Apparently I’m not the only one who has concluded that there’s no time like the present. This was discussed in some detail on Darkstream 751: Drums, Drums, In The Deep. Courtesy of Jack Posobiec:
Taiwan stuff heating up more than people realize
This isn’t just posturing
There are top Chinese generals telling Xi they want the green light
The Chinese can’t reasonably assume that the USA will have such feeble leadership, both civilian and military, at any point in the near future. They respected Trump and worried about his unpredictability. Even if we assume they don’t actually own Biden – and there is more than a little evidence that at least have substantial leverage over him – literally no one respects or even regards him.
While the posturing isn’t just on China’s side, the posturing from Taiwan’s ruling Democratic Progressive Party isn’t exactly what one would call convincing. Australians haven’t lifted a finger to defend their own freedom, so they’re certainly not going to fight China for Taiwanese independence.
Taiwan’s regional leader Tsai Ing-wen on Tuesday published an article, entitled “Taiwan and the Fight for Democracy”, in Foreign Affairs Magazine, claiming that “If Taiwan were to fall, the consequences would be catastrophic for regional peace and the democratic alliance system.” It seems that the Tsai authorities are really scared, anticipating that their secessionist attempt has gone to a virtual dead end. They, as an anti-China outpost of US’ Indo-Pacific Strategy will sooner or later be wiped out by the Chinese mainland, but they have a severe lack of confidence that the US and its allies will fully defend the island. In this context, Tsai penned the article to underline the current peril, calling on the US and its allies to strengthen their commitment to the Taiwan island and to deter the Chinese mainland.
There is no force in the world whose will to “defend Taiwan” is stronger than China’s will to fight against secession and achieve reunification. To be precise, they are completely incomparable. China dares to have a life-and-death fight against any force that hinders our reunification, but no force dares or is willing to fight to the death against the world’s second largest economy, as well as a nuclear power, in order to prevent China’s reunification.
Tsai authorities understand this point.
“Taiwan’s Tsai turns to masters for help out of fear of catastrophic consequences”, Global Times, 5 October 2021