The NFL’s pursuit of “fairness” in potentially prioritizing win-loss records over division championships for playoff seeding has exposed how an even greater unfairness will be created if the league’s stupid proposal to devalue the divisions passes at the league owners’ meeting today.
The Commissioner wants the playoff tree to be reconfigured to tie seeding to record, without regard to whether a team won its division. The goal isn’t to promote equity when it comes to who’s at home and who’s on the road in the playoffs; the objective is to make late-season games more compelling by giving teams more to play for.
Whether that happens remains to be seen.
If the Commissioner gets his way on this (yes, the Lions proposed it, but the league office instigated it), it creates a separate issue as it relates to the scheduling formula.
Currently, every team plays: (1) six games against the three other teams in its division; (2) four games against all teams from another division in the conference, which rotates every year; (3) two games against the teams from the remaining divisions in the conference that finished in the same position the year before (first, second, third, fourth); (4) four games against all teams from a division in the other conference, which rotates every year; and (5) one game against a team from a division in the other conference that finished in the same position the year before.
By devaluing a division championship and emphasizing competition within the conference, the eight games every year that arise from an effort to ensure variety in schedule need to be reconsidered. Last year, the teams of the NFC North benefited from playing two of the weak divisions — the AFC South and NFC West. This year, it’ll be a much different story for the Lions, Vikings, Packers, and Bears; they play eight games against the teams of the AFC North and NFC East.
Likewise, the Rams have a very real chance at being in the No. 1 seed in 2025, given that they’ll play eight games against the teams of the AFC South and NFC South.
If a team’s record relative not to its division but to its conference will take on more importance in a playoff tree constructed based on total record, teams need to play more games in their conference. Ideally, every team would play one game against every other team in its conference — like college conferences did before they became too big to allow that.
If there is no value to divisions, or winning a division, then there is no reason to have the playoffs in the first place. Just do it like they do in soccer and award the conference championship to the team with the best record, and play the Super Bowl between the AFC and NFC champions.
But wait, that could be unfair to a team in one conference that had a better record than the best team in the other conference. So really, the playoffs should be eliminated altogether and the Super Bowl should be played between the teams with the two best records, regardless of conference.
Then again, isn’t that unfair to the team that finished with the best record? Why play the Super Bowl at all?
UPDATE: Another excellent suggestion that Roger Goodell should contemplate.
I just think there should be an equitable lottery of who should be the Super Bowl winner based on participation trophies.