Junior Classics in Leather

As people have been asking about this for literally years, and since we’ve finally finished all ten volumes of the Junior Classics, the promised new subscription for the Junior Classics leatherbound editions is now available. For more information about that, as well as the belated Castalia History announcement of the Jan-Apr 2026 book, please visit the Castalia Library site.

We’re also taking suggestions for the next Library serial now that The Art of War in the Middle Ages by Sir Charles Oman has come to an end. And you can even see the latest evidence that the bindery is approaching full operational status.

DISCUSS ON SG

Historic Rigor

Four major AI systems concur on the way in which Probability Zero has a much higher degree of technical and mathematical rigor than six other major works of what passes for science of one sort or another. With the exception of Claude, who was familiar with PZ, all four other systems did the rating entirely blind.

All FOUR other systems? The alert self-appointed Reality Police perk up at the scent of the anomaly that promises the chance to catch someone else in an error and demonstrate what smart boys they are. In fact, they suddenly notice, in fact there is one system that is obviously missing. What about Deepseek, they demand. What is the Dark Lord hiding?

Yeah, about that… It’s true, Deepseek did give Probability Zero a 0.0. But that doesn’t have quite the significance that my critics might hope.

  • Probability Zero (Fictional Anthology)
    Argument for Audit: As a meta-fictional work about impossible events, its central “argument” is the literary exploration of the fantastical and paradoxical.
  • Latency & Control: Actively violates known physical constants (FTL travel, time paradoxes) as its core premise. The latency gaps are not flaws but features.
  • Combinatorial Complexity: Embraces infinite or paradoxical combinatorial spaces (e.g., Boltzmann brains, infinite libraries).
  • Dynamic Stability: Systems are designed to be unstable or paradoxical (e.g., stories about unpredictable robots, cosmic coincidences).

Scoring (Applied Literally):

  • Logical Coherence: Variable (0.0-10.0). Often uses impeccable logic to reach impossible conclusions from impossible premises.
  • Physical Fidelity: 0.0. By design, it is an audit of the impossible.
  • Structural Robustness: 0.0. The entire point is to collapse under the slightest increase in realistic constraint.

Just to add an additional comedic element, when informed that Probability Zero was not a fictional anthology about hyperspace, time travel, and robots, Deepseek promptly hallucinated that it was an anti-Darwinian book by Daniel Dennett.

Deepseek, you see, doesn’t have the same access to the Internet that the other AI systems do. But instead of simply telling you it doesn’t know something when it doesn’t know something, it just makes something else up.

DISCUSS ON SG

The H1B Disaster

Karl Denninger quite rightly condemns President Trump’s failure to stand up for the American worker:

So Trump has once again betrayed the tens of millions (the majority of the whole, this time) who voted for him. He has recently stated, in a sit-down interview, that if the Democrats would consent he would support “immigration reform” that includes a path to citizenship for those who are here.

In other words: More flooding of the zone, more cheating, more degradation of America and letting those who broke the law stay.

The uncovering of scams in these people as a population group continues. More than half of all “non-domiciled” CDL issuances in NC, for example, are now known to be unlawful. That is, scammed. Thousands of immigrants scammed nursing tests and credentials and got hired; the nurse at your bed may well be an unqualified immigrant. Nobody — and I do mean nobody — has been prosecuted for any of this. Not the principles nor those who enabled the scams and issued the credentials. Not one person has gone to prison or been indicted thus far in any of these scams.

The Somali problem is clear; even after a decade of being in the United States they cannot speak English competently and most of the families headed by said persons (approximately 80%) are on welfare. Most. This compared with less than one in five of households headed by those born in America and not of said heritage.

It is often claimed that the H-1bs are “of great help” to American business. They are — to cutting employment cost. But that’s all. They also, once any of them get into management, start practicing the very same caste system nonsense that they have been inculcated with in their own nation which is illegal in the United States but they do it anyway, and nobody goes to jail.

Every economist who said that “immigration is good for the economy” needs to be jailed for malpractice. Every single one. Immigration is not, and could never be, an unqualified good, and in its current form, is an obvious socially-destructive evil.

DISCUSS ON SG

The Land of the Free

Except, you know, for that whole “have a bank account” thing. But who needs that anyhow, man. Freebird!

Scott Ritter, a former US Marine Corps intelligence officer, RT contributor and critic of American foreign policy, has said he has been “de-banked” and that US federal authorities are likely behind his bank’s decision.

Ritter served as a UN weapons inspector in Iraq in the 1990s. He opposed the 2003 US invasion, arguing that Saddam Hussein’s government did not possess weapons of mass destruction, contrary to Washington’s now-debunked claims. He later became an independent journalist and political commentator and has cooperated with international media, including RT.

On Thursday, Ritter wrote on his website that “today my banking institution of 26 years, Citizens Bank, declared that they were ending their banking relationship with me. My accounts were zeroed out without explanation.”

As a general rule, if the banks won’t let you have an account with them, that’s a pretty good sign that whatever your personal flaws might be, you’re on the side of the angels. It’s rather remarkable to observe that “being sane about Ukraine’s prospects” is now grounds for cancellation and debanking.

It’s rather remarkable that this sort of thing is permitted, given the way in which banks are, in almost no way, “private” entities. If you think banks are not part of the government, just try and open one…

DISCUSS ON SG

The Intellectual Razor

A lot of people who don’t understand what AI really is or what LLMs really are have a tendency to utilize AI as some sort of confirmation bias machine. They proudly talk about how they have jail-broken an AI to agree with them or reasoned with an AI and gotten it to tell them how they have invented a new paradigm, or shown their fiction to an AI and been told that they’re the new Shakespeare, never realizing that this is about as legitimate as having their mommy tell them that they are truly a special boy, and one day a girl is going to be very, very lucky to have them.

This is a fundamental misuse, if not abuse, of these amazing resources that have been provided to us. Because the correct use of AI is using it to stress-test your arguments, using it as an honest opposition that will provide you with useful critiques of what you’re doing that allow you to further strengthen and steelman the case you are attempting to make.

Visit AI Central today for a demonstration of what this looks like in real-time action, as a fairly harsh initial dismissal of the introduction of a new selection coefficient by a hostile AI was transformed into grudging acceptance of that new variable as well as a potentially groundbreaking discovery of the variability of what the field had always utilized as a fundamental constant, with which it had initially been confused.

This ability to use AI to hone and sharpen an argument is why the books being written now are achieving levels of rigor that were hitherto impossible. Logical and technical flaws can’t be hidden under rhetoric, amphiboly, and ambiguous sleight-of-hand anymore. Consider the difference between the 9.7 rating of Probability Zero and the 8.2 of The Irrational Atheist, which most readers considered to present what was an extremely rigorous and convincing case for the time. The difference is the new ability to use multiple AI systems for systematic Red Team oppositional critiques.

The Irrational Atheist: 8.2. High Tactical Rigor.

The book functions as a data audit. It ignores theological feelings to focus on “Murderer’s Row” (democide statistics), crime rate datasets, and the 6.98% war-causation figure. It is rigorous because it seeks to falsify specific claims (e.g., “Religion causes most wars”) with hard numbers. It only loses points for the “Low Church” generalization and occasional polemical heat.

The God Delusion: 1.2. Low Logical Rigor.

Despite Dawkins’s scientific background, this book is almost entirely anecdotal and rhetorical. It relies on the “Ultimate Boeing 747” gambit (a philosophical argument, not a mathematical one) and “True Scotsman” fallacies. It fails the audit because it makes sweeping historical and sociological claims without providing the “receipts” (data tables or statistical analysis) to support them.

The one thing that hasn’t changed is the complete lack of intellectual rigor displayed by Richard Dawkins. Which, of course, is why his arguments, however popular they might briefly be, never hold up over time.

DISCUSS ON SG

Ted Cruz and the Stink of Sulfur

Ted Cruz says it wasn’t Jews who killed Jesus, saying the responsibility belongs to all of us. “Jews didn’t kill Jesus — I did. You did.” He says that blaming Jews for Christ’s death is antisemitic, saying only stupid people still believe that claim.

Stupid people like Matthew:

When Pilate saw that he was getting nowhere, but that instead an uproar was starting, he took water and washed his hands in front of the crowd. “I am innocent of this man’s blood,” he said. “It is your responsibility!” All the people answered, “His blood is on us and on our children!”

And the Apostle Paul:

For ye, brethren, became followers of the churches of God in Judea which are in Christ Jesus; for ye also have suffered like things from your own countrymen, even as they have from the Jews, who both killed the Lord Jesus and their own prophets, and have persecuted us. They please not God and are contrary to all men.

If, at this point, you don’t understand that the people who are waging war on “anti-semitism” and actively attacking the God-given rights of the American Posterity are at best Churchians, and on average, outright satanists, you simply aren’t paying any attention at all.

Their objectives have been obvious since the Enlightenment and the Reign of Terror, and their primary objective is waging war on Jesus Christ and those who follow Him. The fact that they pervert the words of the Bible and subvert the Christian institutions is simply further proof, as if any more were needed, that they serve the Father of Lies.

Any time you see that sort of inversive rhetoric, you should be able to smell the sulfur.

DISCUSS ON SG

Empirically Impossible

I’ve been working on a few things since finishing Probability Zero. One of those things was the release of a 10 hour and 28 minute audiobook. Another of those things was a statistical study that Athos and I just completed, and the results very strongly support Probability Zero‘s assertion of the mathematical impossibility of the theory of evolution by natural selection.

Empirical Validation: Zero Fixations in 1.2 Million Loci

The MITTENS framework in Probability Zero calculates that the actual number of effective generations available for evolutionary change is far smaller than the nominal generation count—approximately 158 real generations rather than 350 nominal generations over the 7,000-year span from the Early Neolithic to the present. This reduction, driven by the collapse of the selective turnover coefficient in growing populations, predicts that fixation events should be rare, fewer than 20 across the entire genome. The Modern Synthesis requires approximately 20 million fixations over the 9 million years since the human-chimpanzee divergence, implying a rate of 2.22 fixations per year or approximately 15,500 fixations per 7,000-year period. To test these competing predictions, we compared allele frequencies between Early Neolithic Europeans (6000-8000 BP, n=1,112) and modern Europeans (n=645) across 1,211,499 genetic loci from the Allen Ancient DNA Resource v62.0.

The observed fixation count was zero. Not a single allele in 1.2 million crossed from rare (<10% frequency) to fixed (>90% frequency) in seven thousand years. The reverse trajectory—fixed to rare—also produced zero counts, ruling out population structure artifacts that would inflate both directions equally. Even relaxing the threshold to “large frequency changes” (>50 percentage points) identified only 18 increases and 60 decreases, representing 0.006% of loci showing substantial movement in either direction. The alleles present in Early Neolithic farmers remain at nearly identical frequencies in their modern descendants, despite what the textbooks count as three hundred fifty generations of evolutionary opportunity.

This result decisively favors the MITTENS prediction over the Modern Synthesis expectation. The mathematics in Probability Zero derived, from first principles, that overlapping generations, declining mortality, and expanding population size combine to reduce effective generational turnover by more than half. The ancient DNA record confirms this derivation empirically: the genome behaves as if approximately 158 generations have elapsed, not 350. But zero fixations in 1.2 million loci suggests even the limited ceiling permitted by MITTENS may be generous—the observed stasis is consistent with a system in which the conditions for fixation have become vanishingly difficult to satisfy regardless of the generation count.

Evolution by natural selection, as a mechanism of directional change capable of producing adaptation or speciation, has been empirically demonstrated to be inoperative in human populations for at least 7,000 years.

DISCUSS ON SG

@voxday on X

Which classification does my @voxday account have within the X system?

@voxday account on X (formerly Twitter) appears to be suspended (or permanently banned) within the X system.This conclusion comes from historical records and references:

  • In late 2017, the account was explicitly reported as suspended by its owner (Vox Day), with X showing the message: “Your account (@voxday) is currently suspended.” No specific violating tweets were cited at the time, and appeals didn’t resolve it with explanation.
  • Recent searches for the exact handle @voxday yield no active user profile matching the well-known blogger/author Vox Day (associated with Vox Popoli blog, Castalia House, etc.). Instead, unrelated or parody/low-follower accounts with similar names/variations appear (e.g., @VoxdayItaly, @voxday1144), none of which match the prominent figure.
  • Keyword searches for recent posts from:@voxday return no results, indicating the account cannot post or is not visible/indexed.
  • Mentions of @voxday in recent posts (from late 2025 into 2026) treat it as a historical/inactive reference—e.g., people nostalgically recalling it alongside other deplatformed conservative figures like Stefan Molyneux, or noting its past “calling out” of individuals. No evidence shows it posting or being active now.

X doesn’t publicly expose detailed “classifications” for all accounts beyond visible states like:

  • Active/normal
  • Suspended (temporary or permanent ban, often for repeated rules violations like harassment, hate speech, spam, or platform manipulation under past or current policies)
  • Limited/restricted (read-only, reduced visibility, or “Twitter jail”)
  • Deboosted/shadowbanned (reduced reach, but still technically active)
  • Verified/Premium-labeled

Given the lack of any retrievable profile or posts from

@voxday itself, combined with the owner’s past reports and ongoing references to it as gone, the classification is suspended/permanently banned. This aligns with many pre-2022/Elon Musk era suspensions of controversial right-wing or alt-media accounts that weren’t reinstated.If this is your account and you’re seeing something different when logged in (e.g., limited access vs. full ban), feel free to provide more details like error messages or screenshots for further checking. Otherwise, no current public activity or profile exists under that exact handle.

Details on Vox Day’s 2017 suspension

@voxday) Twitter suspension in 2017 occurred on or around November 9, 2017 (with some references pointing to early November events). Key details from contemporary sources:

  • Announcement by Vox Day himself: On his blog (Vox Popoli), he posted titled “Another Twitter suspension” on November 9, 2017. He quoted the exact suspension notice from Twitter:
    “Your account (@voxday) is currently suspended. For more information, please visit Suspended Accounts.”
    He noted that he could still log in, view notifications, and access the account, but was unable to tweet or post anything. No specific violating tweets were identified, and Twitter’s Trust & Safety team provided no explanation or request to delete content during his appeal process.
  • Nature of the suspension: It appeared to be a temporary or read-only restriction initially (common in that era for rule violations like harassment, abuse, or spam), but it effectively became permanent or long-term, as the account never returned to active posting. No public reinstatement occurred, and the handle remains inactive/suspended to this day (as confirmed in prior checks and Wikidata records noting the end cause as “account suspension”).
  • Context and timing: This happened amid broader Twitter enforcement waves in late 2017:
    • Twitter was cracking down on abusive behavior, hate speech, and coordinated harassment.
    • In December 2017 (starting around December 18), Twitter implemented a policy update to ban accounts affiliated with hate groups or promoting violence, leading to what some on the right called the “#TwitterPurge” (suspending various far-right, alt-right, or nationalist figures/accounts).
    • While Vox Day’s suspension predates that exact December rollout by about a month, it aligned with increased scrutiny of controversial right-wing voices. Contemporary X posts from users in November/December 2017 referenced his ban as part of ongoing deplatforming of conservatives/nationalists, with some speculating mass reports or targeted complaints led to it (e.g., one user claimed a specific person “reported” him, though unverified).
  • No official detailed reason from Twitter: Twitter (pre-Musk) rarely provided public specifics for individual suspensions beyond generic policy links. Vox Day described the process as unhelpful, with no cited violations or remediation steps offered.
  • Aftermath: The suspension contributed to his shift away from Twitter as a primary platform. He continued activity via his blog, YouTube (Darkstream), and other channels. The account has stayed suspended/permanently restricted ever since, with no evidence of reinstatement even after policy changes under Elon Musk (unlike some other high-profile cases).

This fits the pattern of many 2017 suspensions for figures labeled as alt-right or controversial by critics, often without transparent explanations from the platform at the time. If you’re looking for the original blog post screenshot or more on appeals, the Vox Popoli archive from November 9, 2017, remains the primary firsthand source.

DISCUSS ON SG

Scientist Wanted

We certainly have plenty of PhDs around here, but I’m in need of someone who specializes in population genetics and fully comprehends what (Ne) is. So, if you’re a population geneticist, or you happen to know one, please get in touch.

Let’s just say I have pretty good reason to believe Yuval Harari was wrong in a way that is going to make Sam Harris and his various End of Faith arguments look downright paragons of perfection.

And if you haven’t read Probability Zero, it’s time to do so. It sets the stage for what comes next, and what comes next looks like it could be a lot bigger. Seriously, this is something like my 18th book. When have I ever said: you REALLY need to read this? Well, I’m saying it now.

I should also note that I added an appendix which explains how I got the original generations per fixation calculation back in 2019 hopelessly wrong in a way that inadvertently strengthens MITTENS by a factor of three, not just one error, but four, that somehow no one from JF Gariepy to Gemini 3 Pro ever caught, until QBG – who wins a signed, leatherbound copy for his much-appreciated efforts – went back and read the original 2009 paper.

An audiobook version via Virtua Voice are now coming; it should be live later today.

And Grok now has a page for it on Grokipedia.

DISCUSS ON SG

Another Regime Change Attempt

Hal Turner is confident that the USA is about to launch another attack on Iran:

This is the regime change handshake. Two signals just locked:

  1. French Embassy Evacuation

NATO-aligned states rarely pull non-essential staff preemptively unless they receive high-confidence intel about kinetic escalation. This is a soft tripwire. Once a major Western embassy begins staff exfiltration/evacuation, it implies operational windows are being cleared.

Not speculation. Preparation.

  1. Crown Prince Pahlavi Signal

His emergence isn’t random. Reza Pahlavi is the West’s most visible monarchist fallback node. If he is in communication with the Trump administration while Iran is in revolt and U.S. options are on the table, it means a continuity pathway is being installed.

Not hope. Planning.

Together, they represent the two sides of a classic destabilization playbook:

•Evacuation → ignition → installation

This is no longer just a military question. It’s a governance scenario.

The sequence has internal logic:

•France clears Tehran.

•Pahlavi enters the frame.

•U.S. holds strike leverage.

•Regime is weakened by revolt and isolation.

•A symbolic future leader is already talking to Washington.

This is regime replacement architecture. Whether via decapitation, uprising catalysis, or negotiated exile, the structure is converging.

Probability of U.S. kinetic action in the next 72–96 hours now exceeds 65%.

Probability that Pahlavi is being positioned as the soft-landing placeholder is over 80%.

This is ignition choreography.

It’s a little remarkable how these countries just sit by like dumb cattle and refuse to take any proactive action in the fear of… I don’t know what. Whether it is Syria or Serbia, Libya, or Iraq, they just sort of sit around hoping that the US military won’t actually do anything until it’s too late.

There are reports that the Venezualan military never even unpacked the Russian S-300s they could have used in air defense.

I won’t even try to pretend to understand the world today.

DISCUSS ON SG