RIP Pat Summerall

One of the greats of NFL broadcasting has died at 82. Fortunately for those of us who enjoyed his voice, he lives on in Maddens, still calling games in that calm, unforgettable baritone.  I remember playing Madden 2001 after he’d retired, and shaking my head, being reminded how even in a video game, Pat Summerall was a better play-by-play man than anyone in the succeeding generation of commentators.


Explaining the gold crash

I think it is important to always take the various conspiracy theories of the gold bugs with a grain of salt.  That being said, the massive 7-sigma crash in gold prices was obviously not the result of normal supply and demand, and given the lengths that the central banks have gone to prop up the banks over the last five years, the idea that they might crash one little market  to protect the massive short interest of a few key banks barely even registers as a conspiracy theory proper.

There’s been a recent huge draw down of physical gold
at the New York COMEX and at the JP Morgan Chase depository. Look at
the physical market draw down on the charts below. It has taken a
drastic plunge…. If the inventory runs out and one cannot meet deliveries then it has to be bought on the open market. Not only that but it could cause a run up in prices that would hurt the shorts in the market.

So what to do?

The only way out of this dilemma for the market controllers would be to devise a plan that would collapse the market and trip up all the stops at the correction lows in gold of 1525 thereby setting off the stop loss orders under this important market low.  And what if the plan included a way to stop the physical market from purchasing gold under 1525 while that correction was underway? That would be brilliant.

And how can that happen?

They have to hatch a plan and carefully orchestrate it in a series of events that takes the gold market by completely by surprise and force players out of their long positions.

Read on for today’s lesson in market manipulation and allow me to relay my speculation about what transpired last week.

A successful ambush usually involves surprise. And the surprise requires a carefully orchestrated setup. So now let’s get a look at how the crash was prepared.

The FOMC minutes from the last meeting were due for release during last week. But a funny thing happened. They got released EARLIER than expected. It was all a big mistake and the FED let the SEC and the CFTC know right away that the error had occurred. And lo and behold, despite the FED’s transparency and newly crafted reputation for delivering timely and accurate reports, there happened to be some language we didn’t get updated on until the FOMC minutes were released. The notes say that several members have been discussing cutting back on the stimulus. That was strike one. It got the gold market thinking that stimulus cuts might be coming.

Strike one called by the umpire.

Surprise number two appears.

A bombshell was released from news sources. It was reported that Cyprus would have to sell 400 million Euro’s of gold as part of the bailout package of raising money for their failed banking system. Gold prices came down to 1550 on the news and the day passed by. Even though Cyprus bankers tell us the next day that they didn’t discuss selling any gold, market jitters remained with Friday just around the corner.

This was strike two.

Now we need a strike three and you’re out.

Gold is a nervous market to begin with as a lot of people have already lost a lot of money in the last six months. With Gold at 1550, all that is needed for the market to drop is to get one more push where all the stops are.  This price level was just below the 2 year low of 1525.

With the setup in place the final pitch was ready to be delivered.

The interesting thing is that the bankers knew it was going to happen.  They were all informed.  How can I say that?  Because I was told as much by one of them two weeks ago. But neither he nor I realized the full extent of it.  I just assumed he was talking about a technical drop down to support around $1500, not a crash of this magnitude.

Either way, it represents an obvious buying opportunity for those more interested in long-term stores of value rather than short-term investments, assuming that the link between paper prices and physical prices haven’t been severed.  So, be sure to say, “thank you, Ben,” when you take advantage of the Bernanke discount to place your next order.


Free book: HAILSTONE MOUNTAIN by Lars Walker

Lars Walker, the author of a piece about Christian Fantasy published on Intercollegiate Review last month that he assures me absolutely did not include a direct shot at A Throne of Bones, (“wannabee (christened) George R. R. Martins”), is giving away free copies of HAILSTONE MOUNTAIN today.

In the latest entry in the saga of Erling Skjalgsson, the 11th Century
Norwegian chieftain is struck by a deadly curse, and must journey north
along with his friends in order to crush it at its source. Meanwhile
Freydis, niece of the smith Lemming, is kidnapped by the servants of a
mysterious, ancient cannibalistic race who dwell in secret in the
mountains of the north. Once again the Irish priest Father Ailill
narrates a tale of struggle, faith, endurance, and supernatural peril.
Fans of H. Rider Haggard will delight in this “lost world” adventure.

He’s a Minnesotan named Lars, so you know he knows his Vikings. He’s also one of my growing list of Standout Authors. Check it out, and if you like it, don’t forget to review it.


Mailvox: ideas for a new comment system

After fixing the template here – you can now link properly to individual comments by using the link on the comment’s datestamp – Matt contemplates going where so many have gone before, and failed:

The CoCo circus and slow disaster, combined with your rejection of the alternatives, followed by all the infelicities of Blogger’s commenting system has long tempted me to try to create a better way.  I’m now professionally situated in a place where trying to design [if not necessarily implement] a better commenting system is on topic.  I understand most of the challenges in designing and maintaining such a system on the back end, but I do not have a good grasp on the needs and failure modes for the front end.

For me, the single most important thing is to avoid any registration requirement on the part of the commenters.  This is where most of the comment systems fall down. They place all their emphasis on allowing logins through Facebook, Twitter, and 10 other systems, clutter up their interfaces with micrologos, and make no effort to let people comment as they obviously prefer to comment. Back when I had the system distinguish between logged-in commenter and not logged-in commenter via color, it was obvious that between 10 and 15 percent of the commenters were logged into something.  So, most comment systems are designed to cater to the vast minority of commenters.  This is a fundamental design mistake, as it is there to serve the needs of the comment system, not those who are intended to use it.

Anyhow, here is my list of the features of an optimal comment system:

  1. No registration necessary.  Custom registration only, no use of all the other systems.
  2. Option to block or auto-spam blank, Anonymous, and blacklisted names. Note that hese are two different things, as in some circumstances it may be better to accept and auto-spam than simply block.
  3. Ability to search comments by name, URL, or IP address.
  4. Good spam-trapping.  Blogger is actually pretty good in this regard, although vastly better on VP than on AG for some reason.
  5. Checkboxes, mass select and mass delete options for managing comments.  What Blogger really misses is the ability to view by Name, which would make managing them much easier.
  6. Editable comments. They should always be editable by the blog host, with editing capabilities made available to registered commenters at the blog host’s option.
  7. Good, easy quoting system.
  8. Recognize HTML tags and buttons to provide the basics: B, I, U, strike, Link, and blockquote.  No need for spellchecks and so forth; no one ever uses them.
  9. Session recognition of commenter’s Name/URL.  Even if you don’t want to register, it is tedious to repeatedly type those in.

There are other things, to be sure, but that would be a desirable base.  I actually like the Blogger comment system as a base, but it’s lacking in a few important particulars, such as the inability to separate the permission of unregistered comments from permitting Anonymous comments.  If anyone else has any ideas, feel free to share them here.

And while we’re discussing your thoughts on the matter, I’m curious to know what sort of subjects people are finding to be of the most interest today.  I’ve been writing more about the business of fiction than I normally do, mostly because the world of publishing is changing so rapidly and I’ve been cranking out a considerable quantity of it lately, but there has also been an awful lot of excitement on the economic and current events front as well, so I don’t have a good feel for what is of particular interest these days.  And then there is the Great Rabbit Hunt and the occasional soccer game. On the other hand, I’ve been writing less about some popular subjects to which I tended to pay inordinate attention in the past, such as history, evolution, and games.

I’m not promising that I’ll pay any attention to what anyone thinks, of course, but I am curious nevertheless.  If you’re so inclined, just list your favorite three subjects for blog discussion, in your personal order of preference.


Bombs at the Boston Marathon

“Eyewitness: “Blood everywhere” after powerful explosions near Boston Marathon finish line.”

So, another false flag, more hatred for our freedoms, or just someone who really hates joggers?  It seems an odd choice of targets. Regardless, the answer is obviously MORE GUN CONTROL.  Because children.

Also, the last time a major American city was attacked, the US government invaded Afghanistan and Iraq.  North Korea and Madagascar had better watch out.

UPDATE: 12 dead, 50 injured is the latest, per the New York Post

UPDATE 2: 3 people dead.  More than that injured.


Of Peter, Paul, and Peng

Fortunately, as all we good Keynesians know, there is no problem with large quantities of government debt because when interest on the debt is paid out of taxation, there is no direct loss of disposable income.  It’s literally textbook economics!

“The interest on an internal debt is paid by Americans to Americans;
there is no direct loss of goods and services. When interest on the debt
is paid out of taxation, there is no direct loss of disposable income;
Paul receives what Peter loses, and sometimes – but only sometimes –
Paul and Peter are one and the same person…. In the future, some of
our grandchildren will be giving up goods and services to other
grandchildren. That is the nub of the matter. The only way we can impose
a direct burden on the future nation as a whole is by incurring an
external debt or by passing along less capital equipment to posterity.”

– Paul Samuelson, Economics, 1948

So, the USA is in good shape despite Debt/GDP passing 100 percent earlier this year. Or is it?

Foreign demand for
U.S. Treasury securities rose to a record level in February, indicating
that international investors remain confident in U.S. debt despite
budget wrangling in Washington. The Treasury
Department said Monday that foreign holdings of U.S. Treasury securities
increased 0.3 percent in February from January to a record $5.66
trillion. It was the 14th straight monthly increase.

Stolen gold in Cyprus

They took the credit money.  Now the EU is going after the real money as well:

First they purloin the savings and bank deposits in Laiki and the Bank of Cyprus, including the working funds of the University of Cyprus, and thousands of small firms hanging on by their fingertips.

Then they seize three quarters of the country’s gold reserves, making it ever harder for Cyprus to extricate itself from EMU at a later date.

The people of Cyprus first learned about this from a Reuters leak of the working documents for the Eurogroup meeting on Friday.

It is tucked away in clause 29. “Sale of excess gold reserves: The Cypriot authorities have committed to sell the excess amount of gold reserves owned by the Republic. This is estimated to generate one-off revenues to the state of €400m via an extraordinary payout of central bank profits.”

This seemed to catch the central bank by surprise. Officials said they knew nothing about it. So who in fact made this decision?

Pay no mind to the crashing gold prices, down more than $200 in less than a week. Look at what the elite financial institutions are doing, which is to say, getting their hands on as much of the so-called “barbarous relic” as they can manage.  At this point, Portugal, Italy, and any other EU member state has to be thinking about exiting the Euro before the Eurofascists can attempt to seize their gold.

UPDATE: At Goldman Sachs, a vice-president calls his clients: “Panic! Sell! Sell! Run to the safety of cash! Sell now! Sell it all!”  (hangs up, calls gold desk)  “Yeah, pick up another 10,000 ounces.”


McRapey and McRacist react to criticism

James May criticizes two left-wing starlets of science fiction and fantasy:

Pretending the 21st century is actually the 19th just doesn’t cut it,
no matter how much you argue everyone born before you had the same
interest in politicizing and racializing the most innocuous things, or
even white people today, who show not the least interest by way of law,
institution or mainstream culture in the very things they are accused
of. If you wish to group together people as whites, a thing I detest,
then it is whites who have created the very laws that protect minorities
in America today. In the absence of law, institutions and mainstreams
cultural expressions of racial disdain, one must then of course come up
with theories which assert the unseen, the underground and the
unwitting, showing the “truth” of a thing by its shadow, showing a
dearth of cultural morality while at the same time denying such a thing
is possible by non-white cultures. And let’s be very clear here: there
is no scholarship which can support whites even think of themselves as a
culture racially in the 21st century while the exact opposite in regard
to Jemisin and advocates like her provides mountains of black
symposiums, black organizations and black culture artifacts. There’s
even a black scuba divers association if you can believe in that bit of
idiocy. And don’t hold your breath waiting for either Scalzi or Jemisin
to wring their hands over black basketball players in the NBA
overrepresented by 5 times their demography in America. “Meritocracy”
is a slippery word in the hands of racial bigots. Am I to assume that
lack of diversity in the NBA is a tacit plot by black players to keep
out the white ones, or an example of black privilege?

You can’t have this argument two ways – either skin brings nothing to
the table or it does. If pedagogic racialists believe diversity in and
of itself brings something to the table then it is taking up the
opposite argument of what it claims, because those people are still an
“other,” just a better one, with innate qualities other races apparently
don’t have. But that argument can be turned around in a flash and in
the end, it’s just as stupid to ask a man to stand on a pedestal because
of his skin as it is to ask him to stand in a ditch. In this light, the
obsession the SFWA has with shallow diversity on the one hand while
arguing race and gender mean nothing on the other seems sad and rather
dark. Content of character, remember that? Gives a stupid and whole new
meaning to the term “uplift wars.”

The idea that Scalzi has what it takes to get inside the head of 100
million men based on their skin is an absurd idea and a racist one at
that. It’s no surprise to me that it basically amounts, in principle, to
the exact opposite of what he says he champions, because, at its heart,
political racialism is Orwellian doublethink. Scalzi should be sure to write a follow up where he tells us what 3
million Jewish and 20 million black men think. He mustn’t forget to
explain how he effortlessly rises above the fray while indulging in the
most despicable racial stereotypes, a neat trick. So generic whites are a
safe political target. Try the same thought process on Jews. I’m dying
to read that one. What about gays? How are they all doing? Does he
approve?

And this is how the two starlets react to it, on Twitter, naturally.

McRacist: ‏@scalzi What the — ? HAHAHAHA I’m not a Tor author, you putz.
 

McRapey: @nkjemisin It’s a special piece of writing, isn’t it?

McRacist:
@scalzi Why do champions of anti-racism (anti-anti-racism?) sound so
alike as they endlessly blather on? So much energy, so little *sense.*

McRapey:
@nkjemisin Poor logical skill and underdeveloped rhetorical control are
strongly correlated, i.e., I can’t argue but I CAN go on and on.

Quite
the pair of intellectuals, aren’t they.  And such a devastatingly
convincing response. McRacist is not a Tor author, ergo she must not be a racist black woman and McRapey isn’t a racist, incoherent gamma male who hates his socio-sexual superiors.  HAHAHAHA
EVIL WHITE MALE POWER AND CENTRALITY!  Also, DRAGONS!

Of
course, McRapey is correct.  He can’t argue. That’s why he always talks
about his critics instead of directly addressing their criticisms of him.
That’s also why he flees from debate, both in third-party venues and on his own blog, which is a pity since he is one of the
finest examples of the correlation of poor logical skill and
underdeveloped rhetorical control you’ll find anywhere on the Internet.

Me show all dem me no gamma! Me show dem me no rabbit! Now me haz gammarabbit.com. Agree and amplify DAT, bitchez! No hurtz now… why still hurtz, WHY?

As
for McRacist, someone needs to explain to her that the fact that
something doesn’t make sense to her doesn’t necessarily mean it doesn’t
make sense at all.

* * *

It may simply mean that she’s not intelligent enough to understand it.


Blue-on-blue crime

It turns out the Texas DA murders were neither white supremacists nor Hispanic gang members, but a Dorner-style blue-on-blue rampage:

A former justice of the peace is reportedly set to be charged with three murders, including a former Texas district attorney and assistant DA, after he was arrested on Saturday. Eric Williams, 46, has been arrested by authorities investigating the murders of District Attorney Mike McLelland and his wife, Cynthia, last month – and the fatal shooting of ADA Mark Hasse in late January.

Keep in mind, these are the very government agents that the progressive, gun-grabbing Left want to entrust with a legal monopoly on gun violence.


The ideology war in science fiction

Sarah Hoyt tries to convince science fiction’s left wing mainstream to come to grips with the new publishing reality before the ability of the right wing to bypass the gatekeepers does to them what Fox News has done to the ABCNNBCBS media cabal.

At its inception science fiction gave free rein to all thoughts of weird thoughts.  To this day science fiction allows a great leeway to personal behavior.  If there is a place on Earth you can show up wearing a live duck and have people ask you about the technical details of the costume, it’s science fiction.  To that extent, fans and other authors are “my people” and it’s a place I can decompress.  Like gays in the bad closet days finding a place they could be themselves, science fiction conventions allow me to be my own weird self without people shying away from me.  As a friend of mine puts it “we are the plaid sheep of our families.”  And the best place to hide is the flock.

The problem is that any community – ANY community – but particularly an excluded community (see what I did there?) will tend to try to form cohesion along the lines of common thought and common belief.  You might think that Odds would not try to enforce a rigid conformity, but you would be wrong.

It happened gradually.  Part of it is that most of us are used to be looked at askance and treated like abnormal.  A stunning number of us were bullied as children.  This means we tend to have an over developed empathy with any group identified as “victims.”  That, plus the fact that the publishing gatekeepers are the result of the long march and are – no, this is not under dispute – varying shades of red going from slightly to the right of Lenin to slightly to the left of Stalin. (Why is this not under dispute?  Because of the number of authors who identify themselves as communist.  Because there is in Science Fiction a young communist authors group.  People OPENLY identify as communist, and there’s no repercussion in their careers.  People don’t openly identify as conservative UNLESS they came in at a different time and their careers are secure.  If you think that’s because only leftists are creative or that this means the community is becoming more enlightened, you are part of the problem.  Go to the corner and meditate how identifying with a regime responsible for the death of a hundred million is “enlightened.  Or how any community EVER has achieved uniformity of opinion, unless it is EXTERNAL and enforced by authorities.  Good Lord, even today we have flat Earthers.  BUT you think that everyone who writes science fiction just is magically “left”?  I hope you are a fantasy author.)

I swear the eighties was a long slog of abused women in science fiction and fantasy books.  They were always abused by their fathers, too, who were tyrannical evil sobs.  The idea that mothers can be horrible parents too, never seemed to occur to these female writers. There was always a sisterhood of women.  As someone who has known any number of ‘orrible mothers, and who went to an all girls’ school the whole “sisterhood of those who possess vaginas” made me want to shred kittens.  (Shuddup.  I didn’t do it.  I’m just saying how mad it made me.  You know how I feel about cats.)  Even when the books were somewhat acceptable otherwise, it annoyed me to the point a lot of them went unread.

Then came the every woman a hero every man a wimp movement.  (Yes, Athena is more than normal.  Yes, she is strong. She is also hotheaded and foolish and, btw, Kit is far more than a match for her.)  And then…

Well, every fad of the left falls into science fiction and fantasy books, even the patently, absurdly ridiculous.  Like, oh, for instance, the idea that all male sexuality is dangerous, the idea that a society of women would be peaceful forever, the idea–  Too much to go on.  Suffice it to say the most awarded short story in our history – receiving every award in the field – posits that life in an American Suburb is more exclusionary and worse than life during China’s cultural revolution.

HOWEVER commentary by someone otherwise respected in the field, in a CHURCH magazine to the extent that homosexuals might have conflicts with being good LDS members occasions cries of “kill the witch.”

Oh, my people!  Not only are you trying to enforce conformity, but you’re trying to enforce a conformity so out of touch with the rest of society that what you think is right and worthy to publish strikes most people as “OMG, kill.”  Which probably explains the spiraling down print runs.  Those of us already fans and writers yawn, the rest of the world backs away screaming….

News for my colleagues on the left: For years we’ve put up with
whatever you dished out.  We had to.  We didn’t scream, we didn’t
complain.  We are even tolerant enough to like your books and admire
your artistry, EVEN when we think what you’re proposing is wrong and
perhaps evil (a world of all women.  Communitarian worldwide
societies.)  We understand the difference between ideas and those who
have them.

It’s harder for you.  Politics is your religion.

Up till now given a limited output, already pre-vetted, it was easy for
you to freeze out anyone who outraged you.  But indie has opened the
sluice gates.  You might (for all I know.  Again, when a community is
excluded, it goes underground) be a majority in sf writers now for all I
know.  I GUARANTEE you’re a tiny minority in the population.  Now that
the gates have opened and anyone can write SF and sell well and be
admired, it probably won’t be long before you’re a minority in sf/f
writing.

However, I URGE you to come to terms as soon as possible.

I have to say that I don’t think Sarah’s warning is going to make any difference at all.  As a result of my campaign for SFWA president, I have spent the last two months in the bowels of the SFWA forums. What I have seen is that the writers who make up the SF/F community are, to an almost unbelievable extent, delusional.  They genuinely believe they are faster when they have been winning races because a vast quantity of other runners have been barred from even lining up in the blocks to run against them.  They genuinely believe that they are special beings with a superior morality, and at the same time, assert that their ideological views are shared by all the decent members of civil society. And they are very nasty pieces of work, bitter from their long experience of social exclusion and their lowly positions on the socio-sexual totem pole.  They are full of hatred themselves, which is why they see hate in even the most genuine and harmless differences of opinion. 

Most of all, they have no ability to conceive of the mere possibility of separating the personal from the political. They attempt to destroy those who disagree with them or cause them to suffer embarrassment; recall that McRapey’s charity campaign wasn’t an attempt to stop me from trolling his blog or to advance any racist, sexist, or homophobic causes, it was to try to stop me from simply mentioning him because I dared to directly quote him and taunt him for his eminently tauntable words. I did nothing more than do to him what he prides himself on doing to others; you all know what resulted from that.

Nearly two decades ago, a member of the SFWA told me that the battles within science fiction were so bitter because the stakes were so small. But I think he was wrong. It’s more than that. The battles are so bitter because SF/F is largely comprised of gamma males and unattractive women who are very bitter people.  They are openly bitter about their lots in life. They are deeply angry with the world as they have experienced it. The books they write, for the most part, are their wish fulfillment fantasies, places where they finally have the chance to say what they didn’t have the wit to say when it mattered and be the people they couldn’t manage to become in real life. This is why, despite being technically more proficient in some ways, their work is so observably inferior to the science fiction and fantasy of earlier ages that concerned itself with ideas of more grandeur and societal import than the retro-adolescent daydreams of socio-sexually unsuccessful former junior high school students.

I commend Sarah for her graciousness in attempting to warn those who have repeatedly done their best to professionally shun her and undermine her career. But I can tell her that it will not work; I attempted to do something similar in my current campaign for SFWA President. But my warnings about the coming collapse of the traditional professional publishing business of SF/F – which you will note preceded the failure of Night Shade Books – was met with little more than the usual sneers and rabbits shrieking “not-rabbit, not-rabbit”!

So leave them to their fate.  Let the rabbits panic as books prices continue to decline, their royalties continue to fall and their publishers stop paying advances before finally going the way of Borders and Night Shade Books. Let them learn if they are able to compete on a playing field that is not heavily tilted in their favor by like-minded ideologues. Let the obese, unhealthy moral degenerates struggle to pay for the increased costs of their health care under the Obamacare regime for which they clamored.

It’s not our fault. It’s not our concern. And it’s not our problem. The gatekeepers are failing, the gates are swinging open, and the right-wing horde is rapidly approaching the citadel. It won’t be long before the sneering writers of SF/F cease their endless snarking and start crying out for mercy.

At that point, it will fall to us, we established writers of the right who have somehow managed to surmount every obstacle and survive every stone and missile hurled our way throughout what passes for our literary careers, to remind them that it was their decision to declare “no quarter”. We didn’t make the rules, we are merely playing by the ones they established.  I won’t take any pleasure in their suffering, but neither will I shed any tears.

I’ve put a list of standout authors on the right sidebar.  Authors like Sarah and Orson Scott Card, genre writers who have been willing, in some manner of speaking, to stand up against the fascists of science fiction and tell them, no, you don’t own science fiction, you don’t own fantasy, you are interlopers and intellectual parasites, and you have polluted the very literature you claimed to love.  I encourage those fans of the genre who are of the right themselves to support those writers who don’t insult you, who don’t despise you, who don’t hate you for your religious faith or your political beliefs.

Give their books a shot. You won’t like all of them.  I don’t myself.  I will still read China Mieville although he is a Communist lunatic and adore Umberto Eco’s work despite the incoherence of his left-leaning humanism.  But to the extent that I can utilize whatever influence has been granted to me by those who choose to read this blog and support my writing, I will use it to assist those who stand up for Western civilization and human liberty, rather than those who, intentionally or unintentionally, are seeking to destroy it.

Make no mistake.  The John Scalzis of the science fiction world desperately want to see Western civilization destroyed. They despise it and the conceptual aspects of their work largely consists of their dreams of its demise. But what they fail to realize is that the end of all the things they hate, the end of racism, sexism, morality, religion, and inequality, requires nothing less than the end of humanity itself, and that the end of Western civilization will not be the sexy secular scientopia of their dreams, but a two thousand-year relapse into depravity and pagan darkness.