That Was Fast

Turkey is the new Iran” says Israel’s former prime minister Naftali Bennett.

Do they really think they somehow defeated Iran and that the war is over because an 86-year-old man died? So now they’re already gunning for Turkey?

On a related note, Larry Johnson has a pertinent observation about the late ayatollah, who appears to have embraced martyrdom in order to inspire the Iranian people.

Donald Trump and the neocons are wild with joy tonight over the murder of the Ayatollah Khamenei… This is just one more example of Western ignorance about the implications of the Ayatollah’s martyrdom. Let’s start with the fact that the Ayatollah is the one who issued the fatwa 36 years ago declaring that it would be a sin for Iran to build or use a nuclear bomb. So the West thinks that killing the one guy who has been the main obstacle preventing Iran from getting a nuclear weapon is a good idea?

Saudi official quote in Al Jazeera: America has abandoned us, and focused its defense systems on protecting Israel, leaving the Gulf states that host its military bases at the mercy of Iranian missiles and drones.

I seem to recall Henry Kissinger having something to say about that.

It’s interesting to see how things are going pretty much the way all the critics of the build-up to the Israel First war said it would. Iran takes the hit, then utilizes its cheap, older missiles to use up US anti-missile stocks, then gradually starts hammering the targets that can’t be defended anymore.

It’s clear that the Iranians have learned from both Ukraine and the 12-Day War that neither the US military nor those militaries dependent upon it are built for attrition warfare. And every war the Israelis have won was over within days. Every boxer knows that the way you beat someone with punching power is to let himself punch himself out, then take him down.

Iran hasn’t necessarily survived the initial phase yet since it’s got another 10 days or so to run, but the fact that the US is already scrambling for the use of UK bases and is trying to reopen negotiations and Mark Levin is already crying about Iranian “war crimes” is not a sign that things are going well. And the longer this goes on, the worse it will be for Trump and the Israel Lobby, since already four-fifths of Americans don’t support this war against Iran on Israel’s behalf.

And I’m not sure why the US Air Force thinks its a win to insist that three of its fighter-jets weren’t actually shot down by the Iranians, but simply crashed due to their own incompetence.

Anyhow, the fact that Iran managed to force the US-Israeli alliance to burn a year’s supply of interceptors in a single day means that the proposed four-to-five weeks that Fake Trump is now promising to replace the original plan of a five-day war suggests there are no reasonable prospects of an Israeli victory. That’s why I think Israel is now looking at a ground invasion of Lebanon; they have to do something to try to change the equation that now appears to be favoring the Iranians in order to force a ceasefire and an Iranian return to the negotiating table.

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