RCP: 272 to 266

The latest – perhaps even final – RCP No Toss Up States map has Hillary Clinton hanging on by her blood-stained fingernails, 272-266. Long vanished are all the claims of an easy Clinton win, which, as I have repeatedly stated, were complete fiction from the start. Trump only needs to take ONE toss up state they’ve given her from the following list of six to win:

  • NH
  • PA
  • MI
  • CO
  • NM
  • VA

Of these, I think New Hampshire and Pennsylvania are the most likely. I think he’ll take both, and Michigan and Colorado as well. Meanwhile, several Minnesotans have told me, in all seriousness, that they expect Trump to take Minnesota. I find that almost impossible to believe, considering that Minnesota has historically been the most reliably Democratic state in the country, but people are extremely unhappy about losing Dinkytown to the Somalis and the Mall of America to the blacks, and about the St. Cloud mall stabbings. In any case, I’m just relaying what I’ve been told.

Of potential relevance:

Four Presidential polls of likely voters were released today for Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Georgia, showing Donald Trump with a lead in each state. The Trafalgar Group (TFG), a national political consulting and public relations firm, conducted the polls from November 3rd through November 6th. “We expect Trump to have an overwhelming victory in Georgia, an outside the margin of error win in Florida, as well as close wins in Pennsylvania and Michigan.”

SJWs Always lie in audiobook

It took a few false starts, but the third time proved to be the charm and we finally managed to get it done. I’m happy to be able to announce that SJWs Always Lie: Taking Down the Thought Police is now available in audiobook format.

The audiobook is narrated by Bob Allen, who did his customary bang-up job, and is 6 hours and 49 minutes long. You can listen to a sample there. If you’ve only read the Kindle version, you might be interested in picking up the paperback version, which is available too.

SJWAL has been Castalia’s bestseller for most of the last year, but that appears likely to change, as MAGA Mindset, by Mike Cernovich, is doing very well. Mike recently reported that the paperback contained an error, but just to be clear, that was only in the CreateSpace version that was out briefly before we managed to get our version into distribution. The kindle version, the paperbacks from us, and the new hardcover which is still in the process of being listed by Amazon, all contain the fixed version of the text.

Regardless, Mike is tearing it up again. He’d probably have #1, #2, and #3 in the category if the audiobook was available from Audible yet. Note that the Kindle price shown below is misleading; it is actually $7.99.

“Cards”

Another strange potential McCann-Podesta connection. Who is the little girl in the picture and why does she so closely resemble the computer simulation of what Madeleine McCann would look like as a preteen? And is the FBI investigating this or is it also part of Comey’s apparent whitewash?

The Comet connection

A considerable amount of evidence concerning the Pedophile Pizza Cult has been gleaned from social media and archived at The Donald and elsewhere despite the sudden efforts of the cult members to scrub their online accounts.

The individual I have mentioned is one James Achilles Alefantis. Mr. Alefantis is the owner of the Washington DC pizza parlor Comet Ping Pong. There are disturbing indications that Mr. Alefantis is running some form of pedophile ring that involves quite a few public figures in Washington D.C. It would appear that he is the “Achilles heel” for all these people of stature.

Since the investigation began, Mr. Alefantis has deleted many of his posts and set his social media to private. We have archived the entirety of his online presence however. Links posted here are both archives and screenshots I took while helping to investigate.

First I will discuss Alefantis’ links to powerful people, then outline the preponderance of evidence that he is a pedophile and uses Comet Ping Pong as a front for his sex trafficking ring.

Mr. Alefantis, you will recall, was named the 49th most powerful individual in Washington… because he owns a pizza place. These are the people with whom one of the candidates for President has chosen to surround herself. Let us hope the American people reject her, soundly.

Reject the demons and those who serve them. This is pure and unvarnished evil. The only solace is that they still feel the need to conceal themselves.

How long will the enemy mock you, O God?
Will the foe revile your name forever?
Why do you hold back your hand, your right hand?
Take it from the folds of your garment and destroy them!
– Psalm 74: 10-11

Heat Street: Vox vs Louise on the election

And to think some of you wonder why I like doing these little debates with Louise. The headline alone is well worth it. Vox Day: God-Emperor President Donald Trump Is On the Way – AltRight Election Debate

Louise: Right. This is going to be quicker, slightly quicker than normal, but it’s Louise Mensch, Vox Day recording this debate, which Vox suggested that we do after the election, but I think that after the election is the coward’s way out and beneath us both. Because, after the election you can redo your prediction to say in light of everything how right you were. Why didn’t astrologists ever predict anything before it actually happens? First of all, let’s put our reputations on the line by giving our predictions for the overall winner, and by approximately how much. You go first, Vox.

Vox: I am actively and eagerly looking forward to the ascension of the God Emperor, Trump. I think that he is not only going to win, I think he is going to win by a larger percentage than people expect. I think that he’s probably going to win by a margin by a of at least three percentage points nationally, possibly more. In terms of the electoral college, I have absolutely no idea.

Louise: Oh,  that sounds like a chicken-out to me. I got to say, I got to say. Winning the election is when you become the president afterwards.

Vox: No, he will win the electoral college vote, I just don’t know how much. I don’t know what states he’s going to win, because given the unreliability of the polls, given the fact that one poll in North Carolina had Hillary Clinton up by thirteen points, and another one had Trump up by four, it’s impossible to make any sort of reasonable calculation of this, the best efforts of Nate Silver and other poll watchers, notwithstanding.

Admit it, the headline made you laugh. It made me laugh, anyhow. I should clarify one point, however. I don’t believe there would be a civil war as a reaction to Hillary Clinton’s election, or during whatever fragment of a term she would be healthy enough to serve. I believe that her election would, as a result of open immigration and eventual amnesty, lay the foundation for the political dissolution of the USA, and eventually, a Yugoslav-style civil war for territory among rival ethnic groups in the 2030s.

Don’t follow, don’t link

Now Twitter is locking the accounts of people who follow me:

Detritus Effluvium ‏@Default_UserID
Twitter locking accounts for following the wrong people: @Cernovich @PrisonPlanet @StefanMolyneux @mitchellvii @voxday @realDonaldTrump

I can’t say I’m bothered or concerned. For one thing, Gab is my primary social media account now. For another, here’s what happened when Twitter started blocking links to my blog earlier this fall. This is VP traffic only and doesn’t count AG.

And you thought it couldn’t get weirder

Or more appallingly creepy. Now alerted to the link between the Clinton inner circle and child abuse, channers have identified an apparent link between the Podesta brothers, Jeffrey Epstein’s procuress, and the most famous case of a missing child in recent English history.

I shouldn’t think it would be too hard to confirm if the Podestas were in Portugal on May 3rd, 2007 or not. The likenesses between the “persons of interest” sketch and the four individuals mentioned is quite remarkable. The one I think is least likely is Weiner; the individual was described as having pock-marked skin, and that doesn’t seem to fit the former Congressman.

UPDATE: Not exactly related, but TMZ has just reported that Hillary Clinton has canceled plans for a fireworks display in NYC tomorrow night.

Thinking long term

The Men of the West have a structural plan that will thwart the Left’s strategy of using demographics to dominate US politics in the future:

We are told that demographic realities facing America mean the Right will soon find it impossible to compete with the left on the national stage.  We are told it is decided.   We are told it is inevitable.

Today I want to explain how, with just a few easy changes, we can ensure that the Left loses every presidential election for the next 50 years.

How could that be possible?  Its easier than you think.  For the answer… look to Maine.

What if Florida appointed its electoral votes by district the way Maine does rather than winner take all?   What if Illinois and California did?   The panhandle of Florida is as red as Alabama.  Rather than having its voice silenced in a winner take all election, their voices would be heard.  The same goes for the many red counties and districts of California.   Why should their voices be silenced by the shouting from the cities?

Let every voice truly count.

Why should the red districts of central Pennsylvania be relegated to none existence just because the state has two large blue cities?

Push measures through that apply electoral votes by congressional district rather than for the entire state.. and you will change politics in America for ever.  And states like Florida that are so equally split will be very easy to sell on this plan.  Because every election half of their population is being silenced.

This is, in a word, brilliant. The genius of the concept is that it can be pursued in a decentralized manner at the state level, it has the moral level of 4GW on its side as it more perfectly represents the democratic will of the people, and there is no effective rational or moral argument against it.

This is an idea that the God-Emperor and the Republican Party should strongly pursue after the election, when the Left is on its heels and reeling.

No shills, trolls, or cucks

From today until after the election, the moderators and I will be ruthlessly spamming all shills, cucks, and trolls attempting to spread demoralization among the Right. I don’t care if you are “genuinely concerned”, I don’t care if you are “just afraid” or “nervous”. In case it isn’t obvious to you already, I despise cowards and I see no reason to tolerate the paid petty operatives of the Left either.

If you put it in the comments, you will be spammed. Which, you will note, may affect your ability to comment here and on other Blogger blogs in the future.

There will be no appeals, no protests, and no consideration given to anyone whose comment is spammed, so don’t even bother. And if you dislike this temporary policy, please recall that I am, as many describe me, of the Alt-Right.

And We. Don’t. Care.

UPDATE: Trump is now up by 2.4 percent in the IBD/TIPP national poll, which has been the most accurate since 2004, with an average error of 0.9 percent, 43.1 to 40.7.

However, it also gives 8.5 percent to Johnson and Stein, which is about 6.5 percent too high, plus another 7.7 percent to “others” and “undecided”. Still, that’s Trump’s best performance in IBD to date, so he’s obviously peaking at the right time.

Battleground states

A perusal of the state polls shows that the crucial states tomorrow, in declining order of importance to Trump, will be:

  • Ohio
  • Florida
  • North Carolina
  • New Hampshire
  • Pennsylvania
  • Virginia
If Trump doesn’t win Ohio or Florida, he probably loses. As he takes those states and more, he wins. The victory line is somewhere between New Hampshire and Pennsylvania. So, let’s see where the polls are in each of them, the latest poll, the current RCP average, and the RCP average one month ago. I’ll update this when RCP updates later today; that will also help us see what the trend is for the final stretch.
  • OH: +7 +3.5 (+2.2)
  • FL: +4 +0.2 (-2.8)
  • NC: TIE +1.4 (-1.3)
  • NH: -1 -0.6 (-6.0)
  • PA: TIE -2.4 (-6.0)
  • VA: -6 -4.3 (-7.0)
The month-long trend is strongly positive for Trump. Note also, the latest polls tend to be better than the RCP average, which includes polls as old as October 26th. (Update: the most recent NC poll was negative, but the two before that were strongly pro-Trump and that increased the pro-Trump average.) The trend at the state level in the battleground states continues to move Trumpward, perhaps not as strongly as we’d like to see for a definite Trumpslide, but certainly in the right direction.

The only real cause for concern at the state level is Florida, but the abrupt and sudden jump of Hillary to her highest level of support throughout the entire campaign at the same time it is falling elsewhere is not very credible and hints at pollster shenanigans. I have no doubt that a closer analysis of the sampling will reveal unlikely anomalies.

Other good signs are that some of the supposed battleground states are now solidly pro-Trump.

  • AZ: +5 +4.0 (+3.0)
  • GA: +2 +4.6 (+4.8)
  • NV: TIE +2.0 (-1.8)
In any event, there is no cause for despair. If the pollsters are putting ANY amount of weight on the scales in Hillary Clinton’s favor, and we have very good reason to believe they are, then Donald Trump will win without much difficulty tomorrow. If the pollsters are playing it entirely straight – which I do not believe for one single second – then it’s going to be close and could go either way depending upon enthusiasm, turnout, and fraud. So, go out, do your part, and let the chips fall where they may.

Axiom Strategies takes the polls at face value, of course, and reaches a similar conclusion:


We’re looking at a margin of error race in seven of the eight battleground states we surveyed. Either one of these candidates could realistically run the table in these seven states. The big question is if Donald Trump can mobilize his voters and get them to the polls, if he can’t then he will lose,” said Titus Bond, Director of Remington Research Group


The three states to watch early are Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida. If VA is “too close to call”, that is an excellent sign for Trump. If NC is too close to call, that is a potential cause for concern. If Virginia, Connecticut, or Maine goes Trump, the Trumpslide is on. Keep in mind that NC closes at 7:30 PM, half an hour later than VA and FL, so it probably won’t report quite as soon.

If Clinton wins VA, Trump wins NC, and Florida is too close to call, the next big indicator is PA, where the polls close at 8 PM. If that goes Trump, he wins. If it is “too close to call”, that is also a good sign.