Tag: politics

Audacious Epigone makes the common mistake of believing the available evidence just because it is available:

From the GOP’s perspective, Texas and Georgia are terminal but the party’s electoral winter need not necessarily set in during the 2020s. If the party is able to sustain its 2016 gains in the upper Midwest while additionally picking off a couple of small New England states like Maine and New Hampshire, Republicans could continue to win presidential elections into the 2040s.

• 368 Biden
• 170 Trump

Polling up to this point shows Trump not only getting crushed in Michigan and Pennsylvania but also beaten in Ohio, so seeing the path to continued electoral relevance and managing to walk down it are two very different things.

• 328 Sanders
• 210 Trump

• 293 Warren
• 239 Trump

Polling is incomplete for the rest of the Democrat field. Several states also have results for Buttigieg, but a few do not. He falls in between Sanders and Warren in how he fares against Trump in the states he’s included in.

This is a complete non-issue. The pollsters haven’t suddenly improved their performance since getting it wrong in 2016. To the contrary, they have doubled down on their demoralization campaign, attempting to meme their imagination into reality. But it won’t work.

Think about this: do Democrats appear to be confident about their prospects the next presidential election? Or do they appear to be desperately casting about for someone, anyone, who might have at least a ghost of a chance of beating the god-emperor?

Trumpslide 2020.

The Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn is done:

Labour was engulfed in a brutal civil war this morning as moderates warned of ’20 years of Tory rule’ unless Jeremy Corbyn’s supporters were removed from positions of power.

The bitter recrimination between Mr Corbyn’s hard-Left supporters and more moderate factions began as soon as the exit polls last night accurately predicted the party’s brutal pummelling at the hands of voters.

As Mr Corbyn revealed he would not fight another general election as opposition leader his closest confidants were quick to blame Brexit, the weather and his opponents to deflect from his failings in his four years in charge.

And so is the Liberal Democrat Party leader Jo Swinson:

The Liberal Democrats turned on their leader Jo Swinson today after she was ousted from her own seat in Scotland following a disastrous General Election campaign.

The party’s former deputy leader Simon Hughes launched a scathing attack on her as he said ‘every strategic decision’ taken since she took over had been wrong.

It came after Miss Swinson, 39, lost East Dunbartonshire to the SNP’s Amy Callaghan by just 149 votes – and when the result came in First Minister Nicola Sturgeon was caught on camera in nearby Glasgow celebrating like a football fan.

Today, Mr Hughes told Sky News: ‘Every single decision taken since Jo became the leader and Ed became the deputy leader has been the wrong decision. Every strategic decision. They decided to go for revoking Article 50, having ignored the referendum. They decided that they could argue that that was because we might be a majority government. Incredible, incredible – nobody believed it.’

The nationalist trend is in full effect now. Whether the politicians embrace it or not is irrelevant. People want to live among their own kind according to their own traditions, not in artificial multiracial, multicultural empires where they are forced to endure foreign rule, foreign traditions, and foreign religions.

Ms Swinson, 39, blamed a ‘wave of nationalism’ both north and south of the Scottish border for her party’s woes as the Tories and SNP gained seats. 

It’s not the first wave and it won’t be the last one. And yes, Boris Johnson may well be a gatekeeper who has been anointed in order to manage the wave. But it doesn’t matter and it won’t work. The gates are going to shatter under the pressure of the multigenerational socionomic trend.

A big Conservative win is projected by the exit polls.

368 Conservatives
191 Labour
55 Scottish National Party
13 Liberal Democrats

The projected majority of 86 would be the biggest Tory majority since 1983 and 191 seats would be the worst Labour performance since 1935. The Brexit Party is not projected to win any seats and the Greens are only projected to win one.

These results are very good news, as they indicate that the multigenerational trend towards nationalism about which I’ve been writing for the last few years not only continues apace, but is in the process of entering another expansionary phase.

It would appear the British media’s recent campaign to anoint Jeremy Corbyn as the New Hitler and paint the Labour Party as the Nazi Party 2.0 has backfired with a vengeance:

Boris Johnson is on course to win the general election with a majority of 28, but his lead over Labour has more than halved in the final weeks of the campaign, according to the polling analysis which correctly predicted a hung parliament in 2017.

YouGov’s final MRP model predicts that the Conservatives will win 339 seats, with Jeremy Corbyn’s party on 231 and the Liberal Democrats on 15.

The seat-by-seat model, which is based on thousands of interviews, puts the Tories on 43 per cent of the vote and Labour on 34 per cent. The forecast suggests the race has tightened since the previous MRP results on November 27 showed the Tories on course for a majority of 68.

There are other possible explanations, of course. One is that the UK media stopped talking about Brexit for the last three weeks, and short memories have convinced Labour’s Leave voters to stand by their traditional party identification. Another is that the pollsters are doing their usual job of pro-Labour puffery, although this would tend to be contradicted by the non-stop anti-semitism campaign of the last month.

And then there is always the perfectly reasonable suggestion that the media simply has no idea what it is talking about. We’ll find out soon enough. Regardless, it is worth noting that a majority of 28 is not at all a bad outcome for the Conservative Party, as buried deep in the body of the article is this little fact.

A majority of 28 would be the Conservatives’ best result since Margaret Thatcher’s third election victory in 1987. 

The first step towards Trumpslide 2020 has been accomplished:

California Senator Kamala Harris is dropping out of the crowded field of Democrats angling to become their party’s presidential candidate. Harris tweeted a message to supporters on Tuesday saying “it is with deep regret—but also with deep gratitude—that I am suspending my campaign today.”

I’m no fan of Tulsi Gabbard, but she did finish Harris off as slickly as a Venetian with a glass dagger.

This guy gets it. The God-Emperor is beyond next level:

China just announced they would allow rice imports from the U.S. for the first time in their history.

Read that again.

Trump just sold rice to CHINA.

What a f*cking legend.

Great stuff. I can’t wait until he gets around to Hollywood and Silicon Valley.

UPDATE: Fifty-three percent of Republicans said Trump was a better president than Lincoln, while 47 percent chose the Civil War-era leader.

The majority is not wrong. Trump is a MUCH better president than Lincoln.

Adam Schiff has publicly floated the idea of the House holding onto the articles of impeachment instead of passing them on to the Senate as “a sealed indictment”:

We now have the spectacle of Bug-eyes Schiff and former Michigan Democrat Governor Jennifer Granholm laying out a scenario on the Sunday morning talk shows in which the seditious Democrats would go ahead and vote on articles of impeachment before congress recesses for the Christmas holidays, but then hold them up indefinitely while the House Intelligence Committee under Schiff’s control continues its clown show witch hunt.

The Democrat theory of the day being that Republicans can’t begin a Senate trial until the articles have been formally transmitted to them by the House. Here is what Schiff had to say to CNN’s fake host Jake Tapper:

“We have continued to learn more information every day. And I think that is going to continue,” he said on CNN. “So, we may have to file addendums to that report. We may have other depositions and hearings to do.”

Later on the same program, after Schiff laid out his strategy for ongoing investigations as far as the eye can see, Granholm detailed the other side of this latest un-American tactic:

 “It is important to consider as Democrats to slow our roll a little bit. I was glad to hear that Adam Schiff said there is other information and this is not the end of things. And people are saying before you toss it over to the Senate, why don’t you take your vote on what you’ve heard and just hold it. Seal it, like a sealed indictment until you’ve gathered what you think is necessary to convince the jury that has already made up its mind. I don’t think we’re there yet.”

Yeah, sure, just seal it like an indictment, and keep the nation in limbo for as long as ol’ Bug-eyes sees fit.

This of course is what is known in the DC Swamp as a “trial balloon.” Schiff and Granholm obviously coordinated their remarks in advance to roll this concept out and see what kind of reaction it creates in the public and among their corrupt media toadies like Fake Jake Tapper.

It’s not a trial balloon, it’s a hapless bluff meant to stop the forces of the God-Emperor from unsealing all the thousands of indictments that will launch the long-awaited Swarm. And, of course, it is a virtual admission that the case for impeachment the Democrats have constructed is bound to fail. Which is precisely why the President should not accept their tacit offer of leaving things with the status quo; he has them on the ropes, he knows it, and now he knows they know it too.

They know none of the Democratic candidates can defeat the God-Emperor. So they’ve turned directly to one of their own:

Billionaire and former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, one of the world’s richest men, has formally launched a Democratic bid for president.

Ending weeks of speculation, the 77-year-old former Republican announced his candidacy Sunday in a written statement posted on a campaign website describing himself as uniquely positioned to defeat President Donald Trump. He will quickly follow with a massive advertising campaign blanketing airways in key primary states across the U.S.

“I’m running for president to defeat Donald Trump and rebuild America,” Bloomberg wrote.

“We cannot afford four more years of President Trump’s reckless and unethical actions,” he continued. “He represents an existential threat to our country and our values. If he wins another term in office, we may never recover from the damage.”

As a centrist with deep ties to Wall Street, Bloomberg is expected to struggle among the party’s energized progressive base. He became a Democrat only last year. Yet his tremendous resources and moderate profile could be appealing in a primary contest that has become, above all, a quest to find the person best-positioned to deny Trump a second term next November. Forbes ranked Bloomberg as the 11th-richest person in the world last year with a net worth of roughly $50 billion.

And by “we”, you understand that he doesn’t mean us, kemosabes. Wall Street is obviously scared.

They’re just so advanced! Seriously, though, who reads about the convoluted maze that is Israeli politics and then concludes, “you know, the USA would just be so much better if only it had super-smart people like that running the media, the courts, and the financial system?”

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has been indicted on charges of bribery, fraud and breach of trust, Attorney General Avichai Mandelblit announced Thursday, prolonging the country’s political uncertainty as it looks set to head into its third national election in a year.

Netanyahu, who has denied any wrongdoing and said he is the victim of a “witch hunt” and “political coup,” faces up to 10 years in prison if convicted of bribery and a maximum 3-year term for fraud and breach of trust, according to legal experts.

The Israeli inability to form a stable government does certainly tend to confirm the DNA studies that indicate their Italian ancestry.

Gay Republican Pirate edition:

Dan Crenshaw@DanCrenshawTX
In 2020, remember this:

Republicans are the party of Uber.

Democrats are the party of taxi cab unions.

Own your own labor, work where you want and how you want, and embrace innovation. That’s conservatism.

So to conserve is to change? Allowing millions of foreigners to invade, to work where they want and to work how they want is conserving the nation and the society? This is 100-percent inversion. And where you see inversion, you can be certain there is pure sulfur underlying it.

UPDATE: Speaking of inversion, a neoclown is now selling tolerant liberal conservatism.

Eric Weinstein@EricRWeinstein
Don’t get sold the narrative that Trump now owns ALL US Conservatism. He does own a good chunk of it. But there‘s also a new strain of tolerant conservatism that‘s very liberal: relentlessly civil, anti-inequality, pro-logic, pro-gay, pro-weed, pro-free speech & multicultural.

President Trump doesn’t own conservatism. Conservatism is dead. And America will eventually be much the better for its passing.