Out of Missiles, Out of Men

Netanyahu appears to have badly miscalculated his long-sought war on Iran:

The IDF could soon collapse if there is no solution to the shortage of manpower, IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Eyal Zamir warned in remarks during a security cabinet meeting held on Wednesday.

“I am raising 10 red flags before the IDF collapses into itself,” Zamir said during the cabinet meeting, The Jerusalem Post confirmed. IDF sources also told the Post that there is tremendous concern due to the severe manpower shortage, especially amid the ongoing war…

Israel has begun limiting its use of its most advanced missile interceptors as ongoing Iranian barrages strain stockpiles, forcing the military to increasingly rely on upgraded but less capable systems, according to a Wall Street Journal report published Friday.

This isn’t from dubious Iranian sources. This is from the Jerusalem Post. The Houthis have now entered the war, not, in my opinion, to forestall Saudi Arabia and the UAE from entering the war on the side of the Epstein Alliance, but because the Israeli missile defense system is now exhausted.

The closure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait in addition to the Strait of Hormuz would ratchet up the pressure on the global economy, and thus force the USA to withdraw from the region, while the inability to restock missile interceptors means that the Houthis are now able to strike Israel with their less-advanced missile systems. Each step reinforces the next.

I was wondering why neither Hezbollah nor the Houthis participated in the early stages of the war, and now the answer is becoming apparent. Both the US and the Israeli defenses needed to be weakened before their attacks could produce much damage. The more time goes on, the more it becomes apparent that the Iranians and their allies are operating at a higher strategic level than either Israel or the USA, which indicates that they have either Chinese or Russian advisors providing them with direction.

Israel has a highly competent military and the USA has the most formidable military on the planet. But 3GW militaries have limited staying power and are at a serious disadvantage in industrial 5GW.

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