The working model

Dan Drezner points it out for anyone who has somehow failed to notice:

So, in all, this has been a pretty crappy week for people who dislike conspiracy theories.

I would go so far as to say that unless you accept the basic concept of conspiracy theory and actively look for conspiracies behind most significant current events, you cannot possibly understand history or reasonably hope to anticipate the future in any meaningful way.

It is better to pick up a few false signals than recognize nothing that takes place around you.


To the printers

I am sorry for the delay in getting the new Summa Elvetica out the door.  We had some technical errors caused by a domain transfer problem, did an extra round of errata-hunting edits to ensure a much cleaner text than before, and since the book ended up being a few more pages than anticipated, another revision of the dustjacket turned out to be required.  But it is now off to the printers and should be reaching to those who preordered sometime the week after next.

We may or may not do an ebook version, as all of the stories the hardcover contains are already available in ebook format.  So, if you want the complete-to-date collection of Selenoth stories, this would be your book to go with A THRONE OF BONES.  Kirk redid the spine, so, although it is not part of the Arts of Dark and Light series proper, SE+ should at least look tangentially related next to them on the bookshelf.

The book is a 6×9 hardcover of 488 pages, priced at $25.99.  It contains Summa Elvetica, eight other novellas, novelettes, and short stories, and a very slightly updated map.

It’s been interesting to see how people’s opinion of SE has changed a little since the publication of A THRONE OF BONES, including my own. What didn’t necessarily work all that well as a full-fledged novel in its own right actually holds up rather nicely as a part of the larger series.  Even though I didn’t see it at the time, it seems Jamsco was correct to observe that it held the seeds of something bigger and better all along.

The thing that I find a little astonishing is that with the publication of SE+, the total page count of the complete Selenoth collection now exceeds that of The Lord of the Rings, 1,342 to 1,147.(1) Now, of course, that doesn’t include The Hobbit, The Simarillion, or the various lost tales.  And Selenoth will never rival Middle Earth, although I do hope it will eventually come to surpass Westeros, Malazan, Randland, and the Four Lands.

(1) Knowing that someone was bound to raise the typography issue, I went ahead and tabulated the word counts. They are virtually identical at this point, with a slight edge to LOTR at 475,202 as Selenoth is presently at 471,387.


Spain is the next deposit theft

Or, if you prefer the more genteel term, “bail-in”. Jeremy Warner warns: “Spain is officially insolvent: get your money out while you still can”

I’d not noticed this until someone drew my attention to it, but the latest IMF Fiscal Monitor,
published last month, comes about as close to declaring Spain insolvent
as you are ever likely to see in official analysis of this sort. Of
course, it doesn’t actually say this outright. The IMF is far too
diplomatic for such language. But that’s the plain meaning of its latest
forecasts, which at last have an air of realism about them, rather than
being the usual dose of wishful thinking….

All this leads to the conclusion that a big Spanish debt restructuring is inevitable. Spanish sovereign bond yields have fallen sharply since announcement of the European Central Bank’s “outright monetary transactions” programme. The ECB has promised to print money without limit to counter the speculators. But in the end, no amount of liquidity can cover up for an underlying problem with solvency.

Europe said that Greece was the first and last such restructuring, but then there was Cyprus. Spain is holding off further recapitalisation of its banks in anticipation of the arrival of Europe’s banking union, which it hopes will do the job instead. But if the Cypriot precedent is anything to go by, a heavy price will be demanded by way of recompense. Bank creditors will be widely bailed in. Confiscation of deposits looks all too possible.

I don’t advise getting your money out lightly. Indeed, such advise is generally thought grossly irresponsible, for it risks inducing a self reinforcing panic. Yet looking at the IMF projections, it’s the only rational thing to do.

The amazing thing about this isn’t that there are more deposit thefts in the works, or that a specific country has been identified.  No, the amazing thing is that this isn’t from Zerohedge, Max Keiser, or some other economic contrarian site, it’s the “assistant editor of The Daily Telegraph” and “one of Britain’s leading business and economics commentators”.

If you’ve got money in a Spanish bank, you can’t say you weren’t warned very clearly and specifically.  And if you’ve got your money in a bank in another country, such as the UK or the USA, be aware that your time is likely coming, sooner or later.  In the case of the latter, the Fed is already beginning to send signals that it is not going to “print” forever.


The secret of the Moon water

It came from Earth:

The latest results come from studies on the most extraordinary samples hauled back from the moon, including green-tinged stone collected by Apollo 15 in 1971, and orange material gathered by Apollo 17 in 1972.

The surprise discovery of the green rock, by Commander Dave Scott and lunar module pilot Jim Irwin, sparked a lengthy debate among the astronauts about the boulder’s true colour while Nasa controllers listened in.

Scientists focused on tiny droplets of volcanic glass that were trapped in crystals inside the rocks. The crystals protected the droplets from the violence of eruption, and so preserved in them a snapshot of the moon’s ancient interior.

Researchers found evidence for water inside the glass droplets in earlier work but the latest study goes further, showing that the lunar water is chemically identical to that on ancient Earth.

So, now we know that the water in the Moon rocks came from Earth.  And we already knew that the Moon rocks came from Earth.  At what point is it going to become sufficiently obvious that the “Moon landings” were filmed on Earth?

What more is required, signed confessions from Stanley Kubrick and Neil Armstrong?

There is no scientific evidence that Man landed on the Moon, after all.  Since the scientific evidence points quite clearly to the various “lunar” objects having a terrestrial origin, then must we not, as good rational scientific materialists, conclude that Man never landed on the Moon?


It’s all in the perspective

The fourth image is the one I find most amusing. Unless you play ASL, you can’t truly appreciate the level of awe with which ASL players are regarded in the wargaming community, or understand the suspicions which other gamers tend to harbor concerning wargamers.  On the one hand, the ability and commitment required to master a game of its encyclopedic complexity is, quite rightly, deemed impressive, bordering on insanity.  On the other, there is an idea that the average ASLer is just a little bit too enthusiastic about those 8-3-8 assault troops, especially if he happens to have sprung for those cool black counters provided by Heat of Battle.  For some reason, people who grasp that playing WoW doesn’t make you an elf don’t always seem to understand that playing the role of a German tactician doesn’t make you a Nazi.

I tend to find it more than a little amusing that the only site from which I’ve ever been banned was the wargame site ConSimWorld, when, in response to a discussion about the “right-wing” Nazis, I posted the complete text of the Munich Manifesto.

But I was rather proud of Ender this morning.  When I showed him the latest version of the forthcoming Selenoth-based game, he immediately identified the 1981 Avalon Hill game from which I’d taken the basic hit-damage mechanism.


State Department attacks First and Second Amendments

Defense Distributed was instructed to take down the CAD files for the Liberator, a single-shot 3D printed plastic gun, by the US State Department:

Defense Distributed, the Texas-based nonprofit that wants to empower people to 3D print their own guns, has hit a bit of a legal snag. According to founder Cody Wilson, DEFCAD, the open source weapon-printing project powered by Defense Distributed, received a letter (embedded below) from the State Department’s Office of Defense Trade Compliance, telling him to remove the blueprints of the Liberator, his 3D printed gun, from the web so that they may be reviewed by the department.

The group’s website currently has a red banner appended to the top that reads, “DEFCAD files are being removed from public access at the request of the US Department of Defense Trade Controls.  Until further notice, the United States government claims control of the information.”

“We got an official letter from the Secretary of State, telling me who they were, what their authority was under U.S. law and telling me they want to review these files to see if they’re class one munitions,” Mr. Wilson told Betabeat by phone. “That includes blueprints.”

In the letter, embedded below, the State Department says that Defense Distributed may have released data that is controlled by the International Traffic in Arms Regulation without getting prior authorization. This would put the company’s actions in conflict with–oh boy–the Arms Export Control Act.

“Please note that disclosing (including oral or visual disclosure) or transferring technical data to a foreign person, whether in the United States or abroad, is considered an export,” reads the letter. It also says that until Defense Distributed has received the legal all-clear, the company “should treat the above technical data as ITAR-controlled. This means that all such data should be removed from public access immediately.”

Keep in mind, this is the very same State Department that sends tanks, jet fighters, and missiles to Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Israel.  But the freely distributed plans for a single-shot plastic pistol is somehow considered sufficient cause to justify violating the First and Second Amendments.

Forget Pirate Bay and the thousands of torrents that are already distributing the files, given that the zipfile is only 2 megs, it seems to me that a few patriotic virus programmers should be able to see that they are rapidly distributed to millions of computers around the world regardless of what the State Department has to say about it.

And if they think they’ve got problems now, just wait until home genetics become as accessible as 3D-printed firearms.  It will bring back the old fears of witchcraft; I can imagine that the unauthorized possession of another individual’s hair and nail clippings, or at least a government employee’s, will becomes a crime.


Diversity is good for you

Except when it results in a lethal post-op infection.  But it’s not as if surgeons and nurses really need to wash their hands or anything before poking around in your body, right?  More lunacy out of Ukistan:

The UK Department of Health recently announced that it would loosen hygiene rules for Muslim doctors and nurses. From now on, Muslim female staff will not need to wash their hands before procedures as it compromises their modesty. Instead, they will have the admittedly less sanitary option of wearing disposable plastic over-sleeves.

Acknowledging the danger of microbes and death, a Department of Health spokesman said, “The guidance is intended to . . . balance infection control measures with cultural beliefs.” But, believe it or not, from a culturist perspective, the death of some patients is not the main cause for concern that this policy elicits.

The most dangerous problem is that this policy encodes multiculturalism not culturism. Whereas culturism acknowledges that England has a majority culture to protect and promote, this multiculturalist policy implicitly says that England has no core culture. It says that the nation can be whatever pressure groups decide it is. It, therefore, officially ends the dominance of English culture in England.

I suppose we can be grateful that the devotees of the Diversity Gospel are not arguing for the embrace of a culture that is morally opposed to showers, toilet paper, and indoor plumbing.  Yet.

At this rate, John Piper’s killer god won’t even need to send out his tornadoes of doom anymore.


Adios ProFootballTalk

I used to like ProFootballTalk when it was actually about what happened around the NFL.  But I found myself reading it less and less often last season even though I was still actively following the NFL.  Now that it’s an advocacy site primarily concerned with what Tim Tebow SHOULD do, and what the NFL SHOULD do, and what team owners SHOULD do I can’t even stand reading it anymore.  It’s just one stupid left-liberal crusade after another; the final straw for me was the campaign to save Chris Kluwe’s job because he supports homogamy.  Followed, a few days later, by the continued campaign to change the Redskins name; a name that troubles no one, including the overwhelming number of American Indians, outside the media.

Now, I actually liked Kluwe.  But he was bad last year.  Very bad.  When the Vikings needed a big kick, he shanked it.  When they needed him to drop it inside the five, he booted it out of the end zone.  And the hypocrisy PFT showed in distinguishing how they covered Kluwe’s comments about homosexuals (isn’t it wonderful that he speaks out on such an important issue) compared to the way they covered Chris Culliver’s (the NFL should discipline him and the 49ers should consider cutting him), was simply outrageous.

So, besides Football Outsiders, what is the best NFL site to replace it on the sidebar?


He ain’t gonna play Quds City

I suspect there are more than a few secular Jewish science fetishists who are going to feel more than a little conflicted about this announcement by Cambridge University:

Stephen Hawking has pulled out of a high-profile conference to be held in Jerusalem in June to support an academic boycott of Israel, conference organisers and the university said on Wednesday.

The academic and cultural boycott, organised by international activists to protest against Israel’s policies toward the Palestinians, is a heated and contentious issue; having the renowned physicist and cosmologist join it is likely to help the anti-Israel campaigners significantly.

“Never has a scientist of this stature boycotted Israel,” said Yigal Palmor, the spokesman for Israel’s Foreign Ministry.

It’s always entertaining to watch the Left devour itself, as it always does in the end.  It should be interesting to see how some of those who celebrated the boycott of Sun City due to South African apartheid attempt to decry the boycott of al-Quds due to the Israeli version.  And it should be informative to see if this affects the subsequent media coverage of Hawking, which hitherto can only be described as “uniformly fawning”.

Now, unlike the boycotters, I support Israel as a Jewish state.  Of course, I also support Germany as a German state, Nigeria as a Fulani/Hausa, Yoruba, and Igbo state, and England as an English state. Which raises an interesting line of questions to direct towards those who proclaim the Diversity Gospel, beginning with this: do you support or oppose Israeli apartheid in the interest of maintaining its existence as a Jewish state?

And it raises another question. Can Stephen Hawking sing?


The Diversity Gospel

WATYF pointed out one of the many problems with John Piper’s claim of a Biblical mandate for diversity:

I think the most logical argument against “diversity” is found in Paul’s admonishment in Romans 12 where he says, “As far as it depends on you, live at peace with all men”. He tells us that we should act in such a way that would promote peace. Well, we know from several studies that “diversity” leads to a LACK of peace amongst men. We know that it leads to less trust, more animosity, and in many cases of very high levels of diversity, outright violence. If we truly want to live at peace “as far as it concerns us”, we would seek to promote peace between us and others, and that would be by preferring a homogenous society.

The real question is, “Why should we promote diversity?” According to what Biblical standard should it be pursued? If we can’t come up with one (which, as far as I know, there isn’t one in scripture), then we should consider just accepting the simple facts of the matter and doing what’s prudent.

There is another, related argument, which is Matthew 7:15-16.  “Beware of false prophets, who come to you in sheep’s clothing, but inwardly they are ravenous wolves. You will know them by their fruits. Do men gather grapes from thornbushes or figs from thistles?”

Consider the present fruits of diversity in Nigeria:

A fresh load of battered corpses arrived, 29 of them in a routine
delivery by the Nigerian military to the hospital morgue here. 
Unexpectedly, three bodies started moving.
“They were not properly shot,” recalled a security official here. “I had
to call the J.T.F.” — the military’s joint task force — “and they
gunned them down.” 
It was a rare oversight. Large numbers of bodies, sometimes more than 60
in a day, are being brought by the Nigerian military to the state
hospital, according to government, health and security officials,
hospital workers and human rights groups — the product of the military’s
brutal war against radical Islamists rooted in this northern city. 
The corpses were those of young men arrested in neighborhood sweeps by
the military and taken to a barracks nearby. Accused, often on flimsy or
no evidence, of being members or supporters of Boko Haram — the
Islamist militant group waging a bloody insurgency against the Nigerian
state — the detainees are beaten, starved, shot and even suffocated to
death, say the officials, employees and witnesses. 
Then, soldiers bring the bodies to the hospital and dump them at the
morgue, officials and workers say. The flood is so consistent that the
small morgue at the edge of the hospital grounds often has no room, with
corpses flung by the military in the sand around it. Residents say they
sometimes have to flee the neighborhood because of the fierce smell of
rotting flesh. 
From the outset of the battle between Boko Haram and the military, a dirty war on both sides that has cost nearly 4,000 lives since erupting in this city in 2009, security forces have been accused of extrajudicial killings and broad, often indiscriminate roundups of suspects and sympathizers in residential areas. 

That’s precisely what history teaches us diversity brings.  Social science, too, has very reluctantly concluded that diversity is a powerful societal negative:

In recent years, Putnam has been engaged in a comprehensive study of the relationship between trust within communities and their ethnic diversity. His conclusion based on over 40 cases and 30 000 people within the United States is that, other things being equal, more diversity in a community is associated with less trust both between and within ethnic groups. Although limited to American data, it puts into question both the contact hypothesis and conflict theory in inter-ethnic relations. According to conflict theory, distrust between the ethnic groups will rise with diversity, but not within a group. In contrast, contact theory proposes that distrust will decline as members of different ethnic groups get to know and interact with each other. Putnam describes people of all races, sex, socioeconomic statuses, and ages as “hunkering down,” avoiding engagement with their local community—both among different ethnic groups and within their own ethnic group. Even when controlling for income inequality and crime rates, two factors which conflict theory states should be the prime causal factors in declining inter-ethnic group trust, more diversity is still associated with less communal trust.

Lowered trust in areas with high diversity is also associated with:

  •     Lower confidence in local government, local leaders and the local news media.
  •     Lower political efficacy – that is, confidence in one’s own influence.
  •     Lower frequency of registering to vote, but more interest and knowledge about politics and more participation in protest marches and social reform groups.
  •     Higher political advocacy, but lower expectations that it will bring about a desirable result.
  •     Less expectation that others will cooperate to solve dilemmas of collective action (e.g., voluntary conservation to ease a water or energy shortage).
  •     Less likelihood of working on a community project.
  •     Less likelihood of giving to charity or volunteering.
  •     Fewer close friends and confidants.
  •     Less happiness and lower perceived quality of life. 

So, there is no Biblical justification for Piper’s invented mandate and a clear connection to massive, wide-scale violence as well as a whole host of observable evils.  Moreover, Piper’s teachings on the matter are contrary to that of his father and consistent with the beliefs of a broad spectrum of evil individuals from the African slave traders to the secular globalists.  It should be readily apparent at this point that “Christian Diversity” is a false and ascriptural teaching.

Moreover, in the discussion it was easy to see how The Responsible Puppet immediately resorted to evasive dishonesty in defense of his “Christian” position.  His claims to ignorance were remarkable given his insistence that diversity must be intrinsically good; a nonsensical position given his claims to know nothing about racial differences.  It took repeated questions before he would even admit to the utterly obvious fact that European civilization is superior to other civilizations, so great is his worldly fear of admitting that there are substantive differences between different human sub-species.  He openly declared that he had to be very careful about saying anything about the subject.  “What I’m doing is answering the question very carefully, which I think
is warranted in this situation. And I’ll continue being careful….”

This, too, is another relevant argument.  Why is such care warranted?  Why must he be so careful?  Why is he afraid? Something gave him that spirit of fear.  And yet, Timothy 1:7 says: “For God hath not given us the spirit of fear; but of power, and of love, and of a sound mind.”

The Diversity Gospel asserted by Piper and exhibited by the Puppet is fearful, weak, and weak-minded.  And therefore we know it does not come from God.