The silent Red Wave

Rasmussen Reports is noticing a pattern concerning how Republican voters don’t tend to show their hand:

Just as in 2016, Democrats are more outspoken about how they’re going to vote in the upcoming elections than Republicans and unaffiliated voters are.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 60{01f02ff5c3cf9d4a85478ebd476d665649f9a1508a833d70ddca2c7e9b315fd2} of Likely Democratic Voters say they are more likely to let others know how they intend to vote this year compared to previous congressional elections. This compares to 49{01f02ff5c3cf9d4a85478ebd476d665649f9a1508a833d70ddca2c7e9b315fd2} of Republicans and 40{01f02ff5c3cf9d4a85478ebd476d665649f9a1508a833d70ddca2c7e9b315fd2} of voters not affiliated with either major political party.

In August 2016, 52{01f02ff5c3cf9d4a85478ebd476d665649f9a1508a833d70ddca2c7e9b315fd2} of Democrats were more likely to let others know how they intended to vote in the upcoming presidential election, compared to 46{01f02ff5c3cf9d4a85478ebd476d665649f9a1508a833d70ddca2c7e9b315fd2} of Republicans and 34{01f02ff5c3cf9d4a85478ebd476d665649f9a1508a833d70ddca2c7e9b315fd2} of unaffiliated voters. Some analysts before and after Donald Trump’s upset victory suggested that most pollsters missed his hidden support among voters fearful of criticism who were unwilling to say where they stood.

Similarly when asked now about family, friends and co-workers, 60{01f02ff5c3cf9d4a85478ebd476d665649f9a1508a833d70ddca2c7e9b315fd2} of Democrats say they are also more likely to tell others how they intend to vote, but only 46{01f02ff5c3cf9d4a85478ebd476d665649f9a1508a833d70ddca2c7e9b315fd2} of Republicans and 45{01f02ff5c3cf9d4a85478ebd476d665649f9a1508a833d70ddca2c7e9b315fd2} of unaffiliated voters agree.

Of course Democrats are talk more. They can’t distinguish the narrative from reality. They are magical thinkers who believe that casting a narrative spell creates the reality. In any event, it’s interesting to see how the pollsters are in quiet retreat from their previous narrative now that the actual voting is imminent.

NBC News reported that more people showed up to early voting, outpacing the 2014 midterms by leaps and bounds with a whopping 24,024,621 million ballots having already been counted. For comparison, 2014 only had 12,938,596 counted by this time, putting 2018 at nearly double.