Tag: war

A Fake Ceasefire Offer

I cannot believe Iran is going to entertain a third round of negotiations after the Fake Trump administration attacked it twice in the middle of the talks.

Donald Trump is seeking a one-month ceasefire with Iran and has submitted a 15-point peace plan as Washington hunts for a swift off-ramp from the war. Middle East envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff are working on a framework involving ‘the declaration of a monthlong ceasefire period, during which the sides would negotiate,’ sources told Israel’s Channel 12.

The 15-point plan, modeled on Trump’s Gaza deal, was confirmed by two officials briefed on the talks, the New York Times reported.

It includes Iran dismantling all of its nuclear and long-range missile capabilities, as well as opening the Strait of Hormuz, and abandoning its ties to proxy terror groups across the Middle East.

The proposal outlines reciprocal benefits for Iran, including assistance with advancing its civilian nuclear program, as well as lifting all sanctions imposed by the international community.

Pakistan delivered the plan to Iranian officials with a 24-hour deadline to respond, Haaretz reported.

This strikes me as a transparent attempt to get the Marine Expeditionary Units past the Strait of Hormuz. But regardless, why would anyone talk with Kushner, Witkoff, and Trump anymore? They’re obviously agreement-incapable.

All a one-month ceasefire will accomplish is permit the Epstein Alliance to restock and reload. I’m sure Putin and Lavrov wish they hadn’t fallen for the Minsk 2 talks, which is why they keep turning down similar ceasefire offers in Ukraine.

UPDATE: Iran isn’t falling for it.

Iran has targeted American military bases in Kuwait, Jordan and Bahrain in a fresh missile salvo after Donald Trump sent Tehran a 15-point peace plan to end the war.

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She Has This Sense

Laura Loomer just has this sense that something bad is going to happen. Presumably it’s the sort of sense that Larry Silverstein had when he took out an insurance policy on the World Trade Centers.

Laura Loomer * @LauraLoomer

Soon, there will be a massive Islamic terror attack in America and the perpetrators will likely have financial ties to podcasters and those who are sowing discord for foreign nations in America.

I predict there will be many casualties and only then will it maybe set in that people have been conned into supporting a terrorist psyop to distract you from the threat of Islam while the enemy plotted to destroy our country from within with botted conspiracy theories.

It will likely be 10 times worse than 9/11.

And it’s going to trace right back to the Woke Reich in some way.

I just have this sense.

Do they seriously believe anyone is going to believe anyone but Israel and its Ziocon allies is responsible for the next big attack on the USA after the failure of Israel’s attempt at regime change by air war in Iran? And they’re going to try to kill two birds with one fake stone by somehow blaming it on “podcasters” and the nonexistent “Woke Reich”?

These lunatics aren’t merely crazy and evil. They’re totally obvious. No wonder they have so much contempt for Americans, considering how many Americans are dumb enough to fall for their self-serving fictions.

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Schrödinger’s Airport

Independent sources are claiming that Ben Gurion airport in Israel has been completely shut down after 73 planes and several runways have been destroyed. The pro-Israeli mainstream media has been insisting otherwise.

Ben Gurion International Airport, located in Israel, is operational and serves as the main international airport of the country. It has not been destroyed and continues to function as a key entry point for travelers.

Of course, the fact that the same source highlights the fact that there have been no hijackings there tends to raise a few questions about how up-to-date this source happens to be. And the fact that the Iranians just launched the 78th wave of missile attacks from launchers that were 90 percent destroyed three weeks ago and missile stockpiles that were about to run out on March 6th tends to cast a certain amount of doubt on the Epstein Alliance’s information about the war.

If you want to know why the Epstein Alliance is losing the war, this is why. Gamma strategists like the kind who run Israel and the USA are so accustomed to lying and bluffing their way to success that they never realize when their tactics have run into the wall of reality. The constant pretense that everything they do is successful and devastating while everything the enemy does is pointless and ineffectual accomplishes nothing except provide them with more time to deceive the public, but sooner or later, people notice things like nonexistent missiles being fired and open, undamaged airports somehow not having any flights landing or departing.

Of course, we’ll get something closer to the truth once the sudden transition from “everything is super fine and peachy” to “we need rescue now” is made. It’s a bit ironic that we’re still supposed to believe that a few hours of a border incursion by light infantry on motorbikes is a massive deal that justifies all manner of genocide and war crimes, but 78 waves and counting of missile barrages that have sent shocks through the entire global economy is nothing.

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The Blame Game Begins

Pete Hegseth appears to know that his time in the Short Fake Trump administration is coming to an end:

This is the uncomfortable moment Donald Trump appeared to shift blame onto Pete Hegseth as he suggested the Iran war was his idea.

Speaking Monday at a conference in Tennessee, Trump said: ‘I called a lot of our great people… and I said, “Let’s talk. We got a problem in the Middle East. We have a country known as Iran that, for 47 years, has been just a purveyor of terror, and they’re close to a nuclear weapon.”’

Turning to the Secretary of War who was sitting to his right, Trump added: ‘And Pete, I think you were the first one to speak up. And you said, “Let’s do it, because you can’t let them have a nuclear weapon.”‘

Hegseth forced an awkward smile as the US President continued discussing ongoing talks with Iran, claiming they had ‘started last night.’

This is how we know it’s not the real Trump. The real Trump would have fired Hegseth already.

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The Ultimatum That Wasn’t

To precisely no one’s surprise, except perhaps the financial markets, the Short Fake Trump publicly backed down on his threats to bomb Iranian power plants although nothing has changed about the closure of the Strait of Hormuz:

US President Donald Trump has said he has ordered the Department of War to postpone strikes on Iranian power plants for five days, following what he claimed were “productive conversations” between Washington and Tehran. While Iranian media has denied outright that any talks with the American side took place at all, footage has emerged of significant blackouts affecting the Iranian capital on Sunday night.

I don’t even pay attention to anything that comes out of Mar-al-Largo anymore. It’s just a non-stop stream of lies, posturing, and relentless buffoonery. It’s a parody of President Trump, wherever he might be.

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A Longer Reach

In firing a pair of missiles at the UK base on Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean, Iran just demonstrated that they can hit targets twice as far away as anyone had thought. It is not safe to conclude that its abilities have been degraded, especially when it just demonstrated its ability to reach out and touch London and Paris.

It appears we’re going to find out soon if the mullahs are really the mad dogs that the neocons claim that they are, or if that was just another lie.

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VDH Predicts a US Victory

A summary of military historian Victor Davis Hanson’s perspective on Gulf War 2026:

Victor Davis Hanson has spent fifty years studying how wars end. When he says the tide is turning, it’s worth listening to why.

His argument isn’t based on what the Pentagon is saying. It’s based on how everyone else is behaving.

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲𝗮𝗻𝘀. VDH’s rule: Europeans never agree to go anywhere near a conflict unless they think the winning side has already been determined. They didn’t help in the early days. Now they’re starting to move. That movement is not idealism. It’s a calculation. They’ve looked at the battlefield and decided which way this ends.

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗚𝘂𝗹𝗳 𝗽𝗲𝘁𝗿𝗼-𝗻𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀. The Saudis, the Emiratis, the Qataris — these governments have survived for generations by reading the regional climate with precision. When they expel Iranian military attachés, when they intercept Iranian missiles over their own capitals and say nothing about American strikes, when the UAE reaffirms its $1.4 trillion investment commitment to the United States mid-war — they are not making ideological statements. They are placing bets. And they are betting on the United States.

𝗔𝗹 𝗝𝗮𝘇𝗲𝗲𝗿𝗮. This is the one that should stop you cold. Al Jazeera — the Qatari state media network, historically critical of American military action, the network Tucker Carlson and the anti-war right love to cite against Israel — is now calling the U.S. bombing campaign brilliant and effective, and saying it has been underestimated. When the media outlet of a nation that hosts both the largest American air base in the Middle East and a Hamas political office starts praising American military effectiveness, the message is unmistakable: 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘬 𝘸𝘦’𝘳𝘦 𝘨𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰 𝘸𝘪𝘯.

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗻𝗮𝗹. A-10 Warthogs and Apache helicopter gunships are now flying strike missions in Iranian airspace at will. VDH’s point: you only deploy those aircraft when there is effectively no air defense left to threaten them. They are slow, low-flying, close-support platforms. Their presence confirms what the Pentagon has been claiming — Iran has no meaningful air defense remaining.

Iran’s strategy now is rope-a-dope. Run out the clock. Wait for American public opinion to shift. Hope the midterms create political pressure on Trump to stop. It is the only play they have left.

VDH’s conclusion: if Trump sees it through — and he believes he will — the regime falls. Not in years.

I am deeply skeptical. I will also point out that the track record of military historians has been uncharacteristically poor in recent years. VDH predicted a quick Russian victory in 2022, then predicted a Korean-style long-term standoff. Both Martin van Creveld and William S. Lind predicted Russian defeats in Ukraine. The reason is not because these are not smart, very well-educated men, but because the changing nature of warfare is very difficult for those who are experts in the previous forms to correctly read.

5GW, which is drone warfare, is a very different kettle of fish. So I don’t think these past signals necessarily mean very much at all, although it may explain why the US strategists are confident enough to send a pair of Marine Expeditionary Units to attack Iran on the ground.

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Israeli Tail Wags US Dog

It is beginning to dawn upon the Short Fake Trump administration and the AIPAC lobby how disastrous it has been to let finally Israel call the shots for the US military. This is what happens when you hand tribalists who have never in their entire history had any responsibility for actually running a society the keys to the sort of power that is usually in the hands of civilized peoples.

Things really hit the fan earlier today after Iran’s largest natural gas field, the South Pars, was struck by Israel. This field reportedly accounts for 75% of Iran’s natural gas production and 80-85% of its electric grid. This of course came directly after Israel had assassinated Iran’s Secretary of the Supreme National Council Ali Larijani in a strike that was said to have also killed upwards of 100+ civilians in the vicinity, as it leveled the apartment block he was in, and possibly even surrounding buildings.

This led to Iran immediately escalating with strikes against energy targets in both Israel and the Gulf, particularly hitting Qatar’s Ras Laffan gas hub said to be the world’s largest. The strike was successful and was said to have done massive damage to the facility, which took 14 years to build and some experts are writing is irreparable.

But the most significant development from this sudden firestorm is the revelation that the US did not in fact authorize or participate in these unilateral Israeli strikes, despite earliest reports indicating they were done in tandem. Rumors filtered in throughout the day until Trump finally confirmed it himself in a social media rant wherein he appeared to tongue-lash Israel for its impudence, while simultaneously threatening Iran with more barbaric destruction.

Reports continue surging forth about Trump being furious at Israel for igniting this regional firestorm which has wrought economic havoc that continues spiraling out of control. Israel is obviously escalating the conflict deliberately in order to ensure no off-ramp exists, and that US—and preferably its Gulf allies—commit to a total and decisive destruction of Iran.

Israel is doing this via two simultaneous strategies: first by eliminating all the “moderates” and rational people within Iran’s leadership to ensure that only hardliners remain who will push for maximum punishment against the region. And second, by crossing Iran’s “red lines” in hitting its most sensitive economic and energy sites in order to spur Iran’s retaliation against equally critical sites throughout the region to ignite as big a firestorm as possible which can engulf everyone and coerce the entire world into “finishing off” Iran once and for all.

But as even leading neocons like Robert Kagan and Bill Kristol have begun to realize, Israel’s actions are at least as likely to inspire the entire world into finishing off Israel once and for all. Especially since everyone knows it is Israel, not Iran, that is the main source of conflict in the region. Even if Iran is defeated, then Israel will immediately proceed to war with Turkey.

The problem is that now that Israel has started this war, neither the USA nor the Israelis can call it off, because no amount of escalation dominance is capable of forcing Iran to stop. And the retardery of Trump threatening Iran for responding to the actions of Israel is astonishing in its pointlessness. If you’re the dog, then you damned well better control your tail.

The USA informed Iran that they consider their military objectives achieved and are preparing to exit the conflict soon, noting that Israel still has some operational tasks to complete before its withdrawal from the war. However, Iran completely rejected this message, stating that it is not interested in its content and will continue the war until it achieves its own long-term goals aimed at preventing the recurrence of such conflicts.

I don’t see what could effectively prevent the recurrence of another such conflict without a) the withdrawal of the US military from the region and b) the cessation of US military support for Israel.

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Kill All You Like

Iran insulates itself against the decapitation strategy and forces attrition war on the Epstein Alliance by announcing detailed succession plans for its major government and military roles, each running between 3 and 7 levels deep depending upon the specific role. This is obviously in response to Clown World’s reliance upon decapitation attacks resulting in cheap and easy initial victories, although such victories don’t tend to persist long as evidenced by the failures of the Afghani and Iraqi occupations.

This should suffice to demonstrate to both the USA and Israel that their basic military strategy and core objectives have been rendered irrelevant, and it is time to abandon the bellicose rhetoric and realize that they are not even capable of winning this war.

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The 4-Day War

I remembered the US-Iran war was only supposed to last four days when it first kicked off, but it’s become very hard to find any references to those statements now that the war is approaching its third week.

The United States government had told Turkey through official channels that the war on Iran would only take four days, Asli Aydintasbas, a Washington-based Turkey expert, said during an interview on Sunday.

“Turkey and some of its allies were told, through official channels, that this operation would take days and be completed in four days,” Aydintasbas, a fellow at the Brookings Institution, said in an interview with the Serbestiyet news site. “You cannot tell a Nato ally that you have made a four-day plan and then extend the operation to 14 days. In a sense, this was also a betrayal of the regional countries.”

This is why I barely pay any attention to the mainstream media anymore. Not only are you not informed correctly, you’re constantly being gaslit about what the media itself said the day before.

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