La Paglia speaks

She’s also quite sound on the apparent sociopathology of the Lizard Queen.

We have not defeated the “Islamo-fascists” in Iraq; we have simply created more of them around the world by radicalizing an entire generation of young Muslims. There is no finite number of terrorists whom we can neutralize through conventional warfare or a humiliating occupation. Neither do I believe that a genuinely stable democracy is in the near future for Iraq. The murderous ethnic and religious rivalries will seethe on and on, as they have in that region for 5,000 years. Let’s get our troops out of the way and back home where they belong.

You know, whatever happened to all those comparisons about the German and Japanese occupations the neo-cons were making a few years ago? And I haven’t heard a lot of “we are at war” either. Paglia is entirely right about this and the occupation should end today. It should have ended in early 2004. Keep in mind that the Rumsfeldian metric for success from the very start was whether the USA could kill more jihadists than it created. By that measure, the war and occupation is clearly a complete failure, and in retrospect it is quite clear that it was doomed to fail from the start.


An imperfect library

Apparently Spacebunny and I only have 52 of the 110 best books that make up the Perfect Library according to the Telegraph. We’re particularly bad on Books That Changed Your World, as Hitchhikers is the only one of the ten I own, although I have read Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance (rolls eyes). History is rather better, as we not only own seven out of the ten, but have all seven right here in my office. Only nine of ten on SF, I don’t have Day of the Triffids, at least not that I’m aware of. But how is Orwell SF and how can you possibly leave out Heinlein?

The list isn’t that bad, although it cheats by counting series as books and I think you could throw out the entire Books That Changed Your World section without any loss after putting Adams into SF. Also, the inclusion of Das Kapital is a joke, almost no one outside of seriously committed Communists or hard-core Austrians actually reads the whole thing and The Wealth of Nations is far more integral to a basic understanding of economics. Leaving out Dorothy Sayers and Rex Stout in favor of Thomas Harris, Elmore Leonard and Patricia Highsmith is criminal, and neither Pullman nor Rowling belong in the children’s section. I’d replace those two with Lloyd Alexander and Laura Ingalls Wilder. The total absence of Asian literature is also bothersome, where are Murasaki Shikibu, Confucius and Sun Tzu, at the bare minimum?

Of course, leaving off most of the great philosophical and religious works borders on the bizarre. It seems most strange to ignore Plato, Aristotle and the Bible.


Yes, I am bitter

I know that Arsenal was knocked out of the Champions League by Liverpool last night. I don’t want to talk about it. I especially don’t want to talk about the officiating.

Forget the problem of evil. A much knottier problem is the problem of FIFA officiating.


Caught out

Unsurprisingly, it’s an econonomist who appears to have caught psychological researchers making a basic fallacy. Of course, this can’t possibly have happened, since we have been repeatedly informed that without proper training and credentials in a specific science, it is impossible to render any meaningful criticism of that science:

The Monty Hall Problem has struck again, and this time it’s not merely embarrassing mathematicians. If the calculations of a Yale economist are correct, there’s a sneaky logical fallacy in some of the most famous experiments in psychology.

The economist, M. Keith Chen, has challenged research into cognitive dissonance, including the 1956 experiment that first identified a remarkable ability of people to rationalize their choices. Dr. Chen says that choice rationalization could still turn out to be a real phenomenon, but he maintains that there’s a fatal flaw in the classic 1956 experiment and hundreds of similar ones. He says researchers have fallen for a version of what mathematicians call the Monty Hall Problem, in honor of the host of the old television show, “Let’s Make a Deal.”

Chen’s observation hasn’t disproved the concept of choice rationalization, but he’s certainly called an amount of the reported evidence for it into question. As I’ve contended numerous times in the past, I expect similar weaknesses, fallacies and unfounded assumptions to be discovered in various sciences, including astrophysics, biology and economics. Some models will need to be thrown out, others will survive the test and be made stronger. That is as it should be; the resistance of scientists to sound logical and factual criticism of their models does not testify to confidence in their proper application of the scientific method.

It may surprise some to know that I am every bit as critical of the mainstream Neo-Keynesian economics model as I am of the mainstream Neo-Darwinian biological model. If I don’t write about the former as often, it’s because the subject is of less interest to most people, being far too esoteric for the average individual who cannot grasp that there is no inherent value to a U.S. paper dollar, let alone the fact that not even the eminent former head of the Federal Reserve can say what “money” is. But then, that’s what the podcasts are for. Tomorrow’s interview must unfortunately remain nameless, but I think I can guarantee that it will be of no little interest to those who are interested in the subject of the global economy.


Whatever

John Scalzi considers the Big Idea behind The Irrational Atheist. And while Mr. Scalzi is a Confirmed Troublemaker, I highly advise behaving yourself in his house.


The difference between D and R

Rod Dreher sums it up:

The difference between the Democrats and the Republicans is the Dems will tax us to blow our money, and the Republicans will just put the shopping spree on a credit card.

And that’s pretty much it. They both love pointless wars with no plausible American interest, they both love the idea of electing a new people via migration and neither of them have any intention of reducing the size or scope of the federal government.


Giants of Brazilian soccer

Brazilians have long held a reputation for being the giants of football, now they can also lay claim to being the first country with a team made up entirely of dwarves…. The average size of the team is about 4ft, while the smallest player is just 3ft 3in.

This is awesome, the guy with the ball looks rather like Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink wearing a Ronaldinho wig. And their name is great too, Gigantes do Norte, Giants of the North. How can you not admire their spirit?


So kick them out already

Equalitarians don’t seem to understand that the primary role of the military is to do very bad things to people, many of whom don’t deserve it:

The stories are shocking in their simplicity and brutality: A female military recruit is pinned down at knifepoint and raped repeatedly in her own barracks. Her attackers hid their faces but she identified them by their uniforms; they were her fellow soldiers. During a routine gynecological exam, a female soldier is attacked and raped by her military physician. Yet another young soldier, still adapting to life in a war zone, is raped by her commanding officer. Afraid for her standing in her unit, she feels she has nowhere to turn. These are true stories, and, sadly, not isolated incidents. Women serving in the U.S. military are more likely to be raped by a fellow soldier than killed by enemy fire in Iraq.

The scope of the problem was brought into acute focus for me during a visit to the West Los Angeles VA Healthcare Center, where I met with female veterans and their doctors. My jaw dropped when the doctors told me that 41% of female veterans seen at the clinic say they were victims of sexual assault while in the military, and 29% report being raped during their military service.

This isn’t shocking, this is entirely predictable. It was predicted, as it was one of the many reasons that sane individuals have opposed women serving in the military from the very start. The idea that you can overcome Man’s moral resistence to murdering people so that he will kill on command without having any impact whatsoever on his other moral restraints is a classic example of the Education Fallacy.

Soldiers have always raped women; a kinder, gentler, more civilized military that is incapable of rape is also a military that is going to crumble in disarray before the onslaught of military forces less concerned with social niceties and more focused on winning wars. As every brilliant commander who ever loosed his troops on a defeated city knew, military discipline has its limits and attempting to stretch those limits risks sacrificing discipline entirely. And if you don’t want the hard men on the front lines subject to military discipline with their attentions focused on an external enemy, then where do you want them? Wandering around suburban malls? Working as policemen and security guards? With sufficient training, one can turn a human wolf into an extremely effective sheepdog, but one can never hope to turn him into a toy poodle.

It’s worth noting how one soldier explains why soldiers have so much contempt for the female “soldiers” in their midst: “As an infantryman in the Army, my view is that the simple fact of the matter is that the large majority of women in the military are not soldiers. They may wear a uniform…even passed basic training..but they are not soldiers. They are chicks who like to dress like soldiers. They expect special treatment for being female (and often get it), have lower standards, have almost no respect for military courtesy and discipline, pay lipservice to equality and then cry foul when they get treated the same as their male co-workers, and all to often, their advance in paygrade is tied not to their job performance, but who they are sleeping with. Men don’t take them seriously because they don’t take the job, the standards of military culture, their fellow servicepeople, or themselves seriously. I have no doubts that there are legitimate cases of rape and assault within the military, but since the military became coed, fraternization has gone rampant and it is very hard…very hard….to be able to distinguish the legitimate cases from the ones where a female is screaming sour grapes because she tried to trade sex for rank and lost out on the deal…particularly if the “victim” already has a reputation of sleeping around to get things she wants. That is why so many cases get dropped because of lack of evidence.”


Extinguish it for good

The Olympic torch goes out:

Security officials snuffed out the torch and rushed it onto a bus at least five times because of the raucous protests against China’s human rights record.

I hate everything about the Olympics. Its smarmy one-worldism, its long tradition of glorifying dictatorships, its pseudo-religious aura, its fake amateurism, and the ever-present corruption which begins with the host city bids and ends with the athletes. I hope the Beijing Olympics are the debacle that spells the beginning of the end for this long-running, obnoxious charade.

And while we’re at it: Free Tibet!


Mailvox: the monthly plea

BE sounds a familiar theme:

Great article on the 31st. This is the second time I’ve written you. The first time was about three years ago and I ripped you on an article. I don’t read you much because I think you have a shallow view of politics but it seems you’ve rankled some hairs with this one so I thought I’d take a look…

I agree with what you said but if you can take a little constructive critisism, I’d just like to make a point. You seem to have evolved into a very intellectual man but when I read this, I kept saying to myself “I’m the only one I know that would read this article all the way through”. The reason being that you write above most people’s vocabulary. I could cut and paste examples where you could have stated things more simply and succinctly but if you look for yourself, you will see many times where you could have used different language(more friendly to the great uneducated) than you did. You’re a very smart guy and you have a lot to say, so if you want it to be heard(read) I’m just thinking that you need to dumb it down a little so not just people like me will stay with it. I’m sure you won’t take offense at this and I wish you all the best.

I take no offense, as I never mind constructive criticism. In fact, I tend to find a good deal of amusement in this recurring theme of mass illiteracy. The fact of the matter is that I neither expect everyone to agree with me nor care if everyone agrees with me, so going out of my way to make my writing perfectly accessible to the lowest-common denominator simply isn’t going to happen. I tried it once at the request of my then-syndicate when newspaper editors informed them that the sentence structure of my columns was too complex for their readerships, and I found it took 3x more time than simply writing the way I happen to write. So, it’s not going to happen, and therefore my columns and podcasts shall remain media products for niche markets.

If BE thinks the columns are overly esoteric, I wonder what he must make of the Voxonomics podcasts? But I do appreciate his concern and am ever so relieved that he found the more recent column more to his liking.