Even Nukes Don’t Win Air Wars

Larry Johnson points out the historical failure of a much more intense air war on Japan and its consequences for the probable failure of the Epstein Alliance’s war on Iran:

Anyone who thinks a massive bombing campaign will compel the Iranians to surrender and dump the mullahs, does not know the history of Japan, the United States and the Soviet Union in 1945. The US bombing of Japan started in earnest in March 1945 and continued through August 8, 1945. The conventional bombing killed an estimated 500,000 Japanese — mostly civilians. The atomic bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki in August added as many as 226,000 to that macabre sum. Yet, it was not the bombings alone that prodded Japan to surrender… It was the Soviet entry into the war that forced Japan to surrender.

In doing this comparison, consider this: Iran is almost 5 times the geographic size of Japan, and Iran has 91 million people compared to Japan’s population in January 1945, which was an estimated 72 million.

Not only that, but the Japanese had been actively trying to surrender for six months before Hiroshima. Iran, on the other hand, has made it very clear that the US and Israeli militaries can kill as many mullahs and generals as they like and it won’t even slow down the Iranian missile onslaught.

The best thing Trump can do is declare victory and exit the Middle East. Israel is not the USA’s responsibility, defending it is not in the US national interest, and regardless of what happens, it will be much less of a problem if the USA stops funding it. The fever dreams of the Greater Israel Zionists is what caused this war, and Americans are no more concerned about the Zionists being wiped out than they were about the Nazis being wiped out.

Zionist != Israeli. Israel does have a right to exist, but so do the Palestinians and the Arab tribes. Israel has absolutely no right to the so-called “Greater Israel” which is far more expansive than any amount of Middle Eastern territory ever controlled by an Israeli or Judean king.

But appeals to historical claims are irrelevant. Iran is not going to surrender and Iran is not going to stop bombarding both Israel and US bases until its demands are met. The short fake Trump should be offering Iran a deal it can’t afford to pass up, not simultaneously declaring victory and crying for help from the Swiss Navy.

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A Notable Resignation

While the Epstein Alliance is trying to win an air war by assassination and cover up the much-rumored death of the war’s primary architect, principled Americans are refusing to continue serving the Fake Trump administration’s Israel-First agenda:

President Trump,

After much reflection, I have decided to resign from my position as Director of the National Counterterrorism Center, effective today.

I cannot in good conscience support the ongoing war in Iran. Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation, and it is clear that we started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American lobby.

I support the values and the foreign policies that you campaigned on in 2016, 2020, 2024, which you enacted in your first term. Until June of 2025, you understood that the wars in the Middle East were a trap that robbed America of the precious lives of our patriots and depleted the wealth and prosperity of our nation.

In your first administration, you understood better than any modem President how to decisively apply military power without getting us drawn into never-ending wars. You demonstrated this by killing Qasam Solamani and by defeating ISIS.

Early in this administration, high-ranking Israeli officials and influential members of the American media deployed a misinformation campaign that wholly undermined your America First platform and sowed pro-war sentiments to encourage a war with Iran. This echo chamber was used to deceive you into believing that Iran posed an imminent threat to the United States, and that should you strike now, there was a clear path to a swift victory. This was a lie and is the same tactic the Israelis used to draw us into the disastrous Iraq war that cost our nation the lives of thousands of our best men and women. We cannot make this mistake again.

As a veteran who deployed to combat 11 times and as a Gold Star husband who lost my beloved wife Shannon in a war manufactured by Israel, I cannot support sending the next generation off to fight and die in a war that serves no benefit to the American people nor justifies the cost of American lives.

I pray that you will reflect upon what we are doing in Iran, and who we are doing it for. The time for bold action is now. You can reverse course and chart a new path for our nation, or you can allow us to slip further toward decline and chaos. You hold the cards.

It was an honor to serve in your administration and to serve our great nation.
Joseph Kent, Director, National Counterterrorism Center

It wouldn’t be at all surprising if we start seeing principled generals and admirals soon following suit. This is not America’s war. This is quite literally Israel’s war and it was beyond stupid for the US military to get involved in a military contest that it never had any reasonable chance of winning in the aftermath of the failed occupations of Afghanistan and Iraq.

Remember, those failed occupations represent the optimal ceiling of a war with Iran. The war is undeclared, unconstitutional, and extremely unpopular with the American people. No amount of rhetoric, appeals to Christian Zionism, or false flags was ever going to change that, or change the fact that the global respect for the US military been significantly, and perhaps permanently, damaged.

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Aegis Destroyer Reported Sunk

There are a number of reports that the USS Carney has been sunk after being struck by an anti-ship missile. The sinking has not yet been confirmed, but the details of the report of the Arleigh Burke-class destroyer going down in 23 minutes are very precise.

Centcom has not yet confirmed the loss of the ship, although based on the extreme censorship being practiced by the Epstein Alliance, it’s unlikely that it would be confirmed anyhow. We may not know for weeks or even months how badly the US Navy and Air Force are being damaged by the Iranian forces. The fact that the few assets that can’t be hidden are badly damaged while all the assets that can be are reportedly almost entirely unharmed tends to indicate that the losses are considerably worse than are being admitted.

There are also reports that Israel has managed to kill a few more replacement leaders, including the security chief Larjani, despite the complete failure of the decapitation strike strategy.

Iranian Supreme National Security Council Secretary Ali Larijani has been assassinated in an overnight strike by the IDF, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz has claimed. Tehran has not confirmed the top official’s death. The Israeli military has also reported having killed the commander of Iran’s Basij paramilitary force, Gholamreza Soleimani, and other high-ranking members of the group.

I don’t know how or why anyone is going to be impressed by a military continuing to pursue a strategy that not only doesn’t work, but doesn’t appear to even slow down the other side’s ability to continue escalating the war.

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Why the US Navy Retreated

It’s not just because there is a real risk to their ships. It’s because the Epstein Alliance no longer has reliable air superiority to risk entering Iranian airspace:

Russia just delivered a $900 million integrated weapons package to Iran.

  • 4 S-400 battalions with 384 missiles
  • 24 Iskander-M launchers threatening every US base in the Gulf
  • 8 Bastion-P coastal systems with 64 anti-ship missiles
  • Nebo-M radar that can detect stealth aircraft at 600km .

The Pentagon has privately admitted: “Assume all offensive operations are now contested.”

Russia just delivered a weapons package to Iran that makes everything America has built in the Middle East over the last 40 years strategically obsolete. Russia delivered an integrated $900 million combined strike and defense architecture that the Pentagon has privately admitted it cannot defeat.

$900 million, 27 cargo aircraft, 14 days of continuous airlift operations flying from three Russian military airfields directly into Iranian territory.

The largest single weapons transfer between major military powers since the Cold War. And the contents of those aircraft changed the rules of engagement for every American soldier, sailor, and pilot operating within 2,000 kilometers of Iranian borders.

Here’s what landed in Iran. The S400 Triumph air defense system, four complete battalions, 32 launchers, 384 missiles capable of engaging targets at ranges up to 400 km and altitudes up to 30 km.

The system that NATO has spent a decade trying to counter and has never successfully penetrated in combat conditions.

The USA and Israel are rapidly approaching the same strategic state that Ukraine is already in, which is that continuing the war only ensures that they will lose more comprehensively. The problem is that Iran is far less willing to make any deal with either the USA or Israel than Russia is with Ukraine.

And it won’t be long before the Asian front activates.

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Defeated at Sea

For the second time in one year, the once-indomitable US Navy has been forced to run away from land-based missiles in the Middle East, thereby demonstrating an end to 80 years of carrier diplomacy. This, along with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz enforced by Iran, spells the end of four centuries of Anglo-US ownership of the high seas.

Now the high-noon Hormuz standoff has escalated. The biggest story has been Iran’s vindication over its claims that US naval forces had retreated under the growing threat of strikes. Recall last time we spoke about the ~300km range of Iran’s anti-ship assets, but that Iranian Brigadier General Fadavi stated no US ship was operating within 700km of Iran’s shores.

It seems he was telling the truth, because latest Chinese satellite intel indicates that the USS Lincoln has now retreated to roughly 1,000km from Iranian shores. The Lincoln carrier group is said to be quivering in the lee of Port Salalah in Oman, in the north Arabian Sea:

The supporting evidence comes by way of flight tracking which appears to indicate that air refuelers operating out of KSA are bridging the gap for this extremely long combat radius. Additionally, a carrier based Osprey craft was spotted right where the Lincoln is said to be idling: This aircraft is assigned to the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln … so this must be its current location.

Operating at such a range likely puts tremendous strain on US airframes, pilots themselves, and other assets, multiplying associated costs.

More interesting is the fact that Iranian officials had claimed the reason for the USS Lincoln’s withdrawal was that it was successfully hit by drones.

It is increasingly evident that whether it actually loses a carrier or not, the Iranian Expedition will be seen as the equivalent of the disastrous Sicilian Expedition that marked the end of the Athenian empire. The war isn’t over yet, and it’s still possible that the Epstein Alliance might pull a victorious black cat out of the bag through one or more of its nefarious tactics, but an ignominious naval defeat and the eventual collapse of the Clown World-ruled US empire without significant military loss of life would be one of the best possible outcomes for the American people who have been subjugated by it for more than a century.

A defeat will also signify the end of the extension of US force into Asia, which is very good news for the people of Taiwan Island, who can be peacefully reunified with China once the threat of US intervention becomes obviously impossible. It should also indicate the eventual end of the occupation of Japan, although that will likely follow Chinese reuinification as it will likely require material Chinese support for Japanese independence.

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False Flag Warning

The Iranian leadership are making it clear that they have no intention of awaking sleeper cells or staging a terror attack on the American people. And they are clearly aware of who is actually responsible for staging the 9/11 attacks.

I’ve heard that the remaining members of Epstein’s network have devised a conspiracy to create an incident similar to 9/11 and blame Iran for it. Iran fundamentally opposes such terrorist schemes and has no war with the American people.

I doubt anywhere nearly as many people would fall for yet another attack that just happens to justify more US-Israeli aggression after the 9/11 and October 7th events.

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A True Soulsigma Fan

Or maybe he’s talking about Vibe Patrol?

As predictive as Vox’s SSH is, I have to admit, I am happy that he is on track to leave a significantly more profound legacy than that would offer. If you’re not paying attention to Vox Day, you are missing out on one of the most important minds of the last 100 years, hands down.

I expect the usual suspects are going to have a field day with this one… It’s kind of a pity they won’t be around to witness history’s eventual verdict.

On an unrelated note, the German edition of Probability Zero is now available in hardcover from Editions Alpines. This is not an AI translation; special thanks to Urs Hildebrandt who personally translated it from English into that most melodious of languages. Wahrscheinlichkeit Null… it just rolls beautifully off the tongue, doesn’t it!

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The Return of Appendix N

I would be remiss if I did not let everyone know that Jeffro Johnson’s excellent APPENDIX N: THE LITERARY HISTORY OF DUNGEONS & DRAGONS is available again on Amazon, in hardcover, Kindle, Kindle Unlimited, and audiobook.

APPENDIX N: The Literary History of Dungeons & Dragons is a detailed and comprehensive investigation of the various works of science fiction and fantasy that game designer Gary Gygax declared to be the primary influences on his seminal role-playing game, Dungeons & Dragons. It is a deep intellectual dive into the literature of SF/F’s past that will fascinate any serious role-playing gamer or fan of classic science fiction and fantasy.

It even features a lovely introduction by John C. Wright.


Imagine if you had lived in a house for decades, as had your father before you, and grandfather, and you thought you knew all its halls and chambers. Idly, some rainy day, or when the snow has covered all the roads, you take up a lantern and go to see what is stored in those old boxes in the cellar, or where that one small door you never opened before leads.

You pry the door open, and it groans on rusted hinges, and beyond are caves of wonder, heaped with treasure. Here, like a column of fire, stands a strange genii and other spirits bound to serve your family. They are willing to carry you whirling through the air like an autumn leaf, in less time than it takes to gasp in awe, to far and fabled lands beyond the cerulean ocean, to elfish gardens of dangerous glamor, to jeweled mountains, alabaster cities, or perfumed jungles dreaming in the moonlight where ancient fanes to forgotten gods arise. The genii explains that all these things are yours, your inheritance. You have merely to claim them.

Or, to make the image more true to life, let us say that you are exploring the attic, and you find a handcrank connected to an orrery, worked by a silver key you have always worn but never heretofore found to fit any lock. Turning the crank, you move the model of planets on their epicycles back to an earlier position: trumpets blare and lamps blaze, and now parts and opens the dome of what you had, until now, thought was the sky above your house.

You find yourself in the middle of larger heavens than you knew, with gem-bright suns of many colors, constellations rearing, moons and worlds like colored ornaments, and bearded stars in the high depths of space like runners with torches. And there are worlds beyond those worlds.

Here you find your grandfather, in armor of gold with a sword of white fire, still young and strong, and discover him to be a sorcerer prince, or a dark elf, or a warrior angel, whose ichor runs in your veins as well. All this explains that strangeness that has haunted you all your life.

So it is with all readers and fans of science fiction and fantasy, weird tales and amazing stories who have never looked at the older books from which the younger books spring up. These are tales from beyond the shelves you know, realms unexplored yet oddly familiar.

Jeffro Johnson was the man with that silver key to unlock the older heavens or call up the genii you inherited from the past. It started simply enough: he wrote a series of columns taking as his theme the books listed in Appendix N of the older rules for Advanced Dungeons & Dragons written by Gary Gygax.

And the list is nothing exceptional: nearly anyone alive in those days (as I was) and was familiar with fantasy or science fiction reading of the time (as I was) asked to compile a list of the essential books and authors would, no doubt, have issued nearly the same list. The world was smaller in those days, and we who read science fiction were a breed apart, in our own quarter, and a bookish fan could have read or been familiar with all the talented writers in the field, and the many of the untalented.

But like the man who explores his own basement and find a treasure trove, or opens his ceiling and finds the heavens rolled back like a scroll, Jeffro Johnson made an astonishing discovery: the things he had been told about the old books, the old pulps, the old days were misleading, or even false.

Because there was good stuff here!

Like a single spark in the dry leaves, other columnists and other readers began to reread the Appendix N books, and find that sense of wonder some writers seem willfully to wish to extinguish. Some modern books, sadly, are like a Xerox of a Xerox, and the freshness of the original is lost. Some are written in rebellion against ideas and themes in older works, but the nature of the rebellion is hidden from any reader to whom the old worlds are closed.

The genres were not demarked so clearly then, and the guards at the borders separating one kingdom from another were wont to nod and sleep, or wave through the wonder-hungry traveler without checking his papers. Works written in established worlds, Star Trek and Star Wars or Warhammer backgrounds, were utterly unknown.

Now imagine that there are some (they are rare, but they are real) whose mission is to bar you from those books, and see to it that you never enjoy the luxuries of your inheritance, or drink from the winebottles your grandfather laid down in his cellar long ago. All fashion of sneering accusation spills from these Grand Inquisitors, most of it senseless, telling you either that the artistic tastes or the personal flaws of those writers or those times render their work unfit.

Ignore the Thought Police. Read. Decide. Learn to enjoy what you enjoy. Because the heritage belongs to us all. And who knows? You may find the books that your favorite author read as his favorite books when he was young. All these worlds are yours. You have merely to claim them.

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How Bad is the War Going?

It’s going so bad that the FCC is threatening to institute Israel-style military censorship:

Brendan Carr, chairman of the FCC, has threatened to revoke broadcasters’ licenses over their coverage of the war, accusing several media outlets of “running hoaxes and news distortions.” This comes after President Trump bashed the NYT, WSJ, and other mainstream media outlets for their “intentionally misleading” broadcasting, accusing them of wanting to see America “lose the war.”

Which is amusing in light of how nothing Short Fat Trump says is even remotely true. The idea that Iran is “seeking a deal” but he’s just too strong to accept their terms is openly laughable given how Iran’s spokesman has made it perfectly clear that there is absolutely no point talking to enemies who literally bomb you in the middle of negotiations. Especially when those enemies are crowing about how the war is already over…

I don’t know why any country would negotiate with any Clown World-ruled country. They never abide by any agreements, so there is no point in even pretending to talk to them. Which, of course, drives the wizards mad, because one way to neutralize their word games is to simply not listen to them.

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