NFL Scripting Confirmed

The NFC Championship game didn’t require any interventions; the non-call on Saquon Barkley’s hold made absolutely no difference to the outcome of a game the Eagles dominated from the start and won 55-23. Indeed, given the way the NFL hates blowouts, it’s likely that the refs didn’t put a thumb on the scale due to the way that everyone is now watching very closely for them doing so.

The AFC Championship game was pretty good despite the Bills losing a key cornerback early in the first quarter to his second concussion in a matter of weeks; he almost certainly should not have been playing even though he cleared the concussion protocol. That made the game closer than it should have been. But once again, the Chiefs were given a dubious call at a very critical moment.

  • As CBS rules analyst Gene Steratore said, it looked like quarterback Josh Allen got the ball to the line to gain before he was pulled backward on fourth and short early in the fourth quarter, with the Bills leading 22-21.
  • CBS rules analyst Gene Steratore thought Josh Allen got enough yardage for a first down on a fourth-down quarterback sneak early in the fourth quarter and Bills head coach Sean McDermott felt the same way. Unfortunately for McDermott, Allen and the Bills, the officiating crew saw things differently.
  • The refs running in with two different spots — and the Chiefs getting the benefit of the spot and the stop on 4th down — is going to be the number one discussion from this game.

Even big names in the mainstream sports media are paying attention to the observable fact of the NFL favoring certain teams and disfavoring others. Dave Portnoy, the founder of Barstool Sports, has even gone so far as to claim he won’t watch the NFL anymore.

I’m quitting watching football. There is no other way to teach @nflcommish a lesson. This is blatant cheating. #nflrigged

Given the growing professionalization and competitiveness of college football, and a situation where top NCAA players can actually make more money staying in college than declaring for the NFL draft, it’s a tremendous mistake for the NFL to continue scripting outcomes and using the referees to control the winning margins. What was necessary to force through the AFL-NFL merger and eliminate the Super Bowl routs of the 1980s is not only not necessary anymore, but is increasingly detrimental to the health and popularity of the league.

It’s time to protect the Shield, Mr. Goodell. Stop the scripting, stop the rigging, take the thumb off the scale, and let the players play the game. Make every call reviewable and put a chip in the ball to ensure the accuracy of first downs and touchdowns; it’s now absolutely and entirely obvious to everyone that the reluctance to do both is based upon a reluctance to give up the ability to influence the outcomes.

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The NFL’s Scripting Crisis

The Chiefs and the NFL are desperately trying to deny the obvious. And absolutely no one who watches the league or has anything to do with it is even remotely convinced.

OUTKICK: Many fans not rooting for the Chiefs believe that to some extent that the Chiefs get calls they don’t deserve. That’s a problem for the NFL’s all-important integrity of the game aspirations. But, you see, the problem is there is statistical data that suggests that is exactly what’s happening. During Kansas City’s current eight-game playoff win streak, opponents have been called for six roughing the passer penalties. The Chiefs have been called for none. This according to the ESPN statistics department. The Chiefs furthermore have been called for one unnecessary roughness penalty, while their opponents have been flagged 4 times.

PROFOOTBALLTALK: The NFL imposed a $25,000 fine on Texans defensive end Will Anderson Jr. for publicly criticizing officials. Said Anderson after the loss to the Chiefs, “We knew it was going to be us against the refs going into this game.” The initial Mixon fine was based on this comment from former Bengals receiver T.J. Houshmandzadeh said, “Why play the game if every 50/50 call goes with Chiefs. These officials are trash and bias.” The second Mixon fine was based on this, which he did say: “Everybody knows how it is playing up here. You can never leave it in the refs’ hands. The whole world see, man.”

FOX SPORTS: NFL legend Champ Bailey was among those glued to the television when he saw the controversial penalties called on the Houston Texans during their playoff loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. “I don’t feel like the games are fixed because I was in it, but when I’m sitting here every year – I’m out of the league – the more and more I start believing what the fans are saying about the games being ‘fixed,’ because you see things like this happen over and over, so they just got to figure out a way to get the calls right and live with it.”

Just let them play and stop trying to dictate the outcome of events. Pat Mahomes is good enough on his own, if he needs the refs to get him over the top, he doesn’t deserve to win anyhow.

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Ben Johnson to Bears

That was what I did not want to see. The NFC North may have underperformed in the playoffs this year, but it arguably now has four of the best young head coaches in the league: KOC, LaFleur, Campbell, and now Johnson. Three of the four are very smart, and Campbell has proven the effectiveness of his aggressive leader of men approach.

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Why the NFL Fixes Games

I find it genuinely amusing that the NFL expects us to believe that the Aaron Glenn-coached defense that supposedly played “lights out” and completely dominated the 14-2 Vikings, who supposedly didn’t show up at all for their biggest game of the year, just happened to be blown off their home field by giving up 45 points to a rookie quarterback playing in his second playoff game.

  • 31 December: The Detroit Lions defensed was gashed throughout their Week 17 tilt with San Francisco. Though they were able to generate a pair of takeaways and ultimately win the game, the porous effort at times raises concerns about how the Lions’ defense will hold up in the postseason.
  • 11 January: Lions’ defense rewrites narrative in domination of Vikings. What more can you say about these Lions, who do not care what you say in the first place. But if you want their honest opinion, “it’s bulls**t,” said Alex Anzalone, the idea that the defense isn’t good enough for the team to win the Super Bowl. That was on Thursday. Three days later, Anzalone returned from a broken forearm and the Lions broke the Vikings, holding them to their fewest points of the season in the biggest game of the year.
  • 18 January: The truth is that what happened to the Lions against Washington was probably going to happen eventually. Their defense was cooked. Starters Aidan Hutchinson, Alim McNeill, Carlton Davis and Derrick Barnes were already out with injuries, and against Washington, cornerback Amik Robertson and safety Ifeatu Melifonwu left with injuries. On one of the last meaningful plays of the game, Commanders tight end Zach Ertz caught a pass for a first down and cornerback Morice Norris tackled him. Norris did not have a single tackle all year. He barely played.

The Vikings and the Redskins (aka Commanders) have similarly high-powered offenses; the reason the Vikings finished with two more wins than Washington is because the Vikings had the #5 defense in the league while the Redskins were #18. But we’re supposed to believe that the heavily-injured Lions defense magically pulled it together for one week, in between poor showings against San Francisco and Washington.

Now compare the reactions of the two NFC North coaches after their big playoff upsets. Or, in the case of the Vikings-Rams game, “upset”. One coach was calm and unfazed in the face of league-dictated defeat, the other was near-distraught after experiencing the real thing.

  • “I’ve got 100 percent confidence in our players, our coaches. We’ve got the right kind of things going on in this organization, but we’ve gotta find a way to play better as a team and complement each other and do the things we need to do to win games against the class of the NFL.”
  • “The whole point of doing what you is to get to the show, man. It’s why you play this game. And we fell. We fell short. It just hurts to lose. I don’t care if you’re the seventh seed, five seed, one seed, cause I’ve lost as all of them. And it stings and it hurts. It hurts.” Campbell was so emotional that his voice cracked as he spoke of his players.

Translation: KOC knew the Vikings weren’t going to be permitted to win either game before kickoff. Campbell knew the divisional playoff was a real game, even if it was one in which the refs were favoring them, and the Lions still couldn’t get it done.

Dante Fowler Jr. nearly had a clutch tackle for loss against running back David Montgomery on third-and-2, but the officials nullified it due to a phantom face mask call.

Note to the NFL refs: we can see that a shoulder pad is not a face mask. This is why it it is so stupid for the NFL to fix the occasional game to try to setup its ideal matchups. Because they will eventually have to go full WWE to reliably get the results they prefer, or stop trying to play puppet master and simply let the games be played. Needless to say, the latter would be preferable, as the declining TV ratings for the playoff games tend to demonstrate.

The game that was fixed last night was the Chiefs-Texans game and everyone knows it. The thumb on the scale is simply getting too heavy to avoid noticing.

  • Sports Illustrated: Patrick Mahomes followed up an absolute joke of a drawn personal foul penalty in Saturday’s 23–14 divisional round win over the Houston Texans—he wandered around the Kansas City Chiefs’ backfield like a lost old man on the beach wielding a metal detector before collapsing to the ground late, causing two defenders who were unable to redirect themselves to fall over him at the last second—with a second attempt to bait Texans defenders into a flag-worthy hit eight plays later… This isn’t just conspiratorial trash can banging by the way. The Associated Press noted that, since the 2022 postseason began, the Chiefs have gotten five roughing the passer calls in critical loser-goes-home games. Their opponents have not gotten one. This is enabling at its finest... After the game was over, Texans coach DeMeco Ryans said his team knew coming into the game that it was them against everybody. 
  • Outkick the Coverage: The Kansas City Chiefs are easy to like for a lot of different reasons, but when NFL officiating gets involved it ruins things for a lot of people. It adds legitimacy to the conspiracy theory that the Chiefs have allies wearing stripes in every game.
  • Will Anderson, Texans: “We knew it was going to be us versus the refs going into this game.”

You know what they say about conspiracy theories: they’re just spoiler alerts from people who pay closer attention than most. The NFL appears to take four approaches to its games:

  1. Let them play. This is how most games appear to go.
  2. Keep it close. When one team gets a big lead, the winning team is informed that the game is de facto over, then both teams put on a display as the losing team comes back, makes it close, but falls short in the end. This is excusable interference due to the unwillingness of about half the viewership to watch games that are not close. It’s a business, after all. Both Vikings-Packers games were good examples of this; after going up 28-0 at halftime, the Vikings did nothing for the last two quarters until their final possession, when they closed out a 31-29 win.
  3. Thumb on the scale. This is the sort of game that we saw with the 49ers and Patriots for years, and now with the Chiefs. One team gets all the calls at all the crucial moments, and while the other team is permitted to try to overcome them, it doesn’t happen very often. Last night’s game was an obvious example of this. The Lions also benefited from the referee’s calls, but it wasn’t enough.
  4. The straight fix. Both the Vikings-Lions and the Vikings-Rams games were clear-cut examples of this; I suspect the complete inability of the Vikings to keep either game close was a passive protest by KOC. The Rams appear to have replaced the Lions as the league’s preference this year due to the LA fires. If the 2009 narrative is any guide, we’ll see a Rams victory in the Super Bowl, presumably over the Chiefs or Ravens.

The NFL is an entertainment product run by a very smart business enterprise. Which is why I have every confidence that the league’s strategists will realize that the optimal level of influence is minimal, and its interference with the organic results should be focused on maximizing viewers on a game-by-game basis, not a seasonal narrative one.

UPDATE: Mike Florio is concerned that the 45-point debacle might cost Aaron Glenn a shot at being hired as a head coach.

Yes, the Lions gave up 481 yards. Yes, Washington’s average gain was 6.6 yards per play. But the Lions’ defense was besieged with injuries, all season long. It was one after another after another, after another. And Glenn did a masterful job in Week 18, holding the Vikings to nine measly points.

Yeah, so, about that “masterful job”…

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Chaos in College Football

The NCAA transfer portal was just rendered irrelevant, all but eliminating the last vestige of that corrupt organization’s attempt to exert control over college football:

Thanks to decades of blatant antitrust violations that limited players to an education that didn’t begin to match the value they brought to their school, the model has collapsed in recent years — thanks to a stream of slam-dunk lawsuits attacking the habit of independent businesses coming together under the umbrella of the NCAA to rig, and to cap, labor expenses.

The latest chunk of chaos comes from the apparent collapse of the transfer portal. After Wisconsin refused to allow cornerback Xavier Lucas to enter the portal, he left the school and transferred to Miami. The NCAA, which apparently has learned the lessons of multiple failed antitrust cases, has thrown the door open for transfers beyond the parameters of the portal.

“NCAA rules do not prevent a student-athlete from unenrolling from an institution, enrolling at a new institution and competing immediately,” the NCAA said in a statement to Ross Dellenger of Yahoo.com.

That’s another way of saying the transfer portal doesn’t mean a thing. That players have the same freedom that students have to switch schools, whenever they want. Taken to its extreme, could an Ohio State player transfer to Notre Dame before Monday night’s championship game, and vice-versa? If “immediately” means immediately, maybe so.

Whether you think the recent changes in college football are positive or not – and despite the loss of some conferences and traditional rivalries to the expanded conferences and the playoff system, it’s very hard to argue that the game isn’t in better shape than it was before – the transformation of the once-regimented NCAA system into full professional free agency for the players is a complete unknown.

While the combination of the NIL payments and transfer portal have expanded the number of competitive teams, I’m not confident that this apparent move to full free agency will be good for the sport. It’s a lesson in the danger of administrative overreach; the NCAA should have been pursuing the players’ interests rather than those of the institutions. If it had, it might not have lost both its control over them as well as any influence with them.

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A Different Breed

It’s fascinating to see how the young Christian athletes of today are increasingly bold in public about their faith. We’ve already seen it with Notre Dame, Boise State and with Georgia. Ohio State released a pretty solid hype video ahead of their Cotton Bowl game against Texas in which one of their leaders can be seen taking the eye black that we’ve been seeing a lot more of lately to a new level.

Romans 8:28: And we know that in all things God works for the good of those who love him, who have been called according to his purpose.

That being said, where was THE Ohio State University? Perhaps it’s only the alumni in the NFL who say that.

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Reject Diversity

There is absolutely no benefit to giving into the demands for diversity. If you don’t give in, you’ll take the heat but you won’t suffer the negative consequences of destroying your organization. If you do give into them, you’ll first suffer the negative consequences of destroying your organization, then you’ll take even more heat for trying to fix the new problems the diversity created for you.

Since two black NFL coaches were fired, one who was unprepared and abysmal and one who was merely overmatched, the social justice warriors on ESPN and social media are going crazy about how unfair it is that some white coaches who didn’t have good seasons weren’t… even though three white coaches and the only Arab coach were. This was a particularly stupid complaint:

Interesting how Black head coaches get 1 year to turn around terrible teams…. Meanwhile, Brian Daboll

Brian Daboll of the New York Giants wasn’t fired after the 2024 season for three reasons. He’s already won a playoff game, he’s won Coach of the Year, and the Giants ownership is famously patient by NFL standards. He is also a very highly-regarded offensive coordinator who developed successful offenses at Buffalo and at the University of Alabama.

Jared Mayo and Antonio Pierce were both promoted too soon and they were put into positions where their failure was all but guaranteed in the name of diversity. That’s what promoting diversity in the place of competence, let alone excellence, does. It puts unprepared and incompetent people into positions where they cannot possibly succeed. Hiring Mike Tomlin is not promoting diversity; Mike Tomlin is a great coach and I was very unhappy when he was hired away from the Vikings by the Steelers before the Vikings could replace Brad Childress with him. Hiring Kwesi Adofo-Mensah isn’t promoting diversity either, as based on the way he overcame an incredibly difficult preseason, he may be the best young general manager in the entire league as well as one of the smartest.

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The Thumb on the Scale

It didn’t take long to see that the NFL really wants to keep the Lions in the game, if not to guarantee their finishing #1 in the NFC. Two major “missed” penalty calls against the Lions, plus Sam Darnold throwing every single pass two feet higher than when he’s actually trying to hit the receiver, and it’s the inexplicably inept second half against the Packers all over again.

I understand the NFC has to keep the games close. They have to script the excitement or half the TV audience turns off the game. But it’s really annoying when you can correctly call what’s going to happen after an organic play takes place that goes against the script.

I’m just hoping the script permits the Vikings to play all out in the second half.

UPDATE: Obviously not.

UPDATE: 4 times reaching red zone but not scoring a TD. 3 times having goal-to-go but not scoring a TD. 2 failed 4th-and-goal attempts. 1 missed FG. No other NFL team in the last 30 years has done all of that in the same game.

I guess the Lions defense just had their number, right? Just a lights-out game and the Vikings just came out a little flat, right? And how unfortunate was that shanked kickoff, right? It’s like listening to WWF fans insisting that wrestling is too real. It’s unfortunate that people won’t pay attention to genuine sporting contests that aren’t close, but I do wish the NFL puppetmasters would content themselves with keeping things close and dramatic instead of outright dictating the outcomes.

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Erasing History

It’s one thing to change a team’s name and logo. It’s another to pretend it never existed.

NFL fans were buzzing when they noticed something important missing from a graphic used on Sunday Night Football.

Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels broke the record for most rushing yards by a rookie QB while facing off against the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday.

The NBC broadcast highlighted Daniels’ record-breaking night by comparing Jayden to Robert Griffin III, the former record holder.

Daniels’ 820 rushing yards this year surpassed RGIII’s 815 from his rookie campaign.

But something appeared off in the picture …

The broadcast deliberately omitted the logo of the Washington Redskins, the team rookie RGIII played for in 2012.

Look, we all know they’re going to bring back the Redskins name sooner or later. Even a significant majority of American Indians – including me – support this. It is not better to erase a popular reference to the American Indian, even if some find it offensive, than keep it. Do what Florida State does and donate a percentage of the merchandise revenues to the local tribes in the area if there is any need to assuage one’s conscience over the supposedly negative aspects of the term.

And there is no excuse for erasing history. That way much wickedness lies.

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False Marketing

Women’s athletes and the Texas Attorney General are waging a war against baphometism and Clown World institutions like the NCAA:

San Jose State women’s volleyball star Brooke Slusser warned the NCAA after Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton filed a lawsuit against the organization over transgender inclusion in women’s sports. Paxton filed the lawsuit on Sunday, accusing the organization of deceptive marketing practices for allowing transgender women to compete against biological females. Paxton said in a news release the NCAA violated the Texas Trade Practices Act “which exists to protect consumers from businesses attempting to mislead or trick them into purchasing goods or services that are not as advertised.”

Slusser, who was a part of a lawsuit against her own school and the NCAA for allowing a transgender woman on the Spartans’ roster this season, posted about Paxton’s suit.

“Hey NCAA, just in case you haven’t realized yet this fight will just keep getting harder for you until you make a change!” Slusser wrote on X.

Paxton accused the NCAA of “engaging in false, deceptive, and misleading practices by marketing sporting events as ‘women’s’ competitions only to then provide consumers with mixed sex competitions where biological males compete against biological females.”

“The NCAA is intentionally and knowingly jeopardizing the safety and well-being of women by deceptively changing women’s competitions into co-ed competitions,” Paxton said in a statement. “When people watch a women’s volleyball game, for example, they expect to see women playing against other women – not biological males pretending to be something they are not. Radical ‘gender theory’ has no place in college sports.”

Paxton said he was seeking a court to grant a permanent injunction to prohibit the NCAA from allowing transgender athletes in women’s sports in Texas or “involving Texas teams, or alternatively requiring the NCAA to stop marketing events as ‘women’s’ when in fact they are mixed sex competitions,” the news release said.

The false marketing angle against men who compete in women’s sports is a much better and more legally powerful angle than the “fairness” angle that was borrowed from feminism. Because a man is not a woman, it is easy to demonstrate that a man is not a woman, and it is obviously false marketing to claim that coed sports are “women’s sports”.

Lawfare is a side that cuts both ways, but it needs to be intelligently applied, and it must be kept in mind that the rhetoric for one side is seldom as effective for the other.

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