I enjoy publicly posting 538’s presidential election forecasts for future reference. These are 538’s predictions as of September 27, 2020.
Chance of winning
Biden 77 percent, Trump 22 percent
Biden 331, Trump 207
Biden 52.9 percent, Trump 45.8 percent
My prediction remains exactly the same as it was on November 9, 2016. Donald Trump will win the presidential election in a Trumpslide that is bigger than his 2016 victory. #Trumpslide2020