Tag: Middle East

Another Regime Change Attempt

Hal Turner is confident that the USA is about to launch another attack on Iran:

This is the regime change handshake. Two signals just locked:

  1. French Embassy Evacuation

NATO-aligned states rarely pull non-essential staff preemptively unless they receive high-confidence intel about kinetic escalation. This is a soft tripwire. Once a major Western embassy begins staff exfiltration/evacuation, it implies operational windows are being cleared.

Not speculation. Preparation.

  1. Crown Prince Pahlavi Signal

His emergence isn’t random. Reza Pahlavi is the West’s most visible monarchist fallback node. If he is in communication with the Trump administration while Iran is in revolt and U.S. options are on the table, it means a continuity pathway is being installed.

Not hope. Planning.

Together, they represent the two sides of a classic destabilization playbook:

•Evacuation → ignition → installation

This is no longer just a military question. It’s a governance scenario.

The sequence has internal logic:

•France clears Tehran.

•Pahlavi enters the frame.

•U.S. holds strike leverage.

•Regime is weakened by revolt and isolation.

•A symbolic future leader is already talking to Washington.

This is regime replacement architecture. Whether via decapitation, uprising catalysis, or negotiated exile, the structure is converging.

Probability of U.S. kinetic action in the next 72–96 hours now exceeds 65%.

Probability that Pahlavi is being positioned as the soft-landing placeholder is over 80%.

This is ignition choreography.

It’s a little remarkable how these countries just sit by like dumb cattle and refuse to take any proactive action in the fear of… I don’t know what. Whether it is Syria or Serbia, Libya, or Iraq, they just sort of sit around hoping that the US military won’t actually do anything until it’s too late.

There are reports that the Venezualan military never even unpacked the Russian S-300s they could have used in air defense.

I won’t even try to pretend to understand the world today.

DISCUSS ON SG

Jump to India Confirmed

In 2004, the Learned Elders of Wye announced their plan to jump to China once the USA collapsed in the 2030s. However, those plans were cancelled by Xi Jinping in 2015, thereby prioritizing the jump to Ukraine for which the groundwork was laid in the Orange Revolution of 2014. Those plans for Ukraine would appear to have been cancelled by the Russian Special Military Operation launched in 2022, although it’s also possible that the repopulation of a neo-Ukranian rump state could involve a recolonization there; it’s too soon to tell.

But regardless, it’s apparent that the recent jeetification of Canada and the USA is a consequence of what would appear to be the new plan of a jump to India, as evidenced by the recent comments of Rosanne Barr. The point is not that Ms Barr is a particularly well-informed elite, but rather, that she is not; apparently this is such common knowledge that even she knows what’s in progress.

“America deserves what’s going to happen to them for it. Israel will just move on to India and America will fall.”

Such are “the blessings of Israel” that so concern the Zionist Boomers who didn’t hesitate to sacrifice the future of their children, grandchildren, and great-grandchildren in order to secure the dubious and short-term blessings of the god of this world. The lessons of history are brutal, but they are certainly consistent.

Unless and until you comprehend that the “judeo-christianity” sold by the likes of Ben Shapiro and Dennis Prager and adopted by Churchians is not even remotely synonymous with “Christianity” in absolutely any sense of the term, be it historical, theological, spiritual, or moral, you cannot even begin to understand anything about the geopolitics of the last 80 years, let alone the history of the last two millennia. Remember, America is “the New Rome” and Israel has been at war with Rome since before Jesus Christ was born. In fact, if historian Barry Strauss and the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are to be taken at face value, Israel is still at war with Rome.

For those inclined to see this predicted fall of America as some sort of apocalyptic black pill, it’s probably worth keeping in mind that the post-1492 collapse of Spain was also described as Spain’s “Golden Age”. And even the Western Roman empire survived nearly another four centuries post-Vespasian, while the Eastern Roman Empire prospered for a thousand years.

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The Failure of Holocaustianity

As I pointed out in a public debate with Louise Mensch in 2018, the Holocaust, such as it is, is over. In 2025, it is as emotionally relevant to the average individual on the planet as the Boxer Rebellion, the Sacking of Carthage, and the Battle of Manzikart, which is to say, no one alive today actually cares about it in the least. Surviving Boomers aside, it’s now a dead rhetorical letter.

Which, of course, is why those who are still trying to play that card are discovering, much to their surprise, the various ways doing so tends to backfire on them.

  • Former Obama speechwriter Sarah Hurwitz laments to Jewish Federation that people are finding content from “Al Jazeera and Nick Fuentes” on social media and seeing videos of “the carnage in Gaza.” Holocaust education has backfired in part as people see Palestinians as Jews’ victims, she adds. “They think the lesson of the Holocaust is…you fight the big powerful people hurting the weak people.” The lesson they were supposed to get is that it gives Israel the right to commit genocide in perpetuity.
  • The Holocaust Museum of Los Angeles on Saturday took down an Instagram post that said, “‘Never Again’ can’t only mean never again for Jews.” The Jewish group lamented that the post was misinterpreted by some as a “political statement” reflecting the “ongoing situation” in “the Middle East” but “that was not our intent.”

The Gazacaust appears to have been a serious blunder by the Netanyahu regime, although it may simply be the same logic that applies to the current anti-semitism push and the anti-Iran campaigns by AIPAC, which is that time is running out on both a) Zionist influence and b) the power over which that influence is held, so however suboptimal the strategy might be, they’ve got to make use of that power before it ceases to be useful.

Either way, the Holocaust dies with the Boomers, and although a few people have been jailed or otherwise punished for their failure to believe that exactly six million people of a very specific ethnicity were killed by eagles, bears, medical experiments, and flaming roller coasters of death during a four-year period in the 1940s, no amount of propaganda and rhetorical appeals are going to convince anyone that being a fourth- or fifth-generation descendent of a survivor of those heinous historical acts grants one a lifetime license to subject other people to ethnic cleansing and genocide just because one’s great-great-grandfather’s relatives were subjected to it.

And for those who claim that it does, perhaps it would be well to keep in mind that we American Indians would obviously possess a much better claim on any such license than the descendants of survivors of much smaller, much shorter, much less comprehensive genocides.

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A Failed Wordspell

This graphical attempt to convince Americans that the real problem with their political system is excess Qatari influence is borderline laughable in its obvious attempt to mislead the ignorant. The whole problem with AIPAC is that unlike other interest groups focused on foreign nations, it is allowed to masquerade as an American interest group, which is why its political financing is not included in the FARA numbers.

I may have made a little adjustment to the meme. The dishonesty of the neocons and their cuckservative puppets really knows no limits. By the way, the original meme about the iniquitous Qatari money was posted in response to one of the Weinstein brothers pointing out that attacking every single question, however reasonable, as “anti-semitic” or “Marxist” was arguably not the ideal way to convince the average individual of the common interests of the American and Jewish peoples.

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Conservatives Can’t Disavow Me

I was never one of them. I have no connections with them. I disavowed them a long time ago, even when this site was being publicly touted by them as one of the 100 Most Popular Conservative sites on the Internet. I was number 52 back then, ahead of The American Spectator, Human Events, and American Conservative. And in 2015, I exposed the false posturings of “conservativism” as a coherent political philosophy or substantive ideology in my book with John Red Eagle, Cuckservative. This is relevant because The Tree of Woe recently considered the way in which the direction of the disavowals is now changing:

Disavowal has a long tradition on the Right. For 75 years, right-wing moderates have disavowed right-wing extremists to make sure they’re not associated with them or their beliefs. It began in 1950, when Republican Senator Margaret Chase Smith disavowed Republican Senator Joe McCarthy in her “Declaration of Conscience,” leading the way for the Senate to disavow Senator McCarthy entirely in 1954.

Disavowal became formal policy in 1955, when William F. Buckley begin purging the “far right.” A prolific disavower, Buckley famously repudiated Robert Welch in 1962, Revilo Oliver in 1966, Pat Buchanan in 1991, and finally Sam Francis in 1995. Buckley’s successor, Rich Lowry, disavowed Ann Coulter in 2001, and John Derbyshire in 2012.

Disavowal reached its peak in February 2016, when the entire conservative establishment came together to disavow Donald Trump in an essay series on National Review that included posts by Glenn Beck (The Blaze), David Boaz (Cato), L. Brent Bozel III (Media Research Center), Mona Charen (National Review), Ben Domenech (The Federalist), Erick Erickson (The Resurgent), Steven F. Hayward (Reagan Professor at Pepperdine), Mark Helprin (author), Yuval Levin (National Affairs), Dana Loesch (The Blaze), William Kristol (Weekly Standard), Andrew McCarthy (National Review), David McIntosh (Club for Growth), Michael Medved (talk radio host), Edwin Meese (former Reagan admin), Russell Moore (Ethics & Religious Liberty Commission of Southern Baptist Convention), Michael B. Mukasey (US Attorney General), Katie Pavlich (Townhall), John Podhoretz (Commentary), R. R. Reno (First Things), Thomas Sowell (Hoover), Cal Thomas (USA Today), R. Emmett Tyrrell (American Spectator), and Kevin D. Williamson (National Review).

In 2025, a countervailing tendency has emerged in which right-wingers now disavow the disavowers, indeed they disavow disavowal itself.

The big change, of course, is the way that the American Left and Right have both rejected Israel, its brutal war on the Palestinians in Gaza, and its increased aggression against what seems like half the countries in and around the Middle East. Despite the initial sympathy after the October 7th attacks, the subsequent awareness that the attacks were permitted, and perhaps even encouraged in the interest of justifying ethnic cleansing in Gaza and the West Bank, have eliminated those sympathies.

And, of course, the war on the Constitutional rights of Americans in the name of “anti-semitism” has unsurprisingly proved extraordinarily unpopular among pretty much everyone who hasn’t sold their souls and other body parts to AIPAC. Everyone who “fights antisemitism” is now correctly seen as being anti-American and no amount of rapid-fire rhetorical redefinitions of every single word involved is going to change that obvious dialectical truth.

But since Conservative Inc. is wholly owned by AIPAC, I think we’re going to see more and more big name conservatives rejecting the label, rejecting the posture, rejecting the premises, and rejecting the corruption, because no amount of media support and pay-for-puppeting is going to suffice to maintain their viability with an increasingly skeptical public. Calling people Tucker Carlson and Candace Owens “the Woke Right” as conservatives attempt to enforce an ever-growing set of anti-American laws, literal speech codes, deplatformings, and delegitimizations has rendered the neocolonization of the entire conservative movement obvious and politically unviable.

The appeal of conservative ideology and anti-anti-semitism is no stronger than the liberal appeal of ideology and anti-anti-racism in today’s multiracial, multireligious political world. In the post-ideological age, identity is the only game in town. And “conservative” is not an identity.

The Christian Nationalist Right doesn’t need conservatives because we have the truth on our side. Or, more precisely, because we are on the side of the Truth and they observably are not.

Cue all the moaning about “they’re trying to divide us!” To which I say: “look around you, Boomer.” They already did. There is no us.

DISCUSS ON SG

It Actually is Their Land

Ron Unz realizes that the Zionists really held the original claim to the land all along:

America’s tens of millions of Christian Zionists regard themselves as the champions of the Israelis whom they identify with the Israelites of the Bible, and I suspect that many of them may vaguely consider the Palestinians to be the descendants of the accursed Canaanites. But the actual facts seem to be the other way round, with the Israeli Jews having heavy Canaanite ancestry and today’s suffering Palestinians probably being the closest direct descendants of the ancient Israelites.

It would appear Miles Mathis knew what he was doing when he described the primary moving force behind Clown World as “the Phoenician Navy”. And no doubt the shape of the next temple in Jerusalem, will surprise everyone when it is eventually built.

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Why the Gazacaust Ended

Charles Johnson has a very different theory about the sudden end of the Israeli invasion of Gaza that revolves around the funding of the Trump coterie by Qatar:

The second Netanyahu tried to kill Hamas members in Qatar and thereby threatened Witkoff and Kushner family money — which is really Trump money — he was done. So you’re aware about what really caused the Gaza War to end. Netanyahu tried murdering Hamas in Qatar. That’s what it was — an attempted murder.

Qatari officials said if this behavior is allowed in our country, we are going to withdraw investments in the United States, including the money we have put behind your allies and your family.

President Trump said, “Woah, is there anything we can do to make this cool?” The Qataris said, “Yeah, we have a security guarantee. Let’s invoke it against Netanyahu.”

Trump made Netanyahu apologize to the Qataris and the Qataris rewarded America by announcing new investments in America, including an air base in Idaho.

I have no idea if any of this is real or relevant, as it’s entirely outside of my knowledge base, but the whole thing was definitely abrupt and weird. I certainly didn’t expect the ceasefire to hold, much less for Hamas to return the hostages and for the IDF to withdraw from Gaza. But, let’s face it, it wouldn’t be terribly surprising if the whole thing was about corruption and money rather than anything of ideological, strategic, spiritual, or historic import.

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Another Sign of the Inevitable

Turkey’s nationalists are beginning to openly push for a break with NATO and the Clown World West:

For decades, Turkish nationalism marched under the NATO flag. But now, one of Türkiye’s most influential right-wing leaders is calling for a turn East – toward Russia and China. His proposal may mark the country’s clearest ideological break with Atlanticism since joining the Alliance.

In September, Türkiye’s political landscape was shaken by a statement that many experts called sensational and potentially transformative. Devlet Bahceli, leader of the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) and a long-time ally of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan within the People’s Alliance, proposed the establishment of a strategic trilateral alliance involving Türkiye, Russia, and China to counter the “US-Israel evil coalition.”

Bahceli emphasized that such an alliance is “the most suitable option, considering reason, diplomacy, the spirit of politics, geographical conditions, and the strategic environment of the new century.” The proposal extends far beyond the usual nationalist agenda, positioning Türkiye as a player capable of initiating new formats of international cooperation.

To grasp the importance of this statement, we must note the historical context. Turkish pan-Turkism has traditionally been oriented toward the West, and nationalists were seen as staunch defenders of the pro-Atlantic course. In this light, Bahçeli’s call for an alliance with Moscow and Beijing marks a symbolic break from that tradition, reflecting growing distrust toward NATO and the US within Türkiye’s political landscape.

Bahceli’s comments are not random. Over the past few years, he has steadily ramped up his criticism of the West, advocating for Türkiye’s sovereign development “beyond blocs and alliances.” But this is the first time he has explicitly named Russia and China as preferred partners.

This obviously isn’t even remotely surprising, considering that I predicted it was going to happen over a year ago. But cooperation with an increasingly irrational and aggressive NATO is obviously not in Turkey’s best interests, given its past history of military conflict with Russia, and Turkey also has very serious reason to doubt that its allies will take its side in its coming conflict with Israel.

One thing that has escaped the notice of the mainstream analysts is the way that the fall of the Assad regime in Syria has set up an inevitable conflict between Turkey and Israel. Turkey clearly has a stronger historical claim to Jerusalem than the modern Jewish state, which was only held by the right of conquest by the Davidite dynasty for 270 years, less than the Romans (700 years), the Caliphates (332 years), or the Turks (401 years).

The elimination of Syria as a functional buffer state between Turkey and Israel means that war between the two states is inevitable. And both Erdogan and Turkey know that an AIPAC-dominated USA is going to side with Israel, which explains why the Turkish nationalists are now openly favoring an alliance with Russia and China, neither of whom are particularly enamoured of the Israelis in light of how Israel has been a) destabilizing the entire Middle East and b) attempting to ethnically cleanse the Palestinians from the region.

The fact that NATO has been comprehensively defeated by Russia almost certainly factors into the new Turkish perspective as well. What use is an alliance that can’t effectively defend you and is more likely to take the side of one of your primary enemies than yours? Logic dictates that the break will come, but it’s impossible to say when it will come. But the fact that the Turkish nationalists are now openly calling for it suggests that it will come sooner rather than later.

DISCUSS ON SG

Inverse Analysis

Most people look at predictions before the relevant events happen, or don’t happen. I prefer to look at events, then look back to see who predicted them, regardless of whatever other nonsense or lunacy they might be spouting.

6 October 2025

  • All the branches of the U.S. military are holding an emergency meeting over the government shutdown. We are hearing from our intelligence agency sources that the Gaza and Ukraine wars are to be ended immediately.

9 October 2026

  • Hamas declares the war in Gaza OVER: Leader of terror group confirms ceasefire as Trump promises historic deal will deliver ‘lasting peace’
  • Peace at last for Gaza: Israeli security cabinet approves Trump-brokered agreement to end two years of brutal war with all 20 living hostages released by Monday

Jury is still out on whether Ukraine will be wound down or not, of course, but it’s an interesting observation.

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Soul-Selling is Lucrative

The Jerusalem Post exposes the latest paid Israeli US propaganda campaign:

Newly filed records with the Department of Justice show that Israel’s government has quietly launched a two-track influence operation in the United States, blending big-budget political advertising with grassroots-style influencer campaigns.

The filings reveal that a firm called Bridges Partners LLC has been hired to manage an influencer network under a project code-named the “Esther Project.” It is unclear if there is any link to Project Esther, a plan to combat antisemitism published by the Heritage Foundation, an American right-wing think tank.

In its disclosure, required under the Foreign Agents Registration Act, Bridges said its work was intended to “assist with promoting cultural interchange between the United States and Israel” and specified that the engagement runs through a German division of the global PR firm Havas.

Attached documents show that the firm, owned by Israeli consultants Uri Steinberg and Yair Levi, was formed in June 2025 in Delaware and soon after received nearly $200,000 to recruit and coordinate US-based social media influencers.

The contracts allow for up to $900,000 in payments over several months and include a detailed pricing schedule: $60,000 in upfront payments to cover influencer recruitment and concept development, another $140,000 in development-phase payments as five or six influencers began posting, and monthly allocations of up to $250,000 earmarked for influencer fees, production, and agency costs. A final $50,000 was budgeted for wrap-up and post-campaign reporting.

This is just the petty stuff going to a small group of Jewish influencers of whom you’ve almost certainly never heard and to whom no one outside of Israel pays any attention:

Among those photographed at the meeting were Lizzy Savetsky, a fashion and lifestyle personality who has rebranded as a prominent voice for Israel; Ari Acker, who runs a popular news explainer account; and Zach Sage Fox, known for his pro-Israel video content. Other participants included Miriam Ezagui, a nurse who posts Jewish lifestyle content; and Joyce Chabb.

No wonder Nickles Fuentes sold out. If these nobodies are worth $7,000 per social media post, imagine what a Big Bear shill-stream would go for, if only he was willing to sell his soul to Satan.

UPDATE: Invoices sent to Havas Media Group Germany, which is managing the campaign, show $900,000 in funding from June through November 2025 for a group of 14 to 18 influencers. The filings estimate 75 to 90 posts in that period – equivalent to between $6,143 and $7,372 per post, according to Responsible Statecraft. The documents do not disclose which influencers are involved.

This would appear to raise questions about whether the campaign is legal given the various laws concerning foreign agents engaging in political activity. There is certainly more substance here than there ever was for so-called “Russiagate”.

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