preferred her to say that she is committed to Making England Great Again. If she was wise, she would offer Scotland another vote, encourage them to pursue independence, then have the Parliament vote on Brexit. However, given the Conservative majority in the House of Commons, that’s not actually necessary. All she really has to do is refuse to let the MPs vote freely, as the Labor Party is already committed to supporting Brexit by Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, and Parliamentary endorsement for Brexit as well as the invocation of Article 50 will be secured.
Article 50
A number of people have been asking what comes next. Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty is the guide.
Article 50
1. Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements.
2. A Member State which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its intention. In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union. That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament.
3. The Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in agreement with the Member State concerned, unanimously decides to extend this period.
4. For the purposes of paragraphs 2 and 3, the member of the European Council or of the Council representing the withdrawing Member State shall not participate in the discussions of the European Council or Council or in decisions concerning it.
A qualified majority shall be defined in accordance with Article 238(3)(b) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
5. If a State which has withdrawn from the Union asks to rejoin, its request shall be subject to the procedure referred to in Article 49.
The EU has no legal mechanism for deny withdrawal to any Member State. This does not mean they won’t try to do so, but it does mean they cannot do so in a legal manner. I expect they’ll simply try to draw it out, as the EU President has already suggested.
England and Wales choose freedom
The Fourth Reich is rejected by a narrow margin, 52 percent to 48 percent, thanks to the actual British people, who outvoted the invaders, the traitors, the sell-outs, and the Scots:
The English shires and Labour’s northern heartlands led Britain out of the European Union in a victory for middle England.
Despite Britain’s biggest cities backing a Remain vote at yesterday’s historic referendum, the country overall headed for the Brexit door.
The results caused immediate turmoil in the markets as the pound collapsed by more than 10 per cent in the hours after the polls closed and the FTSE-100 braced for heavy losses.
Nigel Farage – who earlier appeared to concede defeat – made a jubilant victory speech at around 4am declaring it was a ‘victory for ordinary people’.
Tory constituencies across the south and midlands voted for Brexit in huge numbers.
Places such as Wellingborough, West Somerset and Chesterfield all voted for leave by more 60 per cent.
The referendum map was painted blue for Out across vast swathes of England – despite London and Scotland being bright yellow.
Mr Farage told a jubilant Leave.EU rally in central London: ‘Dare to dream that the dawn is breaking on an independent United Kingdom.
‘This, if the predictions now are right, this will be a victory for real people, a victory for ordinary people, a victory for decent people.
‘We have fought against the multinationals, we have fought against the big merchant banks, we have fought against big politics, we have fought against lies, corruption and deceit.
‘And today honesty, decency and belief in nation, I think now is going to win.
‘And we will have done it without having to fight, without a single bullet being fired, we’d have done it by damned hard work on the ground.’
Some thoughts on the successful #Brexit referendum.
- Nothing in his political career has become David Cameron like the manner of his leaving the Prime Ministership. He was dignified and graceful in defeat. I was genuinely surprised that he not only did the right thing, but did it very well. Even though he chose the wrong side and led the enemy charge, it must not be forgotten that he gave the British people their chance.
- The referendum was an exercise in the failure of Magic Dirt and why immigrants should never be granted the right to vote. Nor should their children or grandchildren. Few of them give a damn about Britain and it showed in their vote.
- Let Scotland hold their second referendum and then let them go. They are a huge political anchor that threatens England’s very survival.
- The war isn’t over. #Brexit is a victory, and an important one, but it was just a battle. The war goes on.
- “Remember Jo Cox” should be the response to anyone who calls for Parliament to ignore the clearly expressed will of the British people. If Parliament refuses to respect the referendum, violence will almost surely be among the various consequences.
- Bring on Fixit, Ixit, and Grexit! Nationalism has only begun to rise in Europe.
UK independence results
This is an open thread to discuss the UK referendum on the European Union. The general tone of the media is that it is going to be a close 52-48 vote for Remain. If so, the failure of Scotland to secede from the Kingdom will prove very costly for England.
The best place to track results is at the Guardian.
UPDATE: So far, REMAIN vote in Scottish and N Ireland strongholds is weaker than expected. It’s looking good for LEAVE barring big Remain overperformance in London.
UPDATE 2: Scotland has smaller margins with smaller turnouts than predicted. If there are 2-3 more big Leave overperformances, we can safely conclude Leave will win.
UPDATE 3: Turnout in LEAVE areas is 10 percent higher than reported. Basildon votes 2:1 for leave. That’s the first overperformance. At this point, we can begin to conclude Leave will win.
UPDATE 4: Second biggest city in Wales, Swansea, narrowly votes Leave. It’s a strong Labour city, and indicates Wales is overall going to vote Leave. That’s the second overperformance for Leave. I now conclude the result will be 55 Leave 45 Remain.
UPDATE 5: Prof. Thrasher forecasts 56 Leave 44 Remain result on Sky News on the basis of current returns vs pre-vote estimates. However, first Remain outperformance appears in Oxford.
UPDATE 6: First bad sign for Leave. First two London authorities are at 69 percent turnout, 76 percent Remain. However, Glasgow turnout was only 56 percent.
Very amusing to see how the talking heads on TV simply don’t understand the significance of turnout. And with that, I’ll turn it over to you all to track how it goes. I’m optimistic, but I’m not certain. I would have felt much more confident about Leave winning if the first London turnout had been under 65 percent.