A reader writes in about anti-fragility and evolution:
I’m reading “Anti-Fragile” and, like Taleb’s other books, appreciate his insight. I do find it interesting how much he argues for anti-fragility using evolutionary and enlightenment examples. I agree with Taleb’s main point on anti-fragility. However, having read “Probability Zero” and your recent posts on Kant, I’m thinking you’ve refuted all his arguments to illustrate anti-fragility via evolution and enlightenment thinking. Taleb spends quite a bit of time writing about how evolution “directs” certain outcomes or how enlightenment thinking supports his humanism position.
Do you know if Taleb has read your recent works? His math background would hopefully allow him to fully engage in the math you’ve revealed.
My limited understanding is you’ve shown evolution can’t direct anything or even happen. The changes we see are either random or directed by some intelligence. Secondly, by refuting Kant and enlightenment thinking, would that impact Taleb’s thinking on how he approaches so many things being “unknowable”?
Taleb was familiar with SJWs Always Lie. I doubt he is familiar with any of my newer work. While we had some contact on Twitter beating up on Mary Beard and her ahistorical nonsense together, I have had no contact with him since getting banned from there in 2017 or whenever it was.
This is where I think it’s always vital to distinguish between the What and the Why. Anti-fragility is a sound concept and an important strategy that does not rely in any way, shape, or form on Taleb’s attempt to explain it in terms of evolution by natural selection or Enlightenment illogic.
One minor correction: the changes we see are not random. Kimura-style neutral drift has also been disproven in Probability Zero and The Frozen Gene, although the disproof was totally unnecessary because anyone who actually understood the math would never have pretended it could even begin to fill in the gaps produced by the insufficient rate of evolution natural selection; the drift equation is 40x slower to fixate than the already-too-slow rates examined in my books.