Afraid to hope

SF explains why more and more Trump supporters are showing a tendency to freak out when they are disappointed by his statements and actions:

I think the reason lots of people are panicking is because they have been burned and burned repeatedly by people they elected who were “their guy.” They are suffering from political “attachment disorder.” They want to be the ones to terminate their loyalty to the President on their own terms rather than feel like they got screwed again after trusting yet another political leader who tells them what they want them to hear only to turn on them.

For those who are suffering from this disorder and genuinely feel frightened that the God-Emperor will betray them sooner or later, allow me to suggest the following litany, which, like the Bene Gesseret Litany Against Fear, may prove soothing.

Trump is not the answer.
Trump is not the salvation.
Trump is not the last and final hope.
Mistakes will be made.
Decisions will prove suboptimal.
Failure is likely. Disaster is possible.
The world is fallen and ruled by evil.
Republics and empires always fall.
Gideon only needed 300.
Jesus only needed 12.
Don’t be afraid.
This is just the first level.
There is always hope.

If we get screwed again, we get screwed again. So what? What is the alternative, go back to the Jebs and Hillarys? Put our trust in the Romneys and Ryans? Trump was just the message. Trump is not the Second Coming of Charles Martel, the Defender of the West. He never promised to be. The time is not yet ripe. It cannot be, not when more than half the self-professed Right still firmly clings to the equality of race and religion, to multiculturalism, to civic nationalism, and to Judeo-Christianity, to the very deceits that are actively destroying everything they claim to cherish.

Before he comes, the statues of Stonewall Jackson and Thomas Jefferson and George Washington and Woodrow Wilson will fall. Perhaps even Abraham Lincoln. Before he comes, the South Africaust will take place. Before he comes, even the cucks and conservatives, even the identity-complicated and the civic nationalists, will be crying out to St. Breivik to save the harried remnants of their peoples from the barbarians they welcomed inside the gates as equals.

Only then, like Alfred the Great defending Anglo-Saxon England from the Great Heathen Army, will the people of the West be ready for the return of the Hammer. Only then will they be worthy of him.

Do not despair. Do not be afraid to hope. Remember, the Alt-Right is inevitable because the Alt-Right is the only political philosophy that is soundly based on a foundation of truth, history, logic, science, and Scripture. That is why not only the Left, but the cucks and cons and churchians as well, are observably terrified of debating us, listening to us, or even just accurately characterizing our views. They literally cannot handle the truth yet. And they will not be able to handle it, much less accept it, until the feelbads of their observed reality exceeds their feelbads caused by the truth.


Show some faith

I understand that there can be utility in holding someone accountable. But doesn’t the God-Emperor come in for enough criticism already that he doesn’t need to hear it all the time from both sides?

Prominent supporters of President Trump are expressing skepticism over his decision to launch airstrikes against Syria, slamming the move as overly aggressive and unnecessary.

Fox News hosts Tucker Carlson and Laura Ingraham both questioned Trump’s decision Friday to launch strikes in retaliation for a chemical weapons attack last weekend that the U.S. has attributed to the Syrian government.

Carlson noted the move was inconsistent with the president’s message during his 2016 campaign, and Ingraham said she found that intervention in other countries could be risky, as shown in the Iraq War, according to the Daily Beast.

Michael Savage, a prominent conservative radio host and author, tweeted that “sad warmongers hijacking our nation” following news of the strike.

Michael Savage@ASavageNation
 We lost. War machine  bombs syria. No evidence Assad did it. Sad warmongers hijacking our nation

Infowars’s Alex Jones broke down in tears while speaking out against the military action. “If he had been a piece of crap from the beginning, it wouldn’t be so bad,” Jones said of Trump. “We’ve made so many sacrifices and now he’s crapping all over us. It makes me sick.”

Conservative commentator Ann Coulter also shared her opposition to the strike, retweeting a series of other conservative or right-wing figures who condemned the move and resurfacing Trump’s own past tweets against military action in Syria.

And far-right figures Mike Cernovich and Laura Loomer also ripped Trump over the military strike in Syria.

Mike Cernovich@Cernovich
At least I won’t feel bad when he gets impeached.

The ironic thing is that I am probably more anti-war, and have been for much longer, than any of these right-wing figures. I’m not bothered by a few missile strikes. I don’t believe they will lead to boots on the ground, any more than all the previous missile strikes did.

Everything I have seen about the situation indicates that Trump is resisting the neocons and their war machine, not giving into it. I really don’t understand why none of these folks, of whom most I generally think well, aren’t able to do the same.

Be patient. Don’t react. And don’t assume you necessarily know what the President is doing.


The symbolic strike option

It appears that my expectations were more or less correct. But now that the US has opted for the symbolic strike, what are the implications? The Saker discussed this very possibility three days ago, even as he worried about mutual escalation:

The truth is that Russia would never be a credible threat to the AngloZionist Hegemony if it was not for the innumerable self-inflicted disasters the Empire has been absorbing year after year after year. In reality, Russia is no threat to anybody at all. And even China would not be a threat to the Empire if the latter was not so arrogant, so over-stretched, so ignorant, reckless and incompetent in its actions.

Let me just give one simple, but stark, example: not only does the US not have anything remotely resembling a consistent foreign policy, it does not even have any ministry of foreign affairs. The Department of State does not deal with diplomacy simply because the US leaders don’t believe in diplomacy as a concept. All the DoS does is issue threats, sanctions, ultimatums, make demands, deliver score-cards (on human rights and the like, of all things!) and explain to the public why the US is almost constantly at war with somebody. That is not “diplomacy” and the likes of Nikki Haley are not diplomats. In fact, the US has no use for International Law either, hence the self-same Nikki Haley openly declaring at a UNSC meeting that the US is willing to ignore the decisions of the UNSC and act in complete violation of the UN Charter. Simply put: thugs have no need for any diplomacy. They don’t understand the concept.

Just like their Israeli masters and mentors, the Americans have convinced themselves that all they need to be successful on the international scene is to either threaten the use of force or actually use force. This works great (or so it seems) in Gaza or Grenada, but when dealing with China, Russia or Iran, this monomaniacal approach rapidly shows its limitations, especially when your force is really limited to shooting missiles from afar or murdering civilians (neither the US nor Israel nor, for that matter, the KSA has a credible “boots on the ground” capability, hence their reliance on proxies).

The Empire is failing, fast, and for all the talk about “Animal Assad” or “Rocket Man” being in need of AngloZionist punishment, the stakes are the survival of Hegemony imposed upon mankind at the end of WWII and, again, at the end of the Cold War, and the future of our planet. There cannot be one World Hegemon and a multipolar world order regulated by international law. It’s an either-or situation. And in that sense, this is all much bigger than Syria or even Russia.

There is still a chance that the AngloZionists will decide to strike Syria symbolically, as they did last year following the previous chemical false flag in Khan Sheikhoun (Trump has now probably tweeted himself into a corner which makes some kind of attack almost inevitable). Should that happen though, we should not celebrate too soon as this will just be a minor course change, the 21st-century anti-Russia Crusade will continue, most likely in the form of a Ukronazi attack on the Donbass.

While I think the Saker misses the point that Trump is not a creature of the Empire and is probably the primary target of its attempts to wield its influence, I suspect that he is correct that the neocons’ anti-Russian campaign will continue, although I expect its focus to shift to Iran next, rather than Ukraine.

And this commenter has it right: In its essence, U.S. foreign policy boils down to someone’s attempt to establish Satan’s kingdom on earth as per Isaiah 14:13,14.

But not just U.S. foreign policy. As another commenter observed, Russia appears to be placing the blame for both recent false flags squarely on Britain. And Britain was also involved in the attacks, which may indicate that any Russian retaliation is going to be directed at British interests.

Israeli military historian Martin van Creveld has a more regional and historical take on the situation:

With so many interests, native and foreign, involved, a way out does not seem in sight. Nor can the outcome be foreseen any more than that of the Thirty Years’ War could be four years after the beginning of the conflict, i.e. 1622. In fact there is good reason to believe that the hostilities have just begun. Additional players such as Lebanon and Jordan may well be drawn in. That in turn will almost certainly bring in Israel as well. Some right-wing Israelis, including several ministers, actually dream of such a scenario. They hope that the fall of the Hashemite Dynasty and the disintegration of Jordan will provide them with an opportunity to repeat the events of 1948 by throwing the Palestinians out of the West Bank and into Jordan.

That, however, is Zukunftmusik, future music as the Germans say. As of the present, the greatest losers are going to be Syria and Iraq. Neither really exists any longer as organized entities, and neither seems to have a future as such an entity. The greatest winner is going to be Iran. Playing the role once reserved for Richelieu, the great 17th century French statesman, the Mullahs are watching the entire vast area from the Persian Gulf to Latakia on the eastern shore of the Mediterranean turn into a maelstrom of conflicting interests they can play with. Nor are they at all sorry to see Turks and Kurds kill each other to their hearts’ contents.

What is most interesting, to me, is that despite their very different perspectives, both the Saker and van Creveld recognize that the “liberal factions” in Syria were false fronts for ISIS.

UPDATE: Russia Insider called it correctly ahead of time.

The latest news is that now the Russian and American militaries are frantically talking, helped by Israelis (Netanyahu himself!), and the Turks (NATO members after all, but de facto Russian allies), trying to figure a way out of this Mexican standoff. Some experts are saying that it will go down like last time: the Americans will notify the Russians in advance of the targets, the Russians (and most Syrians whom the Russians will inform) will leave them, the strikes will be all for show, and the Russians and Syrians will get on with pulverizing Al Qaeda. The Syrians have already moved their planes to Russian bases, so, no, Syria will not lose its air force. Everyone saves face, and the world moves on.

Interesting, though not surprising, that Mad Dog Mattis is credited as being the voice of reason responsible for the “de-conflicting” on the US side. And I note that he does have blue eyes.


Flirting with WWIII

President Trump has ordered “precision missile strikes” in order to let Assad know that the US will not tolerate the false flags of its proxies. Or something.

President Donald Trump said he had approved military strikes on Syria in retaliation for an apparent chemical attack by the regime of Bashar al-Assad on a rebel town.

“A short time ago I ordered the United States armed forces to launch precision strikes” on targets associated with Syria chemical weapons, Trump said in remarks Friday night.

Trump said the strikes would be carried out in coordination with France and the U.K.

Trump’s statement on U.S. policy toward Syria came after days of speculation that the U.S. would launch a strike against Syria in retaliation for an apparent chemical weapons attack last weekend that killed scores of civilians.

Idiocy, of course. But it strikes me as Trump trying to look like he’s doing something without provoking a serious response.

The problem is this: The Russian military said on 13 March it would respond to any US strike on Syria, targeting any missiles and launchers involved in such an attack.

UPDATE: Syria’s capital has been rocked by loud explosions that lit up the sky with heavy smoke as U.S. President Donald Trump announced airstrikes in retaliation for the country’s alleged use of chemical weapons. Associated Press reporters in Damascus saw smoke rising from east Damascus early Saturday morning local time. Syrian state TV says the attack has begun on the capital, though it wasn’t immediately clear what was targeted.

This all looks insanely stupid and totally pointless. I hope this is all some sort of kabuki allowing the God-Emperor to declare martial law and drain the swamp. Consider:

  1. Dumbest, most unnecessary, and most poorly timed “chemical attack” ever.
  2. Bizarre overreaction on the part of the President.
  3. Uncharacteristically strong and public pre-reaction on the part of the ordinarily patient Russians.
I’m not saying this is the case, I’m just saying that I won’t be very surprised if after some missile strikes and the sinking of one or two of the US Navy’s older ships, martial law is declared, all of the God-Emperor’s domestic enemies are arrested, and last-minute personal negotiations between Trump and Putin save the day and avert World War III.

And, as always, I advise patience before reaching any conclusions. Remember, this is not the first time. It won’t be the last time. Relax.


Why there won’t be war

It seems people haven’t learned much from Trump’s largely bloodless accomplishments in North Korea. But the main reason I doubt there will be any real war – or rather, any more real war – in Syria is that the US-Israeli proxies, which is the polite way of saying ISIS, have already been defeated.

Trump will have difficulty not doing something impressive after denouncing “Animal Assad” and promising that the Syrian leader would “pay a price” for the gas attack. Trump has also denounced President Barak Obama for his timidity in his use of US military strength against President Bashar al-Assad, so the US may do something spectacular.

What is more doubtful is whether or not US air strikes will have much impact in the long term. In many respects, the political situation on the ground in Syria has gelled as Assad asserts his control over most of populated Syria. The last rebels are being evacuated from Eastern Ghouta on the outskirts of Damascus. Syrian troops and tanks are reported to be massing to overrun an Isis held stronghold in the south of the capital.

Syria is being divided into three zones of unequal size: Assad backed by Russia and Iran in much of the country; Sunni Arab factions backed by Turkey in Idlib, newly captured Afrin and territory north of Aleppo; and in the north and east, a large triangle of land east of the Euphrates held by the Kurds supported by 2,000 US troops able to call in massive air power. Even heavy US air strikes on a one-off basis will not significantly change this balance of power.

There may well be a few missiles lobbed as well as an air strike or ten. But that is nothing serious. And remember, all Trump has promised is missiles, which by Middle East standards is merely sabre-rattling 103.


I hope he’s bluffing

Or this is some sort of sleight of hand meant to occupy the Deep State. The God-Emperor is already fighting one war, what possible benefit can come of discovering that the USA is no longer the global monopower it has been for the last 25 years? This posturing would appear to border on sheer lunacy.

Trump tweeted: “Russia vows to shoot down any and all missiles fired at Syria. Get ready Russia, because they will be coming, nice and new and “smart!”

“You shouldn’t be partners with a Gas Killing Animal who kills his people and enjoys it!”

The US President’s tweet esclates tensions to a new level amid reports of an imminent strike by US forces on the Syrian regime.

Russia are allies with dictator Bashar al-Assad and are expected to defend him should the US attack – with US accusing Putin of having “blood on his hands”.

The Russians don’t appear particularly frightened or impressed by the increased sabre-rattling:

US missiles fired at Syria will be shot down, and launch sites targeted, a Russian ambassador warned today.

The measures threatened by Alexander Zasypkin, Russia’s ambassador to Lebanon, could trigger a major escalation in the Syrian conflict.

In comments broadcast on Tuesday evening, said he was referring to a statement by Russian President Vladimir Putin and the Russian armed forces chief of staff.

The Russian military said on March 13 that it would respond to any U.S. strike on Syria, targeting any missiles and launchers involved in such an attack. Russia is Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s most powerful ally.

If the Saker and other Russian observers are to be believed, Russia has been preparing for this conflict for some time now. They have concluded that the USA is either crazy or duplicitous, and in either case, can no longer be trusted to abide by any agreement. The US, on the other hand, appears to believe it can simply continue to throw its weight around and treat the Russians as cavalierly as it has treated the Libyans, the Syrians, the Iraqis, and the Afghans.

The worrisome thing is that the Russians are more prepared for this potential war than they were for WWII and have the technological edge in a number of areas. Their limited resources have forced them to focus on efficiency and better technology. And if you know your military history, most powerful aggressors meet with defeat when they have an exaggerated confidence in their own abilities and an unjustified contempt for the limits of their enemies.

Sound relevant?

As for whether this war could possibly take place on such flimsy premises, remember that more than a few of the USA’s past wars have been based on false flags like the USS Maine and the Gulf of Tonkin incident. This is no different. Meanwhile, this report is little more than a melange of tragedy and farce:

Syria MISSILE STRIKE ‘within hours’: RAF on ALERT for possible launch. BRITISH and French forces could launch an imminent missile strike on Syria within a matter of hours, aviation monitors have revealed.

The RAF and the Armée de l’Air have less than 500 active combat aircraft between them. Anyhow, as will all things related to the God-Emperor, I advise waiting and watching before reaching any conclusions.


How China can win

Although the US cannot lose a trade war with China due to the fact that it is already $600 billion in the annual red thanks to the trade deficit, that does not mean that China does not have an ace or two up its sleeve:

Chinese President Xi Jinping is now exchanging threats of tit-for-tat tariffs with President Trump, who announced Thursday he’s considering raising the stakes another $100 billion. China vowed to defend itself “at any cost.”

Compared to the scale of the U.S. economy, the numbers are still relatively trivial and mostly theoretical. But if things do spiral into all-out trade war, it’s worth noting China has a nuclear option.

I’m referring to rare earth metals.

These are elements like dysprosium, neodymium, gadolinium, and ytterbium. They aren’t actually rare, but they do play crucial roles in everything from smart phones to electric car motors, hard drives, wind turbines, military radar, smart bombs, laser guidance, and more. They’re also quite difficult to mine and process.

It turns out the United States is almost entirely dependent on foreign suppliers for rare earth metals. More importantly, it’s almost entirely dependent on China specifically for rare earth metals that have been processed into a final and usable form.

Basically, if China really wanted to mess with America, it could just clamp down on these exports. That would throw a massive wrench into America’s supply chain for high-tech consumer products, not to mention much of our military’s advanced weapons systems.

In fact, China isn’t just America’s major supplier of rare earth metals; it’s the rest of the globe’s major supplier as well. And in 2009, China began significantly clamping down on its rare metal exports. Once, China briefly cut Japan off entirely after an international incident involving a collision between two ships. This all eventually led to a 2014 World Trade Organization spat, with America, Japan, and other countries on one side, and China on the other.

That forced China to abandon its quotas. But it also shows China is willing to use its advantage in rare earth metals to play hardball if it’s pushed far enough.

However, this is not an argument for free trade. In fact, it is precisely the opposite, it is a devastating disproof of Ricardian Comparative Advantage theory, which posits that manufacturing can move seamlessly between industries. In fact, if one were to argue that the USA must engage in trade due to its fear of its inability to process rare earth metals, one would have have to reject the theory of comparative advantage, and therefore, free trade.

This is the danger of engaging in the Ricardian Vice. It becomes all too easy to accidentally refute your own position when attempting to respond to protectionist arguments.


Compare the narratives

Austin Bay considers the Seven Chinas grand narrative.

Nations have always used narratives to support their diplomatic operations. Not all of them are “weaponized,” but a powerful, moving story gives a diplomatic initiative additional energy. Often these narratives incorporate nation or ethnic historical and cultural themes. Since they support a diplomatic initiative, they are always political.

In February, the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies published a short paper entitled “Seven Chinas: A Policy Framework.” The paper briefly examined “seven identities” that the Chinese government uses to “shape and justify policy.”

Each identity is a narrative.

China 1: Self-sufficient civilization (We generate our own values)

China 2: Most humiliated nation (Our senior civilization, conquered and despised)

China 3: Leader of the developing world (Late developing China leads developing nations)

China 4: Champion of plurality (We are ending Western/American hegemony)

China 5: Sovereign survivor (We survived the collapse of Communism because we are unique)

China 6: Last man standing (The West is declining while our wealth is increasing)

China 7: Herald of the high frontier (China and shares the global trade and communications commons)

In the South China Sea China’s narrative weapons have augmented its military and economic clout. It’s proved to be a powerful combination.

Compare these to the ever-shifting globalist and SJW narratives that have replaced the traditional Western narrative. It is eminently clear that in any matchup of these particular weaponized narratives, China is not merely winning, China is going to win.


Defend the border?

Against an invasion of millions of aliens? How unthinkable! How outrageous! The God-Emperor finally takes action to secure the southern border of the United States.

President Donald Trump is directing the National Guard to protect the southern border of the country, Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen said Wednesday.

“It’s time to act,” Nielsen said, without specifying the number of troops that would be deployed though she said “it will be strong.” She added that details will be worked out with governors and that “we do hope that the deployment begins immediately.”

The move follows Trump’s warning Tuesday to Mexican leaders that he would abandon the North American Free Trade Agreement without assurances of help on securing the border.

And, inexplicably, the President’s approval rating has also been rising. But  how can this be? Doesn’t he know this violates the Ellis Island Amendment?

The God-Emperor understands that immigration is war. And if you don’t sink the ships, you will come to regret it.

UPDATE: See, all it takes is a little firm resolve from the White House.

A caravan of Central American migrants whose trek across Mexico infuriated President Donald Trump has decided not to travel to the US border, leaders said Tuesday.


Bomber Bolton for NSA

I am pleased to announce that, effective 4/9/18, @AmbJohnBolton will be my new National Security Advisor. I am very thankful for the service of General H.R. McMaster who has done an outstanding job & will always remain my friend. 
– Donald Trump

Looks like the neocons may be coming back. But, as always, whenever Trump is at the center of the activity, don’t rush to judgment. Given what is going on behind the scenes, this may have nothing to do with Bolton’s “first strike on North Korea and bomb Iran” lunacy.

Then again, that was only three years ago. On the third hand, McMaster was also an aggressive hawk who wanted war with both North Korea and Russia. So, this may be a lateral move.