Nate Silver doubles down on Democrats taking the House.
6 in 7 Chance Democrats win control (85.2{6cb082148f66295d8bc7a216c205e5958effe7b4e5a4ecc88596c412762a8d3c})
1 in 7 Chance Republicans keep control (14.8{6cb082148f66295d8bc7a216c205e5958effe7b4e5a4ecc88596c412762a8d3c})
He’s on the verge of becoming a confirmed countersignal. The AP is already backing down on its predictions of a Blue Wave.
In the closing stretch of the 2018 campaign, the question is no longer the size of the Democratic wave. It’s whether there will be a wave at all.
Pro tip: there won’t be.