Betting on a Trumpslide

A bigtime Vegas gambler is all in on Trumpslide 2020:

My friend drove a taxi in Vegas in those days. She asked every customer who got in the cab, “I’m taking a survey. There are no hidden cameras. No one will ever know what you said. Who are you voting for?” She kept a running score. Close to 100{4e01b0bc4ab012654d0c5016d8cbf558644ab2e53259aa2c40b66b3b20e8967d} of her cab customers told her “Trump.” This, of course, didn’t match anything we heard from the pollsters. My gut told me this amateur cab driver poll was more significant than all the pollsters combined.

Knowing all this, I made the biggest bet of my life on Trump. I got 6 to 1 odds. Hillary was given a 99{4e01b0bc4ab012654d0c5016d8cbf558644ab2e53259aa2c40b66b3b20e8967d} chance of winning only three days before the election. We all know how that turned out.

Guess what? It’s Groundhog Day. It’s happening all over again.

The same exact pollsters have Trump losing by double digits again. The media is gloating. Democrats are already measuring the curtains at the White House. What a mistake.

Trump is a real-life Rocky Balboa. Trump is screaming “Hit me, c’mon, hit me, I dare you.” He gets hit, but he never goes down. Trump has failed a hundred times in business. He’s lost his entire fortune. At one point he was worth negative $4 billion. And of course, we all know he was counted out a thousand times during the 2016 election campaign.

But just like Rocky Balboa, you can never count Trump out. He’s relentless. I like to give this priceless advice: No one has ever gotten rich betting against America, or Donald J. Trump.

It’s all happening again- except on steroids. The polls are crooked- again. And of course, if anyone thought it was dangerous to announce your support of Trump in 2016, that was a picnic compared to today. Today you can be beaten to death for wearing a Trump cap. Today you can be firebombed for putting a Trump sign on your lawn. Today you will lose your job for saying “All Lives Matter.”

Today the liberal mob is destroying George Washington and Abraham Lincoln statues. They’re setting fire to the Virgin Mary. They’re looting and burning police stations. Democrat Governors are preventing you from going to church. Democrat Mayors are painting taxpayer-funded streets with “Black Lives Matter.” Here’s the best one of all: Museum curators are being fired for buying art pieces from white artists.

Today you’re taking your job, career, business and life in your hands to admit anywhere, to anyone, you support Trump.

You still think those polls are accurate? You don’t see it coming? This is Groundhog Day. And Trump is Rocky Balboa.

Trump’s not just going to win. It’s going to be an electoral landslide.

I’m not a gambler, so I don’t advise betting on anything. I prefer strategic certainty before taking action; if I can’t arrange a Xanatos gambit where either “success” or “failure” are equally acceptable, I simply don’t play.

That being said, the odds right now are about as generous as they are likely to be before Trump exposes Creepy Joe in the debates. So, while I would not recommend betting the house, it’s probably a very good time to put down $10 or so for post-election bragging rights. Because the guy is right, the polls are not only broken, they are entirely irrelevant at this point.


The Trumpslide continues

If people were surprised by Trump’s victory in 2016, they’re going to be flabbergasted in 2020. Never forget that the media doesn’t just lie about basic facts, it outright fabricates the entire narrative:

Late last month, the Democratic data firm TargetSmart found that while new voter registrations had plummeted amid the coronavirus pandemic, those who were registering in competitive states tended to be whiter, older and less Democratic than before.

When he saw the numbers, Ben Wessel, executive director of NextGen America, said he “got nervous,” and other Democratic-leaning groups felt the same.

The report seemed to confirm what state elections officials and voter registration groups had been seeing in the field for weeks: Neither Democrats nor Republicans had been registering many voters during the pandemic. But Democrats were suffering disproportionately from the slowdown.

Last month in Iowa, where the race between Trump and Joe Biden is surprisingly close, Republicans nosed back ahead of Democrats in active registrations after ceding the lead to Democrats for the first time in years.

There are lots of frightened white Democrats who are going to vote Republican for the first time in 2020 thanks to Black Looming Menace.


A harder line

The media cheers the politicization and weaponization of the social media companies:

The nation’s technology industry has begun taking a harder line against hate speech, misinformation and posts that potentially incite violence when made by President Donald Trump and some of his most extreme supporters after years of treating such issues gingerly amid fear of triggering the wrath of the nation’s most powerful politician.

The moves, such as labeling false posts by Trump and banishing forums devoted to supporting him after years of policy violations, have taken place across the industry in recent weeks, with actions by Twitter, Reddit, Snapchat, YouTube and the live-streaming platform Twitch.

Even Facebook, which long has given wide latitude in allowing problematic posts by Trump and his followers, on Wednesday closed down a network of more than 100 accounts and pages affiliated with Trump confidante and convicted felon Roger Stone. The action came years after his use of social media first came under the scrutiny of federal investigators and involved issues dating back to 2015 that the company said it had unearthed only recently.

Of course they’re “taking a harder line”. They’re desperate to prevent President Trump’s reelection. It’s long past time for conservatives to wake up and start treating the enemy as the enemies they are.


The Trumpslide is still on

Remember, the vote is not between President Trump and some mythical crossbreed of FDR, JFK, and Obama, it’s between him and a candidate who is so much worse than an obviously sick Hillary Clinton that they have to keep him out of sight of the media 24-7.

Professor Helmut Norpoth from Stony Brook University told Lou Dobbs on August 16th, 2016, that Donald Trump had an 87{be34cf4e072da35a0c04a2e221243f4cbc894a96c0bad199497f322617eb5c82} chance of winning the 2016 Presidential election.
trump green bay

Professor Norpoth is a political science professor at Long Island’s Stony Brook University. His model has been correct since 1996 on predicting the popular vote. Helmut joined Lou Dobbs again tonight to discuss the 2020 election.  He gives President Trump a 91{be34cf4e072da35a0c04a2e221243f4cbc894a96c0bad199497f322617eb5c82} chance of winning the 2020 Presidential election.

His odds will probably go up as white Americans get even more tired of BLM antics over the summer.


You ain’t a woman

Creepy Joe Biden doubles down:

In a recent interview with a female representative of the segment of the human species identifying as female, Biden made a strong case for why all women everywhere should vote for him without question, or at least let him sniff their hair.

“Look, the thing, you know what it is,” Biden said. “The womenfolk know what’s at stake in this election. It’s hairy simple. Just let me vote on you, or you vote for me, the vote, b-b-b-blond applesauce baloney. Simple choice. If you don’t let me smell your hair, you ain’t a woman!” Biden then sat back in his chair with a smile, having “totally nailed” another interview….

Witnesses then walked in on Biden conversing with a Cabbage Patch doll who he mistook for a female interviewer. After hearing the news, feminists around the country responded by lining up outside Biden’s house to get a complimentary hair sniff, thereby affirming their statuses as real women.

It’s just getting harder and harder for satire to keep up with reality these days.


You ain’t black

If you ain’t be voting for no Creepy Joe!

“If you’ve got a problem figuring out whether you’re for me or for Trump, then you ain’t black.”
– Joe Biden

What I find telling, if not even remotely surprising, is the fact that a search for Biden’s words already results primarily in references to his apology. See, it’s a non-story now. He has already apologized. It would be unfair and wrong to hold his words against him. Besides, it was just a jest, which of course should not be confused with a racist joke.

This is another way to easily ascertain who has taken the ticket and who has not. If you cross a media-declared line, you apologize, and your apology is not only accepted immediately, but results in the instant disappearance of your offense, you have taken the ticket.

If, on the other hand, your apology is taken as a confession of your guilt and is completely ignored as you are beaten over the head with your words until the end of time, you probably have not sold your soul to the god of this world.


Seems legit

Apparently they’re conducting polls for Republicans at the offices of the Daily Wire now:

Republicans overwhelmingly expect President Trump to be their nominee this fall, but nearly one-in-four GOP voters would prefer someone else.

Sure they would. Let’s face it. The truth is that we’re all pining for Jeb Bush. There is a man you want in a crisis.

Please clap.


Obama is getting nervous

The ex-president is starting to speak out in a very un-ex-presidential manner:

Former President Barack Obama harshly criticized President Donald Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic as an “absolute chaotic disaster” during a conversation with ex-members of his administration, according to a recording obtained by Yahoo News.

Obama also reacted to the Justice Department dropping its criminal case against Trump’s first national security adviser, Michael Flynn, saying he worried that the “basic understanding of rule of law is at risk.”

Translation: “I’m worried that the charade is about to be exposed.” He’s also not telling the truth.

President Obama is being quoted on Flynn, saying “There is no precedent that anybody can find for someone who has been charged with perjury just getting off scot-free.” It is a curious statement. First and foremost, Flynn was not charged with perjury.
— Jonathan Turley

And this might explain Obama’s strange actions:

“Sources are telling Watters’ World that Attorney General Bill Barr was just given a trove of smoking gun documents that could point directly at former President Barack Obama, revealing his powerful connection to ‘Spygate’ and the Russia hoax.


Impossible?

Martin van Creveld, the author of Equality: The Impossible Quest, has written a five-part essay on modern feminism and what he sees as its inevitable consequences.

I. Introduction

Want to know what the strangest thing about modern feminism is? Not the derogatory things many feminists say about other women (“only anxious to inspire love, when they ought to cherish a nobler ambition:” Mary Wollstonecraft, the mother of modern feminism and author of A Vindication of the Rights of Women). Not the foolishness of many of the claims its proponents keep on making, e.g that men designed the famous qwerty keyboard specifically to make the lives of female secretaries hard. Nor the fact that it often comes at the cost of women’s health and welfare, as when they try to compete with men in fields where the latter’s greater physical force and resistance to dirt gives them a clear advantage; thereby inviting injury and shortening their own lives. Nor the truly nauseating combination of aggression and self-pity which has become its trademark. But the fact that so many men tolerate it, abet it, and even help push it forward.

Consider. When men demonstrate for their rights, which is something they have done many, many times throughout history, they are often shot dead. In the words of a nineteenth-century German proverb, gegen Demokraten helfen nur Soldaten (against democrats, the only remedy is soldiers). When women do the same as, qua women, some of them started doing during the last decades of the nineteenth century, normally the very worst they can expect is a short and relatively comfortable prison sentence. Even the Nazis, notorious for ruthlessness, did not treat their German male and female opponents equally.

It was only in 1938, five years after “the seizure of power,” that the first female victim of National Socialist “justice” was put to death (along with two male comrades with whom she had been passing state secrets to the Russians). It was only in the same year that the first concentration camp for women, Moehringen, opened its gates. Later Ravensbrueck, the most important camp for women, was distinguished by its relatively low mortality rate. So much better did the Nazis treat lesbians than male homosexuals that, come 1942-43, some ministry of justice officials asked their superiors to please explain why the former should be left off the hook. To that request, they never received an answer.

Part II. The Road to Herland, will appear tomorrow.


Be careful whom you hire

It rather looks as if General Flynn’s original legal team was working for the other side:

After Flynn pleaded guilty to making false statements to federal investigators, representatives of multiple congressional committees with oversight responsibility for national security matters asked Flynn’s lawyers if Flynn would testify before Congress in exchange for a congressional grant of immunity. Robert Kelner, Flynn’s attorney at the time, immediately dismissed the overtures, sources told The Federalist. During one conversation, Kelner allegedly responded that in situations like the one facing Flynn, the prosecution essentially “owns” the defendant and added that he would be unlikely to pursue congressional testimony without the approval of former Spygate Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s office.

Flynn was not told of these immunity conversations with congressional officials before they were rejected on his behalf.

If you haven’t read The Trial of Roger Stone yet, you may not realize what a Potemkin Village the U.S. legal system is. It’s no more legitimate than the infamous Stalin-era Soviet show trials. And you can’t expect a team that has been paid to throw the game to put up much of a defense.