The good ship Rudy founders

Some of you may recall that I was wondering aloud about the unlikely possibility that Giuliani would be out of the picture by the convention a few months ago, and that was completely without seeing the Huckaboom coming in any way, shape or form:

A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll shows the former New York City mayor now tied nationally with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney at 20% among Republicans nationally, just slightly ahead of former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 17% and Arizona Sen. John McCain at 14%.

The significant thing is that Giuliani has lost 47 percent of his support before the votes start getting counted. He may well lose another half of what’s left before Iowa Republicans cast their ballots since his only serious appeal was that he was supposed to be the frontrunner.

Thompson’s all but out already. South Carolina should do for McCain again and Giuliani will probably drop out after Super Tuesday shows that he’s got no real national appeal. The only remaining questions are if Huckabee can win big enough to knock Romney out after Iowa and New Hampshire and what sort of curve Ron Paul’s expected overperformance will have on everything I wrote previously.