The Union survives… for now

YouGov announces, on the basis of exit polls, that the Scottish independence referendum has failed by 54 to 46 percent:

YouGov bases its prediction on the responses of 1,828 people after they voted today, together with those of 800 people who had already voted by post. Today’s respondents had previously given their voting intention earlier this week. By recontacting them, we could assess any last-minute shift in views. Today’s responses indicate that there has been a small shift on the day from Yes to No, and also that No supporters were slightly more likely to turn out to vote.

Obviously, this is not an official result. But from the socionomic perspective, it would appear that the Scots made their move for independence too early in the global economic downturn.