Especially not this far ahead of the event being nominally polled:
If the 2020 presidential election were held today, 54 percent of registered voters say that they would vote for former Vice President Joe Biden, while only 38 percent would vote for President Trump. Matchups against other top Democrats show:
- Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders topping Trump 53 – 39 percent;
- Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren ahead of Trump 52 – 40 percent;
- California Sen. Kamala Harris beating Trump 51 – 40 percent;
- South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg leading with 49 percent to Trump’s 40 percent.
Looking at all of the matchups, President Trump is stuck between 38 and 40 percent of the vote. These low numbers may partly be explained by a lack of support among white women, a key voting bloc that voted for Trump in the 2016 election. Today, white women go for the Democratic candidate by double digits in every scenario.
Early polls are nothing more than an attempt to set the desired Narrative. They have literally zero bearing on reality or what is likely to happen in the event. Trump would beat all four of these candidates in an actual election, just as he’ll beat the Democratic nominee in November 2020.
And he’ll do it no matter what the polls say.