Championship Weekend

RAMS-SEAHAWKS

It will be interesting to see if the Vikings were wrong and Sam Darnold does have what it takes to win a Super Bowl. While I wish him well, I am skeptical, and even if he does lead the Seahawks to two more wins and gets a ring, I don’t think the Vikings would have been able to do the same this year if they’d resigned him due to all the injuries on the offensive line. I tend to think Stafford and McVey are good for one more ring together, but the Seahawks definitely have the defensive edge.

BRONCOS-PATRIOTS

I think the Broncos will win even with their backup quarterback, mostly because I don’t believe Bo Nix is that much better than Jarret Stidham. Both of them are in a situation more akin to the 2000 Ravens, so as long as Stidham doesn’t try to win the game with his arm, the Broncos should be okay. Last week Houston would have won if CJ Stroud had never thrown a ball, so I don’t see why the Broncos D, who allowed 17 more yards and 6 less touchdowns than the Texans D this season, can’t shut down Drake Maye at home even more effectively than the Texas did on the road.

New England 10, Denver 7.

Mike Vrabel completely outcoached Sean Payton and Drake May out-managed Jarret Stidham. I think Payton lost the game when he a) didn’t kick the early field goal, b) didn’t run the ball on 4th-and-1, and c) tried to get cute by putting his backup quarterback in high-pressure passing situations. The touchdown they gave up was 100 percent unnecessary and I completely blame the coaching staff for not telling Stidham to either throw the ball away right away or take the sack.

That’s one area where defensive coaches are much better than offensive ones. They don’t actively lose games the way the offensive smart boys so often do.

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College Football is Back

What a great game last night. To be honest, although I’ve always been an NFL guy, for the last two years, the College Football Playoff has been much, much more entertaining than the NFL playoffs, despite the many close games in the latter, mostly because watching CJ Stroud throw interceptions and Caleb Williams lobbing blind moonballs from 30 yards behind the line of scrimmage is less entertaining than two college powerhouses trading knockdown punches.

Indiana was the better team, but that Miami defense was downright ferocious. Miami missed a field goal in the first half, but Indiana should have put the ball away before giving Miami its last chance; false-starting inside the opposing 10 on 2nd-and-1 was very surprising coming from such a well-disciplined team. I wasn’t surprised by the blocked punt, as it looked like they were getting close on the two previous punts, but I was surprised by Fletcher’s 57-yard TD run.

I very much appreciated the way in which Cignetti was coaching to win, as both the end of the first half Hail Mary and the decision to go for it on 4th-and-goal from the five instead of kicking a field goal demonstrated. He made it very clear that Indiana was playing to win the national championship, not avoid losing it.

Anyhow, there are some serious problems with the new system, especially the way players who are talked into going into the portal find themselves in limbo when no one picks them up. But in general, and no matter how much I dislike the oversized power conferences and the decline of traditional conferences like the Pac-10 – which is its proper name, not the Pac-8, the Pac-12, or the Pac-2, although the latter was pretty funny – the various changes have definitely been very good for spurring more interest in what has become a much more competitive game.

Ironically, the first college game I ever attended was when Indiana played Minnesota in Minneapolis in 1976. The Gophers won, 32-13. And in the fifty years since, I would not ever have believed that Indiana would win its first national championship before Minnesota won its eighth.

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The Bullies of IU

38-3 against Alabama. 56-22 against Oregon… and it wasn’t that close. At one point early in the third quarter, it was 49-7.

Whatever Curt Cignetti is doing at Indiana is going to be the basis of dozens of books on leadership and team-building.

Oregon had more than 50 4- and 5-star recruits on its roster. Alabama had more than 40.

Indiana has three. And they’re not just beating the teams with superior talent, they’re obliterating them.

Sometimes, it’s not about the talent. Sometimes, its about who is willing to work harder, who is more disciplined, and who is willing to devote themselves to the team and to the mission.

It’s downright inspirational. Watch, learn, and apply.

Big Bear likes to say no one is having more fun than us. And that’s true. But I say, no one is going to work harder or work smarter.

Speaking of which, the first draft of the sequel to Probability Zero is already finished. Gemini 3 Pro gives it a technical rigor of 9.9 compared to PZ’s 9.7 and The Selfish Gene‘s 1.5. If you’re a science or math PhD or you’ve got a Master’s in STEM and you want to review the early draft, please shoot me an email with TFG in the subject. I’ll send out 20 of them for comments and suggestions.

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They Should Have Fired Lamar

I cannot believe the Baltimore Ravens fired John Harbaugh. What he did with Lamar Jackson bordered on the miraculous, although Jackson certainly merits credit for being far more coachable and more willing to work on improving as a quarterback than anyone ever imagined possible.

Harbaugh will have another head-coaching job within two weeks, and quite possibly before the end of the weekend. The Ravens aren’t going deep into the playoffs with Lamar, in fact, they may not see the playoffs again while he is their quarterback.

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It’s Got to Change

Those ratings should assure that the G5 problem will be fixed one way or another. I like the idea of splitting the CFB division between Power Four and Group of Five conferences. Give the G5 their own playoff. More good games, more good teams get a chance to play for something viable, it’s a win for everyone.

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More NCAAF Drama

The University of Michigan just unexpectedly fired its head football coach. And the police are involved, f.

The University of Michigan has fired Sherrone Moore following an investigation into a situation that transpired within and outside the football building, sources tell OutKick.

Coming off a season that ended with a loss to Ohio State, the Wolverines’ administration had been looking into alleged allegations levied against the coach. Over the past few weeks, Board of Regent members have met numerous times to discuss the allegations levied against the coach, which violate university policy.

Wednesday night, Sherrone Moore was detained in Saline, Michigan, and then subsequently handed over to police in Pittsfield Township, pertaining to an investigation that is now tied to the relationship.

Multiple sources tell OutKick that once the school found out about an alleged extramarital affair with a staffer through an outside tip, a decision was made to launch an investigation.

“U-M head football coach Sherrone Moore has been terminated, with cause, effective immediately. Following a university investigation, credible evidence was found that Coach Moore engaged in an inappropriate relationship with a staff member. This conduct constitutes a clear violation of University policy, and U-M maintains zero tolerance for such behavior,” AD Warde Manual announced.

It looks like Indiana and Ohio State are going to be cleaning up in the transfer portal soon.

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The Ultimate Comeback

Every man over the age of 40 is going to be backing the Colts for the rest of this season:

Stuck at EverBank Stadium, and waiting for a new charter home with mechanical issues sending the team plane in for repairs, Colts coach Shane Steichen and GM Chris Ballard were staring down a quarterback situation in apparent disrepair.

Starter Daniel Jones, already playing through a fractured fibula, had sustained a season-ending torn Achilles hours earlier, in what became a blowout loss to the Jaguars. Then, in the locker room postgame, rookie sixth-rounder Riley Leonard—who’d put together an admirable, hope-provoking three quarters—revealed to coaches the pain he felt in a knee that he tweaked during the second half.

Former first-rounder Anthony Richardson, who underwent orbital surgery in late October after a freak accident with a resistance band, was already shelved with no timetable for return. Veteran Brett Rypien was stashed on the practice squad. The Colts, quite simply, were long on problems and short on answers at the game’s most important position.

“What about Rivers?” Steichen asked, in the bowels of the stadium.

Ballard, taken aback, responded, “Would he do it?”

And thus began a wild 48 hours that brought eight-time Pro Bowl quarterback Philip Rivers, a veteran of 17 NFL seasons, back to pro football after a five-year retirement.

Success, needless to say, is unlikely. Joe Flacco may have come off his couch and played quite credibly to hold down the fort for Joe Burrows, but he’d only been out for a few months. Rivers has been retired for FIVE YEARS.

That being said, the fact that he’s been coaching and working out with pre-draft QBs does mean that he’s been mentally engaged with the game and knows he can still throw it. As for the rest, well, let’s hope we get to see for ourselves.

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KOC Looks Wiser Today

ITEM: 16 23 163 69.6 7.1 3 0 21 4 129.2

ITEM: Daniel Jones fell to the turf in Jacksonville with an apparent Achilles tendon tear in his right leg. The Colts are in a mess because sometime on Monday an MRI is expected to confirm Jones suffered the season-ending injury and needs surgery.

The Vikings are 5-8. The Colts are 8-5. JJ McCarthy will likely be available for the last four games of the season. Daniel Jones will not be. It’s now possible, if not necessarily likely, that the Vikings will finish with a better record than the Colts.

Those of us who have been metaphorically murdering Kwesi and openly wondering if KOC had completely lost both his quarterback-whispering abilities and his marbles must admit that despite all of the travails of this season, their joint decision to roll with Nine instead of Darnold, Jones, and Rodgers might not have been quite as completely insane as it looked last week.

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The End of the College Bowl Game

It appears to be upon us, courtesy of the College Football Playoff committee’s bizarre decision to include Alabama and exclude Notre Dame.

On Sunday, the Fighting Irish were snubbed for the College Football Playoff, as the selection committee opted to put Miami in over them. It was a controversial decision that left many scratching their heads, but the Hurricanes did beat Notre Dame head-to-head earlier in the season.

Soon after being left out of the CFP, Notre Dame announced it would not be participating in a bowl this season.

The statement is below:

As a team, we’ve decided to withdraw our name for consideration for a bowl game following the 2025 season.

We appreciate all the support from our families and fans, and we’re hoping to bring the 12th national title to South Bend in 2026

-The 2025 Notre Dame Football Team.

Rather than have one more game and a month of extra practices, the Irish are essentially taking their ball and going home.

I have no problem with the team and its coaches deciding that playing in the Kraft Bleu Cheese Ranch Bowl or whatever it’s called this year isn’t worth the investment of time required. A 10-2 team that is quite obviously one of the best 12 teams in the country expects to be playing for a national title. It deserves to be playing for a national title.

Some observers have pointed out, quite reasonably, that this is a consequence of Notre Dame’s own decision not to join a conference. And it is, and that’s correct. But there is no duty to play in a lesser game that counts for nothing, and this, too, is a consequence of the committee’s actions.

Alabama got their shot last night. They blew it. Why they should be given another shot, over teams like Notre Dame and Vanderbilt, makes no sense to me. I have no problem with James Madison getting in; they did their part and they won their conference. But why the committee thinks anyone wants to see Alabama go to Oklahoma, again, and presumably lose there, again, is beyond me.

Notre Dame lost two games to teams in the playoffs by a combined 4 points. Alabama lost two games to two teams in the playoffs by a combined 23 points, plus to an unranked team by 14 points. As I said yesterday, Alabama should not have been included.

And now, a feeble attempt to protect the non-tradition of conference championship games, the entire bowl tradition is now in jeopardy. Because Notre Dame will not be the only team to decline a bowl; the Big 12 is already having to strongarm two of its teams with playoff aspirations to get them to participate in the bowls to which they’ll be invited.

I don’t have anything against Alabama. I didn’t even follow college football during the Saban years and I’ve never been an SEC guy. But I don’t like seeing other teams getting only one shot at glory when another gets three.

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