Another accuser recants

To precisely no one’s surprise, another accuser of Supreme Court Associate Justice Kavanaugh has admitted that her accusations were Fake News:

One of Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh’s accusers admitted this week that she made up her lurid tale of a backseat car rape, saying it “was a tactic” to try to derail the judge’s confirmation to the Supreme Court.

Sen. Chuck Grassley, chairman of the Judiciary Committee revealed the fraud in a letter to the FBI and Justice Department Friday, asking them to prosecute Judy Munro-Leighton for lying to and obstructing Congress. Mr. Grassley said Ms. Munro-Leighton is a left-wing activist who hijacked another “Jane Doe” anonymous report about a backseat rape and claimed it as her own story, calling it a “vicious assault.”

“I am Jane Doe from Oceanside CA — Kavanaugh raped me,” Ms. Munro-Leighton wrote in an Oct. 3 email claiming to have been a victim of the judge.

Republicans had better prosecute these false accusers and prosecute them hard, because this has become a standard tactic for Democrats attempting to derail Republican appointees. Ms Munro-Leighton really would have done much better to describe her false accusation of backseat car rape as a “thought experiment” rather than a political tactic.


Not a single seat

A bold prediction by Fleporblog flies directly in the face of the Blue Wave-predicting pollsters:

Florida is looking better and better by the day for Republicans! Nearly 3.75 million people have voted early. The margin for the Republicans continues to increase each day (currently +63,537). Democrats had a lead of 96,450 at the end of Early Voting in 2016. The difference at this point is +159,987 for Republicans. We have an excellent chance of flipping FL-D7 and a good chance of flipping FL-D13.

We will not lose a single Republican House Seat.

Nevada has been a night and day difference when comparing 2018 to 2016. The RNC went all in with door-to-door knocking starting 6 months ago. It is really paying off BIGLY! We will hold the Senate Seat (Heller) and the Governor’s Seat. We have a fantastic chance of flipping NV-D3 and a good chance of flipping NV-D4.

We will not lose a single Republican House Seat.

If this guy gets it right with a call that virtually no one else is making, he’ll definitely be one site to watch in the 2020 Presidential election.


On the record

It’s important to put the pollsters on the record. Democrats are doubling down on the Blue Wave:

A political analyst updated his outlook for the House just days before midterm elections, giving the Democrats an even greater edge over Republicans hoping to maintain power. Dave Wasserman, who is House editor of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, tweeted Wednesday that their forecast was being updated, predicting that Democrats gain 30-40 seats, up from 25-35 seats. Wasserman added that this prediction could change before the Nov. 6 midterm elections.

The forecast suggests a so-called “blue wave” is more becoming more likely. Democrats need to flip 23 seats to take control of the lower chamber. In the Senate, which the GOP also controls, 24 Democrats and two independents who caucus with Democrats, are up for re-election. Nine Republicans are up for re-election. Only one seat, Sen. Heidi Heitkamp’s, D-N.D., is rated anything below “toss-up” at “lean-R,” according to Cook Political Report.

RealClearPolitics gives Democrats a smaller edge in the House than Cook, factoring in a number of toss ups. Their latest House elections map shows Democrats taking 203 seats versus 198 for Republicans. Thirty-four races are listed in the “toss ups” category.

So, we’re expected to believe that the President’s approval ratings are rising to the highest level of his presidency at the same time that the mid-term elections are going strongly against him? It does not add up. And while Wasserman is waffling only five days out, I will stick to my prediction from May 31, 2017, there will be no “blue wave”.

Nate Silver presently predicts an 84.9 percent chance of Democrats taking the House.



Darkstream: Fake News, Fake Bomb

From the transcript of the Darkstream:

What I thought was really interesting about the God-Emperor’s statements today was that they made it clear that he’s condemning all political violence, which of course we know is predominantly conducted by Democrats, it is predominantly conducted by Antifa, and so it’s just utterly ridiculous to pretend that Donald Trump’s violent rhetoric is inspiring people to do bad and terrible things. Now it is possible that the person responsible is actually a Republican, it’s possible that the person responsible is a channer pulling some sort of serious practical joke, but these “bombs”, so to speak, look like something out of the Acme catalog that you see in the Wile E. Coyote vs Roadrunner cartoons.

Now we see this stuff over and over and over again, we see these hoaxes over and over and over again, and you know that the people perpetrating them are midwits, you know they’re not terribly smart because they just think, well, it worked once, it worked twice, it worked three times, therefore it will always work! Surely no one will ever notice this pattern of behavior! And of course the media is leaping on this in a big way. What’s funny is that there are even Democratic politicians like Cuomo who are claiming falsely that they received these fake bombs.

You know when political violence, real political violence takes place in a country, like for example when the Shining Path went after politicians and and police in Peru, there was no mistaking it. There was no mistaking the political violence in Ireland either, but this stuff is a joke. It’s a hoax, it’s a false flag, it is fake news! The whole idea is to attempt to repress Republican attacks on the Democrats, and especially Republican attacks on the media, because they’re so effective. I mean think about it,  what is the narrative here? Because the President and others say that the media is fake, people are sending bombs in the mail and therefore the president shouldn’t do that. How does this make any sense at all? There is no logic to it. If you actually wrote it out in a proper syllogistic form, you would see that it doesn’t work, it’s bad logic,  and it’s bad rhetoric too because everybody knows it’s fake I mean, you’re going to solve the problem of the news you push being fake by creating more fake news? The narrative is just absolutely ludicrous.

As you’d expect, Neon Revolt has considerably more on the Fake News Fake Bombs.

UPDATE: They’re doubling down on their false flaggery. Robert De Niro? Seriously?

Investigators seized two more suspected package explosives — one addressed to former Vice President Joe Biden in Delaware and one addressed to Robert De Niro in New York


The fakest of fake news

Oh noes! Those hateful haters in the Republican party are MAILING PIPE BOMBS to places that are almost guaranteed not to harm anyone, least of all the Democratic politicians and media figures who are the putative targets!

Clearly this means we have no choice but to a) disarm all Americans and b) vote for Democrats. The logic is irrefutable.

Explosive devices addressed to Hillary Clinton’s home and the house of former President Barack Obama were intercepted, and the Time Warner Center that is home to CNN in New York City was evacuated after a suspicious package was sent there, officials said.

Investigators are working to determine whether the two devices addressed to Clinton and Obama are connected to a pipe bomb found earlier this week in the home mailbox of billionaire George Soros near where the Clintons live in Chappaqua, New York, multiple law enforcement officials told ABC News.

I haven’t seen anything this Fake News since a literal actor “attacked” Comet Pizza by firing a single gunshot at the floor when the owner was out. I mean, at least when the Nazis Fake-Newsed the Reichstag, they actually burned it down.

UPDATE: Okay, this is even more fake.

A suspicious package has been found at U.S. Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz’ office in Sunrise, police said. “Yes, I can confirm there’s a suspicious package and we’re handling it right now.” Broward Sheriff Scott Israel said.

Broward County Sheriff’s Office… now that does sound familiar, does it not?

UPDATE: Well, now we have a good idea who mailed them… to himself and others.

CNN on Wednesday reported that the suspicious package that forced an evacuation of its New York headquarters was addressed to former CIA director John Brennan, a frequent Trump critic and MSNBC contributor.

UPDATE: The Littlest Chickenhawk characteristically weighs in:

If your first reaction to some evil person sending bombs to a variety of politicians on one side of the aisle is “FALSE FLAG,” you are officially deranged.
– Ben Shapiro

Or, you know, capable of basic pattern recognition. I guess it takes more than a 115 IQ to figure that out.


“Use that word”

The God-Emperor has spoken:

America is winning again. America is respected again because we are the first We’re putting America first. It hasn’t happened in a lot of decade. We’re putting them first We’re taken care of ourselves for a change Like that guy, but not that much. But radical democrats want to turn back the clock For the rule of corrupt power hungry, globalist, globalist. You know what globalist is? A globalist is a person that wants the globe to do well, frankly, not caring about our country so much.

And you know what, we can’t have that. You know they have a word. It sort of became old fashioned, It’s called a nationalist, and I say really, we’re not supposed to use that word. You know what I am? I’m a nationalist, okay? I’m a nationalist. Nationalist. Nothing wrong. Use that word. Use that word.

They reported yesterday that Donald Trump was unpopular with foreign nations, He’s one of the most unpopular president in the history of polling, And I said No, I said, Of course, I’m unpopular with foreign nations because we’re not letting them rip us off anymore.

I, too, am a nationalist. Not a civic nationalist. Not an creedal nationalist. Not a paper nationalist. Not any kind of Fake Nationalist. Because I simply don’t have faith in the Satanic religion of Babel and I don’t believe int the beneficence of Eine Welt, Ein Volk, Ein Reich like the globalists and the Fake Nationalists do.

The God-Emperor’s will and his nationalism are about to be tested by the caravan of invaders. Let us hope, let us pray, that he rises to the challenge and does what must be done.


Accepting the minimum truth

The Economist is attempting to square the circle between standing by its globalist principles while minimizing the inevitable political consequences of those principles:

Matteo Salvini, Italy’s hard-right interior minister, deputy prime minister and leader of its Northern League, is surging in the popularity polls. Mr Salvini is likely in due course to become Italy’s leader in large part because of his uncompromising stance on immigration. “People whose only contact with immigrants is with the Filipino servant who takes the dog for a walk in the evening are in favour of immigration, but they have no idea of how immigration is lived in the peripheries,” he said in July.

That, in a nutshell, is the charge made against smug liberals who champion “open borders”. They get all the benefits of large-scale migration from low-wage countries: cheap nannies, Uber drivers, decorators, waiters, sandwich-makers, chambermaids and dog-walkers. But they don’t rely on public housing, tend to have private health-care and often pay for private education so that their children are not brought up in classes where, in some cases, their native tongue is spoken by a minority.

Meanwhile those locals not so fortunate as the cosmopolitan elite (who kid themselves that they deserve their good fortune because they worked hard, ignoring that they started life on third base) often compete with people who will work for less because they are prepared to live in dorms or bedsits, having left their families at home.

It is a crude oversimplification. Economically, migrants are a net plus. European Union migrants in Britain, for example, typically contribute more in taxes and take less in benefits than the natives they ostensibly “compete” with. In global utilitarian terms, the benefits of migration to the migrants themselves are much greater than the downside, if indeed there is one, to the native-born. For the host country, more labour means a bigger economy, so that more money is available to be spent on the schools, hospitals and houses needed to accomodate the newcomers (though in these straitened times the money is often not spent on doing that). The liberal case for more immigration is pretty clear.

The trouble is, many liberal leaders forgot to ask citizens if they wanted large-scale migration from distant lands. And it turns out that a large number of them did not.

What the Economist calls “a crude oversimplification” is the truth. What is actually “a crude oversimplification” that is false is the claim that “economically, migrants are a net plus”. That claim is only viable in certain circumstances, when GDP is substituted for native economic wealth per capita.

In fact, given the way GDP is measured, it is a tautology; moving the entire population of China into the United States would also be a net plus, economically. The Japanese invasion of Manchuria was also a massive net plus, economically. The fundamental error of the Economist is to assume that all economic growth is intrinsically desirable, no matter what the cost.


Backing down on the “Blue Wave”

The media knows they’ve failed to successfully push their false narrative about a big Democratic voting wave next month, so the pollsters are already backing away from their predictions in order to avoid looking foolish again:

Independent analysts have recently downgraded the number of seats Democrats are expected to flip. Two weeks ago, Cook Political Report’s David Wasserman predicted Democrats could pick up 30 to 40 seats; now he puts the range at 25 to 35. Wasserman estimated that Republicans have a 30 percent chance of keeping the majority.

By November 4th, that prediction will be 5-10 seats.


Do your job

The God-Emperor should be angry. If invaders are still crossing the border, then someone clearly isn’t doing his – or her – job.

President Donald Trump’s chief of staff and his national security adviser engaged in a heated argument outside the Oval Office on Thursday, according to three people familiar with the episode.

The chief of staff, John Kelly, and the national security adviser, John Bolton, fought over immigration and border crossings, including the performance of the Homeland Security Department under Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen, one person familiar with the matter said. She was at the White House for meetings on Thursday, but the people disagreed about whether she witnessed the argument.

Bolton criticized DHS, and Kelly defended Nielsen, a former deputy whom he supported to replace him at the department. Two people described the exchange as less a shouting match than an intense argument. Kelly then stormed away, so upset that he uttered some profanities.

Bolton and Nielsen had a good conversation after Kelly and Bolton’s argument, a White House official said. Both believe the goal is to protect the border, the official said.

Trump has lately expressed fury about a large group of migrants who are traveling from Honduras toward the U.S. border. He vowed Thursday to deploy the military and shut down the Mexican border unless the migrants are turned back.

I don’t pretend to know the real deal. Perhaps it is kabuki to keep the mainstream media occupied. But Kelly too often comes across like a true blue Swamp creature whose primary job is to convince Trump not to follow his instincts.