Coin flips are more reliable than science

The reproducibility crisis in scientistry is even worse than we science skeptics had thought.

Science is facing a “reproducibility crisis” where more than two-thirds of researchers have tried and failed to reproduce another scientist’s experiments, research suggests. This is frustrating clinicians and drug developers who want solid foundations of pre-clinical research to build upon.

From his lab at the University of Virginia’s Centre for Open Science, immunologist Dr Tim Errington runs The Reproducibility Project, which attempted to repeat the findings reported in five landmark cancer studies.

“The idea here is to take a bunch of experiments and to try and do the exact same thing to see if we can get the same results.”

You could be forgiven for thinking that should be easy. Experiments are supposed to be replicable.

The authors should have done it themselves before publication, and all you have to do is read the methods section in the paper and follow the instructions.

Sadly nothing, it seems, could be further from the truth.

After meticulous research involving painstaking attention to detail over several years (the project was launched in 2011), the team was able to confirm only two of the original studies’ findings.

Two more proved inconclusive and in the fifth, the team completely failed to replicate the result…. According to a survey published in the journal Nature last summer, more than 70{ca04638509ab7618004169842ba062d20ec7073b69e1f0489735ce6a44ff3be4} of researchers have tried and failed to reproduce another scientist’s experiments.

Science is not a metric for truth or reality. One should NEVER rely upon scientists’ opinions about anything, because when science is actually reliable, we call it ENGINEERING.

When the gold standard is forty percent, you might as well rely upon flipping a coin.

That which is not wanted

If you don’t care about the subject of a post, that’s fine. But if, for whatever reason, you choose to comment and explain a) that you don’t care about the subject of a post, or, b) why you don’t care about the subject of the post, you will be banned.

If we’re discussing football, those who don’t follow football are not welcome to join the discussion. If we’re discussing Mongolian music, those who don’t like it are not welcome to join the discussion. If we’re discussing video games, those who don’t play them are not welcome to join the discussion. And if you don’t understand why people are interested in the subject of a post, keep your curiosity to yourself. It’s not your concern, it’s not your problem, and it’s not your business.

No one is asking for your opinion.

In short, if you cannot control your male gammatude, your female solipsism, or your narcissism, you are not welcome to comment here. Read all you like. But don’t comment. We don’t want to hear it.

Two days….

Don’t even think about reacting, let alone overreacting, to Trump helping out a political ally in an election fight. Not for at least two days.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Saturday he had spoken with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu about a possible mutual defense treaty between the two nations, a move that could bolster Netanyahu’s re-election bid just days before Israelis go to the polls.

“I had a call today with Prime Minister Netanyahu to discuss the possibility of moving forward with a Mutual Defense Treaty, between the United States and Israel, that would further anchor the tremendous alliance between our two countries,” Trump said on Twitter.

He added that he looked forward to continuing those discussions later this month on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly session in New York.

Netanyahu thanked Trump, saying in a tweet that Israel “has never had a greater friend in the White House,” and adding that he looked forward to meeting at the U.N. “to advance a historic Defense Treaty between the United States and Israel.”

Then again, perhaps things are a little more complicated than they look on the surface….

In a televised interview with Israel’s Channel 12 later on Saturday, Netanyahu made a direct appeal to voters based on the treaty. “I’m going to get us a defence pact that will provide us with security for centuries but for that I need your votes,” he said.

What is Netanyahu working toward, a defense pact with China? He has to know that the USA won’t even be around for decades, let alone centuries.

A problem in linear thinking

Republicans are demographically finished. Again.

For decades, the Republicans have told their voters that they were going to clamp down on illegal immigration and address the legal immigration policies that have facilitated this takeover. They have made excuse after excuse for not fulfilling those promises and now that lack of action is turning Texas blue one district at a time.

It won’t stop with these districts. District 14 in Texas is to the south of district 22. It is currently 52{9576e478f725cceae1d2658658ad3e64422d2ca740094a2fb07c0611fe338f11} white and 25{9576e478f725cceae1d2658658ad3e64422d2ca740094a2fb07c0611fe338f11} Latino. Just as in other districts, Congressman Weber has seen no serious effort from Democrats since taking office. This will soon change.

Districts 22 and 23 will turn blue in 2020 and/or 2022. Districts 14, 27, and 10 will follow suit by 2026. After this, the dominoes will fall one by one.

What is truly stunning about this situation is that many of these same congressman, whose party is being replaced in Texas due solely to immigration, are actually voting for increased immigration. Congressmen Hurd, Olson, Flores, and Randy Weber  all voted for HR 1044 – a bill to import almost unlimited amounts of H1B tech visa workers from India and Pakistan.

At the statewide level, it is possible for incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn to win reelection to a final term in 2020, but if a good Democratic candidate emerges it will be a toss-up. After that, Senator Cruz will have a tough road to get reelected in 2024. In the unlikely event that he is successful, he will be the last Republican Senator from Texas.

Now, the author is correct that Republicans should have shut down immigration into Texas and they fully merit being voted out of office on the basis of their failure to do so. However, his dire predictions are likely too negative, because as usual, they fail to account for the continued shift of white voters towards the Republican Party.

With the increased demographic changes, the Democratic Party is shifting ever-further leftward and becoming increasingly anti-white. This is driving whites into the Republican Party, and towards nationalism, at a rate that is at least potentially capable of making up for the adulteration of the overall electorate.

Of course, the fact that Republicans resist embracing their identity as the white party and insist ever more furiously – and ever less convincingly – on their cuckery and civic nationalism tends to disguise this second transformation, but it must nevertheless be accounted for if one is to make reasonable predictions about future elections.

Song of Women

The palm tree grows and flowersAs she sings softly my soul retainsHonorable ladyCompassionate and delicateThe Argali springs and flies in the mountainsHer fondness melts me languidlyHonorable ladyCompassionate and lovelyThe birds sing and tweet in the blue skyThey are happy and joyful in their soulsHonorable ladyCompassionate and mesmerizingWith the precious words of your forefathersWith the milk blessed road of your mother’s, the true pathWith the power of love for your motherlandHave a fighter spirit in your body, be steadyAs if you were a sword with a sharp bladeAs if you were an arrow ready to shoot, spring and fly, ride and rise

Building the swarm

Mozilla has taken corporate SJW activism to new depths:

Firefox maker Mozilla is trying to shame YouTube into “fixing” its recommendation algorithm, soliciting horror stories from users sent down radicalizing “rabbit holes.” Trouble is, most users don’t want more censorship.

“Once, at 2 a.m., you searched YouTube for ‘Did aliens build Stonehenge?’ Ever since, your YouTube recommendations have been a mess: Roswell, wormholes, Illuminati,” Mozilla laments in its call for submissions, asking users for their “YouTube regret” so that they might “put pressure on YouTube to do better.”

“YouTube’s recommendation engine can lead users down bizarre rabbit holes — and they’re not always harmless,” the company warns.

What business is it of Mozilla’s, one might wonder. Perhaps if Mozilla’s executives worried more about their browser’s long-vanished market share, which is now on the verge of being surpassed by the Samsung Internet app, and less about YouTube’s recommendations, they might still be relevant. I’ve used Firefox since it was called Firebird, but I’ve now uinstalled it entirely in favor of Brave.

The MILO CHRONICLES

In September 2016, University of Chicago history professor Rachel Fulton Brown forged an unlikely bond with free speech activist and firebrand Milo Yiannopoulos. Since then, Fulton Brown has celebrated the friendship in dozens of intellectually bracing essays. These Milo Chronicles explain the twists and turns of Yiannopoulos’s volatile professional life and recall ghastly encounters with social justice warriors that almost destroyed her career. In this collection, the pair emerge as united by their Catholic faith and a mutual resolve to subdue the vindictive progressive scolds who despise and defame them.

Overflowing with tenderness and righteous fury, Fulton Brown’s meticulous defenses of Yiannopoulos as a cultural icon—and devoted friend—are part handbook for prospective culture war combatants, and part moving testament to the intense spiritual and defensive alliance between one courageous academic and her incorrigible champion and campus fire-starter.

Milo Chronicles: Devotions 2016 – 2019 is 608 pages and is available for $34.99 in hardcover from Amazon and from Castalia Direct.

So much for all the hysteria

Remember when Tommy Robinson was sentenced to A LITERAL DEATH SENTENCE? Remember when all you hysterical suckers were pleading for me to get up in arms over your favorite fake nationalist’s IMMINENT MARTYRDOM IN PRISON?

How quickly you forget. Too bad for you that I don’t.

A bearded Tommy Robinson tucked into a McDonald’s and joked ‘First stop, hairdressers’ as he was released from prison today after serving nine weeks behind bars for contempt of court. The unkempt English Defence League founder emerged with uncut hair and a beard as he was greeted by supporters who had gathered outside HMP Belmarsh in south-east London. Photographs and video posted on social media showed Robinson smiling and laughing as he walked free, after serving just two months of a nine month sentence, reduced to 19 weeks because of time served.

It should be sufficiently clear now that the British establishment does not harbor any particular desire to physically harm Mr. Robinson. You may now return to your overwrought shilling for authorized gatekeepers and the Fake Right.

Medieval History 101 Episode IX

Episode IX: Getting Medieval on the Battle of Tours. For Unauthorized subscribers only.

Eighteen years ago, at the beginning of the third millennium after the birth of Christ, Muslim jihadists flew planes into the Twin Towers in New York City. Was this a watershed in the clash of civilizations? You would think after eighteen years, we would know, but historians have been arguing for centuries about the meaning of the Frankish encounter with Muslim forces at the Battle of Tours-Poitiers. Spoiler alert: The Franks won! But how was the battle remembered? Do we have Charlemagne to thank for defeating the Saracens? You know very well the story is more complicated than you have heard!

Episode Guide.

Mr. Beto disqualifies himself

But it’s good to know that Democrats are unmasking with regards to their true position on gun control.

Hell, yes, we’re going to take your AR-15, your AK-47. We’re not going to allow it to be used against your fellow Americans anymore.

This is why the dire murmured threats of conservatives are so pointless. Democrats are not going to be warned off of Civil War 2.0. If the high probability of negative consequences ever dissuaded them, they wouldn’t pursue any of their actual policies in the first place.