A Total Failure

“The emerging agreement does not achieve any of Israel’s war objectives. The regime survives, the missile program remains intact, and Iran will be able to rebuild its nuclear program. This is a total failure by Netanyahu, and along the way he is turning us into a vassal state that receives instructions regarding its national security. No press conference, no media spin, and no AI video will hide the failure. The next government will have a historic role: to repair the damage caused by Netanyahu’s inability to turn military achievements into strategic successes.”

That’s a statement by Israel’s former Prime Minister Yair Lapid, who is the current opposition leader. And it’s really little more than acknowledgement of what was pretty obviously inevitable since February.

The fact is that orchestrating green flags, invading multiple other countries, then starting a war with a bigger, much more militarily powerful nation with significant industrial capacity and counting on a foreign nation you are controlling in semi-secret to somehow bail you out is really not the brilliant strategy that the smart boys who concocted it no doubt believed it was.

As a general rule, if you think you’re being clever at the geostrategic level, you’re probably heading straight for defeat and quite possibly for disaster. War is fairly simple. Be there first, with the most, longer than anybody else. It’s that last one that tends to be disregarded by the clever sorts, because there is no way to dance around it, finesse it, or talk your way around it.

So they ignore it.

And we can all see how well that tends to work out, no matter how high-tech your weaponry, deluded your self-belief, or elevated your elan.

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