They both cannot be correct:
The blue wave is going to hit with a vengeance in Tuesday’s midterm elections, according to pollsters who say Democrats should easily capture the 23 seats they need to regain control of the House. But an upbeat President Trump predicted victory in the Senate — where pollsters say the GOP has a good chance to maintain or widen its majority — and even the House.
“There is a great electricity in the air like we haven’t seen, in my opinion, since the ’16 election,” Trump told reporters before leaving for a rally in Cleveland.
“So, something’s happening . . . I think we’re going to do very well in the House. I have never seen the energy that we have, the energy that this whole party has now, it’s really incredible.”
Whatever the outcome, Trump made it clear these midterm elections are about him.
“In a sense, I am on the ticket,” he said at the rally.
Earlier, in a telephone town hall, the president urged supporters to get out and vote because “the press is very much considering it a referendum on me and us as a movement.”
Every major poll said Trump is wrong about the Republicans maintaining control of the House.
The political website FiveThirtyEight calculated that Democrats had an 87.5 percent chance of winning it back.
Similarly, The Cook Political Report said Republicans had a tougher road to maintaining their majority. “We rate 75 races as competitive, including 70 GOP-held seats and just five held by Democrats. A ‘Red Exodus’ is contributing to the potential ‘Blue Wave.’ Of Republicans’ 41 open seats, 15 are rated as toss-ups or worse, and another five only lean Republican,” according to the website.
Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a website run by University of Virginia Center for Politics Director Larry Sabato, predicted that Democrats would easily pick up the necessary 23 seats. But it also cautioned that anything was possible with the country so deeply divided and memories of Trump’s upset win in 2016 still fresh in mind.
Most polls predicted similar results, with a CNN generic ballot survey showing Democrats ahead of Republicans by 55 percent to 42 percent, and the RealClearPolitics average of generic polls showing Democrats leading with 49.7 percent compared with 42.4 percent for Republicans.
If, as I anticipate, Republicans remain in control of the House, this election is going to destroy the rest of the mainstream media’s remaining credibility.