Pax trolls a “presidential candidate”

Pax Dickinson ♔ ‏@paxdickinson
what will the name of the Mormon genocide be?


15% Mormocaust
17% Mormodomor
42% Mormogeddon
26% Mormopalooza

Evan McMullin ‏@Evan_McMullin
This goes beyond mere rhetoric.  It is another threat of violence by the bigoted movement @realDonaldTrump has inspired in America.

Supreme Dark Lord ‏@voxday
@Evan_McMullin You’re scared of @realDonaldTrump, so Americans should expect you to stand up to ISIS and Vladimir Putin? Does not compute.


Of course, Egghead McMormon is about as legitimate a presidential candidate as he is straight. What a pathetic, limp-wristed little dishrag of a man. I am a little disappointed in Pax, though. Or at least his followers. I would have gone with Mormodomor.

As for Mormons, I have nothing against them beyond their clueless cuckiness. They can wear whatever underwear and dream of ruling whatever imaginary planets they like as far as I’m concerned. Some of my ancestors cut out human hearts and flayed people as part of their religious ceremonies, so I’m not inclined to throw many stones in that regard. But if they somehow manage hand the USA over to Hillary Clinton, I most certainly will. One can excuse them sticking Americans with four years of Obama; it’s not their fault Captain Underoos was a feckless loser and one has to excuse a group for standing by one of their own.

But to then turn around and try to stab the God-Emperor in the back as he ascends? No, there will be no forgiveness for that. Fortunately, I am confident that Trump will not only win Utah, he won’t even need Utah’s electoral points.


Mike and Milo won the election

Apparently the Washington Post is throwing in the towel early:

The only true winners of this election are trolls

The guiding lights of this crowd — people like the right-wing blogger Mike Cernovich and Breitbart tech columnist Milo Yiannopoulos — have become not only legends on their own hashtags, but leading figures in the offline Trump movement. Cernovich, an erstwhile pickup artist who is largely responsible for the rumors about Clinton’s health, encourages his followers to abide by the maxims “conflict is attention” and “attention is influence.” Yiannopolous, meanwhile, was famously suspended from Twitter for inciting the racist harassment of the actress Leslie Jones, which he defended on the grounds that he’s a “prankster.”

In other words, he harassed Jones as some sort of nihilistic joke — a metaphor for online culture, if I’ve ever heard one.

This is a quasi-concession that Trump is going to win. After all, there has been no bigger nor more successful troll this election season than the ascendant God-Emperor. As the Post writer herself writes:

Phillips is deeply concerned about figures like Cernovich and Yiannopoulos — and, above them, Trump himself. For surely no one else has been so successful at cynically exploiting cultural tensions to get a reaction. 

Mike has an entirely different take.

Based on what we know about the media cover-up of Hillary’s health, it’s clear sick Hillary had another health spell, which isn’t being reported. For no reason at all today, the media is lying about me in an effort to discredit my reporting on Hillary Clinton’s extensive health issues. Based on what we know about the media, it’s certain that Clinton had another health episode. Unlike at the 9/11 Memorial event, there was no one outside of the hoaxing media to report it…. Based on the media’s prior attacks on me, I predict another health event for Hillary soon. It’s likely that she had a recent episode on her airplane, outside of the prying eyes of citizen journalists.

That, or the Post writers know something even more damning is now on the boil behind closed doors. The health issue could, conceivably, be an excuse to permit her to drop out of the race quietly rather than be publicly forced out by a public arrest.


Do you still doubt?

Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton in Israel, of all places, according to the Jerusalem Post.

Trump received 49% of the Israeli-American vote, while Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton got 44%, according to the poll conducted by get-out-the-vote organization iVoteIsrael and KEEVOON Global Research. Another 2% voted for Libertarian Gary Johnson.

I’ll admit it, I did NOT see THAT coming. That suggests Hillary won’t hold the usual heavy Democratic advantage among the Jewish vote. She won’t hold it among, blacks, Hispanics, or women either. So, you know what that means….

UPDATE: Upon further review, this may not be good news after all. Obama only got 15 percent against Romney and 24 percent against McCain. Also, turnout was reportedly down 50,000 from 2012. I don’t know what to make of that.

UPDATE: But news that Trump is now OH +5, AZ +5, NH +1, NC +3, NV +6, CO tie, and VA +3 in various state polls is all very promising indeed.


Trump shatters 50 percent ceiling

He also leads by three in the daily Rasmussen Reports’ poll:

Republican Donald Trump has a three-point lead in Rasmussen Reports’ White House Watch survey. Among voters who are certain how they will vote, Trump now has over 50% support. The latest national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Trump leading Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton 45% to 42%.

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of voters say they are now certain how they will vote. Among these voters, Trump has a 10-point lead over Clinton – 53% to 43%.

Hillary’s hope apparently rests with the undecideds and the Justice Department’s ability to silence the FBI and the NYPD. Translation: Trumpslide!



Meanwhile, Hector Morenco, whoever that is, claims on Twitter that Obama is intending to pardon Hillary regardless of whether the FBI acts before or after the election:

Hector Morenco ‏@hectormorenco Nov 1
Wow! Sorry more crazy info. Just told that Obama moving forward with presidential pardon regardless of outcome. God help us all! Going dark.

Hector Morenco ‏@hectormorenco Nov 1
Last tweet, FBI Trump faction wants to drag it out till Trump is in office. If HRC wins they will charge her after inauguration. Going dark.

Hector Morenco ‏@hectormorenco Nov 1
I’ve been told to pencils down on this one. Too dangerous.

Hector Morenco ‏@hectormorenco Nov 1
FBI sources, “Pro HRC faction within FBI trying to charge HRC this week so Obama can pardon. Pro Trump faction wants to wait till Nov 9th.”

Hector Morenco ‏@hectormorenco Nov 1
Then HRC will use her power to pardon Obama and the heist will be 100% legal.

Hector Morenco ‏@hectormorenco Nov 1
FBI won’t charge HRC before election because Obama will use power to pardon her. “If we release Weiner file before Nov. 8th she’ll walk.”

Hector Morenco ‏@hectormorenco Nov 1
Other sources in DOJ say Loretta Lynch & Obama scrambling to use the Hatch Act to silence the FBI release of evidence from Weiner file.

If Obama has to pardon her before the election, that will prove her criminality and seal the deal for Trump. If Obama is threatening to do so after the election, then there is no downside to acting before the election.

Doesn’t the FBI have anyone competent in Game Theory, or even basic logic?


Evidence to put Hillary away for life?

Two key quotes:

  • “The FBI has evidence to put Hillary Clinton and her crew away for life.”
  • “What’s in the emails is staggering, and as a father it turned my stomach. There is not going to be any Houdini-like escape from what we found. We have copies of everything. We will ship them to WikiLeaks or I will personally hold my own press conference if it comes to that.”

Again, I have no direct information for which I can vouch. However, the rumors continue to be consistent and in line with the Redemption theory I put forth concerning Comey’s decision to reopen the investigation. I simply can’t see things being this heated between the NYPD, the FBI, and the Justice Department if it concerns nothing more than proof that Hillary deleted classified files.

Notice that it is now being reported that other elected officials are implicated as well, which may explain why this is all being handled like a live hand grenade by everyone from President Obama to the NYPD. One has to assume the Clinton machine is aggressively calling in every favor it has and then some, given the potential stakes involved.

UPDATE: The Truepundit post mentioned in the video.

Notice that the following sentence is consistent with the Wall Street Journal report about Comey having been informed about the new emails several weeks before, but not doing anything until he actually saw what was in them.

The NYPD Chief said once Comey saw the alarming contents of the emails he was forced to reopen a criminal probe against Clinton.


Just thinking out loud here, but I would expect the NYPD or WikiLeaks to release something by Friday at the latest if the FBI doesn’t do something first. If what is on the emails is as bad as is being bruited about, there is no way anyone can, in good conscience, not let the American people know about it before the election.

Remember, if the reports are true, they’re going to have to arrest a number of people all at once, some of whom are going to be desperate. Those sorts of operations take an amount of preparation, and it’s not as if Hillary or Huma can lay low or go anywhere they can’t readily find them. One way we’ll know for certain it is real is if any of the individuals implicated in these crimes start self-euthanizing. At this point, they are probably still hoping that they’re untouchable.

Even if you are, quite reasonably, dubious about the deviant allegations, there is a lot of investigative activity occurring with regards to the Clinton Foundation, as Fox News has reported that no less than FIVE foreign intelligence services accessed the server and pay-for-play indictments are “likely”. This tends to suggest that Hillary Clinton can be held liable for perjury and obstruction of justice as well.

Don’t forget that Julian Assange has publicly said that the next round of WikiLeaks emails will see Hillary arrested.


ABC/WP has Trump +1

Donald Trump has leapfrogged over Hillary Clinton in the newest national ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll. Trump is now 1 point ahead of his Democratic rival, earning 46 percent of likely voters’ support, compared to Clinton’s 45 percent. This is a shocking reversal from just nine days ago, when Clinton was 12 points ahead. – Daily Mail

Amazing how all those independents and undecideds are suddenly making up their minds. Trump is already up in FL and OH. And as I said, once the polls show Trump up in PA and NC, the Trumpslide is on.

UPDATE: Speaking of North Carolina:

With a week to go until Election Day, Republican Donald Trump has seized control of a tight presidential race in North Carolina, according to an exclusive WRAL News poll released Tuesday. SurveyUSA polled 659 people statewide Friday through Monday who have already cast their ballots or are likely to vote in the election and found Trump with a 51 to 44 percent lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points. In a WRAL News poll released three weeks ago, Clinton led Trump 46 to 44 percent.

UPDATE: A second NC poll has it tied, 44 Trump, 44 Clinton, 4 Johnson. This is also a significant change from polls which had Clinton +6 less than a week ago.


The last days of #NeverTrump

No matter how the election turns out, the #NeverTrump crowd have permanently discredited themselves:

Now that we seem to be having a non-stop stream of evidence (as if we needed it) that the Obama and forthcoming Clinton administrations are basically a crime syndicate, stretching from the Department of Justice, through the FBI, and into the IRS — and an international one at that, with tentacles, via the Clinton Foundation, all the way to Moscow and Riyadh — it’s time for the NeverTrumpers to take a final look at their position.

Do they want to enable such a crime syndicate to be running the U.S. government? And if so, how do they expect it ever to end, if not now? Through litigation? Under whose auspices? Do they not think, if Hillary is elected, that the paramount goal of her administration will be to further entrench the syndicate, making it impermeable to change, turning the USA into the ghost of itself? These things happen in history.

Not simple, is it?

If I were writing my book on moral narcissism today, I would have to add a chapter on the NeverTrumpers, because — like it or not — their stance, while once idealistic, at this point seems rather too substantially based on self-regard. They want to have “clean hands” to avoid any tarnishing by the unseemly Mr. Trump.

Well, fine. But where does that leave the rest of us? Where does that leave the country?

I don’t know how it is going to be possible for anyone on the right to take the cucks and neocons seriously again. I certainly hope conservatives will show better sense than to listen to them or give them credence in the future.


3.1 million

For nearly 10 years, I didn’t think much about the traffic statistics, until in 2012, a few Scalzi fans began trying to taunt me with McRapey’s supposedly massive traffic at Whatever. (Key word: supposedly). So, it now gives me a sense of satisfaction every time a new high-water mark is reached. October 2016 marks the first time I’ve hit three times the all-time peak for the former most popular blog in science fiction, which was recorded in May 2012.

Of course, it’s around 6x Whatever‘s current traffic, but no one cares about that anymore.

Anyhow, October set a new traffic records for both VP – 2,615,169 Google pageviews – and VP+AG – 3,112,416. It will be close, but it now looks like the combined blog total will exceed 30 million in 2016, up considerably from last year’s 20,776,969 pageviews.

A lot of that is the election, of course, but there was no dropoff at all after November 2012, so perhaps the newly come Ilk will become the foundation for the next ramp up to 50 million annually. Who knows?

There is a deeper point to this post, however, beyond the petty ball-spiking. Past performance can be indicative of future performance, but that is not always the case. For example, I have a pretty good statistical model that predicts traffic growth with a reasonable degree of accuracy. It can be so good that it predicted 1,990,883 pageviews in January 2016. The actual number was 1,982,034. That’s precision to within half of one percent! It also predicted 27,682,865 pageviews for 2016; we’re presently at 24,247,801 with two months to go. Not bad, right?

That, you see, is why I take dh very seriously when he discusses the election in terms of the historical poll analyses. His perspective is not irrelevant. Far from it. On the other hand, one also has to be aware that these statistical trends, however reliable they tend to be, are not determinative. One also has to pay attention to potential outliers, and recognize the scenarios when they are likely to be in play.

For example, my impressively precise traffic model predicted 2,019,930 pageviews in October 2016. The actual result, previously mentioned, turned out to be 54 percent higher.

TL;DR: Thank you for visiting. Feel free to join the discourse. And please to enjoy the incipient Trumpslide.


Mailvox: an alternative Comey script

As opposed to Scott Adams Two Bullets for the Republic story or my own Another Chance at Redemption movie, we are given The Puppet’s Whitewash:

Here’s how the current bogus Comey/Huma/Weiner email scandal scam works:

Re those Wiener emails that everyone’s foolishly talking about while the sold-out media deliberately ignores the ongoing Julian releases (which are actually much more important), some important facts first, any of which is a dead giveaway of what’s ACTUALLY going on:

Specifically, director Comey has been attending daily meetings at the white house all along (which would be rather unusual if he’s actually about to dump something damaging which could implicate the white house as well as destroy Hillary and the entire Democratic party) and, of course, Hillary has been demanding that they release those new Weiner emails immediately (which is ridiculous for several incredibly obvious reasons).

The fact that Comey is continuing to visit the white house daily in the midst of this new supposed “scandal” is the first obvious giveaway, but Hillary demanding that they release those emails is the second less obvious giveaway until you realize several very, VERY important and obvious things:

Unlike any Julian material, those emails are in the possession of bought-and-sold-Hillary-flunky director Comey.

Also, legally, if there is a valid investigation under way, he CAN NOT release evidence in an ongoing case.  Hillary realizes this too (which makes her calls to release the emails kind of silly, but it plays really well to an ignorant audience who doesn’t know the law).

However, Hillary CAN LEGALLY release those emails whenever she wants – they’re her property, after all, and she is under no legal obligation to keep them under wraps.  Indeed, if they’re full of crap, by releasing them NOW, it instantly ends the scandal.

Of course, that is the last thing they want.  So here’s how it works:

The reason Hillary is demanding the immediate release of those emails is because she already knows that her slave Comey has gone through them with a fine-toothed comb and very carefully edited out ANYTHING which might actually be illegal while leaving in just enough to make Hillary look merely “careless” again.

Why?

Because he (representing the FBI) will release those emails just before election day, and then the Hillary camp will point at them and say, “Look, there’s actually NOTHING criminal here at all and I am now vindicated by no less than the FBI!”

She’ll then follow up with a knockout punch by proclaiming that it was an unfair Trump witchhunt all along and that Trump knew it all along and yet he still persecuted her unfairly, bringing up the emails continuously in a sleazy and unethical attempt to unfairly bring her down.  Suddenly outraged and now motivated (which they’re currently not), even reluctant Hillary voters suddenly rush the polls, voting her into office while the Trump supporters slink away in embarrassed (and non-voting) silence.

So, bottom line, it’s a trap and Comey is complicit in it and so are the media (as usual), and not only does it set up a trap but it also distracts the public from the ongoing tsunami of the continuing Julian data dumps (which are FAR more important as they’re not under the control of a loyal Hillary slave like Comey, and therefore the Julian emails are real while the Comey emails are being manipulated and edited in Hillary’s favor as I type this).

That said, however, it’s actually a pretty good strategy:  all you have to do is have Comey complicit in every step and it becomes a pretty good game of chess complete with inevitable checkmate.  And in the meantime, Hillary and her supporters keep screaming intense outrage and cursing Comey while the inner circle, of course, already knows what’s going on (like I said, Comey going to the white house every day, even now).  But I would like to take this moment to nominate Hillary for an Emmy and Oscar – good acting deserves an award.

And the final proof:  if Comey has betrayed her and the dems with “his” deliberate and intentional bringing up the emails just before the election, and if they were, in fact, as terrible as Hillary and the dems claim they are, then Obama would despise Comey for destroying the election.  So what did the Prez do today?

Remember, this is from the President himself while the rest of the dems run about in mock horror and outrage, with Hillary herself continues to act like she’s really, REALLY furious at Comey while simultaneously demanding that the emails be made public because she knows Comey has already edited them in her favor.  And keeping that in mind, so if the emails are so damaging, WHY would President Obama put in a good word for Comey who just restarted the investigation into those oh-so-damaging emails?  Why would President Obama show support for Comey when he has so clearly destroyed Hillary and the Democratic party?

But hang on – one more piece:  guess who will be deciding whether or not to take any legal action at all regarding those emails?  Answer:  the most corrupt Justice Department in the history of the United States who also just happen to be totally rock solid Hillary supporters:

LOL!  Could they be any more OBVIOUS?!   If the voters fall for this HUGE scam, they’re really are as stupid as Hillary says they are in all of her emails and text messages.  And the Republicans have obviously taken the bait, hook line and sinker which, by definition, makes them complete retards for falling for this obvious trap.

This is how the Comey/Huma/Weiner scam works.  It’s a trick.  It’s a trap.  Case proven, Q.E.D.

Color me dubious. First, some of the basic facts are wrong. Most of the emails are not Hillary’s. She can’t release Huma’s emails, Weiner’s emails, or any other files from the computer, and she probably has no idea what most of them are. Even Huma apparently doesn’t know what is on the laptop, which belongs to her husband, not her.

Second, this version of the story assumes that Obama wants to protect Hillary Clinton. I very much doubt that. He doesn’t care about her and he doesn’t care about the Democratic Party. Third, this version of the story ignores the most important aspect of the situation, which is the internal pressure at the FBI and the fact that the New York FBI office was in possession of the laptop for some time and presumably has copies of all the emails as well.

If there was nothing in the original emails, why was there so much anger directed at Comey when he refused to recommend prosecution? And if the new emails were selectively edited and released in support of a whitewash, that would risk blowing the whole defend-Hillary conspiracy wide open and taking down everyone associated with it. Would you want to bet everything on the assumption that no one at either the NYPD or the New York FBI has a complete set of the emails from that laptop? Remember, we’re talking about criminals here, and criminals tend to project their own criminality on others.

Copying the emails is the very first thing that any corrupt official would do, whether the law permitted it or not, and I would assume that there are multiple copies of the complete set now floating around. I wouldn’t be surprised if both the Trump campaign and WikiLeaks already have their own sets.

Now, why would Obama put in a good word for Comey? My interpretation of his statement is that it was a signal to the media and the entire Democratic Party that he is hanging Hillary, and by extension the whole Clinton machine, out to dry. I think he’s entirely willing to let the chips fall where they may. He’s not involved, he knows he’s not involved, and I suspect it would give him a good deal of satisfaction to see his former Secretary of State, whose inept foreign policy has ruined his legacy, finally receive her comeuppance. Remember, these people do not like each other.

We’ll see who is closer to correct soon enough. If the emailer is right, we’ll see a public whitewashing from Comey later this week. If I’m right, this week will see more and more prominent media figures pulling long faces and declaring that Hillary is unsuitable for the presidency as her poll numbers collapse.


The dam is breaking

And the Trumpslide I’d predicted before the conventions now looms:

According to former Jimmy Carter pollster Pat Caddell, Hillary Clinton is hemorrhaging support as a result of the FBI announcement and we could see a repeat of the 1980 election when anti-establishment candidate Ronald Reagan won in a landslide.

Caddell drew comparisons to the 1980 presidential race, which was close right up until the final days before the electorate abandoned Carter and rallied around the anti-establishment candidate, leading to Reagan taking victory in a landslide.

Caddell noted that Carter’s entire campaign had been built around portraying Reagan as unqualified and “dangerous,” in a similar vein to how Clinton has demonized Trump. Caddell explained that the polling between Reagan and Carter was close up until the final weekend when “the dam broke” and Reagan shot ahead by ten points.

Stating that he had been looking at the data regarding unfavorability ratings for both Clinton and Trump, Caddell noted that since Friday, large numbers of voters had been structurally “moving against the status quo – the incumbent who is essentially Hillary Clinton.”

Interestingly enough, Drudge is now reporting that Hillary Clinton’s unfavorability rating has hit record highs and now exceeds Donald Trump’s. She has been such a historically horrible candidate that the net result of all her campaign spending was to lose 9 points of favorability since May 2015.


Sixty percent of voters view Hillary Clinton unfavorably, according to a ABC News/Washington Post poll released Monday morning, the highest level of unpopularity yet for the Democratic presidential nominee.


The difference, of course, is that plenty of people are going to vote for Trump despite their dislike of his bombastic personality. No white people who aren’t drinking the Clinton Kool-Aid are going to vote for Hillary.

Meanwhile the early voting numbers look positive for the Trump campaign:

Trump communications advisor Jason Miller said on Breitbart News Sunday that Donald Trump has thousands of more early votes racked up than Mitt Romney did during this point in the 2012 election, giving them more momentum heading into the final week of the 2016 presidential election. “I want to give you a couple of early voting, absentee voting successes we’ve seen,” Miller told SiriusXM host Matthew Boyle. “We can talk about polls… But let me tell you about real votes coming in now in Florida. Republican numbers at this point are a combination of absentee voting and early voting. Republican numbers are up seven percent, and Democrat numbers are down ten percent. So, what does that mean?”

If the rest of the election follows that pattern, a 17-point turnaround means a Trumpslide.