One way or another

Since they were unable to get all 50 attorneys general to sign on to the ex post facto legal whitewashing of their massive title fraud, it appears that some bankers may have decided to take more direct action to cover their tracks:

The notary who signed tens of thousands of false documents in a massive robo-signing scandal case was found dead in her home on Monday. The notary, 43-year-old Tracy Lawrence, was supposed to be in court at 8:30 Monday morning for her sentencing hearing. When her attorney did not hear from her for more than an hour, Sr. Deputy Attorney General Robert Giunta asked for a bench warrant to be issued for Lawrence. The judge denied the request.

Police were sent to Lawrence’s house to check on her after her lawyer expressed concern for her client’s well-being. They found her body inside her home.

I have little doubt the coroner will determine that she committed suicide by shooting herself three times. In the back of the head.


Destroying the currency to save it

Apparently no one thought through the obvious implications of refusing to recognize an obvious credit event:

[P]erhaps the biggest sin of the lot was effectively to render all credit default swaps (a form of insurance against default) on sovereign debt essentially worthless, or void, by making the Greek default “voluntary”.

This has made it impossible to hedge against eurozone sovereign debt purchases, and thereby destroyed the market. Worse, it’s made investors believe that the euro cannot be trusted, that it’ll repeatedly find ways of reneging on contract. That’s the point of no return. This is no longer a serious currency.

It’s really astonishing that the European Union has refused to recognize that Greece has gone bankrupt. In trying to save the banks holding sovereign Greek debt, they went and destroyed the value of all the trillions in credit default swaps. It’s like declaring that corpses aren’t really dead, so therefore the insurance companies don’t have to pay out on any life insurance policies. That might save a company or two in the short term, but it destroys them all in the intermediate term for the obvious reason that no one is ever going to waste their money on life insurance again.


Invest in metals

If Karl Denninger is correct, lead and gold are about the only worthwhile investments these days:

It will not be long ladies and gentlemen, when the bulk of the folks running the algorithms deduce that they’re exposed to the same risks – they have to post margin too, you know, and if it can be stolen then their capital isn’t safe either. These deposits aren’t supposed to be “at risk” when there’s no position actively open — that’s a performance bond against possible failure to pay, but is supposed to be exactly as safe as a bank deposit in a checking account under FDIC limits.

Well, it wasn’t. The CDS you bought on Greece wasn’t. And it will only take another event like this or two before people conclude that everything is unsound as the jackals running the game will redefine the meaning of words to suit themselves and, failing that will simply steal the money.

30+ years of lawless behavior has now devolved down to blatant, in-your-face theft. They don’t even bother trying to hide it any more, and Eric “Place” Holder is too busy supervising the running of guns into Mexico so the drug cartels can shoot both Mexican and American citizens.

What am I, or anyone else, supposed to do in this sort of “market” environment? Invest in…. what? Land titles are worthless as they’ve been corrupted by robosigning, margin deposits have been stolen, Madoff’s clients had confirmations of trades that never happend and proved to worthless pieces of paper instead of valuable securities and while Madoff went to prison nobody else has and the money is still gone!

Without enforcement of the law — swift and certain — there is no deterrent against this behavior.

There has been no enforcement and there is no indication that this will change.

It will take just one — or maybe two — more events like MF Global and Greek CDS “determinations” before the entire market — all of it — goes “no bid” as participants simply stuff their hands in their pockets and say “screw this.”

It’s coming folks, and I guarantee you this: Whatever your “nightmare” scenario is for such an event, it’s not bearish enough.

What concerns me most about all of this is that with a few minor exceptions, most of my economic predictions have been correct with regards to the trend and incorrect because they were too optimistic. Since my medium term predictions are fairly negative, although not catastrophic, you can understand that this pattern of being overly optimistic tends to concern me somewhat.

For example, I expected firms like MF Global to collapse. But I did not expect to hear that they had stolen over a billion dollars that their clients had on account with them. The fraud and the outright theft by the cancerous financial sector is clearly much worse than I, or nearly anyone, had imagined. The fact that Corzine could operate without the proper license, then steal over ONE BILLION DOLLARS without being questioned, much less arrested, will destroy more confidence than even the most heroic measures pushed by the Federal Reserve, the government, and the financial media can create.

Karl is sometimes accused, and not entirely unfairly, of having some chicken little tendencies. But when Chicken Little turns out to be overly optimistic in some regards, it would appear to be indicative of a fairly serious situation.


The end of the casino

I don’t think we’re actually quite there yet, but perhaps we can hope that the end is in sight:

CNBC is reporting that there are now clients running out of the markets entirely because they do not believe their customer funds are safe.

That’s the end of it. The belief that there are more MF Globals has now taken hold. The thieves have pushed it too far and now we’ve got the start of a global liquidity run, and with good reason.

The authorities both in the regulatory side and on the prosecutorial side have reufsed to put a stop to the thievery and now the risk factors have turned into realized risk.

The market is done folks. You can be right but if you make your bet in the markets, are right, and then get screwed anyway when someone steals the money and nobody goes to jail there comes a time when people begin to understand that it can happen to them and will unless they depart the market.

We’re there folks.

This accompanies news from ZeroHedge that Corzine and the banksters at MF Global legally stole more than $1.2 billion of their clients’ money and “invested” it on MF Global’s behalf prior to losing it. I’ve been saying Wall Street is a casino, not an investment market, for years and recommended staying away from it. But if you’re putting money in the market now, with the knowledge that you can lose your money even if you bet correctly, you’re just stupid.

Ironically, small businesses will probably find it much easier to find investment once the casino is abandoned en masse, since investors will tend to go back to investing capital in actual companies instead of paper instruments leveraged to fictional paper assets.


Jane Galt quits the markets

Barnhardt Capital Management shuts down. Ann Barnhardt explains her belief in “the inevitability of the collapse of the global financial markets, the overthrow of our government, and the resulting collapse in the rule of law.”

Everything changed just a few short weeks ago. A firm, led by a crony of the Obama regime, stole all of the non-margined cash held by customers of his firm. Let’s not sugar-coat this or make this crime seem “complex” and “abstract” by drowning ourselves in six-dollar words and uber-technical jargon. Jon Corzine STOLE the customer cash at MF Global. Knowing Jon Corzine, and knowing the abject lawlessness and contempt for humanity of the Marxist Obama regime and its cronies, this is not really a surprise. What was a surprise was the reaction of the exchanges and regulators. Their reaction has been to take a bad situation and make it orders of magnitude worse. Specifically, they froze customers out of their accounts WHILE THE MARKETS CONTINUED TO TRADE, refusing to even allow them to liquidate. This is unfathomable. The risk exposure precedent that has been set is completely intolerable and has destroyed the entire industry paradigm. No informed person can continue to engage these markets, and no moral person can continue to broker or facilitate customer engagement in what is now a massive game of Russian Roulette.

I have learned over the last week that MF Global is almost certainly the mere tip of the iceberg. There is massive industry-wide exposure to European sovereign junk debt. While other firms may not be as heavily leveraged as Corzine had MFG leveraged, and it is now thought that MFG’s leverage may have been in excess of 100:1, they are still suicidally leveraged and will likely stand massive, unmeetable collateral calls in the coming days and weeks as Europe inevitably collapses. I now suspect that the reason the Chicago Mercantile Exchange did not immediately step in to backstop the MFG implosion was because they knew and know that if they backstopped MFG, they would then be expected to backstop all of the other firms in the system when the failures began to cascade – and there simply isn’t that much money in the entire system. In short, the problem is a SYSTEMIC problem, not merely isolated to one firm….

And so, to the very unpleasant crux of the matter. The futures and options markets are no longer viable. It is my recommendation that ALL customers withdraw from all of the markets as soon as possible so that they have the best chance of protecting themselves and their equity. The system is no longer functioning with integrity and is suicidally risk-laden. The rule of law is non-existent, instead replaced with godless, criminal political cronyism.

Well, I tried to warn you that Wall Street was nothing but a casino anymore. There is no more genuine investment or financing of capitalist activity on Wall Street than there is in Las Vegas. It’s nothing more than borrowing – or stealing – money to place it on red… then scream for government bailouts when you lose.

The interesting question, which no one has even begun to answer, is how many other capital management firms have been gambling with their clients’ money. And how many have lost it all. I assure you, there is no chance Corzine’s MF Global was the only one.

UPDATE: it looks like the eurocontagion may be getting out of control rather quickly. This may be why Mervyn King of the Bank of England went public with his concerns about a credit crunch. The London Stock Exchange is becoming the lender of last resort for many banks in Italy as concerns over the country’s debt levels squeeze liquidity out of the Italian financial market. With cash increasingly hard to come by, Italy’s banks are turning to CC&G, the L.S.E’s Italian clearinghouse, for short-term lending. That includes some of the country’s largest financial institutions, including Unicredit and Mediobanca, according to a person close to the situation.


The first of many

This six hundred-count indictment is exactly what the Obama administration was hoping to prevent with its $20 billion wrist slap of the banking industry:

The 606-count indictment alleges that the two title officers, Gary Trafford and Gerri Sheppard, directed employees under their supervision to forge their names on foreclosure documents, then notarize the forged signatures, so that it appeared that the pair actually signed the documents.

The pair then allegedly directed the employees to file the fraudulent documents with the County Recorder’s office in Clark County, Nevada. The grand jury found “probable cause” that the alleged scheme “resulted in the filing of tens of thousands of fraudulent documents … between 2005 and 2008,” said Nevada Chief Deputy Attorney General John Kelleher.

This is all the result of the banks attempting to fraudulently fill in the blanks caused by their attempt to evade the county title system. And, as Karl Denninger has noted, this should be the first of many, many more prosecutions of banking executives and their employers.


Noch einmal

The Bank of England is warning that we’re back in two-two-two thousand and eight:

The eurozone crisis has left UK banks unable to raise the funding they need to make loans to businesses, evoking the spectre of the crunch that followed the collapse of Lehman Brothers. And on one critical measure — the cost of insuring banks against going bust — lenders are already facing tougher conditions than at the height of the crunch, the Bank said.

For the benefit of those who don’t speak Central Bank, “on the brink of a credit crunch” means “we expect there to be a serious financial crisis within months”. In the spring of 2008, the bankers I knew were all talking endlessly about the tightening of credit and the senseless calling of major credit lines. And we all know how that turned out in the fall.


Speaking of wholly owned

Goldman Sachs conquers Europe:

As Greece, Italy and the European Central Bank appointed new leaders in the midst of the worsening Euro crisis, observers rushed to find something that might link the cost-cutting crusaders. And it seems the scrutinisers have found a connection in the form of Goldman Sachs. The new president of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, Italy’s new prime minister, Mario Monti, and the new Greek prime minister Lucas Papademos all reportedly have the US investment bank as a common denominator.

And Monti has just set the whispers going by refusing to appoint a single elected official to his new cabinet. So, Italy now has an unelected leader buttressed by an unelected consigliere. Fortunately, Goldman has no such undue influence in the United States… wait a minute.


The banker’s president

Who would have thought Obama would turn out to be as wholly owned as John McCain?

President Obama dearly wants to seal a deal in which the nation’s largest banks toss over a few bales of cash — $20 billion to help with foreclosure relief — and the state attorneys general agree not to pursue sprawling and explosive legal cases against the banks.

Mr. Schneiderman and Attorney General Beau Biden of Delaware, joined by a few others, say no. Banks, they say, should disgorge more documents, testify more precisely and prove more completely that they own millions of mortgage notes. These rebel attorneys general want the banks to hand over more than $200 billion, which would enable the government to write down tens of millions of mortgages.

But in the end, their argument is elemental: Wouldn’t the nation benefit from knowing the truth about the behavior of banks and bankers?…

[T]he Obama administration has Shaun Donovan, secretary of housing and urban development; the economic adviser Gene Sperling; and Attorney General Eric H. Holder Jr. dialing liberals, activists and bloggers, urging them to pressure the rebellious attorneys general to forgo emotionally satisfying inquiries and take the deal.

Take the deal? It’s absurd on its face. Notice how desperate the banks are to close the doors on their past actions. Anytime someone is delighted to pay a $20 billion fine, you have to ask yourself what they are so eager to put behind them. It’s not just mark-to-market or Europe that will cause them to implode, it’s also their criminal activity. This combination of factors means that the big banks are eventually going to go down sooner or later, the only significant question is which blow will prove to be the lethal one.

It’s fascinating to see this perspective being presented in the New York Times, of all places.


The fearful foundations of the Fourth Reich

I wrote that a few years ago in a column about TARP. But things are arguably even worse in Europe, where the bankers have forced two non-democratic changes in government in Greece and Italy. But don’t think things can’t go from bad to worse; the normally sane Ambrose Evans-Pritchard is freaked out to the point that he is calling for diplomatic and economic war rather than simply allowing the whole debacle to collapse under its own weight.

In Italy they have already made matters worse. I doubt that much will change with “technocratic governments” in either Greece and Italy, yet immense damage has been done to democratic accountability. The EU Project has become both dangerous and insane….

You cannot allow the biggest bankruptcy in history to run its course – with calamitous domino implications – before all options have been exhausted.

One can only guess what is happening in the great global centres of power, but it would not surprise me if US President Barack Obama and China’s Hu Jintao start to intervene very soon, in unison and with massive diplomatic force. One can imagine joint telephone calls to Chancellor Angela Merkel more or less ordering her country to face up to the implications of the monetary union that Germany itself created and ran (badly).

Yes, this means mobilizing the full-firepower of the ECB – with a pledge to change EU Treaty law and the bank’s mandate – and perhaps some form of quantum leap towards a fiscal and debt union.

In other words, because the EU is an evil financial empire on the verge of collapse, the US and China should intervene, prop it up, and help it transform itself into the literal Fourth Reich. Since Evans-Pritchard has generally been an intelligent and reasonable observer of past EU antics, the hysterical nature of this column should suffice to demonstrate the extraordinarily dangerous nature of the situation.

And he’s wrong. The bankruptcy is going to happen no matter what measures are taken. The financial media has learned nothing from 2008. Desperately delaying the necessary surgery is not going to improve the chances that the patient will survive.