Refinements

Apparently the damage being inflicted on Iran needs to be a little readjusted in retrospect:

The “destruction of Iran’s capability” has been revised downward from 90% in week 1 to 82% in week 2 to 70% in week 3, shedding 10 percentage points per briefing cycle with the consistency of a subscription service. At current trajectory, Iran reaches full strength by May. We appear to be un-destroying things. JINSA’s own analyst cheered on March 5 that “Iran’s missile firepower has almost run out”. Three weeks later his own think tank published a report documenting the opposite. Iran is apparently getting un-bombed too.

Rubio then helpfully clarified the war’s “clear objectives” via the State Department’s official account. Four items: air force, navy, missiles, factories. Notably absent: uranium, nuclear weapons, regime change, and opening Hormuz – the four items the war was launched to achieve.

The timeline underwent a similar refinement: “two or three days” on February 28, “four weeks” on March 1, “four to six, maybe eight weeks” from Hegseth on March 4, Pentagon internally planning through September, and then silence.

I had no idea that the end of empire would prove so… comical?

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The Next War

Cerno thinks the USA is leaving NATO in order to attack Turkey on Israel’s behalf.

  • Next war already planned and it’s Turkey, which is a NATO country? My goodness. This shit is out of control. And P.S. Don’t gas light me. We all saw the comments about Turkey being next. STOP FUCKING LYING.
  • Less than a month later, Trump wants to leave NATO to set the table for a war with Turkey. I was fine with leaving NATO years ago. Still am. But we all know why Trump wants to leave NATO now. For another war.

On the one hand, anything that gets us out of NATO and our military out of Europe is a very good thing. On the other, supporting an Israeli attack on Turkey is as foolish and irrelevant to the US national interest as supporting an Israeli attack on Iran, so obviously, we can’t rule it out on the grounds that it would be insanely retarded and of zero benefit to Americans.

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A Sino-Russian Warning

It wouldn’t be a good idea to invade Iran under any circumstances. But doing so when both Russia and China are sending warning signs about the idea would be criminally insane:

There is now confirmed presence of a Russian nuclear submarine near the Strait of Hormuz. There is also a Confirmed Announcement by Chechen Forces they will enter Iran to fight US if Invasion takes place. REPORT (unconfirmed) China to move 100,000 troops into Iran if US invades.

Moscow has officially deployed six submarines, including two nuclear ones, near the Strait of Hormuz for a discreet mission to protect Iranian infrastructure, according to reports. Their primary role is to prevent the United States and Israel from freely entering the strait or approaching the Iranian coast.

This deployment sends a strong political message to the West, signaling that any major escalation against Iran could directly involve Russia. The presence of two nuclear-armed subs also seems to indicate that if Iran is hit with nuclear weapons, another nearby country that attacks will also be nuked.

Yesterday, Chechen Troops were publicly assembled and at that assembly it was announced they would go to Iran to fight the United States and Israel if Iran is invaded.

No doubt the Christian Zionist eschatologists are tremendously excited today about prospects of the King of the North and the King of the South being miraculously wiped out on the plain of Megiddo. Although I would point out that the loss of a single light-infantry division would hardly cripple Russia, and there is no way the Chinese are going to transport 100,000 troops to the Middle East any more than the US military is.

That being said, a single division of battle-hardened Chechens would probably be sufficient to defeat the IDF, which reportedly took several hundred casualties in a major ambush yesterday morning. The report, which is still unconfirmed, actually claimed that 300 Israeli soldiers were killed after a large convoy moving north in southern Lebanon was ambushed by Hezbollah in a pre-prepared killzone.

The numbers are almost certainly exaggerated, as the media can’t seem to grasp the difference between “casualties” and “fatalities,” and nothing can be trusted coming out of Israel from either side due to the strict military censorship there. It’s doubtful that even those living in Israel would know anything about it yet.

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IRGC vs Corpocracy

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps declares war on the corporations of Clown World:

IRGC Warning to the Aggressive US Ruling Regime: You have ignored our repeated warnings regarding the necessity to stop terrorist operations, and today a number of Iranian citizens were martyred in terrorist attacks carried out by you and your Israeli allies; and since the primary element in the design and tracking of assassination targets is American information technology and artificial intelligence companies, in response to these terrorist operations, the main institutions involved in the terrorist operations will be legitimate targets for us.

We advise employees of these institutions to immediately stay away from their workplaces to preserve their lives. Residents of the areas surrounding these terrorist companies in all countries of the region must also leave a one-kilometer radius from their locations and go to a safe place.

Companies that actively participate in terrorist designs will be subject to countermeasures for every assassination operation. Announced as follows:

  1. Cisco
  2. HP
  3. Intel
  4. Oracle
  5. Microsoft
  6. Apple
  7. Google
  8. Meta
  9. IBM
  10. Dell
  11. Palantir
  12. Nvidia
  13. JPMorgan
  14. Tesla
  15. GE
  16. Cymer Solutions
  17. G42
  18. Boeing

All I can say is that if ARTIST Graphics had won the 3D chip wars, it would never have been on that list. I find it difficult to believe that Jensen actually has a dog in this hunt, but then, I haven’t spoken to him in nearly 30 years. But it is interesting to see how much more clear Iran is on its real enemies than either Russia or China appear to be.

If you want to force the USA to end the war quickly, I doubt it would be necessary to take out more than two or three CEOs or corporate headquarters before they’d be demanding the politicians put an end to the hostilities.

If it were an Arab country, I’d assume it was just noise. But with Persians… the threat might actually have some teeth.

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Q and Israel

In light of how the Israel-Iran war is going, one can’t help but wonder if the plan to break the power of Israel over the United States revolves around giving the most rabid Zionists exactly what they have demanded for decades. I mean, it’s hard to imagine a more complete destruction of AIPAC’s influence over Americans than actually letting Mark Levin and Ben Shapiro call the shots and thereby permitting Americans to see what these psychopaths actually stand for, which god they truly serve, and what the inevitable consequences of permitting them to have any influence in the United States are.

Never forget that one always has to judge things by their results, not their apparent intentions or their spoken justifications.

If the USA ends up a) leaving the Middle East, b) abandoning NATO and exiting Europe, and c) free of foreign influence, I don’t think we can assume it all just happened due to the failure of a strategy.

I’m not saying that’s necessarily the situation, only that we shouldn’t rule it out entirely. It’s obvious that someone else is calling the shots for the Short Fat Trump, we just don’t know who yet.

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Winchester

It appears the inevitable has already arrived. Second-hand from a military source in a much-discussed region of the world.

From a contact at [redacted], after a month of living in bunkers, basically Winchester on all ADA worth a damn: Hundreds of soldiers are locked out of computer access due to expired cyber awareness certificates. Cyber awareness is retarded annual cyber training that is handicapping our flaccid response. Google it to see how mocked it is, yet like diversity and tolerance, it’s become more important than war fighting.

So much for Mr. Hegseth’s new model army. No interceptors, no air defenses, no computers, and a strategic reliance upon an outdated, oft-disproven Italian doctrine to win the war. How very 20th Century! Anyone who knows anything about military history should know to be extremely skeptical the moment “victory through a bombing campaign” is mentioned.

The sooner Trump waves the white flag, or declares victory, and orders everyone from Berlin to the UAE home, the better it will be for Americans and for the world in general. Let Israel and Ukraine fight their own wars, if they can.

Why would they have ever imagined that signing up to play the role of South Vietnam was going to end well for them?

UPDATE: Speaking of Winchester…

According to Haaretz, the success rate of Iranian missiles in Israel has reached 80%, and the missiles are not being intercepted.

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Out of Missiles, Out of Men

Netanyahu appears to have badly miscalculated his long-sought war on Iran:

The IDF could soon collapse if there is no solution to the shortage of manpower, IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Eyal Zamir warned in remarks during a security cabinet meeting held on Wednesday.

“I am raising 10 red flags before the IDF collapses into itself,” Zamir said during the cabinet meeting, The Jerusalem Post confirmed. IDF sources also told the Post that there is tremendous concern due to the severe manpower shortage, especially amid the ongoing war…

Israel has begun limiting its use of its most advanced missile interceptors as ongoing Iranian barrages strain stockpiles, forcing the military to increasingly rely on upgraded but less capable systems, according to a Wall Street Journal report published Friday.

This isn’t from dubious Iranian sources. This is from the Jerusalem Post. The Houthis have now entered the war, not, in my opinion, to forestall Saudi Arabia and the UAE from entering the war on the side of the Epstein Alliance, but because the Israeli missile defense system is now exhausted.

The closure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait in addition to the Strait of Hormuz would ratchet up the pressure on the global economy, and thus force the USA to withdraw from the region, while the inability to restock missile interceptors means that the Houthis are now able to strike Israel with their less-advanced missile systems. Each step reinforces the next.

I was wondering why neither Hezbollah nor the Houthis participated in the early stages of the war, and now the answer is becoming apparent. Both the US and the Israeli defenses needed to be weakened before their attacks could produce much damage. The more time goes on, the more it becomes apparent that the Iranians and their allies are operating at a higher strategic level than either Israel or the USA, which indicates that they have either Chinese or Russian advisors providing them with direction.

Israel has a highly competent military and the USA has the most formidable military on the planet. But 3GW militaries have limited staying power and are at a serious disadvantage in industrial 5GW.

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Sad!

How does anyone read this wall of text and imagine it is the same individual who was a master of rhetoric prior to 2021?

Many in the CORRUPT, LYING FAKE NEWS MEDIA, who should be sued and JAILED for spreading ideas clearly intended to harm America, have said that this war was unnecessary. WRONG! I DID NOT START THIS WAR! This is a war that has lasted 47 years, and its current phase was escalated by OBAMA and his Iran nuclear deal, the worst deal ever made, that gave Iran billions upon billions to build their nuclear program, which they also used to build nuclear weapons. I left this terrible deal in my first term, but the damage was already done. Then, after Democrats stole the 2020 election, BIDEN re-entered the deal, giving Iran, which was bankrupt at the time, all the money they ever needed to continue their nuclear weapons development. It was left to me to clean up his mess, so I had no choice in the matter. We gave Iran every possible chance to negotiate. We waited until the last possible moment, trying to find a diplomatic solution, but every time, Iran refused to give up their nuclear enrichment. I warned them repeatedly what would happen if they refused. Iran made their choice, and now they suffer the consequnces.lf we didn’t do this, Iran would have had a nuclear weapon in 2 WEEKS, and they would have used it on ISRAEL. Anyone who would have been okay with that, is not a true American, but rather a TRAITOR. My supporters are very smart people, they agree and know that it had to be done. Everyone knows I am the PRESIDENT OF PEACE. I ENDED 8 WARS IN 1 YEAR! But after the norwegian government foolishly decided not to give me the nobel peace price, which I deserved much more than Obama ever did, I am no longer committed to think solely about peace. We will still have peace, but it will be PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH, and OVERWHELMING STRENGTH at that. Finally, it must be pointed out, We WE HAVE ALREADY WON THE WAR. Iran’s Navy, airforce, missiles, leaders have all been destroyed, all well ahead of schedule. IRAN SURRENDERED AND BEGGED FOR A CEASEFIRE! They asked ME to run the country! I said NO, we want a better deal, regarding their oil! We have to control it to make sure Iran can’t threaten the world again! We are currently in the clean-up phase of the combat operation, and when the last remaining members of Iran’s terrorist regime have been eliminated, Iran will be GREAT AGAIN! MIGA! Thank you for your attention to this matter! -President DJT

I don’t know who that short guy playing the president is, but it is obviously not Donald Trump. And while it’s true that he didn’t start this war, because Israel did, he did tell the US military to get involved in what increasingly appears to be the empire’s Sicilian Expedition.

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An Inauspicious Start

As everyone suspected, all of Short Fake Trump’s posturing about a ceasefire and positive negotiations appear to be nothing more than yet another attempt to catch Iran with its guard down. If the IRGC reports are anywhere close to accurate, he appears to have gone to that particular well one too many times.

The IRGC, Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corp, they said that they carried out a composite attack or complex attack targeting the Zionist and American terrorists in al-Kabir port as well as the coast of Port Dubai where American soldiers and their tactical equipment were precisely struck within wave 84.

The operation was executed using ballistic and cruise missiles of the 380 type. Six American combat landing craft of the LCU type were targeted in the al-Kabir port. Three of them sank after being hit while the rest are ablaze. We targeted the gathering centers of the US Army drone unit officers on the coast and one of Dubai’s hotels with loitering drones and they were precisely struck. The operation resulted in the sinking of the tactical boats and killing a large number of Americans.

That is officially coming now from Iran. That means Trump already made the deployment. Okay, they’re talking about extension. They’re trying to play this game. Iran is aware of this whole game and it’s already happening. The United States is deploying secretly. Well, they said they might, but they’re they sent some troops clearly already.

And now it’s happening. They’re actually sending troops. The United States and Marco Rubio of course talking about deescalation but they are you know pathological liars.

Now, this may or may not be true. But keep in mind that Iran is not Iraq. We actually have more reason to believe the daily Iranian reports than either the US or the Israeli accounts, because we know the latter two to be absolutely false given the continued scale of the Iranian missile and drone strikes. Whereas Iran has not falsely reported any attack waves that were not actually launched; keep in mind that damage assessments are always wildly exaggerated by everyone on every side.

LCUs are not ships, they’re landing craft designed to bring the Marines from ship to shore. However, the fact that they’re already in the region and being targeted by Iran tends to indicate that the deployment of the Marine Expeditionary Units has already moved ahead of the schedule reported by the mainstream media.

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The Next Event

There won’t necessarily be one. One certainly hopes there won’t. But as things in the Middle East appear to be getting a) increasingly difficult for Israel and b) Trump appears to be desperately seeking an off-ramp before committing the US military to ground combat, the stage is set for an event designed to provide some additional motivation for Americans to support the Israeli war on Iran.

Based on various dark hints in the media, to say nothing of Laura Loomer’s mysterious and inexplicable sensory-based prediction, it would appear to be something happening on the West Coast, presumably in California, involving an iconic building a major city. So, I’d stay away from both U.S. Bank Tower in Los Angeles and the Transamerica Pyramid in San Francisco. Especially since it turns out that the building in LA just happens to be owned by the same company that owned the World Trade Center in 2001.

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