Tag: Russia

A US Military Withdrawal

The US pulls a brigade out of Romania:

The US is withdrawing some troops from Romania, on NATO’s eastern flank, as the Pentagon works to shift its focus away from Europe and toward homeland defense and Latin America, US and European officials said on Wednesday.

The US is sending home the 2nd Infantry Brigade Combat Team of the 101st Airborne Division back to Kentucky and will not be replacing the unit after its scheduled rotation out of Eastern Europe, according to US Army Europe and Africa. The redeployment comes as eastern flank NATO countries have faced a spike in threats from Russia in recent weeks, including multiple drone incursions in Polish airspace and repeated violations of Lithuanian airspace.

The Army said the reduction in troops is part of Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth’s “deliberate process to ensure a balanced U.S. military force posture. This is not an American withdrawal from Europe or a signal of lessened commitment to NATO and Article 5,” the Army press release said. “Rather this is a positive sign of increased European capability and responsibility. Our NATO allies are meeting President Trump’s call to take primary responsibility for the conventional defense of Europe. This force posture adjustment will not change the security environment in Europe.”

Translation: the US military is not going to help Ukraine defend Odessa.

The Army press release notwithstanding, European military capabilities have declined over the last two years, they have not increased in the slightest as their economies collapse and social unrest rises. While the US is unlikely to do what it obviously should, and withdraw entirely from the European zone in order to focus on its own sphere of influence, whoever is calling the shots clearly recognizes that fighting Russia in Europe is a war that it cannot hope to win.

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The Last Bluff

Big Serge explains the real reason why the USA cannot afford to provide any Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine:

The basic pattern here is well established. The United States has done what it can to backstop Ukrainian strike capabilities, but it has held them at a level where Ukraine’s damage output falls far short of decisive levels. So long as that is the case, Russia has clearly demonstrated that it will simply eat the punches and retaliate against Ukraine. Hence, when the United States helps Ukraine target Russian oil facilities, it is Ukraine that receives the reprisal, and it is Ukraine which has its natural gas production annihilated as the winter approaches. In a sense, neither side is really trying to deter the other at all. The United States has raised the cost of this war for Russia, but not enough to create any real pressure for Moscow to end the conflict; in response, Russia punishes Ukraine, which is something the United States does not really care about. The result is a sort of geostrategic Picture of Dorian Gray, where the United States vicariously inflicts cathartic damage on Russia, but Ukraine accrues all the soul damage.

In the case of Tomahawks, the risk-reward calculus is just not there. Tomahawks are a strategically invaluable asset that the United States cannot afford to hand out like candy. Even if the launch systems could be provided (highly doubtful), the missiles could not be made available in sufficient quantities to make a difference. The range of the missiles, however, significantly raises the probability of miscalculation or uncontrolled escalation. Ukraine shooting American missiles at energy infrastructure in Belgorod or Rostov is one thing; shooting them at the Kremlin is another thing entirely.

There is, however, another aspect of this which seems to be garnering little attention. The biggest risk of sending Tomahawks is not that the Ukrainians will blow up the Kremlin and start World War Three. The bigger risk is that the Tomahawks are used, and Russia simply moves on after eating the strikes. Tomahawks are arguably one of the last – if not the last – rung in the escalation ladder for the USA. We have rapidly run through the chain of systems that can be given to the AFU, and little remains except a few strike systems like the Tomahawk or the JASSM. Ukraine has generally received everything it has asked for. In the case of Tomahawks, however, the United States is running the most serious risk of all: what if the Russians simply shoot down some of the missiles and eat the rest of the strikes? It’s immaterial whether the Tomahawks damage Russian powerplants or oil refineries. If Tomahawks are delivered and consumed without seriously jarring Russian nerves, the last escalatory card will have been played. If Russia perceives that America has reached the limits of its ability to raise the costs of the war for Russia, it undercuts the entire premise of negotiations. More simply put, Tomahawks are most valuable as an asset to threaten with.

The USA has been relentlessly bluffing, and the Russians have been relentlessly calling those bluffs, since the launch of the Special Military Operation nearly four years ago. There can be little doubt that the Russians will do the same thing if the Tomahawks are deployed against them, and then the US military will be revealed as the paper tiger it is so far outside its zone of influence.

Which, of course, is the one thing the US military cannot afford to happen in light of its global pretensions and asymmetric war with China.

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Odessa is Next

Col McGregor observes the significance of the recent Russian crossing of the Dnieper River.

The Russians have crossed the Dnieper River. They already have special operations forces and agents on the ground outside of Odessa. They’re now putting together a bridgehead on the west side of the Dnieper River. For all intents and purposes, it’s a bridge head that will be utilized to position forces to cross that river in strength. Now, why would the Russians cross the river, the South Dnieper with large forces? It would be to take Odessa.

Why would you take Odessa? Odessa, if it’s in Russian hands, would stop the flow of many, many arms, equipment, and support into Ukraine from the sea, from the Black Sea. Secondly, it would also landlock Ukraine. In other words, turn this future rump state we call Ukraine into a state with no outlet to the sea, which of course would be very harmful to the future of Ukraine. Now, everybody’s saying, “Oh, no, that will never happen.” No, absolutely. I think it’s going to happen…

So, these things take time, but I think at this point, President Putin has probably signaled to the general
staff, let’s plan on taking Odessa.

In the meantime, it’s being reported that the Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces, Valery Gerasimov, has informed President Putin of the encirclement of 31 Ukrainian battalions in the Donetsk region. That implies that between 7,500 and 15,000 Ukrainian soldiers will be forced to surrender before the end of November and quite possibly much sooner.

It goes without saying that if the Kiev regime had any concerns for the fate of the Ukrainian people, it would have surrendered already. The fact that it hasn’t, and that it not likely to do so anytime soon, does not bode well for whatever is left of Ukraine in the post-war period. If Russia now feels the time is right to take Odessa, that suggests that the UFA has been weakened to the point that it will not be able to put up much in the way of resistance, given its importance to the Kiev regime.

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The Russians Know

It’s a lot harder for the satanic rulers of the West to convincingly dismiss so-called “conspiracy theories” when their strongest and best-armed opponents are openly calling out their wicked depopulationist objectives:

A Russian scientist close to Vladimir Putin claims the West is plotting to eliminate most of the human race with a virus, sparing only a small elite who will be served by robots.

Mikhail Kovalchuk, head of Russia’s Kurchatov nuclear research institute, made the extraordinary remarks while addressing a forum of school teachers in Moscow.

His comments underline the kind of extreme conspiracy theories that critics warn are increasingly shaping Kremlin ideology, according to The Times.

Kovalchuk, 77, alleged that western countries were planning to unleash a deadly disease to reduce the number of people on earth.

He also claimed the West was using LGBT and child-free ideologies to curb populations because robots would soon be able to work better and more effectively.

‘The West … understands that a huge number of people are becoming unnecessary. They have begun to prepare for a population reduction,’ the Kremlin boffin told the Forum of Class Teachers, a Russian-backed organisation. 

‘They introduced the LGBT agenda and for those who didn’t go along with it, they offered a second option – the child-free family. 

‘It’s working brilliantly. In a generation or two, there’ll be no continuation of their bloodlines. Only a small elite, the ones they actually need, will remain.’

I don’t see how anyone can possibly deny the depopulationist agenda of the various political elites across Europe, the USA, and the UK. Everything they prioritize, from female education to mass immigration, the aggressive promotion of sexual deviation, and the mRNA therapies is designed to reduce birth rates and populations; there is not one single country in the West that is even at replacement rates.

Even the Ukraine war is being fought with surprisingly little regard for preserving the lives of Ukrainian soldiers, so much so that there are various theories about what the plans are for the depopulated lands that remain to the Kiev regime if it should survive the inevitable surrender to Russia.

And is it really a “conspiracy theory” to observe that people have been pushing the “too many people” line for nearly as long as Generation X has been alive?

UPDATE: Elon Musk’s girlfriend knows too

“Luckily there’s a massive population drop coming.”

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France Seizes Russian Tanker

It appears that the French have bitten off considerably more than they’re going to want to chew:

French troops have boarded the deck of a tanker alleged to be from Russia’s ‘shadow fleet’ stationed off the coast of France and suspected of involvement in drone flights over Denmark last month.

A source within the executive branch, speaking on condition of anonymity, told AFP earlier that the French navy had boarded the Boracay, a Benin-flagged vessel blacklisted by the European Union for being part of Russia’s sanction-busting ‘shadow fleet’ of ageing oil tankers.

French President Emmanuel Macron did not confirm reports of a connection to Danish drone flights but said on Wednesday that the ship had committed ‘serious offences’.

It is currently at anchor near the western city of Saint Nazaire.

It comes after the French Navy said on Tuesday that authorities were investigating a possible infraction by the Boracay tanker.

It was detained by earlier this year for sailing without a valid country flag.

The whole “shadow fleet” concept is absurd in the first place. It just means that Lloyd’s of London and other Western insurance companies don’t insure Russian-owned vessels. In any event, if the vessel isn’t released soon, I have no doubt that Russia will find a way to make France pay appropriately for its actions.

It’s informative to observe the French will stop Russian oil tankers, but not migrant dinghies.

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A Real Russian Attack

A “Russian” attack that does no real damage is an obvious false flag, as evidenced by this recent strike on a group of “instructors” and “targeting crews” in Ukraine.

Two Russian hypersonic missiles struck Ukraine’s Starokostyantyniv airbase today, destroying five (5) US-supplied F-16 Fighter jets, an unknown number of British-supplied Storm Shadow/SCALP missiles, along with “Dozens” of NATO instructors and targeting crews. According to a Ukrainian Telegram channel from the site: “Everyone is dead, everything is destroyed, we are in agony. Everything on the base is burning.”

I really don’t see how the European NATO forces expect to survive engagement with the Russian Army. Do they really think that nuclear threats are going to make Russia back down? Do they imagine that the USA has enough conventional forces to impress the Russian generals?

What, exactly, are supposed to be the victory conditions?

Remember, the US military not only can’t stop hypersonic missiles, it also doesn’t have any of its own.

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More False Flag Warnings

I first warned about the false flags that would inevitably be attributed to Russia back in January 2022, before the Special Military Operation even began. In the aftermath of the pathetic attempt at pretending six duct-taped drones had attacked rural Polish farmhouses, a number of observers are increasingly concerned that NATO is finally going to stage a more serious false flag with a pre-prepared “response” intended to trigger a US defense of the soon-to-be overwhelmed European forces.

World War III will start very soon if the information about Kyiv’s plans to carry out a false-flag operation in Romania and Poland is confirmed.

According to the available information, the plan is to repair several downed Russian UAVs, send them — disguised as ‘Russian drones’ — to NATO hubs in Poland and Romania, conduct a disinformation campaign in Europe with the intent to blame everything on Moscow and thereby trigger an armed conflict between Russia and NATO.” (c) Russian MFA

On Kyiv’s plans to carry out a false-flag operation in Romania and Poland

Today several Hungarian media outlets reported on Zelensky’s plans to carry out sabotage in Romania and Poland in order to blame Russia. Thus, on Bankova they are preparing their own “Gleiwitz incident” — to create a casus belli for a war between Russia and NATO.

According to the available information, the Kyiv regime’s plan is as follows:

  • Repair several downed or intercepted Russian UAVs.
  • Equip them with a combat warhead.
  • Send UAVs controlled by Ukrainian specialists — disguised as “Russian drones” — to major NATO transport hubs in Poland and Romania.
  • Simultaneously conduct a disinformation campaign in Europe to blame everything on Moscow.
  • Ignite an armed conflict between the Russian Federation and NATO.

I very much doubt it’s going to work, despite what will be an absolute media blitzkrieg by the European, UK, and US medias, because it’s going to be absolutely obvious that Russia had nothing to do whatever the false flag turns out to be. And there are three reasons why it will be absolutely obvious.

  1. When Russia attacks, it does so in an open and unmistakable manner. Nor does it bother to hide its intentions or conceal its actions.
  2. False flags invariably involve minimal loss compared to real strikes. Russia attacks with an average of 187.5 drones and 8.4 missiles per day. An attack on NATO would be an escalation, so any real attack on NATO would presumably consist of at least 800 drones and 15 missiles. Anything short of this level should be assumed to be a false flag.
  3. If and when Russia attacks NATO, it will attack command centers, weapons depots, troop concentrations, and airfields. Attacks on trivial and tertiary targets, especially if they involve a minimal loss of life or primarily civilian casualties, should be assumed to be false flags.

More false flags are definitely coming. But there is no reason to assume that WWIII will be triggered as a result, since the Russians know perfectly well what the desperate Kiev regime and its European paymasters are trying to do. As does the Trump administration.

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Neocons and the Fall of NATO

Robert Kagan, the eminence grise of the neocons, has been steadily ratcheting down his objectives. Now he’s merely hoping to preserve the existence of NATO.

Putin’s primary goal right now is to force Ukraine’s surrender. Aiding Ukraine has already begun to be a controversial subject in Poland; the prospect of Russian attacks in retaliation could drive up opposition, especially if the United States proves unreliable. That in turn will force Ukrainians to contemplate a world without foreign assistance.

But Putin also has his eye on a bigger prize: the collapse of the NATO alliance. For many months Putin has been waging a “shadow war” against NATO member states—one that the Center for European Policy Analysis describes as “a concerted and coordinated campaign of attacks” aimed at raising the costs and risks to those nations aiding Ukraine. These have included sabotage of key infrastructure, arson, and assassination attempts against European defense executives. The Trump administration’s response has been to tell the Europeans they need to defend themselves, because the United States can no longer afford to do so; to hint at substantial withdrawals of American forces from Europe; and, most recently, to cancel a multiyear defense-training program for the Baltic allies.

The “shadow war” was a characteristic Putin probe to see what the United States would tolerate. The Trump administration’s lack of response encouraged Putin to take the next step and bring the “shadow war” out from the shadows. By overtly attacking Poland, Putin has forced the question of America’s security commitment to the fore. For Trump to do nothing in response to the constant strikes against civilian targets in Ukraine was one thing. If he does nothing in response to a Russian attack on Poland, Europeans will have to stop fooling themselves and face the fact that the Americans really aren’t there for them.

Of course, you have to learn how to read between the lines with people like this. While it’s true that Putin would like to see NATO collapse, he’s obviously not trying to accomplish that by sending a few old drones to crash into country houses in Poland or buzzing the Stockholm airport. These are just the pathetic false flags being waved by the Europeans in a futile attempt to talk the US military into defending them in the war against Russia they started.

If Ukraine doesn’t surrender, NATO will be destroyed. NATO will likely fall apart on its own when the USA withdraws from Europe, but contra Kagan’s ahistorical assertions, it never had any ability to defeat Russia at any time since 2022.

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Draining the Western Brains

High-level thinkers don’t communicate with the masses because we quite literally can’t. The problem with Western civilization is not that its high-level thinkers are unable to communicate with the masses, because high-level thinkers have never been able to effectively communicate with the masses. It’s a little ironic that one of the better popularizers fails to understand the importance of the popularizer’s role in translating and transmitting the original thinker’s ideas to a public that is more than two standard deviations below him.

I deal with it by showing high-level thinkers how to communicate with the masses.

Like Wilber and Spiral Dynamics… they CREATED the models that I apply in my work, but they didn’t communicate them in a way that made the average person care. I did. I was like “ARENT BITCHES CRAZY? HERE’S WHY” and showed them.

High-level thinkers have to use their abilities to appeal to the masses more than everyone else. NO ONE IS COMING TO HELP.

But this isn’t really the issue anyhow. The issue is that the current rulers of Western Civilization hate it and every element of it, and would like nothing better than to destroy it if they could only figure out how to kill the golden goose and yet keep its golden eggs.

Most high-level thinkers are banished and deprived of platforms and popularizers due to their inability to accept the satanic, anti-Western, anti-Christian, anti-American Narrative that has been required of any public intellectual for the last fifty years.

As one reader here has noted, China responded to Wang Hunin by promoting him to the Chief Ideologue of the Chinese Communist Party despite the fact that he didn’t even belong to the Party, whereas the USA responded to me by deplatforming me and systematically depriving me of opportunities and resources.

This isn’t a complaint. It’s merely an observation. One of the benefits of being a high-level thinker is far less interest in the prizes and fancy pants with which the status-obsessed midwits are obsessed. But imagine the amount of scientific resources now being wasted across the West on finding useless results “consistent with the theory of evolution by natural selection” that could be more profitably spent on actual science if I had even a fraction of the respect and institutional support that Mr. Hunin enjoys in China. And that’s just one topic…

One of the reasons that China has already far surpassed the West, and that Russia inevitably will as well, is that both societies genuinely value their intellectual elites. The West, despite its pretensions to being “an open society” is in an increasingly fragile state of intellectual sclerosis, where even the most obvious truths must go unspoken, and better yet, unobserved. This is why I anticipate that the most promising young Western intellectuals will be officially incentivized to move to China and to Russia over the next three decades, a policy that will eventually be followed by entrepreneurial and technological booms there.

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NATO and the Need for Resolve

The ever-brilliant NATO strategists who have been losing for three straight years now claim to believe that going head-to-head with Russia in Ukraine is the way to AVOID a Russian invasion of Europe:

Military experts have warned NATO must take seriously the recent drone incursions into eastern Europe or risk invasion, after Russia tested the military alliance’s resolve with intrusions into foreign airspace last week.

Hamish de Bretton-Gordon OBE, a former British Army colonel, told the Daily Mail that he has ‘no doubt’ that Russian President Vladimir Putin will keep going, after UAVs repeatedly breached NATO airspace in eastern Europe.

Poland called the intrusion a deliberate provocation, as Russia insisted it had not targeted objects in Polish territory. European allies have rushed to organise an ‘Eastern Sentry’ mission, bolstering the eastern frontier with greater materiel.

‘NATO has suddenly woken up – or finally woken up,’ said de Bretton-Gordon. ‘We played lip service to the peace dividend … really giving the impression to Putin that we weren’t that bothered and we didn’t care. So in a way, it is slightly our own fault. We’ve got a show resolve now, otherwise he will keep going.’

The Europeans wouldn’t be so desperate to provoke WWIII if they understood that the USA is not going to intervene and fight for them. But they certainly know that what they’re doing by pretending they’re going to respond to a false Ukrainian flag is the best way to assure Russia invades the NATO countries on its borders, not avoid it.

The liars always lie.

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