Author: VD

The Temperature Rises

It’s not really visible yet, but some of the more credentialed people on both sides of the evolutionary debate are starting to take notice of Probability Zero and MITTENS. And, of course, the usual sort of suspects are, as always, focused on the irrelevant minutia, so I’m having to further refine the argument. Which, of course, only makes it even stronger and more conclusive than before.

Here’s the problem. Biologists are stupid and innumerate, so even when they do the hard work required, they neither analyze it nor report it in a coherent, relevant, and meaningful manner. As I pointed out in Appendix F of the first edition, the 1,600 per generation number was both a) wrong and b) garbage. The problem is that every number reported in the 2009 and 2017 papers are also irrelevant garbage. The 2009 numbers are particularly bad because many of the fixations counted were not actual fixations.

Never mind, of course, that the actual number is almost entirely irrelevant, because there isn’t a bacterial fixation number that will ever make the numbers work. But because I value precision and I am not a biologist, I’ve downloaded the data for all 60,000 generations of the 80,000 generations published – 40k more than Barrick utilized in the 2009 study – and had Athos crunch the data. I’ll put everything in the next MITTENS 3.0 paper, but here are the highlights:

Kimura’s k = μ is mechanistically irrelevant

Kimura’s neutral substitution rate k = μ gives the correct long-run average but the MECHANISM producing neutral fixations on observable timescales is not drift — it’s hitchhiking. With Ne = 3 × 10⁷, drift takes ~30 million generations per neutral fixation. The LTEE ran for 60K generations and accumulated ~20 neutral fixations — all hitchhikers. The drift channel isn’t slow; it’s off.

Supermutation increases noise, not signal

Hypermutation increases clone mutation counts ~19× but total fixation throughput only ~11×, and BENEFICIAL fixation rates don’t increase at all, they actually tend to decrease clonal interference overload. One population (Ara-2) achieved zero fixations despite 100× elevated mutation rate. Supermutation is loading more passengers on the same number of buses. Also, it’s obviously not applicable to humans, because we have no supermutational gene-pairs.

6c. Deceleration is real and expected

Early adaptation is fast due to low-hanging fruit and big-effect mutations. The rate decelerates as easy gains are exhausted. The 30K–40K interval for non-mutators actually goes NEGATIVE. The faster rates from earlier generations cannot be extrapolated to long evolutionary timescales.

The breeding reality principle

Even at the LTEE’s bacterial throughput rate with no recombination costs, no mate-finding, no overlapping generations, and essentially infinite effective population size, the mechanism fails by six orders of magnitude. For organisms with 25-year generation times, small effective populations, sexual reproduction, and limited offpsring, the situation is considerably worse.

The real, updated 60-generation LTTE numbers are:

4,615 generations per beneficial fixation

1,322 generations per all-cause fixation

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Corruption in Social Media

Foreign interests attempt to utilize American social media influencers:

Ukraine’s government-backed United24 project offered former US service members thousands of dollars to produce pro-Ukraine videos for American audiences, RT’s America Now has found. The offers targeted veterans whose military backgrounds could make the message seem more credible to viewers.

Host Ben Swann and investigative journalist Elizabeth Lane examined how the project, launched by Vladimir Zelensky in 2022 to raise support for Ukraine, approached former personnel, including special operations veterans with YouTube channels and other media platforms.

According to veterans who reached out to Lane, United24 offered around $10,000 for each video, plus $40,000 in advertising support. There was no stated limit on the number of videos they could make. The project would also provide scripts and guidance, while the veterans would ultimately deliver praise for Ukraine and Zelensky in their own words.

Some creators who agreed to the deal were reportedly creating up to five or six videos a week, making nearly a quarter of a million dollars a month, Lane found. The men who spoke with Lane said they themselves had turned down the money, recognizing that they were being asked to present paid propaganda as their own views.

However, for some, the refusal came with consequences beyond lost income. One veteran, who turned down the offer and later criticized Ukraine for wasting US money on his channel, had people contacting his employer, calling him a Russian agent, and trying to get him fired.

Full disclosure: the only foreign interest that has ever offered any support for me was China’s English language television station. They offered me a show, which in retrospect I probably should have agreed to do. I turned it down, in part because UATV was starting to roll, but also because I didn’t want people trying to to dismiss me as some sort of Chinese shill.

As it turned out, they do that anyhow on the basis of me sharing my observations without any compensation. Of course, it’s a lot different openly doing a show on a network and secretly taking money to advertise someone else’s perspective.

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The Migration is the Invasion

A word of warning: remigration is very unlikely to be violently unopposed in some of the more heavily invaded states:

France, Germany, Spain and the United Kingdom are being invaded by entire “divisions” of fighting-age men from hostile nations, many being driven and motivated by a religion based on violent conquest. (~10,000 troops = one division.)

But they are not assembling the way Western military thinkers are accustomed to seeing. There are no bases full of armed men in uniforms, marching with weapons and maneuvering in military vehicles, getting ready to board ships in North Africa or the Middle East.

No, the foreign future fighters are being infiltrated into Europe 10 or 100 at a time, “flying below the radar” of conventional military doctrine. Unseen and apparently unnoticed by European leaders. While Macron and Bernham discuss sending their own conventional military forces to Saudi Arabia, their own nations are being invaded.

The most difficult part of this 5th Gen invasion is transporting entire future brigades and divisions of men, without rousing local fear and anger to the boiling point. Not only must the invasion force be transported across Europe to the English Channel, then provided with dinghies so they can be “rescued” by the traitorous RNLI, they must be continuously fed and housed in former hotels and on military bases. This “troop deployment” is being done in plain sight, finally raising considerable local resentment and resistance.

But make no mistake, when the time is right, probably when nationalist anger results in politicians being elected who are serious about forced “remigration” on a massive scale, then their guns will come out. Compared to transporting, housing and feeding tens of thousands of fighting-age men, arming them will trivial. 2,000 AK-47s will fit in a 20-foot container that can roll down any street on a tip-off truck to be delivered and stored anywhere. Unlike 2,000 men, these containers can sit patiently for years.

When the time comes, the men won’t need military training. Many already have combat experiences in their own wars, and in any event, a man with an IQ above 80 can be shown how to load and fire an AK-47 in a matter of minutes. Their accuracy won’t matter, not at close range against helpless unarmed victims.

Bands armed with such weapons, in nations with unarmed populations, will rampage like rabid wolves among tame sheep. Local police and even militaries will be overwhelmed. These armed bands will be able to commandeer cars and buses at will for transportation. Who will stop them?

No doubt some countries will survive the militarization of the extant invasion better than others. And while some will divide on various grounds, others are winner-takes-all situations. Regardless, it’s quite likely the 5GW is something that the younger generations are going to experience in some way, shape, or form in the next 10 to 20 years.

Migration is war isn’t a metaphor, it’s a tautology.

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Embracing Survival

Italy finally begins defending itself against invasion:

The Italian government has approved a ban on burqas and niqabs in schools, along with a limit on the number of pupils with limited Italian in some classes. Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said the measures would improve integration and prevent the formation of “ghetto classes.”

The decree adopted on Thursday prohibits face coverings that prevent identification during school activities. It covers burqas and niqabs, but leaves hijabs, which do not cover the face, unaffected. Violations can bring fines of up to €1,000.

The government has also set a 30% cap in first-year classes for pupils without Italian citizenship.

It’s good to see that European governments are finally beginning to grasp the nature of the problem facing their societies. But until they embrace active, large-scale remigration, all of this is still just prelude. The pendulum has only begun to swing back.

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Guilty On (almost) All Charges

Yes, Virginia, Manchester City did break the financial regulations:

Manchester City have been found guilty of all but one of their 115 rule-break charges concerning the Premier League’s financial regulations. The competition accused the club of widespread financial cheating over an era of sustained success – with an independent panel hearing concluding in 2024.

There has since been a frustrating wait for a verdict but sources have disclosed that clubs have been informed that the panel has now reached a decision – and there is a belief it’s a win for the top flight. It is understood that the Premier League have triumphed on the vast majority of charges.

The verdict could lead to a variety of punishments including huge points deductions, financial penalties, and even relegation. Points deductions could even be applied onto previous seasons, raising the chance that City will be stripped of their Premier League titles.

I’m genuinely surprised. I was expecting the usual whitewashing. Of course, there is still the likelihood that the punishment will be a slap-on-the-hand involving ten points and a monetary fine. I’d suggest one level of relegation per season the rules were broken. Juventus and AC Milan had no trouble working their way back to Serie A, and it would make for a great multi-season saga to see the once-mighty City playing away games on tiny fields that usually average 200 spectators.

It would be a fittingly humiliating punishment and good for the sport.

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She’s On Record

@Tardus-d5y: Is there going to be a video fully dedicated to debunking Vox Day or will you only address his nonesense in the next stream?

@GutsickGibbon: full video

This promises to be absolutely hilarious.

A young woman who is still in school for biology and probably hasn’t even passed a single math exam at her fifth-rate university genuinely believes she is going to record a full video disproving the mathematical demonstration of the impossibility of evolution by natural selection as well as the irrelevance of neutral theory, genetic drift, and neutral substitution, both constructed by the man who solved the Agrippan Trilemma.

Never mind that the MITTENS math has been repeatedly stress-tested by the oppositional Red Team of Grok, Gemini, and ChatGPT, two world-class physicists, five professional mathematicians, and just last week, a Professor of Mathematical Statistics at Stockholm University. Or that very little of the math that is the basis of my separate Neutral Theory argument is original, but is mostly derived from the mathematical work of Dr. Fabio Chalub, PhD in Mathematics and Professor at Universidade NOVA de Lisboa.

It’s not as if she doesn’t have fair warning in her comments already.

I have a PhD in maths from Cambridge and am working my way through Vox Day’s rather dense books and publications on this subject, and I’m yet to find any major issues with his maths.

Of course he won’t, except for the N/Ne error that I identified myself, but has not yet been corrected in a few of the older papers. There have been nearly 2,000 downloads of my paper dissolving the Trilemma since February, mostly by professional philosophers desperate to find a place where I was wrong so they can call me out for it. And there has not been a single response, not one single attempted criticism from any of them, because the solution is airtight. Given that, how does she think she’s going to find an error in my case against something much more obviously and hopelessly wrong like Neo-Darwinian natural selection, especially when she didn’t immediately recognize the citation of the LTTE or that parallel fixation is built into those numbers?

Note that I’m definitely NOT appealing to my authority or the authority of any of the various machine intelligences, physicists, or mathematicians referenced here. By all means, I encourage absolutely anyone and everyone who has any doubts about my arguments to work through the relevant math for themselves. Take your best shot. Critique it. Dig as deep as you can. That’s the purpose of the Red Team. Find the errors. I did, and others have, and my case is now far stronger for them. Ironically, my most significant error to date came from taking the evolutionary biology textbooks at face value!

I just find it amusing that an inveterate little credentialist like Ericka would pay so little heed to what any rational individual would realize is an absolutely formidable set of intellectual adversaries. Because hiding behind name-calling and butterfly collectors simply isn’t going to cut it here.

Which is why I very much doubt that the promised video is ever going to be recorded. I expect that just like she did with regards to debating me directly, she’s going to find an excuse to avoid addressing the math and the arguments on camera since she doesn’t want to be publicly eviscerated. But perhaps she’ll follow through, and maybe even produce some little tangent, hitherto unaddressed, that will allow us to drive yet another nail in the coffin, like Dennis McCarthy did. That, too, is a service.

It is also amusing to observe that these I FUCKING LOVE SCIENCE retards have absolutely no comprehension of how I utilize AI. They appear to imagine I use it to generate or to support my arguments. But, as everyone who has read HARDCODED knows, I use it in exactly the opposite way.

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Take the W

In which a woman complains that others are utilizing her ideas without attribution:

So some of the team animals on YouTube are starting to « borrow » my ideas re: Political orientation being a natural biological divide.

As usual, people plagiarize my ideas years later without attribution or ever boosting my signal. Disgusting pigs.

Here’s reminding you that these are my ideas: THANKS.

Tell you what, I am VERY tired of people whose shtick is repeating everyone else’s original ideas cockblocking those of us who HAVE the original ideas.

Somebody is going to get killed eventually.

Having your ideas repeated is exactly what intellectual success is. Don’t expect credit and don’t expect most of those repeating your ideas to have any idea who first came up with them. Just take the W.

The most widely adopted ideas are seldom propagated by their originators, but by their popularizers. Think about how many people are familiar with Richard Dawkins instead of E.O. Wilson.

I see people using the terms “sigma” and “midwit” all the time. I would bet none of them have any idea that both terms were not only my original ideas, but neologisms I coined. And both The New York Times and Nature quoted my proof that religion doesn’t cause war, citing the precise numbers I calculated, without ever mentioning me or the book in which those numbers appeared.

Die Gedanken sind frei in more ways than one. If people were wiser and had more foresight, they would value original thinkers more highly. Instead, they grift off them when they’re not gatekeeping or cancelling or killing them. But they’re observably not, nor have they been since the Thirty Tyrants were making Socrates drink hemlock.

The only reward an intellectual can reasonably hope for is that his ideas will stand the test of time. Anything else is just a bonus.

We’ll know that my mathematical disproofs of natural selection and neutral theory are starting to go mainstream when people start denying that I had anything to do with them.

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Mailvox: They Lost the Atheists

You know evolution is dying fast when not even crying “Creationism!” can keep the atheists on their side anymore. A gentleman wrote in today to share his godless thoughts on my recent posts.

TENS is a most ridiculous hypothesis and is laughably wrong on its face. Evolution is so obviously intelligently directed that claiming otherwise can only be ridiculed. I’m not a theist so I don’t attribute any specific causative factor but that in no way weakens the clear evidence of utilitarian, non-random evolutionary adaptation.

I’m glad that you have taken the time and effort to destroy the supposedly mathematical/”scientific” foundations of their blathering, which seems akin to and indistinguishable from similarly “mathematically rigorous” workups of astrology.

I remember the thrust of your argument back when you debated Gariepy: what is the rate of fixation? And the fact that he could neither answer nor even grasp the basis of the argument illustrates the same dynamic in these midwit human parrots: they are incapable of rational independent thinking (which is probably why they chose the pseudoscientific fields they’ve pursued in the first place). They should’ve just gotten their PhD’s in the similarly substantive fields of exobotany or gender studies.

Evolutionary biology actually makes astrology look scientific by comparison. I mean, in the case of astrology there are at least actual planets and stars and constellations one can observe even if they don’t influence anyone’s destiny or behavior. Evolution by natural selection and genetic drift is rather like astrology if there weren’t any planets, any stars, or anything at all in the sky.

The amusing thing is the way that evolutionists keep trying to point to birds and butterflies and bones as somehow proving anything at all. It’s exactly like the man, who upon being challenged on his claim of having walked from Los Angeles to New York City in five minutes, argues that if you will only turn on the television, you will see that there are, in fact, people living in not only Los Angeles, but also San Francisco and Chicago!

Well, yes, that’s all very true, but it’s also beside the point.

You can’t reason with these retards, which is why I have no interest in engaging with them. They simply don’t have the mental capacity to understand the concept of a “rate” or how it absolutely and always applies to anything that changes over time.

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The Bubble is Popping

The corporate giants are already attempting to brace for impact:

Oracle is seeking to protect itself ​from potential cost increases related ‌to a large data center project in New Mexico by sending a “force ​majeure” notice to developer ​Blue Owl, Bloomberg News reported on ⁠Thursday. Shares of the company fell ​around 4% in premarket trading ​after the report, which cited sources familiar with the matter. Reuters could not ​independently verify it. Oracle is aiming ​to delay payments should the data center ‌dubbed ⁠Project Jupiter get derailed and fail to come online in 2028 as planned, rather than exiting ​as the ​main tenant, ⁠according to the report. Companies typically invoke force majeure ​to free themselves from ​contractual ⁠obligations when problems arise beyond their control. Oracle and Blue Owl ⁠did ​not immediately respond to ​Reuters requests for comment.

It’s becoming increasingly clear that most of those data centers are not necessary. So it’s not going to sustain the economy any longer. And there aren’t a lot of other options for a replacement bubble, except perhaps a real estate boom in Greenland.

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So That’s a No

You know when you send an email, and about thirty seconds later, you find yourself regretting having sent it and you wonder what the eventual consequences will be? I have to admit, though, that I did not see this one coming. But it is an answer to our request. And it’s fine, as always, we will abide by the rules, and we will switch releasing to two titles per week.

It’s the exact opposite of a problem.

We are updating the title creation limits on KDP to help maintain a positive publishing experience for all authors. Starting Monday, September 21, 2026, you can create up to 2 titles per format per week.

Your weekly limit resets every Sunday at 12:00 AM UTC.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does this affect existing or already published titles? No. This limit applies only to creating new titles. Your existing or published titles are not affected.

What formats does this limit apply to? The title creation limit applies to eBook (Kindle), paperback, and hardcover. You can create 2 titles per format per week.

What happens if I reach the limit? If you have reached your weekly limit, you can try again after your weekly limit resets on Sundays at 12:00 AM UTC.

This does not slow us down in the slightest, of course. We will be putting at least two titles on our new site every single day. I have just finished translating one monster work that we start releasing next week once the ten volumes of Sangokushi are all out. And for those who have been asking about print editions, there will be three new Soseki novels available in hardcover later this week, Kokoro, Sanshiro, and Botchan.

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